2H LA OVER FOR 1% LOOKIN FOR A 96
I FIGURED THE REFS WOULD BE THIS BAD, JUST DIDNT THINK THE LAKERS WOULD BE WORSE!!
IT'S A FOUL-A-THON, FAVORS THE OVER, AS DOES THE LAKERS PLAYING CATCH UP, MAY NOT TOUCH A SIDE BUT LEAN TO THE FEARLESS SPURS.
I FIGURED THE REFS WOULD BE THIS BAD, JUST DIDNT THINK THE LAKERS WOULD BE WORSE!!
IT'S A FOUL-A-THON, FAVORS THE OVER, AS DOES THE LAKERS PLAYING CATCH UP, MAY NOT TOUCH A SIDE BUT LEAN TO THE FEARLESS SPURS.
looks like 4 straight winning days in bases if MIN holds on, so I'll go with what I've really liked all day today-
DAL under 220.5 for 1.5%
leaning to SAC as it's pretty much must win, still a little time to ponder and looking at PHI 2nd half.
DAL under 220.5 for 1.5%
leaning to SAC as it's pretty much must win, still a little time to ponder and looking at PHI 2nd half.
Tex, I got a better number than +3.5, I just post what is widely available and the worst number that I would take.
mett, what was SAC favored by in the 2nd half BEFORE the game?? Just b/c they kicked DAL's ass in the first half how much does that change things?? Nothing is ever a sure thing, but +170 is ridiculous for a strong team at home that is favored prior. Best of luck.
mett, what was SAC favored by in the 2nd half BEFORE the game?? Just b/c they kicked DAL's ass in the first half how much does that change things?? Nothing is ever a sure thing, but +170 is ridiculous for a strong team at home that is favored prior. Best of luck.
yup, getting hot just in time for the final stretch. Just hit +20% for the playoffs, may step up the plays a little on select games. I dont usually play many quarters or have 4 plays on a single 2nd half, but those numbers were weak, and we can expect close to 100% effort from the teams at this point. Lost .3% on baseball today as the Twins blew an 8-1 lead. I put in 17 hours handicapping today (so far) and it was definitely worth it:
LA -4.5 L .5%
LA 1ST H U 95 W .5%
LA 2H O 96 W 1%
DAL U 220 W 1.5%
PHI 2H +2.5 W .6%
PHI 2H ml +140 W .5%
PHI 2H O 91 W .2%
PHI 3Q U 46.5 W .2%
SAC -5 W .6%
SAC 2H U 109 W 1%
SAC 2H +3.5 W 1%
SAC 2H ml +170 W .5%
SAC 3Q U 56.5 W 5%
JUICE OF .6%, for a net of 7.55%, better than most weeks.
I'm taking the Spurs -3 or better for 1%. I may add more later, after I get some rest. Interesting DAL/SAC line: DAL -2.5, 217.5
I may put a bit on the under 217.5, will wait for possible line move which should go to the under. The horrible 3 point shooting may affect DAL strategy just a little.
LA -4.5 L .5%
LA 1ST H U 95 W .5%
LA 2H O 96 W 1%
DAL U 220 W 1.5%
PHI 2H +2.5 W .6%
PHI 2H ml +140 W .5%
PHI 2H O 91 W .2%
PHI 3Q U 46.5 W .2%
SAC -5 W .6%
SAC 2H U 109 W 1%
SAC 2H +3.5 W 1%
SAC 2H ml +170 W .5%
SAC 3Q U 56.5 W 5%
JUICE OF .6%, for a net of 7.55%, better than most weeks.
I'm taking the Spurs -3 or better for 1%. I may add more later, after I get some rest. Interesting DAL/SAC line: DAL -2.5, 217.5
I may put a bit on the under 217.5, will wait for possible line move which should go to the under. The horrible 3 point shooting may affect DAL strategy just a little.
BOS/NJ
NJ has covered the last 8 out of 10 against BOS
NJ has won 9 out of 10 SU (applies here since NJ is the dog)
NJ has won the last 4 SU AT BOS
considering the total of 186.5, the last 5 AT BOS have gone UNDER this total.
I'm not a trend player, (I usually go against a lot of them) but what changes for this game??
see Blacklab's outstanding playoff thread for my 4 points of qualitative reasoning on NJ. Not a huge play, but it's NJ or no play for me. NJ for .5% to 1%, lean to the under.
SA may be a big.
NJ has covered the last 8 out of 10 against BOS
NJ has won 9 out of 10 SU (applies here since NJ is the dog)
NJ has won the last 4 SU AT BOS
considering the total of 186.5, the last 5 AT BOS have gone UNDER this total.
I'm not a trend player, (I usually go against a lot of them) but what changes for this game??
see Blacklab's outstanding playoff thread for my 4 points of qualitative reasoning on NJ. Not a huge play, but it's NJ or no play for me. NJ for .5% to 1%, lean to the under.
SA may be a big.
I think we were both pretty right on about the game....and in essence,I should have stuck with my guts and passed....pulled the trigger last minute on the under,which was the right play,and got burned.....glad you at least made a little profit.....Spurs big tonight buddy
I actually lost .1% on the game as it went into OT. Team total and 2H under go down as bad beats, at least they were small. It's kind of strange, something was holding me back on the plays, at the half, and as soon as the 2nd half started I realized what it was-- my subconscious was quietly suggesting that this had all the makings for an OT game. I dont have time to look, but I'm pretty sure I've seen the prop somewhere, does anyone know who offers a prop for a game going into OT?? I would guess OLY does...
I do like the NBA's best team in a close to must win situation. Basically what I'm trying to do is figure out why the spread is only 3. I would like this game a lot more at -5.5, that would put a lot more of the public on LA. I'm leaning to the 1st H under. I just wonder how the game will be called, one thing that worries me is the psychological effect on the Spurs from the bad calls in the last game. Horry may not have 2 bad games in a row. I've got several hours to figure out how much I'll put on the Spurs, and map out the what-ifs for the rest of the series.
I'm also looking at taking SAC, it looks like a Dallas trap all the way- OLY has SAC +2.5 with a ML of ONLY +120- that is low for that spread for a road team vs a team like Dallas. This may be a series where the road teams continues to win on the road, similar to some playoffs series in the past.
I do like the NBA's best team in a close to must win situation. Basically what I'm trying to do is figure out why the spread is only 3. I would like this game a lot more at -5.5, that would put a lot more of the public on LA. I'm leaning to the 1st H under. I just wonder how the game will be called, one thing that worries me is the psychological effect on the Spurs from the bad calls in the last game. Horry may not have 2 bad games in a row. I've got several hours to figure out how much I'll put on the Spurs, and map out the what-ifs for the rest of the series.
I'm also looking at taking SAC, it looks like a Dallas trap all the way- OLY has SAC +2.5 with a ML of ONLY +120- that is low for that spread for a road team vs a team like Dallas. This may be a series where the road teams continues to win on the road, similar to some playoffs series in the past.
