Nba - Halves

[powerz]

I'll be back later this after noon with sme plays but wanted to get this out there for opinions....

Char/Det U175.5 - why is this line so low I have seen a couple of excellent NBA cappers both grab this over, but the line is not really moving off it's opening number of 175.5. I use a formula that calcs lines and the projection for this total is 186. So the descrepancy makes me think contrarian and I think this goes under.

Char - L10 avg 188 L5 avg 203
Det - L10 avg 177 L5 avg 178 - Note the total is under all avg's

Char Road Off 29th Det home Def 12th
Det home Off 23 Char road def 7th - Aha maybe this why

H2H in det 3-1 Over - this line is 5 points lower than any other h2h match ups.

I have another game that is off....

ATL/PHX O214 - Okay using the same method this line should be 202.

ATL L10 Avgs 201 L5 200
Phx L10 Avgs 211 L5 210 - Note avgs all inder total

Atl road off 15 vs phx home def 24
phx home off 8 vs Atl road def 11

H2H in phx 2-0 Over.....

I think I will be on the side lines here for these game but just wanted to give some food for thought will be back closer to game time with some plays.

 

[poopah]

The line is low cause the pistons have been playing without their 2 top offensive players the last to weeks and going under a lot. hamilton is supposed to be back and wallace is back. I don't even remember the last time charlotte at detroit fell under 175. Either play the over or nothing at all, no value on the under.

 

[powerz]

Poopah - Thanks for the input & that is exactly my point the over seems too obvious with this line.

The line is lower than even current performance with out those stars. with those guys back in I thnk it hurts the over more than helps they wont be on spot until they have few games under their belt.

Like I said dont think I'll play it but I would also lay off the over

GL

 

[finite]

I think either over or Bobcat team total are in order. Bobcats are playing off 2 days rest and after this game they have 3 days off. Brown is very logical. In this rest spot with Detroit bothered by a look a head to Indiana the next day, he will tell the Bobcats to start running and never stop. Bobcats got sat on by Detroit at home where they were always on bad rest and are just not a good home team now the game is away where they are much better and where Detroit is just Bad and Larry is certainly more than willing to seriously try to nail his ex team. GL

 

[poopah]

the last 4 times charlotte has gone to detroit the total has gone over, way over, too good to be true line usually don't apply to over unders. THis is not even a layoff, this is an over bet, if it don't come in then it don't come in, but this will either go way over, or barely go under. you have to take a shot.they have averaged over 195 the last 4 times in detroit and every game went to at least 187. this is also the time of the year where scoring starts to increase.

 

[powerz]

Charlottes road defence 3rd q 6th and 4th q 2nd

 

[powerz]

NO first half plays today....will pop in and out with some 2nd half plays....

if you have been following along hit two nice second halves +6* the last two days so going to press this bet a bit


GAME PLAY - BOBCATS +7 4*

 

[finite]

BOL on this myself.

 

[CrzYPLaYer]

got under 75.5, lets go defense!

 

[CrzYPLaYer]

i think the over is dead for 1st half...hope they dont score more than 87 points

 

[powerz]

1 unit pistons u86.....2nd half

 

[CrzYPLaYer]

gL. Lets get this! got 86.5

 

[powerz]

Sac/Orl U205.5 2*

 

[VenomousSanction]

nice night so far P...

 

[CrzYPLaYer]

Nice Hit on the under!....but we have a problem with the sac game, i took sac over 1st half

 

[powerz]

Oh-oh crazyplayer good luck


Adding Suns O108.5 1* 2nd half

 

[artiesliver]

GL powerz, riding your tails on this one.

 

[powerz]

going to need ot in the desert I think


Sac U100.5 2nd half 2* get my money back on a horrible call nice hit for you though crazy

 

[CrzYPLaYer]

thanks powerz, orl went crzy with the 3pointers. have a weird feeling on the under...it ranges from 100.5 to 102.5....maybe another shootout 2h?