I posted a long writeup why St Mary's is my Special Play tonight. There are also threads started by other good capers here with their take on the game. As to buying a point from 10 to 11 for -20 cents, maybe in football but never in basketball. Go back and look at final scores in NCAA basketball to see how many games ended with a 10 or 11 point win. I would think a lot less than the games that end with a 1, 2 or 3 point win.
I have bought the hook to get a line up or down from 1 thru 3 but why would you spend that much extra juice to buy numbers that don't hit very often. Hope you see my logic.