#872 Oakland +3 -110
Valpo at 11-3 and 6-5 ats scoring 72.4 ppg giving up 57.7 ppg for a diff of 14.7
Oakland at 9-6 and 8-2 ats scoring 86.9 ppg giving up 79.4 ppg diff of 7.5
Line is on the button as I also give Oak +3 at home. We definitely have a contrast of two teams in this game. One likes to play fast and the other is usually patient. I like that Oakland just got upset at home by Youngstown St. Perhaps they might have taken them for granted and were looking ahead to this big game on their schedule.
Oak shooting 45.3 fg%, 75.6% ft, and 40.1 from 3 pt land averaging 9.3 a game. 42.4 rebs
Val shooting 43.5 fg%, 71.4%ft, and 35.3 feom 3 pt land averaging 7.6 a game. 39.6 rebs
I like the above stats that fav the home team.
Oakland is 7-3 straight up last 10 in this series and 5-1 in its last 6 games when playing at home against Valparaiso.
Valparaiso is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland.
Oak won both games last year 82-76 at Valpo & 89-75 at home.
Oakland at home last 6 in this series: margins of game
89-75 won by 6
75-70 won by 5
70-68 won by 2
103-102 lost by 1
64-61 won by 3
95-89 won by 6
So I'm on the home dog in this one.
#873 Buffalo +6 1/2 -110
Buff at 7-7 and 4-6-2 ats scoring 76.7 ppg giving up 75.5 ppg for a diff of 1.2
Kent at 10-4 and 4-6 ats scoring 77.1 ppg giving up 71.6 ppg for a diff of 5.6
Line is right on spot. I like the points in this one. Buff should compete and do have a shot at winning this game IMO.
Kent has always been a tough out at home. This year they are 1-3 ats at home. Although Kent St is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home they are only 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo. Kent State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo (like it)
Buff went through some major changes losing coach Hurley and some players followed Hurley to Ariz St and some got in trouble. All said and done the new coach was the top assistant at Buff so no new system to learn and he returned 2 starters and 3 others will lots of playing time. While they obviously aren't near as good as last year they are still very capable of competing this year. Kent St lost a ton of scoring graduating both starting guards but returned their entire front court.
I don't know who's going to win this game, but I do se the average score the last 10 games in the series is separated by 2 points. It's enough for me to play the dog who shoots better from the ft line (71.3) to Kent (66.3) and has the edge in 3's, rebs, and steals.
#876 Akron -11 1/2 -110
WM at 6-8 and 4-5 ats scoring 75.3 ppg giving up 73.6 ppg for a diff of 1.7
Akron at 12-2 and 6-2 ats scoring 77.3 ppg giving up 64.6 ppg for a diff of 12.7
I have the line at 14 so of course I like Akron in this one. Akron is off to their best start in the 11 year tenure of coach Dambrot. All he does is win 20 games almost every year. (long streak going on that, can't read my writing on how many years but think it says 10. Anyway, they return 4 starters, valuable ebnch exp. and a couple of newbies that have already contributed this season to the success so far.
Akron is #2 in defensive 3 point fg % and #20 in fg%. So they get down on the def end of the court.
Akron shoots 38.3 from 3 pt land.
Akron in 9 games have hit at least 11 3's.
Akron in 3 games hit 15 3's.
Akron is 1st in the MAC and 3rd int NCAA in made 3's.
Akron does have a good player listed as probable tonight in Forsythe 6'11. He played 14 minute in last game. I do hope he plays but can't be for sure.
Western Michigan is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Akron, (like it)
I'm on Akron and I hope it's raining 3's for them, and that their D prevents WM from easy baskets.
#878 Detroit -16 1/2 -110
Ill-Ch at 2-10 and 2-8 ats scoring 66.0 ppg and giving up 75.9 ppg for a diff of -9.9
Detroit at 8-5 and 6-5 ats scoring 85.2 ppg giving up 83.1 ppg for a diff of 2.2
Line is high but that was to be expected as Ill Chi has been playing very bad. I would have to think that they are just not very good and their talent level is down. From the looks of their scores it's easy to play against them. That's why they are getting extra points in their lined games now. It's a gamble and I have to thhik that they won't be able to stay up with Detroit at home tonight.
UIC shooting 37.8% fg, 63,5 %ft, and 30,9% from 3 pt land averaging 4.9 3's a game, turning it over 15 times a game.
Detroit shooting 45.9 fg, 69.7% ft, and 40.3% from 3 pt land making 9.7 a game, turn iot over 14 times a game (they give up a lot of points but they play fast) more possessions gives them the chance to win by more points in this one.
I know I'm giving up more points than I should in this one, but just look at the away scores of UIC below:
away:
W. Ill lost by 27
Drake lost b y 21
CF lost by 30
Illinois lost by 4 (state game overlook by the Illini who have a ton of players out as Mich St spanked them last night)
Loy C lost by 17 (another state game)
Valpo by 28
The way my luck has gone lately they will probably shoot lights out and Detroit will be thinking about Partying after the game on a Friday night.
Still playing Detroit as I know it's the play IMHO.
#880 Colorado -1 1/2 -110
Utah at 11-4 and 4-8-1 ats scoring 81.9 ppg giving up 70.8 ppg for a diff of 11.1
Colorado at 12-3 and 8-4 ats scoring 80.1 ppg giving up 69.7 ppg for a diff of 10.4
I really think Colorado deserves more credit at home than this line. I'm probably going to regret bucking the strong ats trends in this game. Utah won both games last year by
scores of 79-51 and 74-49.
Colorado is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Utah. (I'm a fool)
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah. (last year Utah embarrassed them on their own court) Revenge Please
Not a lot to say about this game. I know it's Utah's 3rd straight road game coming off games at Stanford and Cal.
On paper Utah the play. I'm playing the home team in a strong revenge spot where they are 11-1 straight up the last 12 games at home.
good luck everyone, hopefully I bust out of this drought tonight.
