National Championship --- My $0.02

Search

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
Joined
Feb 16, 2007
Messages
1,151
Tokens
Hit 3 Units on Auburn +10 and 2 Units on the Auburn ML +310; here's why...

The 2013 NCAAF National Champion will be the Auburn Tigers.
I’m not trying to sway anyone’s previously made decision about the 2013 NCAAF National Championship; however, I do want to share my data that supports my choice for the eventual champion if you are on the fence at this time.

Let’s compare these two teams:
  1. Florida State (13-0)
  1. Auburn (12-1)
Combined Record of Teams Played & (Actual SOS)74-78 (.468)
*Excludes Game against D1 - Bethune Cookman
Combined Record of Teams Played & (Actual SOS)91-61 (.598)
*Excludes Game against D1 - West Carolina
Schools Played Below .500FIVE (5)Schools Played Below .500THREE (3)
Schools Played with 7-6 or 6-6 RecordsFOUR (4)Schools Played with 7-6 or 6-6 RecordsTWO (2)
Bowl Eligible Schools Played SEVEN (7)Bowl Eligible Schools PlayedTEN (10)
Top 25 Schools PlayedFOUR (4)Top 25 Schools PlayedSIX (6)
Top 10 Schools PlayedFOUR (2)Top 10 Schools PlayedSIX (4)

*** 9/12 or 75% of Florida States Bowl Series opponents had a record of 7-6 or worse.

I can’t trust my money to a team like that.


In my opinion (and opinions are like noses; everyone has one and they always pick their own); Auburn has had the greater challenges this season and FSU has played very well but not regularly against stiff enough competition to warrant a 10 point favorite. They cruised into the second half comfortably and barely played a fourth quarter. Auburn has been battle tested (See Above)

I think Auburn shocks the Seminoles in the first half and then close the door in the second half to a 10 point victory. WRONG TEAM IS FAVOURED IN THIS MATCH UP!
Should be a great final game.

Enjoy!!! Happy New Year & Go Blue!!!

!~))!
 

New member
Joined
Mar 6, 2005
Messages
6,106
Tokens
nice post, would be nice to see you back in the soccer forum. best of luck with your wager, I am on the Tigers too.
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
Joined
Feb 16, 2007
Messages
1,151
Tokens
nice post, would be nice to see you back in the soccer forum. best of luck with your wager, I am on the Tigers too.

Really busy with work to write up my game notes. Don't like posting without an explanation.

Thanks for asking, I may sprinkle a few over the next few months (-:
 

Rx Post Doc
Joined
Feb 8, 2005
Messages
12,805
Tokens
VERY good post! I am on Seminoles ML, but the spread!? Yikes. You have great and simple stats which are the best type of stats!

I wish I had seen your post before I played ML for favored team.....

NOW, here is the winner winner chicken salad: UNDER 74 points on your alternative offers..... If you can lay a wager on UNDER 74, do so, also I have UNDER 79 for less (cuz it costs a lot.)

I am posting late...sorry...

good luck

tulsa
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
Joined
Feb 16, 2007
Messages
1,151
Tokens
Took under live after the first series. I got under 73.5

1 Unit ... Let's get it.
 

Rx Post Doc
Joined
Feb 8, 2005
Messages
12,805
Tokens
Looks like you came out ahead! Congrats and good job on analysis..... 1 minute away from winning the ML, too.

Take care,

tulsa
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,976
Messages
13,575,690
Members
100,889
Latest member
junkerb
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com