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Charlie Sports

mlb. arizona @ st.louis under 8 (500*)

mlb. philadelphia-115 (30*)

mlb. chisox-110 (20*)

mlb. oakland-135 (20*)

mlb. mets-120 (10*)
mlb. dodgers-120 (10*) Bonus Play


The Wunderdog
Game: Tampa Bay at Cleveland (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cleveland -196

The D-Rays look at Jacobs Field as a house of horrors and will be glad to get out of there. They have dropped eight straight there and overall have been swept 3 times in their last 5 visits, including a four-game sweep to close last season. The D-Rays are once again finding the win column on the road very difficult. They have dropped their last seven games overall and have lost five straight on the road. Fausto Carmona has struggled some lately, but the good news is that Tampa has shown no offense against RHP. They are plus units against LHP, but are 22-34 -9.59 units against RHP, and the last three outings against RHP have produced a grand total of three runs. Cleveland has bounced back off of a 3-7 slide to go 12-6, and has won four in a row. They will sweep tonight to make it 4-of-6 sweeps over the Rays.

Sebastian
20* Arizona
20* Philadelphia
10* Boston
7* Seattle
7* TB/CLEV under
7* LAD/ATL under

Paul Leiner
5* White Sox

Brandon Lang
15 Dime
NY Mets

5 Dime
Philadelphia
Texas

Michael Cannon
Money Train

15 Dime
Philadelphia


5 Dime
Milwaukee
Seattle

Chris Jordan
Philadelphia (-120) at HOUSTON

Play the Over in the Phillies/Astros game tonight, as we take a look at a traditional high in the National League.
Aside from the Over coming in four of the last five times these two have met, there are many aspects to look at with his clash.
The Over has cashed the ticket in 12 of Houston's last 14 home games, not to mention in five of the last six times it's been posted as a home underdog. Overall this team has seen the total soar in 14 of its last 19 overall, while it's been the high number in four straight home starts by Woody Williams.
With the Phillies, the Over is 13-5-1 the last 19 times they've been carrying suitcases, while it's come in five of the last seven times the Phils have stepped on the field. It's also punched the winning ticket in four of Philly's last five against the NL Central.
In the teams' first series this season, they posted run totals of 15, 13 and 15.
I'll look for this one to get there as well.

2? OVER

Michael Cannon
New York Mets (-120) at COLORADO

Take the Mets as the road chalk tonight over the Rockies.
Tom Glavine will get the start for the Mets and he's had great success against the Rockies in his career. The left-hander is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 27 career games against Colorado.
The Rockies will counter with Jason Hirsh and the right-hander has struggled to an 0-1 record and a 9.20 ERA over his last three starts. On the year Hirsh is just 3-7 with a 5.21 ERA.
The thin air of Coors should help keep the Mets hot bats going tonight, particularly Carlos Beltran.
Take the Mets as the road chalk for the win tonight.

4? NEW YORK METS

Bobby Maxwell
N.Y. Mets at COLORADO (+120)

There's no place like home for the Rockies as they just wrapped up a 1-9 road trip with a loss in Houston. But in their last eight home games they are 7-1. So let's take the plus money and watch as the bats get going at Coors Field in this one and they beat the Mets.
Tom Glavine is pitching for New York and he is just 3-4 on the road with a 4.97 ERA. He's given up a combined 16 runs in his last two road starts as the Yankees and Tigers both destroyed him. Last time he pitched in Colorado, Glavine gave up five runs on eight hits in six innings of a 5-3 loss back in 2005.
Jason Hirsh (3-7, 5.21) is on the mound for the Rockies. He's started just once against the Mets and it was last season as a member of the Astros when he held the Mets to one earned run on five hits in six innings of a 4-2 loss.
The Rockies tend to pound right-handed pitching and hit .285 at home against them. They'll be so relieved to be at home, look for a big offensive game from them.
Play Colorado in what should be a slugfest tonight.

2? COLORADO

Sports Gambling Hotline
Baltimore at WHITE SOX (pick)

Tonight in a great pitcher's duel, we will look for the White Sox to continue their winning ways.
Chicago has quietly won 6 of their last 7 games, while Baltimore has dropped 5 of 8 as they head to the Windy City, and the Orioles are only 16-24 on the road this year.
Bedard is Mr. Strikeout, but the O's are only 9-8 when he starts, meanwhile if Mark Buehrle is going to be traded, then his stock should be through the roof, as the southpaw is 3-1 his last 4 starts - all of them quality starts.
With the Sox playing some of their best baseball of the summer, and the Orioles less than a solid winning propostion on the road, we will side with Buehrle in this pitcher's duel.
Play on the Pale Hose.

3? WHITE SOX

Karl Garrett
Philadelphia (-120) at HOUSTON

Tonight gonna go with the crafty-vet Jamie Moyer and the Phillies, as Moyer is 2-0 his last 3 starts, and the Phillies are 10-6 when the southpaw toes the rubber this year.
Can't find many positives about Woody Williams this year, as Williams is still struggling at 3-10 with an ERA that is still well over 5. The Phillies are responsible for 1 of those 13 losses, as they tagged the Wood-Man for 5 runs in 5 innings in an April meeting in Philly.
The Phillies took 2 of 3 in that series, and they did win all 3 games last season at Houston.
No issue laying a little road wood with Philadelphia tonight, as I can see them torching Woody Williams once again.

2? PHILADELPHIA

Dave Cokin
(921) BAL Orioles
(922) CHI White Sox

Take "(921) BAL Orioles"

Erik Bedard is pitching tremendous ball for Baltimore and the southpaw goes against a White Sox team that has been beyond pathetic against lefties. Mark Buehrle is no slouch to be sure but he's unlikely to get much support in this contest. The O's are the far better team against lefties and I'd give Bedard the edge over Buehrle on the pitching side. The Chisox have come alive and are off a very good week but I'm still going to have to tab the Orioles here.

Jim feist
(907) ARI D'backs
(908) STL Cardinals

Take "(907) ARI D'backs"

The Diamondbacks are in a dogfight with the Padres and Dodgers for top honor in the NL West. They get to go with their ace this game in Brandon Webb (8-5, 3.05 ERA). He has 100 Ks in 108 innings. The D-Backs are one of the few teams in baseball with a winning road record, while the Cardinals are one of the bad teams with a LOSING home record! Converted starter Braden Looper had a good start to the season, but all the innings are beginning to show with an 8.82 ERA the last three starts. Play the Diamondbacks!

