NBA News/Injuries/etc. (3/11/09)

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hacheman@therx.com
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For those not aware yet........



<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>League suspends Lamar Odom for one game </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Lamar Odom - F - LAK - Mar. 10 </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Lamar Odom has been suspended for one game for leaving the immediate vicinity of the bench during Monday's altercation in Portland.
Odom will not play when the Lakers face the Rockets on Wednesday. The league has been consistent with their strict application of the "don't leave the bench" rule, so this isn't too surprising. Expect Trevor Ariza and Josh Powell to play more minutes on Wednesday.
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Bargnani a game-time decision versus Sixers </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Andrea Bargnani - F/C - TOR - Mar. 11</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Fan 590 in Toronto reports that Andrea Bargnani is a game-time decision for Wednesday due to flu-like symptoms.
The Raptors' matchup with the Sixers begins at 7 p.m. Eastern, so hopefully a more definitive report will surface on Bargnani's status prior to tipoff.
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hacheman@therx.com
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Turkoglu a game-time call for Wednesday night </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Hedo Turkoglu - G/F - ORL - Mar. 11

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Hedo Turkoglu (left Achilles' tendinitis) is a game-time decision for Wednesday night's matchup with the Bulls.
Turkoglu didn't do a lot at Wednesday's shootaround, but plans to test the ankle prior to tipoff. Mickael Pietrus is a likely candidate to start if Turkoglu can't go.
Source: Orlando Sentinel
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hacheman@therx.com
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Rasheed Wallace to miss at least two games </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Rasheed Wallace - F/C - DET - Mar. 11

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Rasheed Wallace will miss Wednesday and Friday's games due to a strained left calf.
He's expected to be reevaluated after Friday's game, at which point his availability for Sunday's matchup with Memphis should become clear. Jason Maxiell will reportedly get the start in his place on Wednesday.
Source: Detroit News
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Welcome Back?
My man Matt Stroup will be chatting hoops this week, but it won't happen until Thursday afternoon. That move could be permanent until the end of the season, so look for him on Thursday afternoons instead of Wednesdays from here on out.

Last night saw the return of Chris Kaman, as well as plenty of other surprises from the Clippers – including a near win over LeBron James and the Cavaliers. As usual, there's a ton of injury information in today's Dose, along with highlights from Tuesday night's action.

Welcome Back?

Chris Kaman finally returned from a foot injury last night and even started, logging almost 30 minutes. He hit just 3-of-11 shots and finished with six points and four rebounds, but the fact he started and got solid minutes is fairly encouraging if you picked him up. Maybe he'll go on a late-season romp and help you win your league. Then again, the Clippers have had no luck and Kaman hasn't looked effective since last season. But if he's available in your league, grab him.

Marcus Camby made a surprise appearance last night and had eight points and seven rebounds. He didn't block a shot, but the fact he played despite all the recent drama surrounding his ruptured eardrum is a great sign. However, he's still a leading candidate for being shut down early. Baron Davis returned from his hamstring injury and finished with 12 points and six assists, while Zach Randolph started and had 20 points and 12 boards. Amazingly, the Clippers were set to beat the Cavaliers last night until getting outscored 35-16 in the fourth quarter to lose by four.

LeBron James posted his second straight triple-double with 32 points, 13 boards and 11 assists, while Delonte West completely disappeared with just two points, two assists and one steal. The good news is he isn't hurt, as far as we know.

Thunder Win In Green's Return

Jeff Green returned to action for the Thunder last night, finishing with 22 points, six rebounds and seven turnovers. Despite the turns, he looked pretty good and should be ready to finish the season after missing a few games with a back injury. Nenad Krstic was nice again, finishing with nine points, 15 boards and three blocks. It took some time, but he's definitely paying off for owners these days. And so is Thabo Sefolosha, who had 17 points, seven boards and five steals last night as the Thunder beat the Kings. Nick Collison was a surprise DNP with a groin injury, which has to be frustrating if you rolled the dice on him this week. Mr. Durant is still hoping to play this weekend. We'll see.

Kevin Martin tweaked his left ankle in last night's loss and sat out the entire fourth quarter. That's the tricky thing about owning players on really bad teams right now. It won't take much to make them sit out, although Martin is listed as day-to-day. Andres Nocioni started again and scored 16 points, but struggled from downtown. Most of his damage was done in the first half. Spencer Hawes is also paying dividends again, finishing with 20 points and 10 rebounds in the loss.

