NBA Playoff Picks

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Wow, Portland covered that 1st QTR with a last second turnover, transition 3 at the buzzer. Won first and 2nd half bets with the Hornets, but lost with the Raptors.

Today: 3-1 (+2.8 units)

Playoffs: 11-4-2 +17.3 units

Not sure if I will make a half-time play here with Clips/Blazers. Over is tempting, but I haven't even seen the number. I just expect the scoring to pick up.
 

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Playoffs so Far: 11-5-2 + 16.2 units

Sunday, April 24

Spurs/Memphis (3rd Qtr) UNDER 48.5 (2 units)
Boston (1st Half) ML (-120) (1 unit)
 

Quitting while you're ahead isn't the same as quit
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Yup weekend tips pretty early in the morning out here:103631605
 

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Under loses :(

11-6-2 + 14 units

Trying to decide what to do for the GSW game. I am leaning UNDER but after watching the Spurs explode for almost 40 in the third, I am having doubts (of course, no one could score at all last night when I had the 2nd half OVER for the Clips)
 

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GS/HOU (First Half) UNDER 110.5 - 2 units

GS -8.5 is tempting (5 Dimes) but reverse line movement, with a large road favorite -- I just can't pull the trigger.
 
Last edited:

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Leaning Cavs as well. But will wait till game time. Celtics/Atlanta game scares me
 

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Well fuck me. They had 48 points (I need a 55 point pace to cover the UNDER FH) with 39 seconds left. Intentional foul, -- a 3 pointer, a 2 pointer, and 40-foot 3 pointer -- now it at 58 and I would need the 2nd QTR to end at 52 to cover. Since Klay can't miss a 3, this is not going to happen.

Today is not going to be my day, I suspect. I have been due for a regression and if this bet loses, which seems likely I will be down 4 units for the day (still up 12 for the playoffs).

If I am smart, I will just stick with my two small 1 unit plays for the rest of the day and minimize the damage. That Harden 3 pointer at the buzzer from 40 feet hurt my soul
 

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In a major slump -- lost 4 in row. So fade me.

Celtics (2nd half) UNDER 52.5 -- 2 units
 

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I am upping my CLE - 6 bet that was 1 unit.

CLE -6 - 2 units

Again, lost 4 in a row, so I may be fade material (after an 11-4 start, I am regressing to the mean).
 

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Wow, I have lost 6 straight after going 11-4. Still up 6 units because I have been winning my big bets. I had the Celtics 2nd half TT UNDER 52.5 and they had 46 but it went to OT. Also lost FH UDNER for GS with a shot with 4 seconds left.

Urgh.

Playoffs:

11-10-5 +6.3 units

Today: 0-5 (-9.9 units)

I need to be more selective (my UNDER bet with GS was made with some reluctance) and chase less often (I doubled my CLE bet from 1 to 2 units, even though I knew I on a slump). Not the worst money management, obviously, because I am up 6 units (all bets are between 1-4 units), but I can do better.
 

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11-11-3 (+4 units)

I have lost 7 in a row.

Tuesday

ATL TT UNDER 103.5 - 2 units
 

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