MADDUX SPORTS


San Diego -130

Big Al McMordie

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (MLB)
Jul 2, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Total: 8.5 Over

Cubs lefthanded veteran Ted Lilly is having another typical Ted Lilly season. He has never been a low ERA pitcher and often gets himself into trouble, but he strikes guys out and occasionally will throw in a gem of a start about one in every five or six times he goes out there. Lilly is in the middle of a bit of a rough patch now, having allowed four or more earned runs in five of his last seven appearances. Lilly does, however, tend to get plenty of run support when he needs it. In fact the Cubs have scored four or more runs in eight of his last ten starts and five or more runs in five of his last eight. Nats righthanded starter Jason Simontacchi has certainly had his problems this season, and most have come in front of the home crowd. Although Simontacchi has 5 wins on the year, his record at home is only 2-4 and his ERA is a ghastly 7.76 at RFK Stadium. This is the first meeting of the year for these two at RFK and they certainly have not had trouble scoring runs there in the past as four of the last six contests in DC have gone a total of nine runs or more.

Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

HONDO

July 2, 2007 -- Hondo followed up Saturday night's 12-inning, excruciating Dodger loss with another painful one yesterday, losing a one-runner with the Orioles to in crease the debt to 150 griches.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will take a stab with the Rang ers against Gabbard, and try VB and the Bucs over the Brews. Ten units apiece

Marc Lawrence

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, July 1st, 4:10 P.M. EST EST

Padres close their weekend set with the Dodgers in Los Angeles behind Justin Germano, who has been much better on the road (1.80 ERA) than at home (3.75 ERA) this season. With Germano in solid current form, look for San Diego to pick up the win here today.

Play on: San Diego

CAPPERS ACCESS

(Mon) MLB Brewers
(Mon) MLB W. Sox
(Mon) MLB Blue Jays

LINES AND PICKS
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +180

GEORGE SMEADER
MLB Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland []
Take Tampa Bay Devil Rays
We will play on the moneyline at +185 The Tampa Bay Devil Rays stack up in our MLB system with a 5.9 rating. Our system is based on several years of experience, practice and fine tuning with solid year over year returns. Ratings are not multipliers on base unit betting. Our ratings system is on a 1-8 scale, but we will never release a play lower than a 5.9. Winning is our business and businss is good

JIMMY MOOSE
The Phillies avoided the 4-game sweep with a win vs. the Mets yesterday. Tonight the Phillies send 7-5 Moyer to the mound to continue the winning. Philadelphia is 13-6 in Moyer's last 19 starts. In their last 11 road games vs. a right handed starter the Phillies are 9-2. Philadelphia is 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. NL Central opponents. The Astros are 7-15 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series. Houston is 4-7 in their last 11 games. Woody Williams hasn't been what the Astros expected when the signed him. He's 3-10 on the year with a 5.58 ERA. In his last 5 starts vs. the Phillies his team's record is 1-4.
Good Luck. - Jimmy the Moose

SCOTTS PICKS
Kansas City (Meche) +115

Wise Owl Syndicate- Cubs

Straley Group- Padres

PRICELESS PICKS
MLB

Minnesota +170 (listing Bonser and Clemens)

The Yanks are 2-9 in their last 11 games averaging just 2.5 runs over that stretch. I can tell you right now that this kind of offensive performance is not going to be enough to help the Rocket notch a win. Clemens is just 2-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. We'll go against the Rocket again and the struggling Yanks in this one.

Brandon Lang:

15 Dime:
Mets

5 Dime:
Phillies
Rangers

Bonus Play: Mariners

Ben Burns
Game: Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres
Jul 2 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Florida Marlins
Reason: The Marlins come off a marathon extra-inning game, which included a 90-minute rain delay, vs. the Braves. Now they have to fly all the way to the West Coast to take on a San Diego squad which is a healthy 20-13 when coming off a loss. Wells comes off a strong start at San Francisco in which he held the Giants to one run through six innings. He also pitched well vs. Baltimore in his previous outing (2 earned runs through 6 1/3 innings) which gave him a stellar 2.93 ERA at Petco Park this season. Mitre, on the other hand, got roughed up by the Pirates in his last start. He now has a 6.27 ERA and 1.768 WHIP his last three starts. Wells outpitched Mitre at Florida back in May. Look for him to do so again this evening as the Marlins fall to 16-22 when coming off a victory.

Lou Diamondz
100 units Mets

Rocco Spacamuro
500* Brewers

jeff alexander
Oakland -128 (action)

Toronto is 0-9 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. The Jays are just 11-29 against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is 32-12 against the money line after 4 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 3 seasons. Toronto is a very poor road team and we'll play against its recent struggles here tonight.

LT Profits

Texas Rangers (150)
Mon Jul 2 '07 7:05p

Rangers & McCarthy +150 to stun Red Sox

The Texas Rangers have taken two of the first three games of this series with the Boston Red Sox, and we feel that the Rangers are poised for another upset given this pitching matchup.
Brandon McCarthy is currently in fine form for Texas, as he has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts. He has a 3.26 ERA with a nice 1.22 WHIP during this stretch. Also, McCarthy tossed a beauty in his only career outing here in Fenway Park, pitching seven scoreless innings while allowing just three hits as a member of the Chicago White Sox.
Now Kason Gabbard is taking the spot of the injured Curt Schilling in the Red Sox rotation, and he certainly floundered in his first go-around. Gabbard lasted just 3.1 innings in his start in Seattle, needing 82 pitches primarily due to the six walks to go along with the six hits that he allowed. This was not the first time that he struggled with his control, so we do not think pitching at home will make much of a difference tonight.
Now granted the Red Sox have the lowest bullpen ERA in the American League at 2.91, but the Texas bullpen checks in tied for third with Seattle at 3.50, so we like the chances of the underdog Rangers holding any lead they can build vs. Gabbard.

Rangers +150



New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies u10.0 (-105)
Mon Jul 2 '07 9:05p

Mets & Rockies Under 10 (-105)
It seems that the infamous humidor is doing its job this season, as Colorado Rockies home games are averaging a relatively normal 10.03 combined runs per game.
Tom Glavine of the New York Mets has straightened himself out, as the veteran has allowed just one run and seven hits in 14 innings over his last two starts. He has also done well in Colorado in the past, even when the balls were flying out of here. Glavine has eight Quality Starts in his last 10 car

Steve Janus

MLB : D backs - 130
.

