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Preview: Lakers-Mavericks should have playoff atmosphere
By Dave McMenamin, NBA.com
Posted Mar 14 2009 11:35AM
LOS ANGELES -- The league's last two regular-season MVPs -- the Mavericks' Dirk Nowitzki and the Lakers' Kobe Bryant -- go head to head Sunday (3:30 ET, ABC) in a battle that should have the feel of something more than just a regular-season game.<!-- START 'inlineAds : default' FILE: /.element/ssi/story/1.0/news/.branding/default/inlineAds.html -->
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<!-- FINISH 'inlineAds' -->The Lakers, winners of seven out of their last 10 including two in a row on the road against Houston and San Antonio, are tied with Cleveland for the league's best record, so going 3-0 on the season against Dallas remains an important task.
The Mavericks, who have also won seven of 10, probably punched their playoff ticket by beating Phoenix last week, but would love to improve their postseason position. The Mavs are currently the eighth seed, but trail the No. 3 seeded Rockets by just 2 1/2 games.
L.A., fighting for the right for home court throughout the playoffs, get's a rare home respite down the stretch. Nine of the Lakers' final 17 games are on the road.
A Look at the Numbers
Los Angeles Lakers: 52-13 (29-4 at home), First in West
Pace: 94.6 possessions/game (5th)
Offense: 113.8 points scored per 100 possessions (1st)
Defense: 105.5 points allowed per 100 possessions (6th)
Dallas Mavericks: 40-26 (16-18 on the road), Eighth in West
Pace: 91.7 possessions/game (15th)
Offense: 109.6 points scored per 100 possessions (8th)
Defense: 107.8 points allowed per 100 possessions (15th)
Previous Meetings
Nov. 11 -- American Airlines Center -
L.A. Lakers 106, Dallas 99
Nov. 28 -- Staples Center -
L.A. Lakers 114, Dallas 107
Five Questions
1. Will this be a first-round playoff preview?
In a word: probably. The Lakers have the No. 1 seed in the West all but locked up with an 8 1/2-game lead over San Antonio with just a month to play. Only 2 1/2 games separate Dallas from the teams seeded Nos. 3-7 in the West (Houston, Utah, New Orleans, Portland and Denver in that order) but you can forget the Mavs catching the Rockets, Jazz or Hornets, who are all playing their best basketball of the season right now.
If Dallas is to move up to the No. 6 or 7 seed, it would have to be by catching Portland, which is without rookie contributors Greg Oden and Rudy Fernandez, or Denver, which is just 4-6 in its last 10 and seems to have abandoned the defensive intensity that had turned the franchise around this year.
The bright side of a Lakers-Mavericks first-round matchup for Dallas fans is the chance for redemption for the Mavs' historic first-round playoff exit in 2007. Back then, the Mavericks were the No. 1 seed and the Warriors were the No. 8 seed making the upset bid. This time, Dallas would be playing the role of Cinderella.
2. What kind of impact will injuries have on the game?
On Friday, the Mavericks lost to the 23-42 Warriors in Golden State 119-110, partially because it was missing Devean George (right knee cartilage injury) and Josh Howard (sore left ankle). Dallas might be better off without George on Sunday, especially since Bryant hit eight of his last 11 shots en route to 35 points the last time the former teammates collided. The former All-Star Howard's 18.0 points and 4.9 rebounds per game averages will be missed, however, as Antoine Wright is a decided downgrade in the starting forward position opposite Nowitzki.
Meanwhile, the Lakers continue to play without the services of Andrew Bynum, who is out with a tear of the medial collateral ligament in his right knee. Bynum had 11 points, 10 rebounds and three blocks and 18, 10 and two in his two games against Dallas in November. The 21-year-old center is rehabbing on schedule and was reported as running on a treadmill last week. He is expected back on the court in April.
3. Can Dallas win a big game on the road?
The Mavericks are just 16-18 away from American Airlines Center this season, making them one of the four probable playoff teams in the West with a sub .500 road record. (Houston, Utah and Portland are the others.)
"We haven't been good basically on the road all season long," Nowitzki said. Indeed, they haven't. Dallas has already dropped games on the road to the Clippers, Grizzlies, Thunder and Kings -- four of the five teams in the West that have already been eliminated from postseason contention.
The Mavericks started off their current four-game road trip with wins in Portland and Phoenix before dropping the Golden State game.
4. How good is Kobe Bryant playing right now?
In the last week or so, LeBron James' triple-doubles and Dwyane Wade's 40-point performances may have stolen all of the MVP spotlight from Bryant, but don't sleep on the season that the Mamba is having. Bryant is as efficient as he's ever been with his 47.4 field goal percentage registering as the highest of his 13-year career and his 86.8 percent from the free throw line is tied with the 2006-07 season as his most accurate season ever.
Bryant is dialed in right now, scoring 31 of his 37 points in the second half against the Rockets to erase a double-digit deficit and then, a night later against the Spurs, scoring 14 of his 23 points in the first half to help the Lakers forge a double-digit lead.
The number that should really delight Lakers' fans is Bryant's measly 36.3 minutes per game, the lowest he's had since he came off the bench in his second year. Bryant has been able to not play at all in the fourth quarter of nine of the Lakers' games this season thanks to large L.A. leads. Every minute of rest should add up as Bryant is coming off that extended Finals and Olympics run last summer that swallowed up any chance for offseason rest.
5. Is it better to come off a win or a loss?
The Lakers are 41-10 this season in the next game following a win while the Mavericks are 16-7 in the next game following a loss. So, while the Mavericks' bounce-back ability is respectable, L.A. is far more likely to continue its winning streak on Sunday than Dallas is to snap its losing ways.
Despite the evidence, the Mavs remain optimistic.
"Every day in the NBA you can look at it one of two ways," Mavs coach Rick Carlisle said. "You can look at it as miserably tough or an incredible opportunity. I'm a positive, upbeat person, so I view everything as an opportunity."