Howard Could Be Out For March

Josh Howard could miss the rest of the month with his ankle injury, although the Mavs are still listing him as day-to-day. Someone emailed me last week and accused me of being irresponsible for causing unnecessary panic for the owners of three players; Howard, Luol Deng and Kevin Durant. Hmmm. Howard could be out for three weeks after returning to play one and a half games on a left ankle that already kept him out for 11 games earlier this season, Deng has been shut down for two weeks and could be done for the year, and Durant has now missed six full games (and most of a seventh) with an ankle injury. Yeah, I was preaching doom and gloom on these guys as soon as they went down, but there was a reason for it.

Anyway, in Howard's absence last night, Jose Juan Barea started at shooting guard and had 16 points, three boards and four assists. Here we go again. I have no idea if Rick Carlisle is going to stick with him this time, while Antoine Wright, who slid over to SF, is just as intriguing. Pick either player up if you're waiver wire is thin, but don't expect to be able to rely on either of them on a daily basis. Dirk Nowitzki also had a big night that included 34 points.

The Mavericks beat the Suns, despite Shaquille O'Neal hitting 9-of-10 shots for 21 points and eight boards. Matt Barnes stayed hot with 21 points and seven boards, and has proven to be an excellent pick up after averaging 16 points over his last five games. Steve Nash scored 23 points and added 13 dimes in the loss. Speaking of Nash, he has now scored at least 20 points in six straight games. While that doesn't seem like a big deal, it's the first time he's ever done so in his career.

Duhon Struggles As Hughes, Lil' Nate Go Off

Chris Duhon scored just five points in 32 minutes last night as the Knicks beat the Bucks. It could be his ankle, his back or just the fact that he's out of gas, but Duhon is no longer a must-start. Another guy who didn't look like a must-start was Larry Hughes, who went off for a season-high 39 points to go along with six boards, four steals and five 3-pointers. Wow. Hughes had scored just 11 and 13 points in his previous two games, so I'm guessing he was on several fantasy benches last night, which is just too bad. Hughes is also averaging 2.7 steals and 2.8 threes over his last six games. Nate Robinson had a big fourth quarter to finish with 32 points, seven assists and four steals, but hit just one 3-pointer. David Lee also looked great despite a sore knee, racking up 19 points, 18 boards and a block two games after seeing his double-double streak end.

The Bucks got 32 points out of Charlie Villanueva and 22 out of Ramon Sessions, but Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, who had been playing well coming in, had just two points, four boards and two assists in the loss.
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Deron Struggles In Win Over Pacers

Deron Williams hit just 1-of-9 shots for five points in a win over the Pacers, but did add 12 assists as the Jazz got their 12th straight victory. Ronnie Brewer was solid again with 18 points and five steals, while Carlos Boozer actually played through his sprained ankle to finish with 11 points and seven boards. If Brewer is available in your league, pick him up. The Jazz play five games in Week 23. Roy Hibbert returned from a personal absence and had 12 points and five blocks for the Pacers. He's still not consistent enough to be used every day, but keep an eye on him.

Injury News and Notes

Odom, Rudy Out

Lamar Odom was suspended for one game for coming off the bench in Monday's mini-altercation after Rudy Fernandez was put on a stretcher by Trevor Ariza – who will not be suspended. Odom is out tonight's game at Houston, while Rudy is not likely to play for the Blazers tonight against Dallas with a chest injury. In addition, Steve Blake has a sore right hand that could impact his ability to shoot in the near future, but it sounds like he will play against the Mavs. Jerryd Bayless will be a game-time decision for the Blazers tonight with the flu.

Beli-Nellied

Marco Belinelli, who had been playing well and looked like a pretty good pick up, is doubtful tonight when the Warriors host the Nets because of a toe injury. Of bigger concern is what the return of Monta Ellis means for Jamal Crawford. There is all kinds of talk about Crawford coming off the bench with Corey Maggette so that Ellis can start at point guard. Honestly, I have no idea what will happen here, and am glad that I don't own any of them so I don't have to worry about it. In any case, it does sound like Ellis will play tonight and Nellie says he's only going to play him at point guard, which is obviously bad news for Crawford. But as you all know by now, Nellie reserves the right to change his mind whenever he wants, so just sit back and see what happens here before panicking. Andris Biedrins should return to action tonight after a two-game personal leave, but Ronny Turiaf is now iffy with a sore left knee. I think he'll play.

