NCAA Football for the week of 8/23

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ATX

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OhioST/NCST OTB, damn waited tooo loonnng.

looking hard at OKST +8 over NEB. how is LOrd looking?
 

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nice atx. you got a dream split as i did. but i love cal at 30. your money will be with the books this way. okie state is solid. i could see them beating nebraska straight up. but the pokes always seem to blow the big one. but 8 points is too much to be giving a talented osu squad. like the points here.


silver goblin
 

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I've been a Nebraska fan since 1971 and have followed them religiously since then. OK State beat the Huskers in Stillwater last year but this year it is in Lincoln. Nebraska had been doing well at home prior to last year but got beat a couple times at home.

As far as Lord is concerned he will be about at the same level as last year or maybe a little bit better. Don't expect huge things out of him the first game.

Nebraska has had a little controversy recently in the fact that one of their starting linemen has been kicked off the team due to domestic violence. The Huskers have not let controversy seriously affect their team in the past.

I hope this helps.

[This message was edited by BigGamesOnly on August 23, 2003 at 04:48 PM.]
 

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I like the KState first half score. This is not a BCS game so I'm thinking KState will ease up in the second half and put in some of the second squad after building a big lead. They will want to build a big lead as early as possible so they can get the first string out.

My problem is I'm only able to get this at -15. I think -14 is a good bet. I do see the first quarter at -7 so maybe I'll take that.

[This message was edited by BigGamesOnly on August 23, 2003 at 04:53 PM.]
 

ATX

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thanks BGO, got your email.
I'll be spending more time on football and less on baseball from here on out.

A lot of my large wagers are on lines that I feel are weak and that I'm fairly certain will move off key numbers if not 3 points or more. This opens up middle opps, and I usually wager a little larger on the opening # and plan to come back on the other side after line moves for a weighted middle, in other words if I wager 2.5% on a good number I'm usually thinking ahead, planning to come back .6% to 1.5% or more on the other side with a decent chance of winning both, a weighted middle.

this is what I've done:
I layed off 1% on CAL +31.5 locally.
I realize a lot of people dont have access to this number. I think that KState wins by 28 or more appx 56-60% of the time, so if you have anything 28 or less it's a decent wager, not a real big one.

I added ANOTHER .6% to KState 1st half -14 -120, I feel that this first half line offers the most value, the books arent dumb and dont offer this until the dust settles, so obviously I couldnt take this to begin with.

I'm more of an investor than a handicapper, I make a lot of moves trying to exploit weaknesses and +EV situations. I make mistakes but there is usually a method to what seems like madness. PROTECT THAT BR, it's a long, good season ahead.
 

ATX

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yeah, how ironic is it that I missed on the biggest one?? congrats to all the CAL bettors. leaning to TEX -28 -120.
 

ATX

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TEXAS -28 -107 CANBET OVER NMST FOR 1.2%
I may middle a little back if I can get 31.5

LOUISIANA TECH +28 -107 CANBET OVER MIAMI FOR 1.0%

leaning to Baylor, Minn, and Maryland.
 

ATX

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OK STATE ML +260 (over NEB) for .3%

BAYLOR +10 -120 for 1.2%
BAYLOR ML +375 for .3%
 

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nice atx. love the ml as well. baylor bears win this outright.

silver goblin
 

ATX

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I dont like the fact that shortbus in on UAB, but I've been talking BIGXII with some of my guys and we all agree on the fact that Baylor and OKST are kinda toss-ups. This adds a lot of value to the points and Ml's. I dont see anything that I like as much to add but I'm looking at UNLV and UNC. off to the NFL.
 

ATX

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thanks DR, it's a long season I hope to get off to a solid start.

Parks gone for Baylor, academic. I'm not sure how much this affects things.

Goblin,

WORRIED?? Are you fvcking kidding me??

Dont mistake my kindness for weakness. I have placed over 40 wagers so far this week, I may have 40 just tomorrow. If you think I'm worried about one opinion on one game...do a search and add 'em up over the months.
 

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atx all in fun bro. there is a good chance that texas will get swept by the okie schools. i understand your feelings. but the hell with okie state, you will be buying the beer after the sooners cross the red river. its in my code of ethics as a sooner alum to give every longhorn hell, even if he is a fine capper. do you remeber this song when leaving the cotton bowl. BOOMER SOONER BOOMER SOONER.
lol. the shits goto start early this year. just hate to see chris sims leave. i would really hate to see mack brown leave. lol.

silver goblin
 

ATX

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HUH??

It took me a couple of minutes to figure out WTF you were talking about.

We see the respective Okie state vs NEB and Baylor vs UAB games as close to toss ups. They have nothing to do with each other. Yeah, I think Baylor is in the same category as Okie State?? Man, they must cut the sh*t out of those drugs by the time they get up there, I cant believe you would really assume I think that. Get off the Texas trip, it's boring, and I'm too busy trying to make money to really care about it. IMO, gives the appearance of jealousy.
icon_smile.gif
 

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easy atx. all in fun bro. i guess i misunderstood you. i stand corrected.

silver goblin
 

ATX

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no problem, I have a lot to look at today, I havent been in this type of hyper-mode since December with all the stuff going on.

for tonite: working out exact sizes soon. Just a heads up.

NIU
LA TECH (already took it)
LA TECH under
KENT

I was looking hard at the three I hadnt gotten down on and a very sharp friend of mine sent them my way, thanks Rich.
 

ATX

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NIU +8.5 for 1%

LT under 63.5 for 1%

KENT ST +13 itops for 1%

already have MIA.
 

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