My friend is on FIRE!...jus sayin

[doyboy408]

I've been behind the scenes here at the RX for a few years now. I rarely post, but my friend just went 30-12, and that's just 3 days. I've been going in halves with him (25 each cuz he picks a gang of them a day), and we're up 904. I know the picks aren't justified because they weren't posted, but I'm gonna paste screenshots. Might as well start posting his plays. Let the season long thread begin (ytd 0-0 ofcourse)....

 

[Biz]

Very impressive, nice job

 

[doyboy408]

okay...i couldn't paste all the screenshots, but you guys get the picture. here's a compiled list of the games he played...

4/7/2014 16:15 [959] OAK ATHLETICS -150 75/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 16:18 [954] STL CARDINALS -145 73/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 19:10 [962] BOS RED SOX -160 80/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 19:10 [962] TOTAL u9+105 (TEX RANGERS vrs BOS RED SOX) 50/52 WIN 52
4/7/2014 20:10 [964] KAN ROYALS -115 58/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 20:10 [964] TOTAL u8-115 (TAM RAYS vrs KAN ROYALS) 58/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 20:10 [964] KAN ROYALS -115 58/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 20:10 [964] TOTAL u7½-110 (TAM RAYS vrs KAN ROYALS) 55/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 20:40 [967] TOTAL o10EV (CHI WHITE SOX vrs COL ROCKIES) 50/50 LOSE -50
4/7/2014 20:40 [968] COL ROCKIES -150 75/50 WIN 50
4/7/2014 20:40 [967] TOTAL o10EV (CHI WHITE SOX vrs COL ROCKIES) 50/50 LOSE -50
4/7/2014 20:40 [968] COL ROCKIES -150 75/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 13:05 [911] BAL ORIOLES +115 50/57 WIN 57
4/8/2014 13:05 [911] TOTAL o8½-120 (BAL ORIOLES vrs NY YANKEES) 60/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 16:05 [927] TOTAL o8-120 (MIL BREWERS vrs PHI PHILLIES) 60/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 16:05 [928] PHI PHILLIES -110 55/50 LOSE -55
4/8/2014 16:35 [901] ARI D`BACKS +140 50/70 LOSE -50
4/8/2014 16:35 [901] TOTAL o7½-105 (ARI D`BACKS vrs SFO GIANTS) 53/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 18:10 [913] TOTAL o9-120 (TEX RANGERS vrs BOS RED SOX) 60/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 18:10 [914] BOS RED SOX -145 73/50 LOSE -73
4/8/2014 19:05 [915] TOTAL o9-105 (HOU ASTROS vrs TOR BLUE JAYS) 53/50 LOSE -53
4/8/2014 19:05 [904] TOTAL u7+105 (MIA MARLINS vrs WAS NATIONALS) 50/52 WIN 52
4/8/2014 19:10 [906] ATL BRAVES -145 73/50 LOSE -73
4/8/2014 19:10 [906] TOTAL u7+105 (NY METS vrs ATL BRAVES) 50/52 WIN 52
4/8/2014 20:05 [907] TOTAL o7-120 (PIT PIRATES vrs CHI CUBS) 60/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 20:05 [908] CHI CUBS EV 50/50 LOSE -50
4/8/2014 20:15 [909] CIN REDS +125 50/62 LOSE -50
4/8/2014 20:15 [910] TOTAL u7-105 (CIN REDS vrs STL CARDINALS) 53/50 LOSE -53
4/8/2014 20:40 [923] CHI WHITE SOX +135 50/67 WIN 67
4/8/2014 22:10 [919] TOTAL o7½-120 (LA ANGELS vrs SEA MARINERS) 60/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 22:10 [920] SEA MARINERS -125 63/50 WIN 50
4/8/2014 22:10 [926] TOTAL u7-130 (DET TIGERS vrs LA DODGERS) 65/50 WIN 50
4/9/2014 12:07 [976] CLE INDIANS GM#1 -145 73/50 WIN 50
4/9/2014 13:11 [964] MIN TWINS +105 50/52 LOSE -50
4/9/2014 13:48 [951] CIN REDS +135 50/67 WIN 67
4/9/2014 13:48 [952] TOTAL u7½-110 (CIN REDS vrs STL CARDINALS) 55/50 WIN 50
4/9/2014 14:10 [966] KAN ROYALS -105 53/50 WIN 50
4/9/2014 15:10 [981] SDG PADRES GM#2 +125 50/62 WIN 62
4/9/2014 15:13 [978] COL ROCKIES -155 78/50 WIN 50
4/9/2014 16:05 [968] BOS RED SOX -155 78/50 WIN 50
4/9/2014 19:05 [956] PHI PHILLIES +115 50/57 LOSE -50
4/9/2014 20:05 [960] CHI CUBS +105 50/52 WIN 52
(30-12) 904