LOCKSMITH SPORTS
MLB
Seattle -114 (listing Hernandez)

The Mariners are the hottest team in baseball having won 8 in a row and 10 of their last 11 games. Seattle is 5-1 against KC this season, 3-0 against the Royals in KC this season, and 17-6 in all games against the Royals over the last 3 years. I guess you could say the Mariners own the Royals. There's even more incentive for the Mariners tonight as they look to keep rolling in the midst of their manager stepping down and against a former teammate in Meche. The M's persevere and punish the Royals in this spot

GAMEDAY SPORTS
Seattle @ Kansas CitY

Pick: UNDER 8.5
Time: 8:10 PM EST

JOE PHILLIPS
MLB Baltimore vs. Chicago (A) []
Take Baltimore Orioles
Red hot Erik Bedard for Baltimore is 4-1 on the road and has a 1.80 era over his last 3 starts, while Orioles are hitting .376 vs lefty's last 10 games. Add another injury to the already depleted White Sox lineup as left fielder Scott Podsednik is out tonight. Balt is 11-4 in Bedards last 15 starts vs teams with lossing records. Take the Balt Orioles a free winner from JOE and do'nt forget to chech back everyday for winning MLB selections, and upcoming news from the NFL camps. GOOD LUCK.

DENNIS MACKLIN
MLB Florida vs. San Diego []
Take San Diego Padres
Neither pitching is exactly lighting it up here. Florida's Sergio Miitre is 0-1 with 6.17 ERA in his L3 while David Wells is 0-2 with 4.07 badge in his L3. The Fish are 2-6 L8 while the Friars have won four of five agiants better and are home where native Wells is "tons" better with 2.98 ERA in five starts as opposed to 4.48 ERA (7.00+ on the road) overall . Wells beat Mitre in South Beach 7-6 back on May 5th, neither pitcher lasting six. The bullpen gave it up for Fish that day but again Wells home/road form dichotomy and 2.82 LT ERA against Fish will get the rotund one through. Take San Diego

JOHN ANTHONY
MLB Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh []
Take Over
Jeff Suppan has 4.87 ERA on the year but is 1-0 with 9.68 ERA in L3 giving up a whopping 17 earned on 26 hits in 15+ innings to Twins, Royals, and Astros. Not good. Pitt's Van Benschoten has made three starts with 4.29 ERA but has dodeged bullets allowing 22 baserunner (10 walks) in just 14 innings which won't cut it against Brew Crew outfit hitting .270 and avgg 6.4 rpg in L7. Play the over

JEFF ALLEN
MLB Minnesota vs. New York (A) []
Take Over
Two struggling starters here. The Twins Boof Bonser has been getting hit hard of late, 0-2 with 6.87 ERA. In his only LT start against the Yanks, Bonser was touched for six runs on seven hits and lasting just four and a third. The Rocket is 0-3 with 5.40 ERA in his L3. Clemens has LT 1.64 ERA versus Twinkies in 16 career starts but he's faced Minn just once since 2003 ..... play the over.

DAVE PRICE
MLB Minnesota vs. New York (A) []
Take Minnesota Twins
1 Unit on Minnesota +170 (listing Bonser and Clemens) The Yanks are 2-9 in their last 11 games averaging just 2.5 runs over that stretch. I can tell you right now that this kind of offensive performance is not going to be enough to help the Rocket notch a win. Clemens is just 2-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. We'll go against the Rocket again and the struggling Yanks in this one.

JIMMY BOYD
MLB Seattle vs. Kansas City []
Take Seattle Mariners
1 Unit on Seattle -114 (listing Hernandez) The Mariners are the hottest team in baseball having won 8 in a row and 10 of their last 11 games. Seattle is 5-1 against KC this season, 3-0 against the Royals in KC this season, and 17-6 in all games against the Royals over the last 3 years. I guess you could say the Mariners own the Royals. There's even more incentive for the Mariners tonight as they look to keep rolling in the midst of their manager stepping down and against a former teammate in Meche. The M's persevere and punish the Royals in this spot.

LARRY NESS

Monday Night Massacre


Game: New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Jul 2 2007 9:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Reason: New York's troubles seem behind them. The team opened June 4-14 but has won eight of its last 10. The Mets had to send rookie Mike Pelfrey to the mound Sunday and he fell to 0-6 with a 5-3 loss to Philadelphia as the first-place Mets couldn't close out a four-game sweep of their NL East rivals. Met starters were 6-0 with a 1.82 ERA in nine games prior to Sunday's loss, with tonight's starter Tom Glavine winning twice. Glavine has won two straight outings after going 0-4 in his previous five, allowing one run and seven hits in his past 14 innings. The Mets were 24-8 (plus-$1,449) in Glavine's starts LY and are 10-7 this year. He is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 27 starts against the Rockies but he hasn't faced them in two years. It's not bad news for Glavine and the Mets that the Rockies are just 7-14 (minus-$765) vs left-handed starts in 2007, averaging a measly 3.7 RPG. It's also not bad news for the Mets that Colorado limps into this game losers of NINE of its last 10, allowing 77 runs (8.6/game) in the nine losses. The Rockies will counter with Jason Hirsh (3-7, 5.21 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 9.20 ERA in his last three starts, allowing seven home runs in that span (team has lost seven of his last 10 starts). Even if Hirsh can keep this game close, the Rockies' bullpen is in a bit of disarray right now. Brian Fuentes, demoted from the closer's role on Saturday, gave up two runs and two hits in one inning of yesterday's 12-0 loss to Houston. Fuentes has allowed 10 earned runs in his last five appearances. More good news comes New York's way in that the team is 13-4 (plus-$1,025) vs right-handed starters on the road in night games. Monday Massacre on the New York Mets.

scott rickenbach

MLB
Phillies
Royals over
A's over

Arena
Blaze

Tony Onio

500?METS

200?PHILLY

BLACK WIDOW SPORTS
Philadelphia -109

(List Moyer and Williams)



Jamie Moyer has been a steady starter for the Phillies in 2007. He is 7-5 on the year with a 4.15 ERA. He has been even better over his last 3 starts with a 2-0 record and a 2.37 ERA. Woody Williams has been steady for the Astros too. He is a steady loser. Williams is 3-10 on the year with a 5.58 earned run average. The Astros are 1-4 in Williams' last 5 starts as an underdog. The Phillies are 11-4 in Moyer's last 15 starts as a favorite. Moyer has shined in Game 1’s all season. The Phillies are 7-0 in Moyer’s last 7 starts in Game 1 of a series. Philadelphia is 9-2 in their last 11 road games against a right-handed starter. Take Philadelphia.

