Moneyline vs. -1.5 Runlines

[Hip2Bsq]

You're post convinced me to try it today with the Braves. The money worked out so it's basically -1, because if Atl wins by 1 run then the winnings from the ML covers the loss from the runline. But if they win by more than 1, I get a better payout than if I put it all on the moneyline.

BOL

I hope it works as planned for today. I usually look at the card and find the worst paying RL odds of the day as a starting point. You will see that I got burned on opening day taking the Yankees who are always overpriced in the market but I played it as a play on CC more than anything. I thought things might change for him as he got off to an 0-4 start last year before becoming lights out and I thought he might be in better form this year.

It usually hits between 66% - 72% of the time. Somedays winning by one run will still net some profit. D.Lowe came with a high price tag today.

I am also looking at the 5 inning RL where we only have to give up a half of a run. Have not posted these yet but played two of them small yesterday actually in a two team parlay and won with the Yankees but came 1 out away from winning with the Dodgers who gave up a double with two outs and a man on second in the bottom of the 5th. So I lost by 1/2 a run. in a 1-1 ball game at the end of 5.

 

[Coaster]

I play RL sometimes but only when the total is 9 or above.
Are there any stats of RL with high totals versus low??

Taking this to the extreme if the total was set at 3(crazy)the chances of a one run game are dramatically increased as opposed to a total of 20(equally crazy). This just for example.

IMHO: RL are a better wager when a higher total is set by the bookmaker.

 

[barman]

You're post convinced me to try it today with the Braves. The money worked out so it's basically -1, because if Atl wins by 1 run then the winnings from the ML covers the loss from the runline. But if they win by more than 1, I get a better payout than if I put it all on the moneyline.

I myself will occasionally wager both the ML and the RL for a team, but I want to be sure that I make a profit if only one comes in (whether a Fave runline or a Dog runline)

Also, I never....NEVER wager ML straight for more than -140

Now I will use higher faved MLs, but I only do so in a 2TeamParlay so as to reduce my exposure.

 

[barman]

Final note for now....Always remember that RLs can be quite useful from a Dog standpoint as well, up to (in my opinion) -140

In such a case, lower Total-lined games can be a modest indicator.

 

[ViewtheFuture]

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=594771&highlight=runline+moneyline