 

[doyboy408]

4/10 Thu
YTD (0-0)

[902] CHI CUBS +110
[904] TOTAL u7EV (MIA MARLINS vrs WAS NATIONALS)
[906] PHI PHILLIES -130
[906] TOTAL u7½-105 (MIL BREWERS vrs PHI PHILLIES)
[907] TOTAL o7½-110 (NY METS vrs ATL BRAVES)
[911] TOTAL o8½-105 (OAK ATHLETICS vrs MIN TWINS)
[912] MIN TWINS +125
[913] BOS RED SOX EV
[913] TOTAL o8½-105 (BOS RED SOX vrs NY YANKEES)
[916] TOTAL u8½-120 (HOU ASTROS vrs TOR BLUE JAYS)

 

[StevieRay]

Always happens. Post the friends hot picks and they go 0-4 early. Good luck on evening picks

 

[phantom888]

That's alot of plays.........whew!

 

[Kazmania]

Cubs up in 8th
wash 2-1 in 8th

those were tough
hipefully he closes hard u up 1 unit on rest of plays

 

[doyboy408]

Adding...

[917] CLE INDIANS -135
[917] TOTAL o8-120 (CLE INDIANS vrs CHI WHITE SOX)

 

[Kazmania]

Already have clev and clev under.
Good luck

 

[thekeyman]

in baseball betting that many games in the long run you will lose badly.the juice is too much to overcome and you have to limit your picks to the ones that you consider your best and just play a couple games a day.i don't usually play more than 4,sometimes its only 1,but to just bet and deal with all that money you will be done before the all star break,...jmo

 

[shdw01]

in baseball betting that many games in the long run you will lose badly.the juice is too much to overcome and you have to limit your picks to the ones that you consider your best and just play a couple games a day.i don't usually play more than 4,sometimes its only 1,but to just bet and deal with all that money you will be done before the all star break,...jmo

I partially disagree with this. I don't think more games is the answer, but I also don't think less games are the answer. The amount of games should only be determined by the edge you have. If you are betting a system, the % the system spits out (usually 50%) will apply to 200 games or 2000 games. if you are a losing gambler in general, the more games the more vig. but if you are a winning gambler, I don't see a problem....actually +EV if you have the same advantage on each play

 

[Biz]

I partially disagree with this. I don't think more games is the answer, but I also don't think less games are the answer. The amount of games should only be determined by the edge you have. If you are betting a system, the % the system spits out (usually 50%) will apply to 200 games or 2000 games. if you are a losing gambler in general, the more games the more vig. but if you are a winning gambler, I don't see a problem....actually +EV if you have the same advantage on each play

Excellent response. The number of games means nothing, it depends on your edge.

If you are a winning player, more plays is a good thing.

 

[thekeyman]

you know i said i was not going to deal with anybody except my daily friends and what do i do,share my opinion and then hear about it.........my bad.....


i can see what is going on here,....if i said the color looked black you would say it was blue etc......i won't make this mistake again




for the person that started this thread,hey sorry i said anything,it was not meant any harm and good luck

 

[doyboy408]

Adding...