INFO PLAYS
3* on San Diego -127

(Action)


David Wells has pitched better than expected all season long. Sergio Mitre started great, but has struggled lately with a 6.27 ERA over his last 3 outings for Florida. The Marlins are 2-9 in Mitre's last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Marlins are 0-6 in Mitre's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. They are 5-14 in Mitre’s last 19 starts overall. The Padres are 4-1 in Wells' last 5 starts vs. National League East. The Padres are 35-17 in their last 52 games as a home favorite. San Diego is 34-16 in their last 50 games following a loss. They seem to bounce back nicely. Bet San Diego
 
Joined
May 6, 2006
Messages
4,797
Tokens
Paul Leiner - 2007/07/02 10:44
5* White Sox -110


FPBE Free Picks <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Matty O'Shea - MIL -140
Ben Burns - FLA +122
Bryan Leonard - SEA -115
Jeff Bonds - LAD -115

MATT F@RGO

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies 9:05 PM ET

The Mets did drop their series finale at Philadelphia but they took three of three of the four games in the set and are playing excellent right now. After going on an abysmal 3-13 stretch, New York has won eight of its last 10 games and it’s been the pitching that has carried it. The Mets have allowed three runs or fewer in seven of those 10 games and will be counted on once again to shut down the Rockies. Colorado won on Saturday but has dropped nine of its last 10 games.
Tom Glavine is back in form after two uncharacteristic games where he allowed 16 earned runs in back-to-back outings. In the two games since then, he has allowed just one run in 14 innings for a 0.64 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. Glavine’s biggest problem this season has been pitching during the day where he is 1-3 with an 8.42 ERA. In 12 nighttime starts, he is 6-2 with a 2.62 ERA with the Mets going 9-3 in those games. In his career, he is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA against the Rockies.

Jason Hirsh has been up and down this season and most of the down part has been recently. He has allowed five runs in each of his last three starts for a 9.20 ERA and 1.84 ratio. The long ball has been a real issue as he has given up seven over those three games and has allowed two dingers in three of his last five home games. At Coors, he is 1-4 with a 5.62 ERA which is the same ERA he has posted in 11 nighttime starts where he is just 1-5. New York averaged 5.5 rpg in Philadelphia and that continues here.

With Colorado struggling so much, it has been a mixture of problems and that helps the Mets in a great situation. Play against home underdogs after a game where they had four or less hits and have a bullpen that is struggling with an 8.00 ERA or higher over its last five games. This situation is 37-9 against the moneyline (80.4 percent) since 1997 with the average run differential being +2.6 rpg. This is a very good price for a hot Mets team that has won 20 of the last 26 meetings.

Play New York Mets 1 Unit


JR Miller -
TWINS (+1.5) -117 at Yankees
Braves at Dodgers OVER 7.5 +118
CARDINALS +121 over Diamondbacks


Hot-Locks Sports Investments:

Minn/Yanks Under 9.5 - 4 units.(1-5 units, 5 highest)

UNDER is 7-1-1 in Rogers L 9 vs Minny,
UNDER is 9-2-1 in Rogers L1 12 overall,

Bonser & clemans are 5-0 to the UNDER combined L5 starts,

Boof pitches failrly well on the road and Roger is well Roger. 5-3 type game here if that.


Boston -158 - 4 units
Boston -1.5 RL, - 2 units.
Lots of chalk here but the Bosox are 21-6 L 3 seasons when they have lost BTB at home. Off two close 1 run losses against the Rangers will certainly be motivation. In games 3 & 4 of a series, the Bosox are also 7-0 L 3 seasons off BTB losses and have won bu an average of 3.14 rpg. Texas has played well in these lasttwo wins but it is certainly not enough to habve us jump on the VALUE play here and take the rangers, no way. Boston gets back on track.


Ness Monday Night Massacre <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Jul 2 2007 9:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Reason: New York's troubles seem behind them. The team opened June 4-14 but has won eight of its last 10. The Mets had to send rookie Mike Pelfrey to the mound Sunday and he fell to 0-6 with a 5-3 loss to Philadelphia as the first-place Mets couldn't close out a four-game sweep of their NL East rivals. Met starters were 6-0 with a 1.82 ERA in nine games prior to Sunday's loss, with tonight's starter Tom Glavine winning twice. Glavine has won two straight outings after going 0-4 in his previous five, allowing one run and seven hits in his past 14 innings. The Mets were 24-8 (plus-$1,449) in Glavine's starts LY and are 10-7 this year. He is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 27 starts against the Rockies but he hasn't faced them in two years. It's not bad news for Glavine and the Mets that the Rockies are just 7-14 (minus-$765) vs left-handed starts in 2007, averaging a measly 3.7 RPG. It's also not bad news for the Mets that Colorado limps into this game losers of NINE of its last 10, allowing 77 runs (8.6/game) in the nine losses. The Rockies will counter with Jason Hirsh (3-7, 5.21 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 9.20 ERA in his last three starts, allowing seven home runs in that span (team has lost seven of his last 10 starts). Even if Hirsh can keep this game close, the Rockies' bullpen is in a bit of disarray right now. Brian Fuentes, demoted from the closer's role on Saturday, gave up two runs and two hits in one inning of yesterday's 12-0 loss to Houston. Fuentes has allowed 10 earned runs in his last five appearances. More good news comes New York's way in that the team is 13-4 (plus-$1,025) vs right-handed starters on the road in night games. Monday Massacre on the New York Mets


Scott Rickenbach's Players Advantage
ARENA

1* (regular play) Utah Blaze (+4.5) @ Los Angeles Avengers @ 10:00 ET - After opening up this line at just a field goal it's been driven up to a 4.5 as of Monday morning. The Los Angeles money has poured in and that's fine by us because we see the Blaze winning this one outright but we'll gladly grab the extra points here! Utah comes into this game with a couple of key advantages. Before we get into those it is also noteworthy that, even though the Blaze struggled late in the season so did Colorado. All the Crush did Saturday was go into Kansas City as a 6 point dog and walk out as a winner by a full touchdown! The fact is that the playoffs are simply a brand new season and the regular season streaks don't carry the same weight.
Even though Utah suffered a late season five game losing streak they are in fantastic shape coming into this one. That's because they got a much needed late season bye and then came out and knocked off the Avengers in the final week of the season. Of course Los Angeles will be looking for revenge here but Utah has had their number. The Blaze have won four straight games over the Avengers and they intercepted six passes in the most recent victory. That does a world of good for the confidence of the much maligned Utah defense while also dealing the Avengers and QB Sonny Cumbie a major blow to their own confidence. As Utah Blaze defensive coordinator Hunkie Cooper properly stated, a lot of stats in the AFL are not very helpful simply because it is the AFL! The quality of play of a unit must be based more on what is seen on the field than just the black and white yardage numbers on paper because the offensive performances are so explosive in this league. That is why the Blaze defense is much better than their full season numbers would indicate. They have played much better to close out the season.

Utah is as healthy and rested as it has been all season. Their win over the Avengers in their final regular season game has been their only game in the last 23 days! The Blaze are so healthy that the coaches have actually struggled this past week about who to bring off the injured list and who to play in this playoff game. Indeed, it's a good problem to have. Receiver Aaron Boone is ready to play, and might replace Huey Whittaker in tonight's starting lineup. Defensive back Clarence Lawson is eligible to come off the injured list, but likely will not. That's because J'Sharlon Jones, Leroy Smith and Jacoby Shepherd have played so well the last few games. The Blaze also got back Orshawante Bryant last week. Utah is also using the untimely passing of receiver and linebacker Justin Skaggs to brain cancer as additional motivation for a strong playoff performance. Skaggs death was a heartbreaking loss to the team with just a game remaining in the regular season.

