Few reasons behind my play for game #1. (Not statistical)
1. Wells going against a predominantly right handed lineup. The Marlins have some strong right handed bats: Pudge, Lee, Cabrera, Lowell, Conine. If Pierre (lefty) and Castillo (switch)can set the table, the Marlins right handed bats will be in great shape.
2. Marlins are playing so loose now. Game 1 is the game they can steal away.
3. Yanks still basking in the relief of beating the Sox. In their minds, they have already won the W.S. by beating the Sox. Might set themselves up for a game 1 let down.
4. Speed and Defense.....Marlins have that covered better than anyone. Could help them win more than just game 1.
Just a few of MY own reasons.