[909] ARI D`BACKS EV
[910] TOTAL u8EV (ARI D`BACKS vrs SFO GIANTS)

 

[StevieRay]

Ur "friend" added?

 

[doyboy408]

4/10
[911] TOTAL o8½-105 (OAK ATHLETICS vrs MIN TWINS) LOSE -53
[912] MIN TWINS +125 LOSE -50
[902] CHI CUBS +110 LOSE -50
[904] TOTAL u7EV (MIA MARLINS vrs WAS NATIONALS) LOSE -50
[906] PHI PHILLIES -130 LOSE -65
[906] TOTAL u7½-105 (MIL BREWERS vrs PHI PHILLIES) LOSE -53
[913] BOS RED SOX EV LOSE -50
[913] TOTAL o8½-105 (BOS RED SOX vrs NY YANKEES) LOSE -53
[916] TOTAL u8½-120 (HOU ASTROS vrs TOR BLUE JAYS) LOSE -60
[907] TOTAL o7½-110 (NY METS vrs ATL BRAVES) WIN 50
[917] CLE INDIANS -135 LOSE -68
[917] TOTAL o8-120 (CLE INDIANS vrs CHI WHITE SOX) WIN 50
[909] ARI D`BACKS EV WIN 50
[910] TOTAL u8EV (ARI D`BACKS vrs SFO GIANTS) LOSE -50

YTD
(3-11) -452

 

[doyboy408]

4/11 Sat
[902] TOTAL u7-120 (CHI CUBS vrs STL CARDINALS)
[904] TOTAL u7½EV (COL ROCKIES vrs SFO GIANTS)
[913] BOS RED SOX -105
[913] TOTAL o8½-115 (BOS RED SOX vrs NY YANKEES)
[916] TOTAL u7½-110 (KAN ROYALS vrs MIN TWINS)
[917] CLE INDIANS -135
[918] TOTAL u8½-110 (CLE INDIANS vrs CHI WHITE SOX)
[926] CIN REDS +115

 

[doyboy408]

adding...

[907] PIT PIRATES +120
[907] TOTAL o9EV (PIT PIRATES vrs MIL BREWERS)
[910] ATL BRAVES -145
[910] TOTAL u7+105 (WAS NATIONALS vrs ATL BRAVES)

 

[Enfuego]

4/10
[911] TOTAL o8½-105 (OAK ATHLETICS vrs MIN TWINS) LOSE -53
[912] MIN TWINS +125 LOSE -50
[902] CHI CUBS +110 LOSE -50
[904] TOTAL u7EV (MIA MARLINS vrs WAS NATIONALS) LOSE -50
[906] PHI PHILLIES -130 LOSE -65
[906] TOTAL u7½-105 (MIL BREWERS vrs PHI PHILLIES) LOSE -53
[913] BOS RED SOX EV LOSE -50
[913] TOTAL o8½-105 (BOS RED SOX vrs NY YANKEES) LOSE -53
[916] TOTAL u8½-120 (HOU ASTROS vrs TOR BLUE JAYS) LOSE -60
[907] TOTAL o7½-110 (NY METS vrs ATL BRAVES) WIN 50
[917] CLE INDIANS -135 LOSE -68
[917] TOTAL o8-120 (CLE INDIANS vrs CHI WHITE SOX) WIN 50
[909] ARI D`BACKS EV WIN 50
[910] TOTAL u8EV (ARI D`BACKS vrs SFO GIANTS) LOSE -50

YTD
(3-11) -452

3-11 at the lines you posted is a hell of lot worse than -452.

 

[doyboy408]

3-11 at the lines you posted is a hell of lot worse than -452.

jus whipped out the good ol calculator.
-53-50-50-50-65-53-50-53-60+50-68+50+50-50=-452