Nba road system 2010 - 11

[KASH247]

green dragon , by not betting on the first two ,or waiting for two losses u would be shorting youre betting series and increasing ur win rate,,have to lookk at the years past as well..... when u win 45 on the first level ,you have also lost 80...if you wait to jump in after a two losses then you would have had 20 wins on the first bet and 15 losses that is easier to profit from i think, yes it sucks because there is a lot less action and a lot of watching and waiting, let me know what u think, dont get me wrong i think the system is great, i just want a diff way to bet it

 

[jrob]

Did sac cover the 2 nd half

Not even close. Here's the updated outlook:

Nba road system
halves / ats
nov 2010

lac @ ut(11/6), no (11/9), sa (11/10): WIN 2/6

den @ dal(11/6), chi (11/8), ind (11/9): WIN 3/6

mn @ hou (11/7), lal (11/9), sac (11/10): WIN 1/6

bos @ dal (11/8), mia (11/11), mem (11/13): WIN 1/6

gs @ ny (11/10), chi (11/11), mil (11/13): WIN 3/6

ut @ orl (11/10), atl (11/12), cha (11/13): WIN 1/6

hou @ wa (11/10), ind (11/12), ny (11/14): WIN 1/6

phi @ dal (11/12), sa (11/13), cle (11/16): WIN 1/6

det @ lac (11/12), sac (11/14), gs (11/15): WIN 2/6

por @ okc (11/12), no (11/13), mem (11/16): WIN 2/6

tor @ mia (11/13), wa (11/16), phi (11/17): WIN 1/6 (OPTIONAL)

lal @ mil (11/16), det (11/17), mn (11/19): WIN 1/6

nj @ ut (11/17), sac (11/19), den (11/20): WIN 2/6 (if you locked 2H in at -3.5)

ny @ sac (11/17), gs (11/19), lac (11/20): PENDING

pho @ orl (11/18), cha (11/20), hou (11/22)

cle @ no (11/19), sa (11/20), ind (11/23)

 

[tony1]

jrob....

Thanks for your help with the updates but if possible use the verification of lines as stated in post #15. Nj @ UT was (1/6) and if you had the first half as a push and the second half covered it would look like this .... (1/5). Lines can vary, so to prevent any confusion is the reason we use vegas insider as verification.

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Looks like Orlando is an option play tonight at -6 1st H.

 

[sweetjones55]

Good luck on your plays tonight.

 

[Bengals28]

Just read this thread through and this looks very awesome great work here tony! Looking forward to tailing all future plays.

 

[tony1]

NBA ROAD SYSTEM
HALVES / ATS
NOV 2010

LAC @ UT(11/6), NO (11/9), SA (11/10)..................WIN (2/6) **

DEN @ DAL(11/6), CHI (11/8), IND (11/9)................WIN (3/6)

MN @ HOU (11/7), LAL (11/9), SAC (11/10).............WIN (1/6)

BOS @ DAL (11/8), MIA (11/11), MEM (11/13)..........WIN (1/6)

GS @ NY (11/10), CHI (11/11), MIL (11/13).............WIN (3/6)

UT @ ORL (11/10), ATL (11/12), CHA (11/13)..........WIN (1/6)**

HOU @ WA (11/10), IND (11/12), NY (11/14)...........WIN (1/6)

PHI @ DAL (11/12), SA (11/13), CLE (11/16)...........WIN (1/6)

DET @ LAC (11/12), SAC (11/14), GS (11/15)..........WIN (2/6)

POR @ OKC (11/12), NO (11/13), MEM (11/16)........WIN (2/6)

TOR @ MIA (11/13), WA (11/16), PHI (11/17).........WIN (1/6)**

LAL @ MIL (11/16), DET (11/17), MN (11/19).........WIN (1/6)

NJ @ UT (11/17), SAC (11/19), DEN (11/20)..........WIN (1/6)**

NY @ SAC (11/17), GS (11/19), LAC (11/20).........PENDING

PHO @ ORL (11/18), CHA (11/20), HOU (11/22)......WIN (1/6)**

CLE @ NO (11/19), SA (11/20), IND (11/23)

**optional

VERIFICATION: VEGAS INSIDER AS STATED IN POST #15

 

[jrob]

jrob....

Thanks for your help with the updates but if possible use the verification of lines as stated in post #15. Nj @ UT was (1/6) and if you had the first half as a push and the second half covered it would look like this .... (1/5). Lines can vary, so to prevent any confusion is the reason we use vegas insider as verification.

You got it, tony. Will make sure I do this a little better in the future...

 

[Bengals28]

So tonights plays are on GS and NO?

 

[Sea-Urchin]

So tonights plays are on GS and NO?

You are correct.

 

[tony1]

Ny @ gs (3/6) first half

info on gs @ home this season:

Gs has played 5 home games and has covered 7 of 10 halves for 70%

gs has covered the 1st half 4 of 5 times for 80%

gs has covered at least one half for each home game for 100%

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Thanks for the info Tony.

 

[Greendragon]

Wow! Was out for a late dinner with the wife, nervously checking the score on my phone. Thought we were toast on the GS -5 (bet #4). Must have hit a last second 3 for the win.

Very fortuneate! And LAC was the next game - as a fave I believe!