The Blaze rallied in their first game without Skaggs to defeat Los Angeles. We feel they will do the same tonight. They are certainly the more explosive offense in this match-up. As a result, they can get up early in this game and, by doing so, they will take the crowd out of the game and also force the tempo into a higher scoring match-up which is what they prefer. With Utah's defense playing more consistent they can get a few stops and/or turnovers again against LA. Last, but certainly not least, we like the experience of Blaze QB Joe Germaine over the Avengers Cumbie. Play Utah plus the points as a regular selection



COMPUTER PLAYS

*NO BEST BETS

7:05 p.m. Cleveland Indians -210
8:10 p.m. Chicago White Sox - 110
9:05 p.m. New York Mets - 125


Donald Tran
Monday, July 2, 2007

Sport: MLB
Matchup: Arizona at St. Louis
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks -130 W/ Webb


John Ryan

Game: Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 2 2007 7:05PM

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Pittsburgh - Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 29-12 and has made 33.2 units since 2001. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs, in the second half of the season. Milwaukee starter Suppan has been really struggling of late sporting a 9.76 ERA and 1.978 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Pittsburgh has won 11 of its last 15 home games against Milwaukee, including seven of 10 last year. Speaking of second half trends, Milwaukee was not a good team when favored. In 2006 they were just 20-20 and -423 units when playing as a favorite. Granted, this team is far better than the 2006 edition, but keep in the mind that the lines already reflect that change. SUPPAN is 1-10 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 7-28 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in road games with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 9-4 (+7.0 Units) against the money line with triple revenge - 3 straight losses against opponent this season. Take the Pirates


Jennifer Barry
Monday, July 2 2007

Sport: MLB
Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -140 W/ Suppan


Leiner 20* Mariners, 5* NYY/Min over 9.5


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Dunkel Index

Today's MLB Picks

Minnesota at NY Yankees

The Yankees have lost nine of their last 12 and will turn to Roger Clemens tonight to turn it around. But after winning his first start for New York, Clemens has lost his last three while posting a 5.40 ERA. Minnesota comes in playing well despite a 1-0 loss at Detroit last night. Overall the Twins have won eight of their last 12, including six of their last eight on the road. The Twins look like a good underdog pick (+185) according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+185). Here are all of today's games.
<TABLE cellSpacing=4 cellPadding=4 width=537><TBODY><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>MONDAY, JULY 2
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 17.451; Washington (Simontacchi) 14.406
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 3; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-170); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 16.887; Pittsburgh (Van Benschoten) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.260; Houston (Williams) 14.788
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 907-908: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Webb) 15.856; St. Louis (Looper) 16.368
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+140); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 909-910: NY Mets at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Glavine) 17.246; Colorado (Hirsh) 15.313
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-135); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 911-912: Florida at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Mitre) 14.477; San Diego (Wells) 16.616
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-130); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 913-914: Atlanta at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Smoltz) 16.469; LA Dodgers (Lowe) 16.334
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 915-916: Minnesota at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Bonser) 16.310; NY Yankees (Clemens) 14.893
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+185); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 13.526; Cleveland (Carmona) 16.344
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-215); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 919-920: Texas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 17.385; Boston (Gabbard) 16.550
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 11
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+175); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 921-922: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bedard) 16.033; White Sox (Buehrle) 17.073
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+110); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 923-924: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.333; Kansas City (Meche) 17.166
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 925-926: Toronto at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Towers) 15.020; Oakland (Dinardo) 16.704
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-140); Over</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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HI there, Do you have any picks from guys Matt River, Jeff Benton, Trace Adams, Joey ..
Thanks
 

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Bb, Whats Up With Seperate Postings Of Service Plays?
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox
Monday, July 2nd, 8:10 P.M. EDT

White Sox have played 10 straight unders. In five of their last six contests the loser of the game scored just one run. Bedard shows a 1.80 ERA his last three starts while Buerhle has nearly matched him with 2.08. BEDARD is 25-10 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) BUEHRLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.3 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on: Under
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Dunkel Did Show A Profit On Side Plays,but He Posted A Total Of 29 Plays,hard To Play Them All Or Decide Which To Choose From, Dont You Think?
 
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Fast Eddie Sports
MLB

10* $200 TOP Play -
NY Mets - 120
======================================== ==============
c-stars
FREE TRENDS FOR MONDAY
When BOSTON team played as a -160 to -180 home Favorite - Total is between 10.5 to 11.0 - During the month of July 1-9 O/U in this spot.


Play under 11

________________________

Bobby Bo

Monday July 2, 2007

Sport:MLB
Game: Brewers vs Pirates
Prediction: 1* Brewers -135
======================================== ==============
Paul Leiner
Monday, July 2, 2007

Sport: MLB
Game: Chicago/Baltimore
Prediction: 5* White Sox -110
======================================== ===============
Frank Patron

Date: Monday July 2, 2007

Sport: MLB
Game: Mets vs Colorado

Prediction: Mets-135
________________________

Mike Jacobs

Monday, July 2, 2007
Sport: MLB
Game: Rangers vs Redsox
Prediction: 4*UNDER 11

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Dunkel Did Show A Profit On Side Plays,but He Posted A Total Of 29 Plays,hard To Play Them All Or Decide Which To Choose From, Dont You Think?

Yes it is hard to play or fade him, I think you have to decide to play or fade sides or totals with him.

By the way the spreadsheet looks great this will help us all make some money, I for one like the some of the cappers to fade.

Thanks for all the hard work.

BB
 
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IC: July 2nd

Monday's Report:
*Please note that I type fairly fast, and you will probably see some typing errors as these are my raw thoughts. thanks.

No wnba.

Mlb: New sest of series begin:

Cubs vs. Nationals

Cubs have won 9 out of 10. Keep in mind that much of the stats as I'm writing this sunday afternoon have not been updated for sunday. They were on an over streak of 5 in a row however, the last 2 have gone under the total. Lilly has won 2 of his last 3 starts and given up 9 earned runs in his last 2 starts. At least he has been consistent as he has given up 6 hits in each of his last 3 starts. He faced the Nats last year and shut them out. Simontacchi pitched great against cleveland and baltimore, but also gave up 10 hits and 10 runs to the tigers. He is a bit unpredictable. Lean on the Cubs here given that they are hot and of course, it is the Nats and they lose more often that not.

Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh

Brewers lost 3 of 4 from the Cubs, but even given that, they still have won 14 of their last 19. Pirates have won 5 of their last 7 including back to back series with as they beat the marlins and the nats. Suppan pitched against pitt this season and won both times 7-5 and 6-3. JVB has pitched twice, averaging around 5 innings a game and giving up 2-3 runs. Brewers are hot, but this seems to be a one run game around 5-4 or so. I don't see any true edge here.

Phillies vs. Astros

Phillies beat Pelfrey yesterday and they have essentially been exchanging wins back and forth. Houston, after getting swept by Colorado, is coming off taking 3 of 4 from the Rockies as it seems the NL has begun to figure out Lopez. He has now been hit hard by the Cubs and Astros now, so that will be noted the next time he starts. Moyer has pitched well giving up 5 runs in his last 3 starts and Williams is just 3-10 on the year. He was roughed up by Philly his last time out for 5 runs in less than 6 innings and last year he had a similar performance giving up 4 runs in 6 innings. Couple of guys if you add their ages exceed 80 tomorrow that are starting. 4,2,5,2,6,5,2 is the earned runs woody has given up of late. It seems he hasn't put together a decent back 2 back performances yet, so lean on the Phils.

Arizona vs. San Fran

As I write this Micah Owings is getting pounded by San Fran as the Giants are up 8-0 and their still scoring. Heck, by the time I finish writing this, they might have even more runs. Looks like they will try to bounce-back with webb on the mound tomorrow. Unreal but St. Louis is just 6 games out of .500 despite having a completely new rotation essentially. They had played in 6 straight unders and the last 2 have gone over, especially as yesterday as the gambling Gods were aware that I was on the under. I'm hoping that this early post would catch them while they are sleeping. Looper was roughed up by the Angels and A's and it is likely that he is due for a decent start, especially at home. He does have a 3.41 ERA at home and you can never tell with Cards pitchers. Those guys are so unpredictable. However, he has given up 7,7,11, and 8 hits in his last 4 starts for 6,3,6, 7 runs. With the dbacks getting roughed up now and Webb having given up 10 runs in his last 7 starts, lean on the Dbacks.

Mets vs. Rockies

Rockies are struggling as you might have read from the Houston column. Mets were hot winning 4 in a row and 8/9, and they still are, but just note, they lose their last 2 to the phils. Rockies have now lost 10 of 11 according to my sheet, and they will desperately look for a win here. Glavine has pitched well of late though giving up 1 run in his last 2 starts beating the a's and cards. Hirsh has a mid 5 ERA essentially and given up 15 runs in his last 3 starts. But keep in mind he faced 3 fairly good teams that can hit in the cubs, jays and drays. Lean on the mets though given how well glavine is pitching.

Marlins vs. Padres

Marlins have won back to back 6-5 games from the Braves. Marlins have also played in 6 straight overs. Padres have gone under in 8 of their last 9 without inlcuding sunday as they are losing 0-5 right now. Padres are a solid under team as they were 43-33 to the under coming into sunday. Mitre pitched well against the pads giving up 1 run and 4 hits but that was in may. He retuned and has given up 6,2,5 runs and 12,8,7 hits. He should pitch well today as he is getting his feet wet again. Wells has been giving up hits but giving up fewer runs. He has gone around 6 innings in his last 4 starts and given up 6,10,10,6 and given up 3,4,2,1 in runs. These 2 hooked up earlier this season and the score was 7-6 with the pads wining. No lean here.

Atlanta vs. Dodgers

This is going to be a great series. Quite possibly some over inolved as well outside of this matchup. Braves had won 5 in a row but have lost the last 2 to the marlins. Last 5 ballgames for the braves have gone over. Dodgers just closed out the Pads game so they avoid getting swept. Smoltz pitched against them earlier this year in a shtout and won 4-0. Then again Lowe pitched 7 innings and 3 hit ball with 0 runs against hudson when the dodgers won 6-3. This is going to be a great game, no lean.

Twins vs. Yankees

Twins are hot. They are 13-6 of late. Games have gone over 6 of their last 9. Yanks desperate for a win and Bonser 22 runs in his last 5 and 6 runs in his last start against the yanks losing 1-10. Clemens has lost his last 3 starts. Howeer, last 3 games have still gone under. Yankees have lost 10 of their last 12 and continue to struggle. Twins are hot. Yankees struggling, but have the pitching edge. No lean here.

Tampa bay vs. Cleveland

Tampa bay has lost 7 in a row and 6 of their last 7 have gone under. This team was swept by the white sox and indians. Drays have lost Sonnanstine's last 3 starts although he pitched well against the white sox but still went down 3-5. Carmona's last 3 of 4 have gone under. Carmona has lost his last 3 of 4 and has a near 5 era at home. I wouldn't be surprised if this game turns into a hit fest. Lean on the over.

Rangers vs. Red Sox

Rangers actually took the overall series from boston, detroit, houston, cubs and reds so they are playing good baseball right now compared to earlier this year. They are 11-5 of late, many as big dogs. I pegged this game to go under yesterday and it goes to 1-2 and of course, I take the game that goes well over in the cards/phils. McCarthy pitched great against the brewers in his last start giving up a run and Gabbard gave up 4 runs in his last start to the hot mariners. If you are looking for value, the rangers are a solid dog tomorrow considering the great bark they have had of late as big dogs.

Orioles vs. Chi Sox

Baltimore fell short yesterday but overall, they are playing very well with their interim manager compared to their massive slump that they were on. Bedard has given up 11 runs in his last starts and has been solid all year, and leads the majors in strikeouts if I am not mistaken. Buehrle has given up 6 runs in his last 4 starts, probably wanting to pitch well to secure any trade deals that are up in the air. White Sox have now won 6 of 7 ballgames as they are starting to play better. The White sox are also 10-0-1 in unders of late as well. Lean on the under here.

Mariners vs. KC

Seattle continues to win having won 8 in a row despite having Hargrove saying good bye. I think there is more to this story that we do not know about and quite possibly he bowed out early prior to some big news hitting. However, whatever it is, he has been a decent manager for roughly 16 years. Kansas City comes off losing 3 of 4 from the White Sox as both teams were hot going in but the White Sox come out on top. Something interesting about Hernandez is 11, 7,12,6,11, with respect to hits over his last 5 games. These same 2 pitchers hooked up last time and hernandez won 10-2. Meche hsa gotten hit hard both times against the M's his former team for 10 hits and 11 hits as he is 1-1 against them on the season. Lean on the M's to keep rolling.

