NBA Tonight

[Macau]

3 UNITs Houston/Memphis UNDER 191

Posted total a bit high as compared to my numbers, which should be around 186 1/2 for this one.

Contrasting teams, as a veteran and loaded Houston team goes up against a youthful Memphis team. Rocket's defense somewhat iffy in Pre-Season, however, the old Houston defense should be back, especially with addition of Artest.

Houston will pound the ball inside on this one as they should own the glass with premier rebounders galore, Scola/Landry/Hayes/Artest/Yao against suspect Grizz interior of Darko & rookie Gasol (not THE Gasol). Yao will post one side and Artest will post the other, with TMac running high pick'n'rolls out top. Expectation is that Houston will have 40+ points in paint on this one.

Meanwhile, Iavaroni's troops with rely on their "ahem" big 3 of Gay, Conley, & Mayo, i.e. an inexperienced and less talented version of the Bulls Deng/Gordon/Heinrich, which failed miserably as they clang shot after shot. Memphis will attempt to stay in this game by jacking up 15-20 footers, which is highly unlikely considering that these players in addition to being young, have not really played with each other much either, hence lacking severe chemistry. Grizz can't run either as they will be dominated in the paint.

Just don't want to lay DD with Rockets as traditionally a horrible ATS team as DD.

If the Memphis shots are clanging as expected, and if TMac does his duty of going 8 for 24, this one stays UNDER.

Houston 94
Memphis 80

UNDER 191 for 3 UNITs

glta

michael

NOTE: Assuming my bankroll is 100 UNITs. My plays are typically from 3-5 UNITs. I live and breath Houston Rockets basketball.

 

[Mr_Mark]

nice bet

was thinking of playing the under also

gl

 

[fivedoorsdown]

if you predict houston 94-80 why not play houston - the points

 

[jungular10]

Rockets should win at least 55 games this season. That being said, I feel safer betting the over. Memphis does not have a good defense and I can see Houston putting up 110+. Laying 12 points to open the season scares me away from a side play.

 

[Macau]

The reason I'm not playing Houston is because historically the Rockets have been a horrible DD home favorite. Despite numerous coaching changes, Houston remains a bad home favorite. From Rudy, to JVG (especially JVG), to RA, Rockets become very lackadaisical once they open a big lead. Their tendency is to always play to the level of the opposition, hence, my hesitance to play Houston laying DDs.

best,

m

 

[KillaRSox]

T-mac, Yao and Artest not a bad big 3

 

[jungular10]

The reason I'm not playing Houston is because historically the Rockets have been a horrible DD home favorite. Despite numerous coaching changes, Houston remains a bad home favorite. From Rudy, to JVG (especially JVG), to RA, Rockets become very lackadaisical once they open a big lead. Their tendency is to always play to the level of the opposition, hence, my hesitance to play Houston laying DDs.

best,

m

You are exactly right. I live in Houston and have been following the Rockets for years. They are a terrible double digit home favorite.

 

[pepperspick6]

Meanwhile, Iavaroni's troops with rely on their "ahem" big 3 of Gay, Conley, & Mayo, i.e. an inexperienced and less talented version of the Bulls Deng/Gordon/Heinrich, which failed miserably as they clang shot after shot.



LMAO I had to watch that crap for years! Going to tail you on this play since you seem familiar with Houston. GL

 

[pepperspick6]

great hit way to go!