My experiment of taking every FAVORITE play between -120 and -150

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Here is the lineup for 7-26-03:

AZ (H) -132 Dessens

FLA (H) -136 Beckett

TOR (H) -143 Hendricksen

OAK (A) -122 Harden

KC (A) -143 Snyder

NYY (A) -144 Mussina

[This message was edited by BigGamesOnly on July 26, 2003 at 09:27 PM.]
 

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AZ (H) -132 Dessens +100

FLA (H) -136 Beckett +100

TOR (H) -143 Hendricksen -143

OAK (A) -122 Harden +100

KC (A) -143 Snyder -143

NYY (A) -144 Mussina -144

Daily Total -130

Season to date -130
 

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List for 7-27-03:

NYM (H) -122 Trachsel

Phi (A) -127 Millwood

Bos (H) -147 Lowe

Only 3 for today!
 

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BGO- I decided since your basically doing the same thing < i will just follow you on this,lol....I have enough going on here...
 

SSI

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looks like youd be 5-3 jman with yanks riding tonight.. up over 3.5 units.. not too shabby of a start..
 

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Yes I see this SSI...I don`t think this formua will hurt anyone long term...if you can have the discipline to stick with it...you might not get rich but it may make gambling 'safe'
 

SSI

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what you need to do jman is track it over 100-200 games, bet it small, if its profitable then move your bet higher, even if you start at $20 per game, this will work in the nfl as well.. it could make you rich, if you can raise your bets high enough, id flat bet this..
 

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it can`t be this easy though...But I don`t think this strategy will ever hurt anyone...Who knows maybe it could be profitable long term
 

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Results for 10-27-03:

NYM (H) -122 Trachsel -122

Phi (A) -127 Millwood -127

Bos (H) -147 Lowe +100

Daily Total -149

Season to date -279

It's still early gentlement. Don't count your chickens before they hatch.

Journeyman, I'll be happy to continue but I wish you would also. We both could end up losers or we could both end up winners. I understand though if you are busy.
 

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a better system would be to play the +200 dogs every game, i know through June this was VERY profitable, haven't updated my stats since.
One day three dogs came in +340, +300, and +370.
huge
 

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ssi-you said it would work in nfl, what is the stats of dogs covering? do you know?

thanks
thetexaskid
 

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Shorterm on any night the mid favs might be more likely to show a profit, and also they might have nights more often that where they show a profit, but your real loses come when you have a bad night and eat all the juice as well. I am not a baseball handicapping expert but I know math and I will be any amount of money that this is a losing strategy longterm. Any takers?

Regardless though thanks for doing this it will be interesting to see the results.
 

SSI

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tekari, i think the gentlemen here are only doing this as a display, and yes your right, anything may happen to work shorterm,, however this has some good points about it, -------- you wont overbet, this is a real problem alot of guys have here, there is no way they can be profitable betting all those games each day.. being selective is a must....... if you bet them all the same this concept will adhere to good money management, thats 2 good things about doing it.. im toying with this concept and may conduct a real money experiment at one of my outs doing something like this, however if i do -- it will include the nfl, both preseason and the real season,, may play it for $10 a game through 100 games , at one of my less used outs..
 

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SSI, if you try this are you going to try it with the underdogs or the favorites. I might be biased since the dogs have been hitting this way lately but to me the only way I see this working is with the dogs especially if you shop around and found some good numbers. I wonder what this would come out to be as well if you took all of the initial dogs in this range and then took them on the alt runline. You could probably get away with hitting around 25 to 30 percent or even lower.
 

SSI

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to be totally honest with you, im going to do it on football.. my capping of baseball is going so well, i just cant mess with it -- at this moment, but from the first preseason game, im doing this.. i just couldnt take the dog, just to take the dog.. i thought about it but have decided against it, if things were going worse, i may try it.. since june 8th, ive been extremely hot, +25 units and over $6500 real dollar profits, also leading the little contest here.. i just cant mess with it.. but ill be glad to tell you what im doing in the nfl at the start of the preseason..
 

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