Sure looks like Shaq is going to win it, but what a joke. A 23/10 season isn't MVP worthy. This one is a reputation move plain and simple because the numbers certainly don't back it up.
If I had a vote it would go to Nowitzki. He has improved his numbers substantially this year even with losing a great point guard. Nash certainly deserves the credit for much of the Suns turnaround, but I think Dirk's production is just better and Dirk has less talent around him to make him a better player.
Hard to see Okafor not winning the ROY. Gordon's having a good season, but Okafor is a one man show with an all-around game to back up his superior numbers.