Marvin Done?

Marvin Williams' back injury sounds pretty serious and there's a lot of talk in the ATL that he might be done for the year. We should know within in the next week, but if you want to cut him to get a healthy and productive player, do it. Flip Murray looks like a nice replacement, while Maurice Evans should have some big games as a starter for the Hawks.

Granger Danger

Danny Granger (foot/knee) should play again this season and would like for it to happen on either Friday or Saturday of this week. I got an email yesterday from someone thinking about trading Dirk Nowitzki to get Granger, which is a pretty terrible idea for the Dirk owner. Granger may come back and play a few games, but I still maintain that he will shut it down once the Pacers are officially out of the playoff race. Hopefully though, Granger returns this weekend and you'll be able to play him with confidence next week. We'll see.

Tidbits

Detroit's Rasheed Wallace could miss tonight's game against the Knicks with a calf injury.

Boston's Eddie House should start against the Heat in place of Rajon Rondo (out with ankle injury).

Hedo Turkoglu remains iffy for tonight's trip to Chicago with an Achilles' injury.

Rodney Carney (groin) and Randy Foye (ankle) are both out for Minnesota's meeting with Memphis, and both sound very iffy for Friday against the Knicks.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Durant out Wednesday, but closer to playing </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Kevin Durant - G/F - OKC - Mar. 11

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Kevin Durant's ankle injury will keep him out for Wednesday's game at Denver, and he is now hoping to play either Saturday or Monday.
Tonight will be his seventh straight miss and it doesn't sound like a lock for Saturday, either. Maybe he will be ready to go on Monday against the Spurs, but we have still gotten no details of how the ankle has responded when he's worked out, or if he has even attempted to work out.
Source: Oklahoman
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Oden's knee better, could be close to return </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Greg Oden - C - POR - Mar. 11 </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Greg Oden, who will miss his 12th straight game on Wednesday, is showing improvement in his left knee and could be close to playing again.
Oden had fantastic workouts on Tuesday and Wednesday morning and said he feels good for the first time since the injury. "He's getting close," an unnamed source said. He's been ruled out for Friday against New Jersey, but will travel on the upcoming road trip that starts Sunday in Atlanta.
Source: The Oregonian
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Ginobili could return to action next week </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Manu Ginobili - G - SA - Mar. 11 </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Manu Ginobili (stress reaction in right ankle) was taking jump shots at the Spurs practice facility on Wednesday, and is at least a week away from returning to action.
It's possible that it will take him slightly longer than a week. Source: San Antonio Express-News
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hacheman@therx.com
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<TABLE width="100%" align=center><TBODY><TR><TD class=vaLabel vAlign=top align=middle width=100 rowSpan=5> </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=subHead vAlign=top colSpan=3>Bargnani a game-time decision versus Sixers </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=vaLabel colSpan=3>Andrea Bargnani - F/C - TOR - Mar. 11 </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top colSpan=3>Fan 590 in Toronto reports that Andrea Bargnani is a game-time decision for Wednesday due to flu-like symptoms.
The Raptors' matchup with the Sixers begins at 7 p.m. Eastern, so hopefully a more definitive report will surface on Bargnani's status prior to tipoff.
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Rudy Fernandez - G - Trail Blazers

Rudy Fernandez will not play Wednesday due to injuries suffered in Monday's game when he was fouled by Trevor Ariza, but Jerryd Bayless will.
Bayless, who was iffy for tonight with the flu, is feeling better and will be available. Fernandez suffered a hip and chest injury, and is very sore. No word on how long he will be out for, but it doesn't sound likely he'll play in the next couple games. Mar. 11
Source: The Oregonian
 

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Kenyon Martin - F - Nuggets

Kenyon Martin (back) is doubtful for Wednesday night's game against the Thunder.
Martin came back from a three-game absence on Monday, but clearly appears to have rushed his return. There's no official word on how long he'll be out, but he could easily miss a few games while the injury heals. Mar. 11
Source: Denver Post
 

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Fanasy Related But Great Info.......




This Player Will Self-Destruct
At this time of the season, there's one thing many of us fear more than anything else. And no, I'm not referring to a Sasquatch attack, which is obviously the scariest thing on the planet. I'm referring to that awful, seemingly inevitable early termination of NBA players' seasons due to one or more nagging but not terribly serious injuries.

