laying 550 is tough...if you take all your 550 bets & categorize them by themselves you would need to win at least 6 out of every 7 (I beleive) to grind out a profit...Personally I agree with you on Philly tonite,
however I feel the more attractive line is -1.5 -140...sure more of a chance of losing, however laying -140 you only need to win two of every 3 (still damn hard!!!)...
Pitt is coming off an 0-8 trouncing at the hands of the habs & don't beleive they will be able to handle a rested philly team tonight...This is the same Pitt team that walked into the Stanly Cup Champion NJ Devil's home a short while back & walked away with a 4-2 victory. On any given night anything can happen.
I'm not worried about laying the -550 because I'm very confident in tonight's game. Philly is 13-2 at home, and Pittsburgh is 3-14 on the road. Hoping that Pitt is still demoralized from their 8-0 loss on Saturday and Philly is pissed b/c they haven't won in the last 4 games.
Winning 6/7 to make a profit is only if all betw are weighted equally.