NBA historical playoff data...

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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Some of the historical data that I have broken down at my home forum which helped me (us) nail that EASY Dallas win last night (and others)...

I am also looking at ATS data for today for Teams that won Games 3 & 4 at Home to see what they did in Game 5 going back to 1990-91 (since a few of today's games fit that criteria)...


Checking on Swede's hypothesis that the Teams that have at least 10 more wins than their opponents cover the spread in Game 1 of Round 1, I found the following data (all are ATS):

2004-05: 4-0
2003-04: 3-1
2002-03: 2-1
2001-02: 1-2
2000-01: 0-2
1999-00: 1-2
1998-99: 1-0
1997-98: 3-3
1996-97: 2-2
1995-96: 5-0
1994-95: 5-1
1993-94: 3-1
1992-93: 3-2
1991-92: 3-2
1990-91: 1-2-1
1989-90: 3-3
1988-89: 1-3
1987-88: 1-2-1
1986-87: 4-1
1985-86: 3-1-1

last 20 years: 49-31-3 ATS, 61.25%

2005-06: 3-1 ATS

more to come...<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Checking on brewers7's hypothesis that the Teams that have a 3-0 series lead will close out the series with a sweep in Game 4, I found the following data (SU & ATS):

2004-05: 3-1 SU & ATS
2003-04: 3-0 SU & ATS
2002-03: 2-1 SU & ATS
2001-02: 1-0 SU & ATS
2000-01: 2-1 SU & ATS
1999-00: 0-2 SU & ATS
1998-99: 4-0 SU & ATS
1997-98: 1-0 SU & ATS
1996-97: 0-1 SU & ATS
1995-96: 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS
1994-95: 1-0 SU & ATS
1993-94: 0-1 SU & 1-0 ATS
1992-93: 1-0 SU & ATS
1991-92: 0-0
1990-91: 1-0 SU & ATS
1989-90: 0-0
1988-89: 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
1987-88: 0-0
1986-87: 1-1 SU & ATS
1985-86: 1-1 SU & ATS

last 20 years: 27-10 SU, 72.97% & 26-11 ATS, 70.27%

2005-06: 1-0 SU & ATS

more to come...
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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Checking on Swede's hypothesis that Elimination games go Under, I found the following data (all are ATS):

2004-05: 13-7 to the Under
2003-04: 10-8 to the Under
2002-03: 9-14-1 to the Under
2001-02: 9-10-3 to the Under
2000-01: 7-16-1 to the Under
1999-00: 18-11-1 to the Under
1998-99: 13-7-1 to the Under
1997-98: 17-6 to the Under
1996-97: 13-12 to the Under
1995-96: 10-13-2 to the Under
1994-95: 10-12 to the Under
1993-94: 16-11-1 to the Under
1992-93: 12-10-2 to the Under
1991-92: 11-11 to the Under

last 14 years: 168-148-12 to the Under, 53.16%

2005-06: 2-0 to the Under
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Pump n Dump
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Enjoy your posts. Thanks for posting your info/trends, Brewers.

:drink:
 

EV Whore
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brewers7 said:
I am also looking at ATS data for today for Teams that won Games 3 & 4 at Home to see what they did in Game 5 going back to 1990-91 (since a few of today's games fit that criteria)...
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

Is this coming?
Thanks
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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HarryCaray said:
Is this coming?
Thanks

I did post it at my home base...

The ATS results for Game 5 when the Home team wins the first 4 games of a series going back 15 seasons...

Give me a few minutes and I'll copy-and-paste it here in a bit...
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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almost forgot to post this...

Going back to the 1990-91 season (15 seasons), I am seeing 8-13-1 ATS for the Home team after winning the first 2 games, losing the next 2, and then playing Game 5 at Home...1-7-1 ATS the last 9...

That is the spot Miami and SA are in tonight...
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EV Whore
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brewers7 said:
almost forgot to post this...

Going back to the 1990-91 season (15 seasons), I am seeing 8-13-1 ATS for the Home team after winning the first 2 games, losing the next 2, and then playing Game 5 at Home...1-7-1 ATS the last 9...

That is the spot Miami and SA are in tonight...
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

Thanks...already on Chicago and Sacramento, now I feel better about it :drink:
 

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