NBA Tips - Based on a system - (12-4 so far)

[JDix]

Play of the Night:Houston -5 hosting Portland.Portland is coming into Houston off of a road B2B and a worse team ingeneral.The Picks:ATL +2 @ MEM -2MEMOver 197IND -2 @ CHA +2CHA +2Over 184MIN +8 @ DET -8DET -8Over 204CHI -7 @ ORL +7Despite Chicago coming in off of a B2B we still like them here.CHI -7Under 198SAS -2.5 @ TOR +2.5TOR +2.5Over 202POR +5 @ HOU -5HOU -5Over 205</pre>

 

[JDix]

Not sure why my post got broken...Play of the Night:
Houston -5 hosting Portland.


Portland is coming into Houston off of a road B2B and a worse team in
general.




The Picks:
ATL +2 @ MEM -2
MEM
Over 197


IND -2 @ CHA +2
CHA +2
Over 184


MIN +8 @ DET -8
DET -8
Over 204


CHI -7 @ ORL +7
Despite Chicago coming in off of a B2B we still like them here.
CHI -7
Under 198


SAS -2.5 @ TOR +2.5
TOR +2.5
Over 202


POR +5 @ HOU -5
HOU -5
Over 205


--


The Numbers:
ATL +2 @ MEM -2 (TOTAL 197)
Home Chance of Victory 54.89822444
Away Chance of Victory 45.10177556
Home Team Predicted Scoring 110.4431684
Away Team Predicted Scoring 106.8836839
Home Team Win/Loss Margin 3.559484482
Away Team Win/Loss Margin -3.559484482
Predicted Total Points 217.3268523
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total 20.32685229
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 51.43478184
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 48.56521816






IND -2 @ CHA +2 (TOTAL 184)
Home Chance of Victory 52.18582809
Away Chance of Victory 47.81417191
Home Team Predicted Scoring 96.2560609
Away Team Predicted Scoring 94.86268838
Home Team Win/Loss Margin 1.393372527
Away Team Win/Loss Margin -1.393372527
Predicted Total Points 191.1187493
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total 7.118749282
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 53.54547472
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 46.45452528






MIN +8 @ DET -8 (TOTAL 204)
Home Chance of Victory 73.42163561
Away Chance of Victory 26.57836439
Home Team Predicted Scoring 114.2437681
Away Team Predicted Scoring 96.44577744
Home Team Win/Loss Margin 17.79799062
Away Team Win/Loss Margin -17.79799062
Predicted Total Points 210.6895455
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total 6.689545503
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 59.20155241
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 40.79844759






CHI -7 @ ORL +7 (TOTAL 198) (CHI ON B2B)
Home Chance of Victory 33.43178328
Away Chance of Victory 66.56821672
Home Team Predicted Scoring 92.71217515
Away Team Predicted Scoring 103.9891433
Home Team Win/Loss Margin -11.27696814
Away Team Win/Loss Margin 11.27696814
Predicted Total Points 196.7013184
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total -1.298681558
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 45.66155882
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 54.33844118






SAS -2.5 @ TOR +2.5 (TOTAL 202)
Home Chance of Victory 53.31796869
Away Chance of Victory 46.68203131
Home Team Predicted Scoring 104.6095456
Away Team Predicted Scoring 102.3176776
Home Team Win/Loss Margin 2.291868
Away Team Win/Loss Margin -2.291868
Predicted Total Points 206.9272233
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total 4.92722329
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 54.61907269
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 45.38092731






POR +5 @ HOU -5 (TOTAL 205) (POR ON B2B)
Home Chance of Victory 76.42810404
Away Chance of Victory 23.57189596
Home Team Predicted Scoring 115.3323689
Away Team Predicted Scoring 94.79995198
Home Team Win/Loss Margin 20.53241693
Away Team Win/Loss Margin -20.53241693
Predicted Total Points 210.1323209
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total 5.132320887
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 64.39199937
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 35.60800063
</pre>

 

[cordial]

JDix, thank you for the second post, you're first is a bit convoluted...BOL...

 

[PatsFan1283]

I like Memphis too. Probably the best equipped team in the league to deal with ATLs constant spreading, attacking and ball movement

Then on the other end ATL is undersized upfront

 

[JBS39]

Anything on Suns game?

 

[PatsFan1283]

Memph up 3 after 3 despite the fact they've hit 0 3s and are shooting 37%

Part of me wants them to cover without hitting a 3 for the entire game since that will likely never happen again

edit: Conley for 3, nice little reverse jinx I guess

 

[JDix]

Picks:
Over 207
Sac +8


PHX -8 @ SAC +8 - (TOTAL 207)

Home Chance of Victory 50.60856218
Away Chance of Victory 49.39143782
Home Team Predicted Scoring 105.3627255
Away Team Predicted Scoring 104.9361053
Home Team Win/Loss Margin 0.426620195
Away Team Win/Loss Margin -0.426620195
Predicted Total Points 210.2988308
Predicted Margin of Over/Under Book Total 3.29883078
Home Team Percent Chance of Cover 57.9502069
Away Team Percent Chance of Cover 42.0497931

 

[JBS39]

Thx

 

[Hip2Bsq]

Thanks JD

 

[varkeyboy]

What's crackin for tonight?