My Superbowl plays and reasoning..........

[Piranha]

In the Conference Championship games, the bookies won both and the public lost both.

In the past when this happens one of the game side or the total will go to the bookies and the other to the public.

From what I'm gathering it seems the money is definitely coming in on Denver and the Under.

When the opening lines came out after the last Conference game right away the lines to me did not make sense.

It seemed to lopsided to Denver (+1) and the Under (47).

For me the line should have opened up at Denver -2.5 to -3 and the total at 43-45.

I believe the NFL would like to see the story book year to end with Peyton winning it all.

Vegas on the other hand would probably want Denver to not cover but that doesn't mean Denver can't win.

The line opened at Seattle -1 and jumped right away to DENVER -2 that leaves an opening for Denver to win but not covering.

Because I'm a Peyton fan I really want him to win the SB and because of this I cannot play Seattle.

I will play DENVER ML -130.

The total for me was pretty easy. Both Denver's playoff games went under and averaged 25 points against weak defense.

Now they are up against the #1 defense and the total they put out does not make sense.

Using these numbers if Denver puts up 25 than Seattle suppose to put up 23 based on Denver -2.

Denver averaged 25 in two games and now facing #1. Most bettors should know that 25 will be too high and for that reasoning the Under should be the public's play.

I really like the OVER 47 more than the side.

My feeling is since both Conference game went the bookies way........Superbowl total will continue to go the bookie's way but leaving an opening for Manning to win resulting in a Denver win by 1 or maybe even covering.

Had both the Conference games gone the public's way I would have jumped on board big time on Seattle regardless of wanting Peyton to win.

DENVER ML

OVER 47

GL!!

 

[Daigo23]

Woooohoooo glad I'm on both too. Thanks!

 

[sendacash]

I went with Den ML as well. While it seems unlikely that the points will come into play, its still tough to bet into a 3+ point swing. Good luck, hopefully Manning will be hoisting the Lombardi one more time. I heard John Fox has a $1 million incentive bonus built in to his contract if they win the SB. What a day that would be for him.

 

[Recon792]

BOL with the plays --

 

[sparticus]

Piranha, Your one of the best here on the rx, i have lot of respect for you, I really like the OVER play! GL

 

[cashducats]

you are relying on voodoo for your pick. that's like betting tails because the last x amount of super bowls were heads

 

[cashflow50]

True dat this guy has been money..gl P

 

[RDTrains]

Excellent writeup. I initially played Seattle +3 -130 and now have DEN -130 ML so I lose some vig but have a slight chance to middle. Without a doubt I love the OVER 47. GL2us.

 

[Grindstone30]

Love them both buddy GL let's get this

 

[919]

Good luck with your plays

 

[Grindstone30]

In the Conference Championship games, the bookies won both and the public lost both.

In the past when this happens one of the game side or the total will go to the bookies and the other to the public.

From what I'm gathering it seems the money is definitely coming in on Denver and the Under.

When the opening lines came out after the last Conference game right away the lines to me did not make sense.

It seemed to lopsided to Denver (+1) and the Under (47).

For me the line should have opened up at Denver -2.5 to -3 and the total at 43-45.

I believe the NFL would like to see the story book year to end with Peyton winning it all.

Vegas on the other hand would probably want Denver to not cover but that doesn't mean Denver can't win.

The line opened at Seattle -1 and jumped right away to DENVER -2 that leaves an opening for Denver to win but not covering.

Because I'm a Peyton fan I really want him to win the SB and because of this I cannot play Seattle.

I will play DENVER ML -130.

The total for me was pretty easy. Both Denver's playoff games went under and averaged 25 points against weak defense.

Now they are up against the #1 defense and the total they put out does not make sense.

Using these numbers if Denver puts up 25 than Seattle suppose to put up 23 based on Denver -2.

Denver averaged 25 in two games and now facing #1. Most bettors should know that 25 will be too high and for that reasoning the Under should be the public's play.

I really like the OVER 47 more than the side.

My feeling is since both Conference game went the bookies way........Superbowl total will continue to go the bookie's way but leaving an opening for Manning to win resulting in a Denver win by 1 or maybe even covering.

Had both the Conference games gone the public's way I would have jumped on board big time on Seattle regardless of wanting Peyton to win.

DENVER ML

OVER 47

GL!!

This is the only thing that scares me is that Seat +3.5, +3 or +2.5 are all heavily Taxed

 

[WinningWand]

Just posted my play and it looks like you and i are on the same page. This is a good thing. Let's Cash this ticket!!

 

[DC.]

This is the only thing that scares me is that Seat +3.5, +3 or +2.5 are all heavily Taxed

not really u can get +3 on Sportsinteraction at -120 or bovada -110

 

[IndianaJones2013]

I went back and forth on the side, loved Denver at 1st...70% of the public are picking them to win. I feel that most who play Seattle are also on the Under...therefore my huge wager is on the Over!

 

[memphis]

keeps doin what ur doin broheimers bigg reesons we been round for long times with thousends of posts much respecto to the old gard yup lololol hne

 

[Piranha]

It's too bad for Peyton Manning. I really wanted him to win his second SB and tie his little brother.

Even though I made some money because of the OVER play it still wasn't enjoyable watching this game.

 

[memphis]

ovah grovah anywyes buddy bang bang