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Preseason: Games bet: 22-18-1 (+2.75 Units), Overall preseason record: 65-44-2
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Futures play: Detroit +525 to win championship (1.5 units)
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Main Card YTD: 15-7-1 (+6.65 units)
Sides: 8-5-1 (+0.75 units), Totals: 7-2 (+5.90 units)
Added Plays YTD: 2-6 (-2.90 units)
Sides: 2-4 (-1.25 units), Totals: 0-2 (-1.65 units)
Other plays YTD: 7-11 (-0.45 units)
2nd-Halves: 4-1 (+2.95 units)-----1st-Halves: 1-1 (+0.45 units)-----1st-Quarters: 0-3 (-2.30 units)
2nd-Quarters: 0-1 (-0.55 units)-----3rd-Quarters: 0-1 (-0.60 units)----- 4th-Quarters 0-0 (0 units)
Parlays: 0-1 (-0.10 units)-----Teasers: 1-3-1 (-2.50 units)-----R-Robins: 1-0 (+2.20 units)
Leans YTD: 20-22-2, (Sides: 12-13, Totals: 8-9-2)
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Note: My bet range generally goes from 0.5 to 5 units...I don't go above 3 units very often…Even though I use Pinnacle a lot, for grading purposes here, I will employ a -110 line for all straight plays…
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Lesson 1:
Charlotte shot 14-16 from the field in the 1Q last night...Is this the reason for that score or is it partially because it was Arroyo's first game back and the Utah offense was a bit out of sync for a spell as Arroyo only had 2 points in 19 minutes??...CHAR was hot early, sh^t happens, but let's watch carefully when Kittles returns to the Clippers lineup whenever that is and let's see if they are out of sync a little his first game back, too...
I remember a key NBA capping phrase, but unfortunately, it didn't hit me until I saw Utah down 22 points, and that is:
Fade a team that gets a key player back from injury their first game and play a team that loses a key player the first game they lose that key player...
I can KICK myself for forgetting this...Very stupid of me...
Lesson 2:
There is a trend that strted the year 1-4, but has gone 16-2 ATS since then and 9 of those games are "in play" tonight...Will ALL of them cover??...NO WAY, of course not, but you gotta pick and choose based on ALL the trends...
The trend?...
When a team on the back-end of back-to-back games is playing a "rested" team, take the Underdog in that game, it works GREAT for stretches and it is 17-6-2 ATS this year and is 16-2-2 ATS in the last 20 games...
Lesson 3:
Deju vu all over again??...
Atlanta went over 11 weeks last year, yes, 11 freaking weeks, before covering two games in a row...Unheard of...Might be an NBA record ATS...11 weeks...And they did it in back-to-back games on January 13 & 14...the first game was at Home as they SHOCKED San Antonio as a huge dog and beat them outright...The very next night they went to Indiana and played the Pacers, who had 3 days rest, and lost by 7, covering relatively easily...
Now, guess what?...
It's NOT January, but ATL has NOT covered 2 games in a row yet, they beat Houston at Home last night as a fairly big dog, and now go to Indiana, who has guess what?...Three days rest...
Can you say "creepy"??...
I will try and keep my Main Card to 1 play a night and use it as a "Top Play" section, but I like a few tonight, will post the Added plays a little later...
Orlando Magic +1.5 (2 units)
Utah exerted a lot of energy last night to come back and beat a game Charlotte squad...Cato is back tonight (probable) bur Mobley is still OUT...But Orlando has 2 days rest and should be favored in this spot, as they are 3-0 at Home, beating 3 tough teams (records all .500 or better, MILW, DAL, LAL)...I will take the Magic to give Utah their 2nd loss of the season...
Good Luck...brewers7
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Please note: [color=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above[/color]...
