Nats Are A Great Example Today......

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of why you NEVER lay -275+ on a baseball game. Anything can happen. Only takes one bad pitch to change a game. Some of the lines are getting out of hand now. A loss on a line like this takes 3 wins to get your money back. Just doesn't make sense. Rays at +165 tonight is very very tempting.
 

Dain Bramaged
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I had em last night and had a good feelin bout em winnin again after snappin the 12 game streak but didnt have the balls to put more on em :ohno: Seems to never fail, I bet a fav BIG n Lose bet a DOG small and win :missingte
 

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Especialy with a shit pitcher like Marquis on the mound. I can see Zambrano, Harden, or Dempster, but this line was crazy. All lines this week are crazy. Lannan didn't pitch that well, but his road era is good and he threw 7 shutout innings vs. the Cubs earlier this year.
 

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Bush of the Brewers is grabbing a -265?????? I know the Pirates blow, but come on.
 

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Line is way too high, but thats why they made the RL. Duke is a horrible pitcher and Bush has pitched well lately especially at home.

Mets line is crazy too. Oswalt +196 is a steal. Making it look like Oswalt is a Triple AAA pitcher.
 

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Agree. Houston is a HUGE value play. You will never see Oswalt getting this kind of line again unless he is throwing left handed
 

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Every line is crazy today. Lincecum is a great pitcher, but the Giants suck and it shouldn't be over -200.
 

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Line is way too high, but thats why they made the RL. Duke is a horrible pitcher and Bush has pitched well lately especially at home.

Mets line is crazy too. Oswalt +196 is a steal. Making it look like Oswalt is a Triple AAA pitcher.

Took Houston at even money on the RL. I don't see this game being more than a 1 run game either way so feeling mighty good about it.
 

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Nats still suck, but when the wind blows out at Wrigley, the Dog, ALT runline and the OVER are must plays. Strange things happen at Wrigley on these humid days. Tomorrow should be more of the same weather-wise.

Since the ball is carrying, look hard at the Rays-ChiSox over tonight. Stadium is only 8 miles away. Wind doesn't affect the ball like Wrigley, but the humidity will make the ball carry.
 

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Your not going to win every bet, i like my chances when the cubs play the nats that in 10 gams the cubs will win 7 or 8.
 

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Your not going to win every bet, i like my chances when the cubs play the nats that in 10 gams the cubs will win 7 or 8.

Especially when they are up 4-0 going to the 6th. 13 runs in the last four innings for Wash.
 

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If the cubs win 7 out of 10 games at -275.......risking to win $1000 every game you will.......be DOWN $1250 in the end!!!! It is very hard to make money at this price!
 

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Nats still suck, but when the wind blows out at Wrigley, the Dog, ALT runline and the OVER are must plays. Strange things happen at Wrigley on these humid days. Tomorrow should be more of the same weather-wise.

Since the ball is carrying, look hard at the Rays-ChiSox over tonight. Stadium is only 8 miles away. Wind doesn't affect the ball like Wrigley, but the humidity will make the ball carry.

According to weather.com, wind is blowing in from right center. Not out.
 

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You're right, they probably do beat the Nationals 7 out of 10 but the only problem is that laying 200+ juice or today close to 300 winning 7 out of 10 is a losing proposition. Meaning even if they win 7 out of 10 you lose money because of the huge juice.

Your not going to win every bet, i like my chances when the cubs play the nats that in 10 gams the cubs will win 7 or 8.
 

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The fact that people were betting huge on Jason Marquis tells me people are even dumber than I believed. I don't care who Chicago is playing, Jason Marquis should NEVER lay anywhere near this juice and never lay 200. He had a home ERA of 5.58 coming into today. And before someone jumps me saying it is easy to say now, I posted last night that you would have to be out of your mind to bet Jason Marquis at this price. Lannan was/is clearly the better pitcher. The books are going to make these lines extremely high and force the public's hand. But people can't stop betting favorites. This will make it where the books will only need to win a couple of these huge dogs to make their day. In fact, making these lines bigger likely makes people bet the favorites more. The perception out there among bettors is that the bigger the line the less likely they are to lose. So if someone sees the Cubs at -250 vs. the Nationals they think "wow they can't lose as that big of a favorite". Books aren't stupid and they have adjusted.

Especialy with a shit pitcher like Marquis on the mound. I can see Zambrano, Harden, or Dempster, but this line was crazy. All lines this week are crazy. Lannan didn't pitch that well, but his road era is good and he threw 7 shutout innings vs. the Cubs earlier this year.
 

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According to weather.com, wind is blowing in from right center. Not out.


What I said was the wind is far less a factor at The Cell than at Wrigley. It is so humid out that the ball jumps, so the OVER would be the play. It is supposed to be muggy Saturday and both teams play day games. Would not want to bet unders Saturday.
 

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