Nice Analysis! "Someone in Vegas is Sleeping!" I Prefer Homedawg's! GL2U!
It's tough to take your selection seriously if you're basing it on the fact that "someone in Vegas is sleeping."
Arkansas is a HUGE public favorite, and Vegas NEVER gives away free money.
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Dynasty
Join Date: Sep 2007
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Posts: 5,038
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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->UC Davis
Liked what I saw from UC Davis in their 3 game tournament in Aimes. They left with a 1-2 record, but led most of the game vs host Iowa St, and the same against Wisconsin Milw. UC Davis is expected to be much improved this season, and from the looks of it I would say this is accurate. What encouraged me most from those 3 games was their ability to rebound the basketball. Since they run a 4 out 1 in lineup it is extremely important that the guards have the ability to rebound, which they did. They out rebounded Iowa St, and their all league big man Craig Brackins 41-36, Wisc Milw 37-31, and Loyola Marymount 28-22. Even though they play a 4 guard lineup, and really only have 2 big guys that play a significant role, they have a very tall lineup. Mark Payne (6'8), Joe Harden (6'8), give UC Davis good length that should help them be consistent on the glass. In each game they also showed the ability to play better defense, holding their opponents to 44% shooting. That is a big improvement compared to last years numbers. Their all league guard Mark Payne didn't even play that well averaging only 6.3ppg in the 3 game tournament. You can only expect more out of him tonight against a young Arkansas team. However if Notre Dame transfer Joe Harden can continue to play the way he has you can expect even more from Davis. Harden had 2 double doubles in Aimes, and just missed out in a 3rd, while averaging 15.3ppg.
As for Arkansas I expect them to be really down this season, at least early on. I will be looking to fade them whenever possible until they show me they have the ability to compete at a high level. Their first game against SE Louisiana confirmed my belief that the Razorbacks are in for a long season by winning in overtime 91-88. They are very inexperienced returning only 1 starter, Stefan Welsh, and he even split time. Pelphrey brought in a strong recruiting class, but it will take time to adjust playing on the D1 level. Going against experienced teams, who have some talent, such as the Aggies will be a trouble spot early on. After the news that all league performer Patrick Beverley would not be back I felt it took the air out of the program for the upcoming season. Not much is expected from them, and when not a lot is expected from an inexperienced team they usually don't perform as if they were supposed to win.
UC Davis has shown they have improved, and that they are going to compete this season. The same can not be said for Arkansas. I expect the Aggies to stay close throughout.
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I would NEVER bet my "rent money" on ONE (1) lousy game. :nono5:
GL tonight! :toast:
This lineis way off tonight. Ark -11 rolls this team.....Somebody is sleeping in vegas, jump on it tonight and get right/wright....................
easy rent money today
It's tough to take your selection seriously if you're basing it on the fact that "someone in Vegas is sleeping."
Arkansas is a HUGE public favorite, and Vegas NEVER gives away free money.
<TABLE class=tborder id=post6040199 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=thead style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 1px solid; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 1px solid">11-20-2008, 07:44 AM <!-- / status icon and date --></TD><TD class=thead style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 1px solid; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 1px solid" align=right> #6 </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #fdde82 0px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #fdde82 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fdde82 0px solid" width=175>homedawg<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_6040199", true); </SCRIPT>
Dynasty
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: 315
Posts: 5,038
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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->UC Davis
Liked what I saw from UC Davis in their 3 game tournament in Aimes. They left with a 1-2 record, but led most of the game vs host Iowa St, and the same against Wisconsin Milw. UC Davis is expected to be much improved this season, and from the looks of it I would say this is accurate. What encouraged me most from those 3 games was their ability to rebound the basketball. Since they run a 4 out 1 in lineup it is extremely important that the guards have the ability to rebound, which they did. They out rebounded Iowa St, and their all league big man Craig Brackins 41-36, Wisc Milw 37-31, and Loyola Marymount 28-22. Even though they play a 4 guard lineup, and really only have 2 big guys that play a significant role, they have a very tall lineup. Mark Payne (6'8), Joe Harden (6'8), give UC Davis good length that should help them be consistent on the glass. In each game they also showed the ability to play better defense, holding their opponents to 44% shooting. That is a big improvement compared to last years numbers. Their all league guard Mark Payne didn't even play that well averaging only 6.3ppg in the 3 game tournament. You can only expect more out of him tonight against a young Arkansas team. However if Notre Dame transfer Joe Harden can continue to play the way he has you can expect even more from Davis. Harden had 2 double doubles in Aimes, and just missed out in a 3rd, while averaging 15.3ppg.
As for Arkansas I expect them to be really down this season, at least early on. I will be looking to fade them whenever possible until they show me they have the ability to compete at a high level. Their first game against SE Louisiana confirmed my belief that the Razorbacks are in for a long season by winning in overtime 91-88. They are very inexperienced returning only 1 starter, Stefan Welsh, and he even split time. Pelphrey brought in a strong recruiting class, but it will take time to adjust playing on the D1 level. Going against experienced teams, who have some talent, such as the Aggies will be a trouble spot early on. After the news that all league performer Patrick Beverley would not be back I felt it took the air out of the program for the upcoming season. Not much is expected from them, and when not a lot is expected from an inexperienced team they usually don't perform as if they were supposed to win.
UC Davis has shown they have improved, and that they are going to compete this season. The same can not be said for Arkansas. I expect the Aggies to stay close throughout.
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</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>I would NEVER bet my "rent money" on ONE (1) lousy game. :nono5:
GL tonight! :toast:
