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NBA PLAYOFFS
- Thread starter ATX
- Start date
I took DET -1 on 5/19 for 1.5% I would get down now on the -2 and buy the half.
DET under 178 for 1%
SA -7 (bought) for 1%
SA over 202 for 1%
I may middle a bit on NJ if I get 3 or better.
I still like SA at -110 to win it all, not throwing anymore on it, but DAL's performance is not convincing and SA has been through this in these same playoffs and throughout the season. They lost to PHX at home in game one and closed it out in 6. IMO, 'the powers that be' leveled the playing field in G1 for DAL, it increases interest and prolongs the series. I cant believe this is actually part of the handicapping process for the NBA...
[This message was edited by ATX on May 20, 2003 at 01:07 PM.]
DET under 178 for 1%
SA -7 (bought) for 1%
SA over 202 for 1%
I may middle a bit on NJ if I get 3 or better.
I still like SA at -110 to win it all, not throwing anymore on it, but DAL's performance is not convincing and SA has been through this in these same playoffs and throughout the season. They lost to PHX at home in game one and closed it out in 6. IMO, 'the powers that be' leveled the playing field in G1 for DAL, it increases interest and prolongs the series. I cant believe this is actually part of the handicapping process for the NBA...
[This message was edited by ATX on May 20, 2003 at 01:07 PM.]
I'm not one to go by trends but this one has a little significance...
Dallas is 7-17 ATS in a road game after a road game.
SA is 20-6 ATS after 5 games of committing less than 14 turnovers.
Already took SA and the over above,
'interesting' that the SA to win it all is -125 or so, where it started, after a loss in G1, even with the fact that teams that have lost game 1 have historically lost over 80% of those series.
Dallas is 7-17 ATS in a road game after a road game.
SA is 20-6 ATS after 5 games of committing less than 14 turnovers.
Already took SA and the over above,
'interesting' that the SA to win it all is -125 or so, where it started, after a loss in G1, even with the fact that teams that have lost game 1 have historically lost over 80% of those series.
may pass on SA/DAL side, may play at the half, got the over 208 early for 1.5%
would still take the over up to 214. at 211 I would only risk 1%. Dallas hasnt been shooting the ball too well in SA and the totals have still flown over, at home they may score even more. The pace of the game is the real key to this play.
would still take the over up to 214. at 211 I would only risk 1%. Dallas hasnt been shooting the ball too well in SA and the totals have still flown over, at home they may score even more. The pace of the game is the real key to this play.
just got back from the lake, hope everyone had fun over the weekend...
put 1.5% on SA -8
-9 doesnt change it much, I have SA winning by DD appx 60% of the time in this situation. Not a huge play b/c it's difficult to gauge the Mavs flight/fight response at this point.
I put a little (.5%) on SA -6.5 over NJ for G1 at OLY. I'm pretty sure that line will go up. The time off should hurt NJ in game one, as should the step up in competition. NJ is a quality team and DOES have a shot at beating SA, but it may take them a quarter or two to adjust to SA's speed and overall skill level. DET had no transition offense OR defense, they wont get all the easy baskets they had after a missed DET fg. Kenyon may give Duncan some trouble with his athleticism, and Kidd gives them an edge, but I feel Manu and the SA bench gives SA enough for the title. I guess I should wait until SA actually gets to the finals first...
put 1.5% on SA -8
-9 doesnt change it much, I have SA winning by DD appx 60% of the time in this situation. Not a huge play b/c it's difficult to gauge the Mavs flight/fight response at this point.
I put a little (.5%) on SA -6.5 over NJ for G1 at OLY. I'm pretty sure that line will go up. The time off should hurt NJ in game one, as should the step up in competition. NJ is a quality team and DOES have a shot at beating SA, but it may take them a quarter or two to adjust to SA's speed and overall skill level. DET had no transition offense OR defense, they wont get all the easy baskets they had after a missed DET fg. Kenyon may give Duncan some trouble with his athleticism, and Kidd gives them an edge, but I feel Manu and the SA bench gives SA enough for the title. I guess I should wait until SA actually gets to the finals first...
