NBA playoff 'chalk'

CharlieMaxwell · Apr 28, 2004

We are 32 games into the NBA playoffs and favorites stand at 22-10 against the spread (ATS). Will this trend continue?

Get Fezzik's answer by going to the RX home page at www.therx.com

Don't forget, you can now get in-progress scores on all major sports by going to the right navagation bar of the RX home page.

Charlie

[This message was edited by Charlie Maxwell on April 28, 2004 at 03:25 PM.]

TheGeneral+ · Apr 28, 2004

There is gold to be made here in looking at this 22-10 record. The guys handing out these lines are not around to give away money and I assure that fezzik is correct about his theory of a balanced out equation in the end.

winkyduck · Apr 28, 2004

we're 30 games into the post-season and faves are 22-10 is what the article says.

hmmm: 22 + 10 = 32

shouldn't that be we are 32 games into the post-season?

Fezzik · Apr 28, 2004

Yeah, I added in the Tuesday games last minute. Saw that this am.

oldmanTED · Apr 28, 2004

The pretenders are being eliminated easily in Round 1. The real battle begins in Round 2. The Final 8 will provide some quality hoops with some excellent opportunities for value.

Fishhead · Apr 28, 2004

I could have swore I wrote this article.

TheGeneral+ · Apr 28, 2004

Thanks Fezzik & Charlie.

Fishhead · May 3, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>Originally posted by Charlie Maxwell:
We are 32 games into the NBA playoffs and favorites stand at 22-10 against the spread (ATS). Will this trend continue?

Get Fezzik's answer by going to the RX home page at http://www.therx.com

Don't forget, you can now get in-progress scores on all major sports by going to the right navagation bar of the RX home page.

Charlie

[This message was edited by Charlie Maxwell on April 28, 2004 at 03:25 PM.]<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Update--Favs at 4-3 since the Fezzik article, thus making them 26-13 at this point in the playoffs.

Just as is Fezzik, I am personally betting quite HEAVY that this is not going to continue.

There is VERY LITTLE risk at the present time betting the underdogs........and an oppurtunity to profit quite handsomely.

This is a tremendous betting oppurtunity right now and is one of my very top strategies in making money in sportsbetting.

With the somewhat unique money management technique that I employ in a situation like this, I can tell you that I stand to lose very very very little with these underdog plays, or make a fairly sizable profit in the next few weeks.

I rarely talk about this angle in a public forum, but since my good friend Fezzik brought the subject up, thought I would echo his sentiments.

Like he states, if we do lose a tad of our bankroll, hats off to the favorite backers for they would have earned their money the hard way.

The VERY hard way.

Fishhead · May 3, 2004

Remember friends, this is a KEY time of the year to be making sure you get the very BEST number you possibly can on these games.

D2bets · May 3, 2004

Fish, I agree with looking to bet a lot of dogs going forward, but I'm not sure how you can it is very little risk and that you stand to lose very very little or make a sizable profit? I don't think it will, but it's certainly not impossible for the favorite covering trend to continue. If you bet heavy it's always possible to lose heavy.

D2bets · May 3, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>Originally posted by FISHHEAD:
Remember friends, this is a KEY time of the year to be making sure you get the very BEST number you possibly can on these games.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Now that statement I agree 100% with. I will personally guarantee that there will be at least one, probaby more, game this round that will be decided right at or around the pointspread with winners on both sides. Might start tonight so I'm holding out for NJ +6.5.

OMNIVOROUS FROG · May 4, 2004

Greeting D2bets, in my observations if a team wins game 1 at home and covers, the spread does not go up, it comes down. Mostly from switch players and dog buyers. Spurs closed at 5 1/2, game 2, they are 4. Pistons closed 5 1/2, next game, opener 5. If anything results make the number move opposite way of result. Had Pistons lost I think you would see a 6 1/2. Of course with the 2004 Hush Puppy Syndrome, there is enough chalk money to push any fave up. Still, once past first round, results normally opposite of movement. Best Wishes...OF

TheGeneral+ · May 4, 2004

Sacramento had to help many.

Horseshoe · May 4, 2004

General, I doubt it helped any large sharpie joints?

TheGeneral+ · May 5, 2004

If one needed a dog, then they were helped.

Fishhead · May 5, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>Originally posted by The General:
If one needed a dog, then they were helped.

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Yes, it helped.

Didnt cure all, but it helped.

Fezzik · May 5, 2004

I will be on the Lakers for the first time in a long, long time tonight. 1st quarter +1.5, at reduced vig.

Moon88 · May 5, 2004

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote">quote:<HR>Originally posted by Fezzik:
I will be on the Lakers for the first time in a long, long time tonight. 1st quarter +1.5, at reduced vig.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

at the moment wwts has lakers +1.5ev

Fishhead · May 7, 2004

The beat goes on............

Playoff FAVS now 30-14!

D2bets · May 7, 2004

I think it's safe to say that dogs will not catch up to favs during the playoffs. I remember we all thought it'd turn around after being 20-9. 10-5 later it hasn't!

Nonetheless if tonight's line steams to where I can get Jersey +7 I'll go ahead and play the fool once again.