Monday Service Plays 05/21/18

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Sleepyj

1* Washington (-120)nhl

3* Cleveland-6.5

2* New York Mets / Miami over 8.5
 

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Punter

Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers
The Diamondbacks offence is still missing and it won’t get easier to find it as they continue this long road trip. Arizona wills tart their series with Milwaukee with both sides sending their ace pitchers to the mound. Milwaukee’s Chase Anderson makes his return to the rotation and will hope to continue his dominance over the D’backs as a result. The 30-year-old is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA in four career outings against Arizona and will hope to return to the form he showed prior to sitting out the last couple weeks with illness. The visitors are averaging just 3.83 runs per game so far this year and have failed to score more than four runs in their last 10 straight games. Their recent home series with the Brewers saw them average just 2.0 runs per game and we don’t see them managing much more in this series. Zack Greinke has allowed less than two runs in five of his nine starts this season, including a quality start against the Brewers in that previous series where the team emerged 2-1 winners. Our data shows this one finishing up at a combined 6.7 runs and we feel that this total is slightly above where it should be.

Tip: Under 8.5 runs @ $1.86 (Unibet)

Kansas City Royals @ St Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals will look to get back to their best when they host an out-of-sorts Royals outfit at Busch Stadium. Teams are having no problem breaking out the bats against Kansas City recently, with the Royals allowing five or more runs in 10 of their last 12 games. The Cardinals will hope to do just that when they take on Ian Kennedy who is winless in his last seven starts. The 33-year-old is 1-4 with a 4.98 ERA on the year, and those numbers look even worse when comparing them to his career record against St Louis. Kennedy is 3-6 with a 7.41 ERA in nine starts against his opponents in this one. Meanwhile, Miles Mikolas remains unbeaten on the season despite coming off a less than stellar performance by his standards. In his four appearances at home, he is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA. We’re expecting him to keep the Royals hitters in check and we’re happy to back St Louis to cover the run line here given they’re allowing 6.43 runs per game on the road this season. KC is also 17-29 against the run line this season – one of the worst records in the majors, which is largely thanks to inconsistent hitting and a horrible bullpen.

Tip: St Louis Cardinals -1.5 @ $2.02 (Unibet)
 

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PUNTER nhl

Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Washington Capitals

Tip: Tampa Bay Lightning @ $2.14 (Crownbet)


PUNTER nba


NBA Playoffs: Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers – Game 4
By Josh Chahal -May 21, 2018
THE Cavaliers finally got contributions across the court as they got themselves back in the series as they took Game 3 in convincing fashion.
Shooters finding their range remains the key to this Cleveland team being able to compete and win games, so it’s no surprise to have seen them run out comfortable winners after shooting at 50% from beyond the arc.
JR Smith, George Hill and Kyle Korver went a combined 9-for-12 from deep – a better total than they managed in the opening two games combined.
What was key for the Cavs was the aggression they showed on offence from the opening tip. They had Boston on the back foot trying to defend the paint and that opened up the space on the perimeter for their shooters to get the looks they want.
Their offensive outburst shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise given what we previewed before for punters before Game 3.
The Cavs averaged over 100 points per game on their home court and we expect them to continue totalling around that number this series at Quicken Loans Arena.
Boston are now 1-5 on the road these playoffs and if they get forced into another uptempo battle against the Cavs they’ll almost certainly be heading back to Boston with the series tied at 2-2.
One of the keys to this series will be how well Tristan Thompson can continue to defend Al Horford. The Cavs centre held Boston’s All-Star to just seven points in Game 3 – the first time Horford has been held to single-digit scoring since 20 March.
What we do expect in Game 4 is a better offensive output from the Celtics. Brad Stevens will know the adjustments that need to be made, including better ball movement on offence as opposed to settling for contested jumpers.
We’ve been burnt on the Overs twice in the last two games of this series – both times by a single bucket!
It’s only a matter of time before both these offences are able to hit with consistency and our projections have this one finishing at a total of 210.1 points. The Celtics have seen six of their last seven games go Over the points total when coming off a loss – this may seem like a nothing trend but a lot of that has to do with the offensive adjustments that they make.
Horford won’t be held to seven points again, and we will see better production from Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Terry Rozier.

Tip: Over 206.5 points @ $1.92 (Sportsbet) & Cleveland Cavaliers TT o/106.5 points @ $1.87 (Unibet)

Player Props
Jaylen Brown has been terrific these playoffs and aside from his Game 3 slump he’s had no problem scoring on this Cavaliers defence.
His lacklustre output (10 points on 3-for-8 shooting) had a lot to do with his foul trouble throughout.
Brown was limited to just 20 minutes in Game 3 as a result of his early foul trouble – a much lower number than the 35 minutes he got in Game 2 when scoring 23 points.
While his scoring on the road these playoffs has been noticeably lower than at home we feel this is a match up that he can certainly exploit when given the opportunity.
Brad Stevens will look to get him early touches on offence and will want him to be aggressive in getting to the basket.
Neither JR Smith or George Hill are capable of guarding him due to his length and athleticism which will give him a big advantage on this total should he get the minutes he needs.
The 21-year-old is averaging 2.6 made three-pointers per game in his last seven playoff appearances and if he can get to the basket early it will only open up the space for him on the perimeter.
We have him scoring 19.8 points in Game 4 and feel there’s terrific value in taking him to go over his points total as a result.

Tip: Jaylen Brown o/16.5 points @ $1.85 (Sportsbet)
 

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Don Johnson

NBA
Boston +7


MLB
Atlanta Braves +102
Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7
New York Mets -124
Milwaukee Brewers +107
 

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Miller locks

8:10 pm est mlb
baltimore orioles vs. Chicago white sox

pick: Baltimore orioles (-103)

risk: 11 units

8:15 pm est mlb
kansas city royals vs. St louis cardinals

pick: St louis cardinals -1.5 (-105)

risk: 11 units

8:38 pm est nba
boston celtics vs. Cleveland cavaliers

pick: Cleveland cavaliers -7 (-115)

risk: 11 units
 

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I am new here, is he actually really bad at picking that people fade him here or is that just a joke?
 

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Fezzik

3*

1st 5

Miami (-130)


Analysis:
The Play is Mia First 5 innings +1/2 -130. Aok to play this +110 ish, but I prefer the
+1/2-130.

Mia will be ulra motivated after giving away a game yesterday, AND they have an enormous pitching edge, AND the Mets lineup is down considerably right now.

The Fish may well blow this game late again, we are putting it all on the first 5 innings.....
 

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Seabass

700 Braves

500 Orioles over
400 Washington RL
300 Miami
200 Dodgers

400 Celtics
400 Over Celtics
 

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