Blue Jays vs. A's

Blue Jays have lost 4 in a row after having won 5/6. They had the misfortune of facing the Mariners who swept them as well as boston. Oakland had dropped 3/4 from the Indians, but took 2/3 from the Yankees. Towers is remarkabley 1-7 of his last 8 games in unders and he has given up 20 hits in his last 2 starts against the twins/rockies. Dinardo has given up 2 runs or less in 6 of his last 7 starts. Lean on the A's here given Dinardo pitching well of late and towers is giving up a few more hits than for comfort.

Plays that were 58% significant and made the final card:

Dbacks
Phils
Cubs
Tampa bay/Indians Over
Orioles/White Sox Under
Mariners
A's

c u gents monday night - gl.
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Michael Cannon Money Train
Monday's Plays:

15 Dime –

PHILLIES (With Moyer and Williams as listed pitchers)
Take the Phillies for the road win tonight over the Astros.
Philadelphia got back on track with a win over the Mets yesterday and I expect them to carry that momentum over tonight against Houston.
Jamie Moyer will get the start for the Phils and he’s 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA over his last three starts. The elder statesman is 4-3 with a 3.64 ERA in nine career games against the Astros.
Woody Williams is scheduled to start for Houston and he’s having a miserable year. The right-hander is 3-10 with a 5.58 ERA in 17 games this year. He hasn’t fared much better against Philadelphia in his career, going 3-6 with a 5.32 ERA in 11 games. Williams faced the Phillies back on April 14 this year, allowing six runs on eight hits in 5 1-3 innings of an 8-5 loss.
Take the Phillies as they grab the road win tonight.


5 Dime –

BREWERS (With Suppan and Van Benschoten as listed pitchers)
Lay the chalk with the Brewers tonight over the Pirates at PNC Park.
Milwaukee will look to continue their dominance this season over the Pirates, where they’ve won five of six games and outscoring the Bucs 38-19.
Jeff Suppan will get the start and he’s fared well against the Pirates in his career, going 9-3 with a 3.90 ERA in 16 games, including 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in two games this season.
The Bucs will counter with John Van Benschoten, a former first-round selection who is still searching for his first major league win. The right-hander lasted only four innings in his last start, a no-decision against the Marlins last Wednesday. Van Benschoten has had trouble with his command since being recalled from Triple-A and he was pulled from his last start after throwing 81 pitches in just four innings.
Take the Brewers as they grab the road win over the Bucs.

MARINERS (With Hernandez as listed pitcher)
Take the Mariners for the road win over the Royals.
Seattle has won eight-straight games and I expect them to continue that surge despite the resignation of manager Mike Hargrove. If anything, it should give the Mariners a jolt as they travel to take on Kansas City.
Felix Hernandez will get the start and we’re getting great value with him tonight over the Royals. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in two career games against Kansas City. Hernandez should be just about all the way back after spending some time on the DL earlier this year, and if he’s on like he was to start the season this game should be no trouble for the Mariners.
Take Seattle as the small road chalk for the win.



Brandon Lang:

15 Dime:
Mets

5 Dime:
Phillies
Rangers

Bonus Play: Mariners



Ben Burns

Game: Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres
Jul 2 2007 10:05PM

Prediction: Florida Marlins

Reason: The Marlins come off a marathon extra-inning game, which included a 90-minute rain delay, vs. the Braves. Now they have to fly all the way to the West Coast to take on a San Diego squad which is a healthy 20-13 when coming off a loss. Wells comes off a strong start at San Francisco in which he held the Giants to one run through six innings. He also pitched well vs. Baltimore in his previous outing (2 earned runs through 6 1/3 innings) which gave him a stellar 2.93 ERA at Petco Park this season. Mitre, on the other hand, got roughed up by the Pirates in his last start. He now has a 6.27 ERA and 1.768 WHIP his last three starts. Wells outpitched Mitre at Florida back in May. Look for him to do so again this evening as the Marlins fall to 16-22 when coming off a victory.




Big Al McMordie

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (MLB)
Jul 2, 2007 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Total: 8.5 Over

Cubs lefthanded veteran Ted Lilly is having another typical Ted Lilly season. He has never been a low ERA pitcher and often gets himself into trouble, but he strikes guys out and occasionally will throw in a gem of a start about one in every five or six times he goes out there. Lilly is in the middle of a bit of a rough patch now, having allowed four or more earned runs in five of his last seven appearances. Lilly does, however, tend to get plenty of run support when he needs it. In fact the Cubs have scored four or more runs in eight of his last ten starts and five or more runs in five of his last eight. Nats righthanded starter Jason Simontacchi has certainly had his problems this season, and most have come in front of the home crowd. Although Simontacchi has 5 wins on the year, his record at home is only 2-4 and his ERA is a ghastly 7.76 at RFK Stadium. This is the first meeting of the year for these two at RFK and they certainly have not had trouble scoring runs there in the past as four of the last six contests in DC have gone a total of nine runs or more.

Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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Hot-Locks Sports Investments:

Minn/Yanks Under 9.5 - 4 units.(1-5 units, 5 highest)

UNDER is 7-1-1 in Rogers L 9 vs Minny,
UNDER is 9-2-1 in Rogers L1 12 overall,

Bonser & clemans are 5-0 to the UNDER combined L5 starts,

Boof pitches failrly well on the road and Roger is well Roger. 5-3 type game here if that.


Boston -158 - 4 units
Boston -1.5 RL, - 2 units.

Lots of chalk here but the Bosox are 21-6 L 3 seasons when they have lost BTB at home. Off two close 1 run losses against the Rangers will certainly be motivation. In games 3 & 4 of a series, the Bosox are also 7-0 L 3 seasons off BTB losses and have won bu an average of 3.14 rpg. Texas has played well in these lasttwo wins but it is certainly not enough to habve us jump on the VALUE play here and take the rangers, no way. Boston gets back on track.
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WUNDERDOG COMP MLB PICKS

Game: Tampa Bay at Cleveland (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cleveland -196

The D-Rays look at Jacobs Field as a house of horrors and will be glad to get out of there. They have dropped eight straight there and overall have been swept 3 times in their last 5 visits, including a four-game sweep to close last season. The D-Rays are once again finding the win column on the road very difficult. They have dropped their last seven games overall and have lost five straight on the road. Fausto Carmona has struggled some lately, but the good news is that Tampa has shown no offense against RHP. They are plus units against LHP, but are 22-34 -9.59 units against RHP, and the last three outings against RHP have produced a grand total of three runs. Cleveland has bounced back off of a 3-7 slide to go 12-6, and has won four in a row. They will sweep tonight to make it 4-of-6 sweeps over the Rays.




