Nate Silver lays another egg at the World Cup

[SheriffJoe]

Nate Silver's failure as celebrated as Brazil's collapse

Colateral damage of Germany's humiliation of Brazil could be Nate Silver's reputation as a predictor of events

Nate Silver Photo: AP

By Jocelyn Spottiswoode

4:03PM BST 09 Jul 2014

267 Comments

The world may still be reeling from last night’s World Cup semi-Final between Germany and Brazil, but none more so than Nate Silver the celebrated statistician behind the fivethiryeight blog. Silver had pegged Brazil as the favourites to win the cup and stated their chances of success against Germany last night at 65%.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...ailure-as-celebrated-as-Brazils-collapse.html

 

[Albatross]

He has been pretty good at national politics. He probably dont know shit about sports. I know nothing about soccer, but I guess Vegas got it wrong also

 

[hehateme82]

He has been pretty good at national politics. He probably dont know shit about sports. I know nothing about soccer, but I guess Vegas got it wrong also

Vegas had it close to a pick.

 

[hehateme82]

Oh, and Nate loves the cock.

 

[The Guesser]

Oh, and Nate loves the cock.

Yes he does. He also loves being right about Political Polling analysis, as he invariably is. Sports, not so much. He's 50/50 like most everybody else.

 

[SheriffJoe]

Yes he does. He also loves being right about Political Polling analysis, as he invariably is. Sports, not so much. He's 50/50 like most everybody else.

His 'proprietary' models favor Dems. He had one good year in a Democrat cycle. Big deal. Next time the GOP wins he'll fall on his ass, like always.

Maybe you like Nate's cock as much as he loves the cock?

 

[The Guesser]

His 'proprietary' models favor Dems. He had one good year in a Democrat cycle. Big deal. Next time the GOP wins he'll fall on his ass, like always.

Maybe you like Nate's cock as much as he loves the cock?

His model favors FACTS. That's why he's right so often. He has been awesome in Politics since 2008. But idiots like you and Wrong way, keep doubting him, and better yet, put your money against him. Keep your gay fantasies out of your posts. I know it's hard to go against your natural purple flower instincts.

 

[akphidelt]

His model favors FACTS. That's why he's right so often. He has been awesome in Politics since 2008. But idiots like you and Wrong way, keep doubting him, and better yet, put your money against him. Keep your gay fantasies out of your posts. I know it's hard to go against your natural purple flower instincts.

Lol, Joe believed his conservative bloggers that Obama would drop out of the race in 2012 because he had no chance of winning. These guys are real life psychos if the are still questioning Silver's methods. It's simply based on statistics. Math, science, and education, do not mix well with conservatism though.

 

[ScottL]

Which pothster do you guys think Nate picked out this purple blazer for?

 

[SheriffJoe]

His model favors FACTS. That's why he's right so often. He has been awesome in Politics since 2008. But idiots like you and Wrong way, keep doubting him, and better yet, put your money against him. Keep your gay fantasies out of your posts. I know it's hard to go against your natural purple flower instincts.

Laughable, since those proprietary 'facts' aren't disclosed you have no idea what the hell he does.

2008 and 2012 he did well, which also happen to be Democrat election cycles.

2010 and 2014? Not so much! Just like his sports "statistics" analysis he's picking out of his ass.

Brazil 65% c.o.w. the WC!

 

[The Guesser]

Laughable, since those proprietary 'facts' aren't disclosed you have no idea what the hell he does.

2008 and 2012 he did well, which also happen to be Democrat election cycles.

2010 and 2014? Not so much! Just like his sports "statistics" analysis he's picking out of his ass.

Brazil 65% c.o.w. the WC!

I have an idea what he does. Correctly predict Political races with uncanny accuracy. How he does it, is his business. Results matter. Not some clueless idiot SAYING he was right about Elections, like Wrong Way, but someone who actually consistently was.
He hasn't made one Political Prediction for 2014 yet, other than the Senate control is a tossup, which as we get closer, he'll give further weight to, and it'll be relevant. Are you actually stupid enough to lump his meaningless sports predictions together with his Political predictions, and say he's had a bad 2014???? Obviously, we see the answer Casper. You are.

 

[The Guesser]

Which pothster do you guys think Nate picked out this purple blazer for?

Nate looks far more manly in his Purple Blazer, than Canadian Casper did in his Purple Flower Patch. k:

 

[Willie99]

Of course he's going to be wrong sometimes, it's not "just about math", there are many more variables in play and nobody can account for mankind's emotion and virtues and flaws

what's funny is this, Nate Silver is defending his position, yet libtard nation doesn't go off on him calling him all the names they called me when I defended my position while explaining why I was wrong. Instead, they defend him and argue "it's still about the numbers and still about facts". As if nobody that disagrees with him has facts and numbers, too fucking funny

Only people who are really wrong are people who actually think "it's just about the numbers".

it is what and who they are, the epitome of inconsistent and silly thought

 

[SheriffJoe]

Of course he's going to be wrong sometimes, it's not "just about math", there are many more variables in play and nobody can account for mankind's emotion and virtues and flaws

what's funny is this, Nate Silver is defending his position, yet libtard nation doesn't go off on him calling him all the names they called me when I defended my position while explaining why I was wrong. Instead, they defend him and argue "it's still about the numbers and still about facts". As if nobody that disagrees with him has facts and numbers, too fucking funny

Only people who are really wrong are people who actually think "it's just about the numbers".

it is what and who they are, the epitome of inconsistent and silly thought

More stupid liberalism trying to predict human nature. They just don't get it.

Like you always say, its gotta be in the genes.

65% c.o.w the WC!

Harry Reid will be defeated in the primaries!

The GOP will gain 55 seats in the House in 2010 - most obvious prediction since, well, the failed 'stimulus'. They gained 63.

Wrong Way Nate never disappoints!

Loser!@#0

 

[hehateme82]

More stupid liberalism trying to predict human nature. They just don't get it.

Like you always say, its gotta be in the genes.

65% c.o.w the WC!

Harry Reid will be defeated in the primaries!

The GOP will gain 55 seats in the House in 2010 - most obvious prediction since, well, the failed 'stimulus'. They gained 63.

Wrong Way Nate never disappoints!

Loser!@#0

I think Nate predicted Brazil has a 65% chance to advance past Germany and a 52% or 53% chance of winning the World Cup - this was his adjusted figure after Neymar went down. Either way, he was way the fuck off.