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Main Card:
Yesterday: 0-1 (-1.65 units)
Last 3 days: 2-1 (+0.35 units)
Last 7 days: 6-3 (+3.25 units)
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Words of advice: Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Stay humble…Act professional…
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Preseason: Games bet: 22-18-1 (+2.75 Units), Overall preseason record: 65-44-2
############################################################
Futures play: Detroit +525 to win championship (1.5 units)
############################################################
Main Card YTD: 15-7-1 (+6.65 units)
Sides: 8-5-1 (+0.75 units), Totals: 7-2 (+5.90 units)
Added Plays YTD: 2-6 (-2.90 units)
Sides: 2-4 (-1.25 units), Totals: 0-2 (-1.65 units)
Other plays YTD: 7-11 (-0.45 units)
2nd-Halves: 4-1 (+2.95 units)-----1st-Halves: 1-1 (+0.45 units)-----1st-Quarters: 0-3 (-2.30 units)
2nd-Quarters: 0-1 (-0.55 units)-----3rd-Quarters: 0-1 (-0.60 units)----- 4th-Quarters 0-0 (0 units)
Parlays: 0-1 (-0.10 units)-----Teasers: 1-3-1 (-2.50 units)-----R-Robins: 1-0 (+2.20 units)
Leans YTD: 20-22-2, (Sides: 12-13, Totals: 8-9-2)
##########################################################
Note: My bet range generally goes from 0.5 to 5 units...I don't go above 3 units very often…Even though I use Pinnacle a lot, for grading purposes here, I will employ a -110 line for all straight plays…
##########################################################
Lesson 1:
Charlotte shot 14-16 from the field in the 1Q last night...Is this the reason for that score or is it partially because it was Arroyo's first game back and the Utah offense was a bit out of sync for a spell as Arroyo only had 2 points in 19 minutes??...CHAR was hot early, sh^t happens, but let's watch carefully when Kittles returns to the Clippers lineup whenever that is and let's see if they are out of sync a little his first game back, too...
Fade a team that gets a key player back from injury their first game and play a team that loses a key player the first game they lose that key player...
I can KICK myself for forgetting this...Very stupid of me...
Lesson 2:
There is a trend that strted the year 1-4, but has gone 16-2 ATS since then and 9 of those games are "in play" tonight...Will ALL of them cover??...NO WAY, of course not, but you gotta pick and choose based on ALL the trends...
The trend?...
When a team on the back-end of back-to-back games is playing a "rested" team, take the Underdog in that game, it works GREAT for stretches and it is 17-6-2 ATS this year and is 16-2-2 ATS in the last 20 games...
Lesson 3:
Deju vu all over again??...
Atlanta went over 11 weeks last year, yes, 11 freaking weeks, before covering two games in a row...Unheard of...Might be an NBA record ATS...11 weeks...And they did it in back-to-back games on January 13 & 14...the first game was at Home as they SHOCKED San Antonio as a huge dog and beat them outright...The very next night they went to Indiana and played the Pacers, who had 3 days rest, and lost by 7, covering relatively easily...
Now, guess what?...
It's NOT January, but ATL has NOT covered 2 games in a row yet, they beat Houston at Home last night as a fairly big dog, and now go to Indiana, who has guess what?...Three days rest...
Can you say "creepy"??...
I will try and keep my Main Card to 1 play a night and use it as a "Top Play" section, but I like a few tonight, will post the Added plays a little later...
Orlando Magic +1.5 (2 units)
Utah exerted a lot of energy last night to come back and beat a game Charlotte squad...Cato is back tonight (probable) bur Mobley is still OUT...But Orlando has 2 days rest and should be favored in this spot, as they are 3-0 at Home, beating 3 tough teams (records all .500 or better, MILW, DAL, LAL)...I will take the Magic to give Utah their 2nd loss of the season...
Good Luck...brewers7
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Please note: [color=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above[/color]...
#############################################################
Main Card:
Yesterday: 0-1 (-1.65 units)
Last 3 days: 2-1 (+0.35 units)
Last 7 days: 6-3 (+3.25 units)
##############################################################
Words of advice: Tail me when I am hot...Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Money management…Stay humble…Act professional…
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