YTD: 79-62-2 + 19.5 units
Went 1-1 on Thursday, winning Det FH and (painfully, as you all know) on the Under. Also I apologize if this text comes in all bold, for some reason I have having issues tying on the Therx so I often copy and paste stuff from a Word doc. Sometimes this leads to odd formatting for some reason.
Reminder: At one point this season I was up 50 units so I have been slowly losing these last five or six weeks. I might be fade material, despite my reasonable TYD record.
Sunday Card
SEA/MIN OVER 41 – 2 units
This was this first bet I made this week, which is why I got it at 41, but it can still be had at 42 and if I had to, I would take it. Four of the last five SEA games have gone OVER. Four of the last Five Vikings games have gone UNDER. But, had the total been 41 or even 42, all but 1 of those would’ve gone OVER. The Seahawk pass defense has been just bad lately and this line says they are still overvalued. I do worry that Minnesota isn’t an explosive passing offense – Teddy only has 8 TD passes which is pretty bad, but I suspect they will still score a decent amount on this SEA defense. I am considering adding to this bet but if I do I will have to either take it at 42 or buy down.
Hou + 3.5 (-115) – 2 units
It seems like late money is coming in on Buffalo, because this like was 3 (-120) with the Texans having the heavy juice at one point this week. I have been riding the Texans lately so I like getting 3.5 points against a flawed Bills team with a QB who is struggling.
CHI -6.5 (-120) – 2 units
I don’t love laying all these points, but I find sometimes heavy road dogs, like the SF today can be as trapish (not a word) as short road favs. The line I saw was -7 +105 so I was able to get off a key number at a decent price. Bears are playing well and they have been doing that with a lot of their skilled players out – some of them are coming back.
NYG TT OVER 21.5 – 2 units
Jets are giving up about 20 points a game, but that number is weighted heavily from their absurd start where they were giving up 14 points per game in the first 6 weeks or so. So the defense is starting to weaken – the Texans scored more than 21.5 with a backup QB and that was when the Jets corners, notably Revis, were healthy. Also am considering adding more here, but I could also just try to find an edge at halftime.. Save for the NE game, I have been doing excellent on 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half team totals. (though last week I was 1-3 on TTs for the game.
Went 1-1 on Thursday, winning Det FH and (painfully, as you all know) on the Under. Also I apologize if this text comes in all bold, for some reason I have having issues tying on the Therx so I often copy and paste stuff from a Word doc. Sometimes this leads to odd formatting for some reason.
Reminder: At one point this season I was up 50 units so I have been slowly losing these last five or six weeks. I might be fade material, despite my reasonable TYD record.
Sunday Card
SEA/MIN OVER 41 – 2 units
This was this first bet I made this week, which is why I got it at 41, but it can still be had at 42 and if I had to, I would take it. Four of the last five SEA games have gone OVER. Four of the last Five Vikings games have gone UNDER. But, had the total been 41 or even 42, all but 1 of those would’ve gone OVER. The Seahawk pass defense has been just bad lately and this line says they are still overvalued. I do worry that Minnesota isn’t an explosive passing offense – Teddy only has 8 TD passes which is pretty bad, but I suspect they will still score a decent amount on this SEA defense. I am considering adding to this bet but if I do I will have to either take it at 42 or buy down.
Hou + 3.5 (-115) – 2 units
It seems like late money is coming in on Buffalo, because this like was 3 (-120) with the Texans having the heavy juice at one point this week. I have been riding the Texans lately so I like getting 3.5 points against a flawed Bills team with a QB who is struggling.
CHI -6.5 (-120) – 2 units
I don’t love laying all these points, but I find sometimes heavy road dogs, like the SF today can be as trapish (not a word) as short road favs. The line I saw was -7 +105 so I was able to get off a key number at a decent price. Bears are playing well and they have been doing that with a lot of their skilled players out – some of them are coming back.
NYG TT OVER 21.5 – 2 units
Jets are giving up about 20 points a game, but that number is weighted heavily from their absurd start where they were giving up 14 points per game in the first 6 weeks or so. So the defense is starting to weaken – the Texans scored more than 21.5 with a backup QB and that was when the Jets corners, notably Revis, were healthy. Also am considering adding more here, but I could also just try to find an edge at halftime.. Save for the NE game, I have been doing excellent on 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half team totals. (though last week I was 1-3 on TTs for the game.
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