Most commonly, we refer to this phenomenon as a shutdown.

Perhaps it bothers us because the term "shutdown" sounds so grave and ominous, but for whatever reason, it seems that many of us would rather see a player's knee explode in a freak blaze of glory than see him given an early start to the offseason.

In many ways, that rationale makes sense. It's deeply frustrating to see a productive player end his season early simply because his team is out of the playoff hunt, and it's undoubtedly irritating to know that someone's resting to help his team secure better chances in the draft lottery when he should be focused on the more important task of helping your team win a league title.

One other significant reason we fear the shutdown is that unlike the freak ACL tear – which could happen to anyone at any time – the shutdown is a more far-flung epidemic that inevitably affects the outcome of fantasy leagues on an annual basis. And make no mistake, it will happen to a slew of important players in the four-plus weeks that remain in the regular season.

Last week, I briefly discussed a list of shutdown candidates, but this week, it's time to elevate the discussion to another level. Here's a closer look at the players who are most at risk:

Shutdown candidate: Vince Carter
Chances of shutdown: 57 percent
Estimated shutdown date: April 3

First off, let me say that the percent chances of shutdown and estimated shutdown dates have not been generated by extensive tests featuring lab rats or via well-trained chimpanzees wearing helmets and punching numbers into computers. They are largely there to give this thing an official feel (why? Because official sounding information is enjoyable) and to give you a sense of my hunch as to what will happen. If any of these dates actually ends up being right, I'll take as much credit as is humanly possible, but this is my official disclaimer that several of them will undoubtedly be wrong.

As for Vince, the only things he has working against him are a troublesome shooting elbow, an injured knee and the fact that the Nets are said to be very eager to unload his contract this summer. The combination of multiple injuries and not being in the team's future plans conspires strongly toward an early end to his season.

The one thing still working in Carter's favor is that as of Wednesday, the Nets were 10th in the East, just half a game behind Chicago for the eighth and final playoff spot. As long as the team is out there scrapping for that eight seed, expect Carter to be there as well. But once elimination becomes a reality, Vince will probably be terminated once and for all (that sounds grim, but you get the point).

A reminder: For exclusive stat projections, top 250 rankings and more, check out Rotoworld's Season Pass, now available for just $4.99.

Shutdown candidate: Marcus Camby
Chances of shutdown: 65 percent
Estimated shutdown date: March 26

The fact that Camby came back to play on Tuesday is obviously good news, but given that he's been dealing with migraines, fluid in his head, equilibrium problems and a 15-49 record does not instill confidence that he'll be active at season's end. I see him continuing to make a valiant effort for a couple weeks, then ultimately ceasing and desisting until 2009-10.

As for Camby's teammates, I am concerned about Baron Davis and Zach Randolph calling it quits early as well. Both are currently out there playing, but Davis has recently dealt with a hamstring problem, and regardless of what ailment could surface in the coming weeks, I just don't see either one gutting it out for a dreadful team in the last couple weeks of a lost season. Estimated termination date: April 2.

Shutdown candidate: Chris Bosh
Chances of shutdown: 72 percent
Estimated shutdown date: March 30

Yes, I said it: 72 percent. Why? In case you hadn't noticed, the Raptors are the East's second-worst team with very little chance of a playoff spot. Furthermore, Bosh has dealt with knee trouble this season and has a lot of mileage after playing in the Olympics last summer. Quite simply, he needs a rest, and the Raptors have no compelling reason not to give him one.

For additional perspective, last Thursday, Doug Smith of the Toronto Star discussed the possibility of Bosh and Jose Calderon getting shut down early. Smith wrote, "I can't see [the Raptors] even thinking about [a shutdown] until they're eight games into this 11 game stretch so you can put that right out of your mind."

For the record, the Raptors lost the first two games of that 11-game stretch, and eight games into that stretch would be March 23. This is not to say that Bosh is going to suddenly combust like the drummer from This Is Spinal Tap that morning, but the bottom line is that the Raptors' slim playoff chances are dwindling all too swiftly.

And while we're keeping tabs on Raptors, I would also be a bit concerned about a Calderon shutdown (remember, he played in the Olympics also), but I see him as less of a risk than Bosh. I will somewhat arbitrarily estimate his shutdown chances at 44 percent.

