Didn't have time to readjust my play to Embiid playing. Him playing, with the above angle that Russ stated, was a good reason to either lay off or play Philly. Still like Miami in this series.
1.2* Boston +2 This line, which is 1.5 at some books, says something about this game and series. Giannis is the man, but Robert Williams, now back a few games, only has one major assignment- keep Giannis from going nuts. I think he can limit Giannis a bit, and along with Boston's strong perimeter defense, and Middleton being out, I think Boston wins this game and the series. How can the world champs, with the best player in the playoffs, be only 1.5/2 point favorites?
1.5 Golden State -3.5 1H
1.5 Golden State -6.5 I've had Memphis for both games, and they won both ATS. However, the Warriors will have 1 or 2 games in this series where they play their best and shoot very well. Gambling that this is one of those games. Brooks and Payton out, although I think Memphis misses Brooks more. Maybe the dirty play on Payton will get some fire in GS, as they look too cool and measured at times. they'll have the home crowd to inspire them.
1.2* Boston +2 This line, which is 1.5 at some books, says something about this game and series. Giannis is the man, but Robert Williams, now back a few games, only has one major assignment- keep Giannis from going nuts. I think he can limit Giannis a bit, and along with Boston's strong perimeter defense, and Middleton being out, I think Boston wins this game and the series. How can the world champs, with the best player in the playoffs, be only 1.5/2 point favorites?
1.5 Golden State -3.5 1H
1.5 Golden State -6.5 I've had Memphis for both games, and they won both ATS. However, the Warriors will have 1 or 2 games in this series where they play their best and shoot very well. Gambling that this is one of those games. Brooks and Payton out, although I think Memphis misses Brooks more. Maybe the dirty play on Payton will get some fire in GS, as they look too cool and measured at times. they'll have the home crowd to inspire them.
Warriors played their A game and many of us cashed in.
2.2* Phoenix -1.5 Dallas has the pressure off winning game 3, but that is the best they can possibly play. The Suns were off their norm. They still got my vote for Western Conference finalist. Phoenix should play much better. They don't ever seem to have two bad games in a row.
1.1* Miami +2. Miami is another team that plays great defense so that they are usually in every game. Last game was their worst, and the Embiid surprise inspired the 76ers. Philly HAD to win so not to go down 3-0. They still are under pressure to not go down 3-1, but I'll stick by the premise that Miami has the better role players, the better bench, and better D. Lowry should contribute more his 2nd game back.
The totals are so low that it's difficult to play the under, even though that's my first impulse.
2.2* Phoenix -1.5 Dallas has the pressure off winning game 3, but that is the best they can possibly play. The Suns were off their norm. They still got my vote for Western Conference finalist. Phoenix should play much better. They don't ever seem to have two bad games in a row.
1.1* Miami +2. Miami is another team that plays great defense so that they are usually in every game. Last game was their worst, and the Embiid surprise inspired the 76ers. Philly HAD to win so not to go down 3-0. They still are under pressure to not go down 3-1, but I'll stick by the premise that Miami has the better role players, the better bench, and better D. Lowry should contribute more his 2nd game back.
The totals are so low that it's difficult to play the under, even though that's my first impulse.
Guess I was overdue for a bad day. Road teams in the playoffs are risky.
1.7* Golden St/ Memphis- under 109.5 1H
1.2* Golden St/ Memphis - under 225.5 With Morant out, and him being their point guard and the guy who pushed the tempo, I can see the Grizz depending more on their defense. They will also be more careful handling the ball, using up the 24 second clock. And both of these teams are underrated defensively anyways. Now that the Warriors had they scoring explosion last game, I'd expect more of their norm/ average- which is closer to 100-110. Gonna be physical.
1* Boston +1 This series just looks like a 7 gamer. Tempting to grab the under, but it is too low considering both teams have some pretty good 3 point shooters. Still like the Celtics defense more.
1.7* Golden St/ Memphis- under 109.5 1H
1.2* Golden St/ Memphis - under 225.5 With Morant out, and him being their point guard and the guy who pushed the tempo, I can see the Grizz depending more on their defense. They will also be more careful handling the ball, using up the 24 second clock. And both of these teams are underrated defensively anyways. Now that the Warriors had they scoring explosion last game, I'd expect more of their norm/ average- which is closer to 100-110. Gonna be physical.
1* Boston +1 This series just looks like a 7 gamer. Tempting to grab the under, but it is too low considering both teams have some pretty good 3 point shooters. Still like the Celtics defense more.
"Guess I was overdue for a bad day. Road teams in the playoffs are risky."
Hey Fred, in my opinion, you actually capped the games correctly. The 3 point shot percentage killed us in both games. The Mavs had a record setting day with their 3 point shooting percentage. Meanwhile, Miami couldn't buy a three. I appreciate all the success that you've had in these playoffs. Let's get em tomorrow.
Hey Fred, in my opinion, you actually capped the games correctly. The 3 point shot percentage killed us in both games. The Mavs had a record setting day with their 3 point shooting percentage. Meanwhile, Miami couldn't buy a three. I appreciate all the success that you've had in these playoffs. Let's get em tomorrow.
Monday
2half Milwaukee-1 500units
2half Under 109.5 500units
2half Milwaukee-1 500units
2half Under 109.5 500units
Sweep Monday. Made up for Sunday. On to Tuesday:
1.6* Miami/ Philly - under 108 1H (also about .5 on under 210 -114 for game) Also a little on under 54 1Q. Lowry looks like he's out. He's their main point guard, but with his hamstring, he has been a liability on D. Herro questionable, another guard. Huge game here for Miami as they will be down 3-2 going back to Philly. I think we'll see their best defensive effort. Also, with Lowry likely out, Herro a ?, Miami ball handling takes a hit. Like Memphis without Morant, remaining ball handlers are more careful, less tempo, more time drawn off clock. Then there's Herro and Lowry's shooting; that could be a factor.
2* Phoenix -3 1H (-118)
1.2* Phoenix -6 (-113) The Suns, IMO, are the most consistently solid team in the NBA- for many reasons. I think Dallas is feeling relief at tying the series, possible letdown spot. Phoenix should shoot a lot better Game 5, home crowd, their usually athletic defense.
1.6* Miami/ Philly - under 108 1H (also about .5 on under 210 -114 for game) Also a little on under 54 1Q. Lowry looks like he's out. He's their main point guard, but with his hamstring, he has been a liability on D. Herro questionable, another guard. Huge game here for Miami as they will be down 3-2 going back to Philly. I think we'll see their best defensive effort. Also, with Lowry likely out, Herro a ?, Miami ball handling takes a hit. Like Memphis without Morant, remaining ball handlers are more careful, less tempo, more time drawn off clock. Then there's Herro and Lowry's shooting; that could be a factor.
2* Phoenix -3 1H (-118)
1.2* Phoenix -6 (-113) The Suns, IMO, are the most consistently solid team in the NBA- for many reasons. I think Dallas is feeling relief at tying the series, possible letdown spot. Phoenix should shoot a lot better Game 5, home crowd, their usually athletic defense.
