NCAA (Friday)

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yesterday: 3-4 -3.70

overall: 200-161 +23.40

1: 186-148 +24.35
2: 14-13 -.95


#870 GW -5 -110 (2)
#872 Wright St +9 -bth -120 (2)
#884 N. Illinois P -110 (2)
 

your worst nightmare
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Best of luck, United! Thanks for posting your plays for us! :toast:
 

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Briefly as there are so many games tomorrow time is tight.

#870 GW -5 -110 (2)

Rhode Island at 11-7 and 5-11 ats scoring 71.2 ppg giving up 64.4 ppg for a diff of 6.8
GW at 14-4 and 7-7-1 ats scoring 75.8 ppg giving up 67.3 ppg for a diff of 8.5

Line is right where it should be as I value GW a extra 3 at home.

GW has the edge in almost all stats. I like the ft % in favor of the home team.
GW at 75.1% ft and RI at 65.7 ft%

GW 5-3-1 ats at home.
RI 0-6 ats away. (worth a shot for me)

Rhode Island is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against George Washington (like the trend)

GW McDonald is listed as probable for the game. His presence will be big for GW. as he missed the last two games.


#872 Wright St +9 -bth -120 (2)

Valpo at 16-3 and 10-6 ats scoring 75.7 ppg giving up 60.0 ppg for a diff of 15.7
Wright St at 11-8 and 8-8 ats scoring 66.6 ppg giving up 63.8 ppg for a diff of 2.8

Line is close. Of course it would be nice to have more. I bought the half to get the 9. Probably will go up anyway. It usually does when I do that.

All stats fav Valpo and they have been cruising through conf play this year. I just think this game will be more competitive at Wright ST.

Valpo is 7-3 SU last 10 in this series but only 2-7-1 ats with the average score at 59.9 to 59.4.

The last 5 in this series have gone under the total and I'm hoping Wright St can control the pace of this game at home.


#884 N. Illinois P -110 (2)

Toledo at 12-6 and 9-6 ats scoring 80.4 ppg giving up 72.1 ppg for a diff of 8.3
N.Ill at 15-3 and 9-4 ats scoring 76.5 ppg giving up 64.2 ppg for a diff of 12.3

Scary because I have the line at -6. I have to play on the home team in this game. They are 6-1 ats this year at home. Northern Illinois are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toledo. Toledo has the edge in all shooting stats. I like the rebounding stats for N. Illinois as they pound the offensive boards.
 

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Posted my plays seconds ago and then looked at yours...exact same 3 plays! Oh well! Good luck to us!!
 

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What stats or angles are the top 3 you look at?
Only asking bcuz i respect your capping skills.
thanks

I've been banging my head looking at so many angles only to come up short. I can pick winners, but consistency is the problem.
 

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What stats or angles are the top 3 you look at?
Only asking bcuz i respect your capping skills.
thanks

I've been banging my head looking at so many angles only to come up short. I can pick winners, but consistency is the problem.


Thanks for the compliment. I haven't been doing so hot this new year. I look at many things. I guess if I had to name the top 3: not in any order

1: shooting stats, especially ft% and 3 pt %, rebs, def rebs because they don't give opponents many 2nd chances, off because they get 2nd chances
2: strong home teams that very seldom lose at home that have strong trends in the ats series of the team they are playing that team
3. ATS Streaks, or hot teams ats, for EX: St Mary's, 12-3 and 9-2 at home, South Carolina 12-3 and 9-2 ats at home, St Joes 12-5 Kansa Sy 11-3-1, Miss St 10-5, many more
Also the bad streaks ats: North Texas 3-10, LSU 5-12 and 1-6 on the road, Old D 3-12, many more

Also make sure you check out the injuries, new one's are more important, better chance to have an affect on the game, sandwich games can happen, where teams may over look their opponent.
 

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Thanks United!

I watch public movement, but that gets crazy. I think I've seen the perception of the last game can look totally different in the next.
Example...Byu beats the zags, then byu gets beat by portland then they cover against loyola.
Last night Charlotte is 1-7su hm. Playing marshall a tough team and knocks em down.
So many crazy scenarios.
 

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Thanks United!

I watch public movement, but that gets crazy. I think I've seen the perception of the last game can look totally different in the next.
Example...Byu beats the zags, then byu gets beat by portland then they cover against loyola.
Last night Charlotte is 1-7su hm. Playing marshall a tough team and knocks em down.
So many crazy scenarios.

It gets me all the time. Purdue just beat Rutgers by 50 and Iowa beats Purdue at Purdue. Yet Iowa can't beat Rutgers by 22
thats why its gambling
 

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Can we say great minds think alike!! Woohoo! +24.5 units myself!! 2-1 works EVERYTIME!!! Great job. Hopefully we'll align on some plays tomorrow too!
 

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Great job tonight United! Look forward to seeing your thoughts on tmrw as always. Good luck sir
 

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recap: 2-1 +1.80

overall: 202-162 +25.20

1: 186-148 +24.35
2: 16-14 +.85


#870 GW -5 -110 (2) L ouch by a point
#872 Wright St +9 -bth -120 (2) W
#884 N. Illinois P -110 (2) W
 

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Great Job United. Your one of my favorite cappers on here and always enjoy your write ups. Your having a great season. Have a nice weekend!
 

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