NBA 2016 Finals: Game 1 Total

[Biz]

From an opening of 210 its been bet down to 208.

From the NBA Trends Thread:
Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Golden State.
Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 versus Eastern Conference opponents.
Despite their potent offenses, the under has gone 38-26 (59.4%) in Warriors and/or Cavs playoff games over the past two years.

Here is a trend for the other side.

Play OVER:
Home Favorite that won their previous game scoring at least 6 points less than expected (Delta Points Scored).

This is calculated by taking the last game's spread and total. Total was 219, spread was -7. The expected score would have been 113-106 Dubs. Adds up to 219 and Dubs winning by 7. Dubs scored 96. That is 17 points fewer than expected.

Since 2010:
OVER: 26-8 and 15-19 ATS. If 1st game of a series, the Over is 9-2 and the favorite is 3-8 ATS.

 

[varkeyboy]

So u on the OVER or UNDER? Lol.

 

[Biz]

The Over, you didn't get that?

 

[varkeyboy]

The Over, you didn't get that?

Ok sounds good.

Total went down from 210 to 208. I like the value now.

 

[Biz]

Could be because of the refs, some are slanted to the Under. Or the recent Under trends between these 2 teams.

 

[varkeyboy]

Could be because of the refs, some are slanted to the Under. Or the recent Under trends between these 2 teams.

I see. Just think these two offenses explode and try to show each other up tonight......plenty of offense all over the place.

 

[Coldweather]

Over and out! Basketball money!cheersgif

 

[RDTrains]

The market-setting Pinnacle sportsbook opened the Game 1 over/under at 210, which represents the highest NBA Finals total in Sports Insights database. It also comes in stark contrast to the rapidly waning totals during the 2015 NBA Finals.


When a majority of public bettors have been on the over, the under has gone 44-24 (64.7%) during the 2016 NBA Playoffs.