National vs Cubs Saturday

[TruthBTold]

Odalis Perez vs Ryan Dempster. Ok guys, is this the game to drop the hammer on? My lines havn't come out yet, I am imagining the RL will be around -150. Demp ML at least -280 going higher. Anyone feel like pounding this one?
:cripwalk:

 

[earl]

yep! like the nats again with a huge number!

 

[TruthBTold]

Wow earl Marquis is one thing but going against Dempster at Wrigley? I am not sure if that's a good bet.
d1g1t

 

[earl]

as a general rule, you will go broke playin heavy favorites is all.

 

[OTK]

It is a good bet IMO. Should the Cubs and Dempster win? Absolutely. Should they be the -300 favs they will be? Not a chance. In baseball there probably isn't a team that should be -300, and going against that team every time will always be a good bet. Would I personally bet that? No, because I'm not a value better. I bet on teams I think will win the game. But yes I would say it is a smart bet to take the Nats, especially tomorrow when people are thinking there is no way the Nats win three in a row, two against the Cubbies.

 

[TruthBTold]

as a general rule, you will go broke playin heavy favorites is all.

earl yes that is how bookies win. But you have to pick and choose your spots. If you play heavy favorites every time in the long run, offcourse you will be a loser.

Cubs, with one of the best home records in the league, playing against one of the worst teams in the league, with their good pitcher on the mound (.298 ERA), coming off a loss, I think is a good spot to pound Cubs.

 

[TruthBTold]

It is a good bet IMO. Should the Cubs and Dempster win? Absolutely. Should they be the -300 favs they will be? Not a chance. In baseball there probably isn't a team that should be -300, and going against that team every time will always be a good bet. Would I personally bet that? No, because I'm not a value better. I bet on teams I think will win the game. But yes I would say it is a smart bet to take the Nats, especially tomorrow when people are thinking there is no way the Nats win three in a row, two against the Cubbies.

OTK I am not a value bettor either. No matter how much value you give me, if I don't think the underdog has a chance, I just won't play. Perhaps a double down play can start tomorrow on Cubs RL, gambling that they win at least ONCE vs Nats at Wrigley, by more than 1 run.

 

[GoSteelers248]

-310 @betjam

 

[HaleBopp]

Perhaps a double down play can start tomorrow on Cubs RL, gambling that they win at least ONCE vs Nats at Wrigley, by more than 1 run.

I was thinking of a RL bet hedged with a ML bet to cover, just in case...

 

[oddball]

Dempster has not lost a game in Wrigley all year tread lightly when going against him and the Cubs

 

[Mr.Cover123]

Dempster has not lost a game in Wrigley all year tread lightly when going against him and the Cubs

Dempster is 1-2 his last 4 starts at Wrigley with the Cubs being 1-3.

 

[bruinsrock]

personally, i think it is never a good bet to lay -300 in baseball. especially on a team that is slumping on the offensive side, and whose bullpen sucks.

 

[GoForBroke]

personally, i think it is never a good bet to lay -300 in baseball. especially on a team that is slumping on the offensive side, and whose bullpen sucks.

Couldn't have said it better myself.

 

[Coaster]

Weather???
Wind is the great equalizer in the Gum House.

Blowing out............likin' the dog

 

[crzbrave]

Cubs - 380 at Bodog... :WTF:

 

[jammanxc]

cubs are going to facepalm the nats

 

[2PLAYSMAX]

Cubs - 380 at Bodog... :WTF:

:coke::coke::coke:

 

[TruthBTold]

All them critics on this bet, yall sure you know what youre talking about??? Sigh. This game was too obvious. What a pity without a hammer.
hno:

 

[ChickenDinner]

I wanted to hammer this and held back. It was one of those times to hammer.