More on NBA Middles.

[Fishhead]

Thanks MC!

There sure is!

I love middling the NBA!

 

[MadCapper]

I just started. lander filled me in on it.

So many games finish within 1 point of the number.

 

[Fishhead]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by MadCapper:
I just started. lander filled me in on it.

So many games finish within 1 point of the number.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Not that many MC!

Here is a starting point for neophites:

Consider a middle primarily a breakeven proposition if you lay -110 on both sides, get at least a 1.5 point middle and the spread is between 2 and 9 points.

Now you can BASICALLY increase your breakeven chances by the doing the following......

1. Have lower vig on one or both sides.

2. Have a greater than 1.5 point middle.

3. Having the middle involve the numbers 5 or 7.

 

[lander]

Indeed - This is one of the best threads in recent history (or not so recent).

Lots of money to be made with info like this

 

[D2bets]

Nice chart, I like that -- reduced juice is the key. I think this is even more profitable than I realized....no wonder. Despite some of those numbers though I refuse to believe that 10 to 14 would be as profitable as 5 to 9.

College is not bad either though, especially the numbers of '8' and '9' IMO.

 

[blueedwards]

maybe i am in minority here but, with the books i use i almost never see a variance of more than 1 point on an nba game.

 

[Fishhead]

Blue- You must be sharp enough to anticipate moves. If you are wrong, you will pay for it with your pocketbook.

 

[D2bets]

Blue, it's the books you use. Gotta use all the reduced juice shops, take advantage of opinions in both directions and make plays at the right times while lines and loose. Aniticpation is one way to go, but it's very difficult to completely anticipate IMO. It's easier to see some hint of movement, make the play and then wait for the steam to get ironed out. After awhile you just get a feel for it and learn which books to trust on certain things.

And it's considerably easier to find middles for college hoops than for NBA. And (IMO anyway) college hoops are better for middles than people think, especially if you focus on spreads in the 7 to 10 point range.

 

[Fishhead]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by D2bets:
Blue, it's the books you use. Gotta use all the reduced juice shops, take advantage of opinions in both directions and make plays at the right times while lines and loose. Aniticpation is one way to go, but it's very difficult to completely anticipate IMO. It's easier to see some hint of movement, make the play and then wait for the steam to get ironed out. After awhile you just get a feel for it and learn which books to trust on certain things.

And it's considerably easier to find middles for college hoops than for NBA. And (IMO anyway) college hoops are better for middles than people think, especially if you focus on spreads in the 7 to 10 point range.

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Points well taken D2!

I highly recommend the use of a second computor monitor to just monitor LIVE LINES.

 

[blueedwards]

d2...shoot me an email.

[This message was edited by blue edwards on December 10, 2003 at 04:38 PM.]

 

[D2bets]

Fish, that definitely sounds like a good way to go if you can swing that. What live lines service or system do you use for this, is it in real time and is it dedicated just to the books that you are interested in?

Blue, you got mail.

 

[RealSlimShady]

Wow......thats quite a bit of data you posted. Thanks.
I do play middles in the NBA(first/second half totals ONLY). Based on my experience, if you can get 1.5 points, it has been a profitable strategy, but I don't have the exact numbers to back it up.

 

[Fishhead]

I have mainly only used three services:

DONBEST PREMIUM ($500 a month)
DONBEST EXPRESS ($65 a month)
THERX LIVE LINES ( FREE)

Without question the best is the DB PREMIUM if you can swing it and find it worth the cost.

I find the THERX LIVE LIVES to be better for me than the DB EXPRESS and you cant beat the price.