 

[Greendragon]

green dragon , by not betting on the first two ,or waiting for two losses u would be shorting youre betting series and increasing ur win rate,,have to lookk at the years past as well..... when u win 45 on the first level ,you have also lost 80...if you wait to jump in after a two losses then you would have had 20 wins on the first bet and 15 losses that is easier to profit from i think, yes it sucks because there is a lot less action and a lot of watching and waiting, let me know what u think, dont get me wrong i think the system is great, i just want a diff way to bet it

Sorry KASH247 for the late reply.

Everyone has their own opinions and the freedom to do with their money as they wish. My take on this is that the 90 wins you miss out on by trying to lessen the risk is too expensive. The valuable info that Tony1 has generously shared shows that on average there is 1 loss per year. Those 90 wins would more than cover the 1 series loss. I think it is more dangerous to be more selective because a series loss for you would be much more difficult to overcome.

If anyone cares how I've adapted Tony1's system, here is how I am playing:

#1 - 1.1 to win 1
#2 - 2.3 to win 2.1
#3 - 4.85 to win 4.41 - Of course up to this point, stop series after any win

#4 - 6.6 to win 6 - If loss
#5 - 8.8 to win 8 - If loss
#6 - 13.2 to win 12 - If loss, series is over and we've lost 36.85 units (ouch)

I know these are all Tony's numbers (I'm claiming no credit with anything) but here is where I differ just a little

#4 - if win, we're still down 2.25 units. I would go on (as I will tomorrow against the Knicks) to;
#5 - 3.6 to win 3.27 - If win, end series with the standard 1 unit win. If loss (now down 5.85 units) go to;
#6 - 7.55 to win 6.86 - If win - up 1 unit, If loss series is still over with loss of 13.4 units.

If our first win occurs at play #5, we are now down 6.85 units (14.85 - 8) my last play would be
#6 - 8.65 to win 7.86 - If win - up 1 unit, if loss, down 15.5 units.

Sorry if I've bored anyone reading this. Again these are all Tony1's numbers. I chose to bet this way to minimise in my own way the huge 80+ unit loss in a standard betting series loss. I also like his idea of trying to win 2 out of 3 after the 3 losses to start series when the fatigue factor is more pronounced(especially on B2B games)

Good luck to all

 

[ThommyBoy]

For those who pushed on Utah the other night, anyone know if Nets covered 2nd half last night? My score updates didn't get sent to my phone and I missed the play.

 

[leafs77]

For those who pushed on Utah the other night, anyone know if Nets covered 2nd half last night? My score updates didn't get sent to my phone and I missed the play.

SAC covered (-3 for 2nd h)

 

[$am$ter]

Wow! Nice winner with NO on 1st try and GS -5.5 for 2nd Half covered for the Knicks series.....

Lets keep it going, Thanks Tony and everyone who contributes to posting, awesome simple sytem.... gets scary at times (Like Golden State barley covering with the last shot of game with the 3 pointer)

 

[tony1]

NBA ROAD SYSTEM UPDATE THRU 11/20
HALVES / ATS / 2010-11
SERIES RECORD 16 - 0
PENDING: 0
TOTAL UNITS +16

SUMMARY: STD PROGRESSION

1ST PLAY OF SERIES.........10
2ND PLAY OF SERIES.........3
3RD PLAY OF SERIES.........2
4TH PLAY OF SERIES.........1
5TH PLAY OF SERIES.........0
6TH PLAY OF SERIES.........0
LOSS...............................0

*includes optional plays (5 - 0)

COMMENTS: Currently the 1st play is covering at 62%. This is one of our better starts but beware... you will have series that will go to 5th and possibly the 6th play!

 

[Greendragon]

With the Knicks covering both halves tonight, only a miracle 3 at the buzzer in play #4 by Golden State saved us from a series loss.

 

[tony1]

Nba road system
halves / ats
nov 2010

lac @ ut(11/6), no (11/9), sa (11/10)..................win (2/6) **

den @ dal(11/6), chi (11/8), ind (11/9)................win (3/6)

mn @ hou (11/7), lal (11/9), sac (11/10).............win (1/6)

bos @ dal (11/8), mia (11/11), mem (11/13).......win (1/6)

gs @ ny (11/10), chi (11/11), mil (11/13).............win (3/6)

ut @ orl (11/10), atl (11/12), cha (11/13).............win (1/6)**

hou @ wa (11/10), ind (11/12), ny (11/14)...........win (1/6)

phi @ dal (11/12), sa (11/13), cle (11/16).............win (1/6)

det @ lac (11/12), sac (11/14), gs (11/15)............win (2/6)

por @ okc (11/12), no (11/13), mem (11/16).........win (2/6)

tor @ mia (11/13), wa (11/16), phi (11/17)............win (1/6)**

lal @ mil (11/16), det (11/17), mn (11/19).............win (1/6)

nj @ ut (11/17), sac (11/19), den (11/20)..............win (1/6)**

ny @ sac (11/17), gs (11/19), lac (11/20)..............win (4/6)

pho @ orl (11/18), cha (11/20), hou (11/22)..........win (1/6)**

cle @ no (11/19), sa (11/20), ind (11/23)...............win (1/6)**

no @ lac (11/22), ut (11/24), por (11/26)

phi @ wa (11/23), tor (11/24), mia (11/26)

chi @ pho (11/24), den (11/26), sac (11/27)

gs @ hou (11/24), mem (11/26), mn (11/27)

sa @ no (11/28), gs (11/30), lac (12/1)

por @ phi (11/30), bos (12/1)wa (12/3)

ind @ sac (11/30), ut (12/1), pho (12/3)

** optional:

Comments: I will post the Dec schedule in a few days.