My end of season and Tourny thread

[mutceR]

So, 2 posted plays and 2-0 +2k in HollywoodCGs thread I decided to start a end of season thread

Oklahoma/Baylor Under 150.5
Usually teams that are ranked high and then start falling have what I like to call an Identity crisis
When this happens fall into desperation mode and this results on relying heavy on defense

Baylor is already a defensive team
Only scores when playing teams with no size, the matchup here is size for size with a slight edge in the quickness department going to the sooners.

Lets see if this theory still holds water
it did yesterday with the NBA Pacers and Cavs both losers of 3 of their last 4 played under the total

This is a standard 550 to win 500

 

[boss415]

Bol tonight and in the tourney.

 

[boss415]

Line dropping

 

[mutceR]

What did it close at?
Just out of curiosity
They have 71 at the half
Hope they slow the pace a little bit more

 

[boss415]

I saw 149 and as low as 148

 

[mutceR]

Guess that is a good sign. Never know though

 

[boss415]

Nice to start a thread off with a winner. Nice hit

 

[Incubus]

So, 2 posted plays and 2-0 +2k in HollywoodCGs thread I decided to start a end of season thread

Oklahoma/Baylor Under 150.5
Usually teams that are ranked high and then start falling have what I like to call an Identity crisis
When this happens fall into desperation mode and this results on relying heavy on defense

Baylor is already a defensive team
Only scores when playing teams with no size, the matchup here is size for size with a slight edge in the quickness department going to the sooners.

Lets see if this theory still holds water
it did yesterday with the NBA Pacers and Cavs both losers of 3 of their last 4 played under the total

This is a standard 550 to win 500

Congrats! Sweet analysis and great ATS winner! :toast:

 

[mutceR]

Thanks Guys
3-0
+2500 on posted plays

Lets see if I can keep it rolling

Miami/Notredame Under 143.5 standard 550 to win 500
I just love it when an unranked team is favored over a ranked team
last few seasons and this one is no exception
these games play under the total at a very high percentage.
Both teams play a half court offense unless Notre Dame is playing UNC or Duke
for some odd reason they like to run the floor when they play those teams.
I would have loved this at 148 or higher but looks like the odds makers are comfortable setting a low total to sucker in some over action.

 

[ekg222004]

Here was yesterdays numbers...

Baylor Rotational #539 ML public: 9% Spread public: 45% Public Over: 86%, Under: 14% ML tickets: 412 (4) Spread tickets: 2760 (4) Tickets Over: 1959, Under: 764 (3) Public Ratio: 1.25 Spread tickets difference: -1593 (7) ML tickets difference: 951 (4) Totals tickets difference: 1195 (1)

3.86

Odds from API are not available yet

1.94+7.50

Oklahoma Rotational #540 ML public: 91% Spread public: 55% Public Over: 86%, Under: 14% ML tickets: 1363 (4) Spread tickets: 1167 (4) Tickets Over: 1959, Under: 764 (3) Public Ratio: 0.8 Spread tickets difference: -1593 (7) ML tickets difference: 951 (4) Totals tickets difference: 1195 (1)

1.30

Odds from API are not available yet

1.94-7.50

 

[mutceR]

That was fantastic
Where did you get that info?
Can you get this info before the game starts or only after its over?

Very happy to see I was on the same side as the books and not the public

 

[MUFDIVR]

EKG posted a site earlier today
http://zcodesystem.com/linereversals.php

 

[mutceR]

EKG posted a site earlier today
http://zcodesystem.com/linereversals.php

thank you

 

[mutceR]

4-0
+3000 on posted plays

St Johns +9.5 for 1100 to win 1000 Double wager
No way Providence should be favored by 9 against anyone
Especially on the road against a well coached red storm team.
They match up size for size and the speed factor goes to St Johns.
I know Providence needs the game but it doesnt matter what you you need.
Should have taken care of business earlier in the year.
Ill thank the oddsmakers for giving me an over inflated line and Ill ride the red Storm for a double play

 

[boss415]

St. Johns is jekyll and hyde for me. Providence sucks when i am on em and roll when i am against. I like the angle here but two kryptonite teams for me. Bol with the play

 

[mutceR]

I think that was my first loss fading providence

 

[boss415]

There goes that angle. Get the next one $

 

[mutceR]

4-1
+1900
NC State +7.5
For standard 550 to win 500

 

[mutceR]

Minnesota +11 for standard 550 to win 500

 

[mutceR]

5-2
+1850

Duke/NC Wilmington Under 156
550 to win 500

Providence/USC Over 149.5
1100 to win 1000

Butler/Texas Tech Under 147.5
550 to win 500

Kentucky -14 550 to win 500

Will wait to play Gonzaga if it drops to -0.5 or pick
too many errr errr sharps are going the wrong way with this game
Ill wait to get a better line off of their misguidance.