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Shutdown candidate: Caron Butler
Chances of shutdown: 74 percent
Estimated shutdown date: April 3

Perhaps I'm being generous by placing Butler's shutdown date just five games prior to the end of the regular season, but there have been reports about how he wants to be out on the court regardless of the team's record, and in this case, I actually do believe what I read.

However, the truth of the matter is that at some point it may get taken out of Butler's hands. If he's got nagging injuries (which is a very real possibility), the team may essentially force him to sit, and I can easily envision him missing the final eight games or so.

As for Antawn Jamison, I'm slightly less concerned about him than Butler, but only slightly. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see both veterans miss the last couple weeks of the season.

Shutdown candidate: Kevin Martin
Chances of shutdown: 68 percent
Estimated shutdown date: April 4

Martin's sprained ankle from earlier this season hasn't fully healed, and he sat out the fourth quarter on Tuesday, reportedly due to stiffness in that very same ankle. Given the Kings' miserable 14-50 record (currently worst in the league), this news should trigger a rather solid red flag.

I'm not saying Martin won't come back from this current manifestation of ankle trouble, because there's every reason to think he'll be out there for the team's next game. However, there's absolutely no incentive for Martin and the Kings to keep putting miles on a chronically troublesome ankle in meaningless games a few weeks down the road.

Shutdown candidate: Allen Iverson
Chances of shutdown: 82 percent
Estimated shutdown date: May have already passed

The Pistons are saying that they want him back on the court, and Iverson is saying the right things about being willing to come off the bench. However, based on a very simple and logical assessment of the situation, I don't see any compelling reason why we'd see A.I. on the court again this season.

Consider the facts: Detroit has won five of its last six games without Iverson, including two wins over Orlando and one over Boston. Rodney Stuckey (15.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.8 apg, 1.3 spg in his last six games) and Richard Hamilton (24.7 ppg, 6.7 apg) look rejuvenated with no Iverson to poach touches and shots. Furthermore, A.I. is a free agent at season's end and the team will almost assuredly let him walk. What conceivable reason do the Pistons have to bring him back in 2008-09?

In sum, even though the Pistons and Iverson are saying the right things, logic forces me to counter with a sizable dollop of skepticism. I'm not saying it's time to outright drop Iverson yet, but it is time to be aware that logic dictates ending his season now.

Shutdown candidate(s): Steve Nash/Shaquille O'Neal
Chances of shutdown: 35 percent
Estimated shutdown date: April 9

I don't want to blow the Phoenix situation out of proportion, but the Suns are currently five games out of the West's final playoff spot, and given Nash and Shaq's ages and injury histories, at some point the Suns will probably toss in the proverbial white towel if and when they're eliminated. Both should be good to go for at least a few more weeks, but I could see them sitting out the final five games of the season or so.

Shutdown candidate: Danny Granger
Chances of shutdown: 49 percent
Estimated shutdown date: April 6

As we all know, Granger is slated to return to action sometime this weekend, and it's also common knowledge that the Pacers are still somewhat in the playoff hunt (they're just two games behind the Bulls entering Wednesday, but would also have to surpass Milwaukee, New Jersey and Charlotte to secure the eight seed).

That the Pacers are in the hunt is good news for Granger, who presumably got the chance to rest his troublesome knee while he was rehabilitating the torn tendon in his foot. Granger, much like Caron Butler, is what the kids commonly refer to as a "gamer," and all signs indicate he wants to be out there badly. So as long as Indiana is in the playoff race, Granger should continue to play (and post top-10 numbers). I do concede that once the team is eliminated, there's not much reason for the Pacers to run their franchise player into the ground. But at least for the moment, there's hope.

And at this current juncture, I suppose hope is all that most of us really have. The trade deadline has already passed in many leagues, and if you happen to play in one of those leagues, you're stuck with the uncertain countdown surrounding your shutdown-prone stars.

If you're truly concerned and want to be proactive, you can always preemptively scoop up the likes of Jarvis Hayes, DeAndre Jordan, Joey Graham, Nick Young, Robin Lopez, Leandro Barbosa, Francisco Garcia and Marquis Daniels (though the latter three are probably not available in most leagues).

Failing that approach, the remaining alternatives are simple:

1) Panic, begin screaming and throw the remaining half of your turkey pastrami sandwich against the wall;

2) Hope that my estimates prove to be woefully inaccurate (which is certainly a possibility).
 

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