I post a lot of information from different sources. So everyone looks at my threads can see besides my picks & bets you can judge matchup for themselves. In my view you just can't,get enough info, and I reach out to everyone. I also research Pros & Cons from different aspects of match-ups and post them. Members looking at my threads make there own options. Best Of Luck in the divisional games!!!!! Lets Just Win !!!!
Football Outsiders statistics and their personal analyses of NFL games!!!!!
Football Outsiders is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. The site is run by a staff of regular writers, who produce a series of weekly columns using both the site's in-house statistics and their personal analyses of NFL games.
Defense is the Rams’ key to this game, then it would have to be offense for the Packers. Green Bay went from a +63 point differential in 2019 to +140 in 2020. The Packers have arguably the best quarterback in the league in Aaron Rodgers — one of only a handful who could unlock the Rams defense. And he had the best statistical season of his career with 48 touchdowns, five interceptions, 4,299 yards and an 84.4 mark in Per Football Outsiders, the Packers finished the regular season ranked first in offensive DVOA, including first in pass DVOA and fifth in rush DVOA.
It’s rare for a team to be as balanced as the Packers are with top-five passing and rushing attacks. Take the Chiefs, for example, who are ranked second behind the Packers in pass DVOA but 13th in rush DVOA.Every sports league is always looking for ways to increase its scoring, and the NFL is no different. The rules are even tailored to promote more scoring, and a quarterback as savvy as Rodgers knows how to take advantage.
There are just too many parts of this Packers offense to have to defend against.Part of Rodgers’ success is that he’s been getting the ball out of his hands much quicker than at any other point in his career. He was sacked only 20 times — a career-low for him when he’s started at least 15 games.Expect some quick outs to his wide receivers in an attempt to neutralize the Rams pass rush on Saturday. I would also expect some targets for Aaron Jones out of the backfield. I would be bullish to play his receptions total over if the line is set at three or lower.Every sports league is always looking for ways to increase its scoring, and the NFL is no different. The rules are even tailored to promote more scoring, and a quarterback as savvy as Rodgers knows how to take advantage. There are just too many parts of this Packers offense to have to defend against.
If you like football, then you don’t want to miss this matchup of both teams’ strengths. If I’m looking to back the Rams, my first question is: Where are the points coming from? They’re in the bottom half of the league in converting their red-zone scoring opportunities into touchdowns (57.38%). Contrast that with the Packers, who lead the league at an 80% clip. Secondly, what should we expect out of this Rams defense offensively? Green Bay is not a team that’s been careless with the football this season. The Packers’ 11 turnovers are the fewest in the league, whereas the Rams are tied for the sixth-most turnovers (25). In fact, Green Bay is +7 in turnover differential while Los Angeles is -3.
Football Outsiders>>> I can’t bring myself to fade the likely league MVP under these circumstances. So I’ll swallow the points, but I’m also going to tease the Packers down and pair them with the Buccaneers on a six-point teaser.
Football Outsiders>>> Pick: Packers -6.5 (-110)
Bonus 6-Point Teaser: Packers -0.5, Buccaneers +9
cheersgifComplements Of HarryTheHat [ research ]
Football Outsiders is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. The site is run by a staff of regular writers, who produce a series of weekly columns using both the site's in-house statistics and their personal analyses of NFL games.
Defense is the Rams’ key to this game, then it would have to be offense for the Packers. Green Bay went from a +63 point differential in 2019 to +140 in 2020. The Packers have arguably the best quarterback in the league in Aaron Rodgers — one of only a handful who could unlock the Rams defense. And he had the best statistical season of his career with 48 touchdowns, five interceptions, 4,299 yards and an 84.4 mark in Per Football Outsiders, the Packers finished the regular season ranked first in offensive DVOA, including first in pass DVOA and fifth in rush DVOA.
It’s rare for a team to be as balanced as the Packers are with top-five passing and rushing attacks. Take the Chiefs, for example, who are ranked second behind the Packers in pass DVOA but 13th in rush DVOA.Every sports league is always looking for ways to increase its scoring, and the NFL is no different. The rules are even tailored to promote more scoring, and a quarterback as savvy as Rodgers knows how to take advantage.
There are just too many parts of this Packers offense to have to defend against.Part of Rodgers’ success is that he’s been getting the ball out of his hands much quicker than at any other point in his career. He was sacked only 20 times — a career-low for him when he’s started at least 15 games.Expect some quick outs to his wide receivers in an attempt to neutralize the Rams pass rush on Saturday. I would also expect some targets for Aaron Jones out of the backfield. I would be bullish to play his receptions total over if the line is set at three or lower.Every sports league is always looking for ways to increase its scoring, and the NFL is no different. The rules are even tailored to promote more scoring, and a quarterback as savvy as Rodgers knows how to take advantage. There are just too many parts of this Packers offense to have to defend against.
If you like football, then you don’t want to miss this matchup of both teams’ strengths. If I’m looking to back the Rams, my first question is: Where are the points coming from? They’re in the bottom half of the league in converting their red-zone scoring opportunities into touchdowns (57.38%). Contrast that with the Packers, who lead the league at an 80% clip. Secondly, what should we expect out of this Rams defense offensively? Green Bay is not a team that’s been careless with the football this season. The Packers’ 11 turnovers are the fewest in the league, whereas the Rams are tied for the sixth-most turnovers (25). In fact, Green Bay is +7 in turnover differential while Los Angeles is -3.
Football Outsiders>>> I can’t bring myself to fade the likely league MVP under these circumstances. So I’ll swallow the points, but I’m also going to tease the Packers down and pair them with the Buccaneers on a six-point teaser.
Football Outsiders>>> Pick: Packers -6.5 (-110)
Bonus 6-Point Teaser: Packers -0.5, Buccaneers +9
cheersgifComplements Of HarryTheHat [ research ]
Iam betting his Bonus 6-Point Teaser: Packers -0.5, Buccaneers +9 I did some research with both of these teams. In my option Packers are in with points, flip side I don't believe Saints will win by that many points. I see this matchup with in 6.. The odds makers are looking at a field goal...