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Tony Onio <HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" width="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">500?METS

200?PHILLY


VEGAS EXPERTS

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox
Monday, July 2nd, 8:10 P.M. EDT

White Sox have played 10 straight unders. In five of their last six contests the loser of the game scored just one run. Bedard shows a 1.80 ERA his last three starts while Buerhle has nearly matched him with 2.08. BEDARD is 25-10 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) BUEHRLE is 15-5 UNDER (+9.3 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on: Under


Paul Leiner
5* White Sox -110


FPBE Free Picks<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Matty O'Shea - MIL -140
Ben Burns - FLA +122
Bryan Leonard - SEA -115
Jeff Bonds - LAD -115



MATT F@RGO


New York Mets at Colorado Rockies 9:05 PM ET

The Mets did drop their series finale at Philadelphia but they took three of three of the four games in the set and are playing excellent right now. After going on an abysmal 3-13 stretch, New York has won eight of its last 10 games and it’s been the pitching that has carried it. The Mets have allowed three runs or fewer in seven of those 10 games and will be counted on once again to shut down the Rockies. Colorado won on Saturday but has dropped nine of its last 10 games.
Tom Glavine is back in form after two uncharacteristic games where he allowed 16 earned runs in back-to-back outings. In the two games since then, he has allowed just one run in 14 innings for a 0.64 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. Glavine’s biggest problem this season has been pitching during the day where he is 1-3 with an 8.42 ERA. In 12 nighttime starts, he is 6-2 with a 2.62 ERA with the Mets going 9-3 in those games. In his career, he is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA against the Rockies.

Jason Hirsh has been up and down this season and most of the down part has been recently. He has allowed five runs in each of his last three starts for a 9.20 ERA and 1.84 ratio. The long ball has been a real issue as he has given up seven over those three games and has allowed two dingers in three of his last five home games. At Coors, he is 1-4 with a 5.62 ERA which is the same ERA he has posted in 11 nighttime starts where he is just 1-5. New York averaged 5.5 rpg in Philadelphia and that continues here.

With Colorado struggling so much, it has been a mixture of problems and that helps the Mets in a great situation. Play against home underdogs after a game where they had four or less hits and have a bullpen that is struggling with an 8.00 ERA or higher over its last five games. This situation is 37-9 against the moneyline (80.4 percent) since 1997 with the average run differential being +2.6 rpg. This is a very good price for a hot Mets team that has won 20 of the last 26 meetings.

Play New York Mets 1 Unit


Ness Monday Night Massacre
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Jul 2 2007 9:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Reason: New York's troubles seem behind them. The team opened June 4-14 but has won eight of its last 10. The Mets had to send rookie Mike Pelfrey to the mound Sunday and he fell to 0-6 with a 5-3 loss to Philadelphia as the first-place Mets couldn't close out a four-game sweep of their NL East rivals. Met starters were 6-0 with a 1.82 ERA in nine games prior to Sunday's loss, with tonight's starter Tom Glavine winning twice. Glavine has won two straight outings after going 0-4 in his previous five, allowing one run and seven hits in his past 14 innings. The Mets were 24-8 (plus-$1,449) in Glavine's starts LY and are 10-7 this year. He is 11-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 27 starts against the Rockies but he hasn't faced them in two years. It's not bad news for Glavine and the Mets that the Rockies are just 7-14 (minus-$765) vs left-handed starts in 2007, averaging a measly 3.7 RPG. It's also not bad news for the Mets that Colorado limps into this game losers of NINE of its last 10, allowing 77 runs (8.6/game) in the nine losses. The Rockies will counter with Jason Hirsh (3-7, 5.21 ERA), who is 0-1 with a 9.20 ERA in his last three starts, allowing seven home runs in that span (team has lost seven of his last 10 starts). Even if Hirsh can keep this game close, the Rockies' bullpen is in a bit of disarray right now. Brian Fuentes, demoted from the closer's role on Saturday, gave up two runs and two hits in one inning of yesterday's 12-0 loss to Houston. Fuentes has allowed 10 earned runs in his last five appearances. More good news comes New York's way in that the team is 13-4 (plus-$1,025) vs right-handed starters on the road in night games. Monday Massacre on the New York Mets.


charlies sports

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mlb. arizona @ st.louis under 8 (500*)

mlb. philadelphia-115 (30*)

mlb. chisox-110 (20*)

mlb. oakland-135 (20*)

mlb. mets-120 (10*)

mlb. dodgers-120 (10*) Bonus Play
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Sorry BB for starting a thread early. I am on vacation, so I thought I could start it early... everything from the other thread is now on this one...
 

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stallionsportspicks

stallion sports picks


7:05 pm (baseball) 5* chicaco cubs -155 (lilly vs simontacchi)

8:10 pm (baseball) 5* arizona -130 (webb vs looper)
 

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Texas Rangers (150)
Mon Jul 2 '07 7:05p

Rangers & McCarthy +150 to stun Red Sox

The Texas Rangers have taken two of the first three games of this series with the Boston Red Sox, and we feel that the Rangers are poised for another upset given this pitching matchup.
Brandon McCarthy is currently in fine form for Texas, as he has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts. He has a 3.26 ERA with a nice 1.22 WHIP during this stretch. Also, McCarthy tossed a beauty in his only career outing here in Fenway Park, pitching seven scoreless innings while allowing just three hits as a member of the Chicago White Sox.
Now Kason Gabbard is taking the spot of the injured Curt Schilling in the Red Sox rotation, and he certainly floundered in his first go-around. Gabbard lasted just 3.1 innings in his start in Seattle, needing 82 pitches primarily due to the six walks to go along with the six hits that he allowed. This was not the first time that he struggled with his control, so we do not think pitching at home will make much of a difference tonight.
Now granted the Red Sox have the lowest bullpen ERA in the American League at 2.91, but the Texas bullpen checks in tied for third with Seattle at 3.50, so we like the chances of the underdog Rangers holding any lead they can build vs. Gabbard.

Rangers +150




New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies u10.0 (-105)
Mon Jul 2 '07 9:05p

Mets & Rockies Under 10 (-105)
It seems that the infamous humidor is doing its job this season, as Colorado Rockies home games are averaging a relatively normal 10.03 combined runs per game.
Tom Glavine of the New York Mets has straightened himself out, as the veteran has allowed just one run and seven hits in 14 innings over his last two starts. He has also done well in Colorado in the past, even when the balls were flying out of here. Glavine has eight Quality Starts in his last 10 career appearances vs. the Rockies, and he allowed just four earned runs in each of the two non-quality efforts. His task should be made even easier here by the fact that Colorado is batting just .238 as a team vs. southpaws in the last 10 games.
Now granted Jason Hirsh has struggled badly, but one of the best performances of his life came in his only career outing against the Mets, where he allowed just one earned run and five hits in six innings. He is catching a Mets lineup here that is hitting a measly .234 vs. right-handers in the last 10 contests.

Mets, Rockies Under 10 (-105)
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