Monday Service Play Thread 4/22/2019

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Larry Hartstein

SAN ANTONIO +5.5

SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER | 4/23 | 9:30 PM EDT
2:23 AM
The Spurs have played tremendous ball in Denver this series, and I like them to bounce back from their Game 4 dud with a very competitive effort if not an outright win here. Derrick White and Rudy Gay will play better, and coach Gregg Popovich will make the needed adjustments. Grab the points.

94-70-1 IN LAST 165 NBA ATS PICKS | +1695
31-18-3 IN LAST 52 DEN ATS PICKS | +1124


3-0 IN LAST 3 SA ATS PICKS | +300
 

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Adam Thompson

N.Y. YANKEES -122

N.Y. YANKEES @ L.A. ANGELS | 4/22 | 10:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:46 PM
The Angels are a respectable .286 hitting team at home. But the Yankees are hitting .286 on the road and averaging about a run more than L.A. does at home. While the Angels can hit the ball, they whiff against lefties, just .206 so far as they prep for J.A. Happ. Happ has been very mediocre this year, but he's coming off his best start and last year was much better on the road. He also mowed down the Angels in his one start against them. L.A. starter Matt Harvey hasn't gone longer than 4.1 innings his last three starts. The Yankees have been worked over by injury but still have the personnel to get to Harvey.

5-2 IN LAST 7 MLB ML PICKS | +189
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAA ML PICKS | +59


MINNESOTA +160

MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON | 4/22 | 8:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:38 PM
No team hits better at home than the Astros, who are a ridiculous .335 and averaging 6.0 runs per game there. But the Twins are hitting .298 on the road and averaging 6.9 runs away from home. They're also the top-ranked team against right-handed pitchers, and Monday face Brad Peacock, who was a reliever last year and was sent back to the pen after a rough outing. He's back in the rotation for now. Meanwhile, Minnesota's Jake Orodizzi is coming off his best start and this Astros lineup is just .237 against him all-time.

5-2 IN LAST 7 MLB ML PICKS | +189
16-5 IN LAST 21 HOU ML PICKS | +951
7-2 IN LAST 9 MIN ML PICKS | +465


PITTSBURGH -141

ARIZONA @ PITTSBURGH | 4/22 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 7:20 PM
Arizona has won when it outscores opponents, but that's going to be tough against Joe Musgrove, who's allowed two earned runs in 22.1 innings. The D'backs have great offensive stats on the year but are averaging only 3.0 runs per game in the last five, so they're coming back to earth. D'backs starter Zack Godley has been on his game twice, and off twice. But he's been far worse on the road in two starts, restarting a 2018 trend.

5-2 IN LAST 7 MLB ML PICKS | +189
5-1 IN LAST 6 ARI ML PICKS | +465
3-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ML PICKS | +175
 

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Mike Barner


MILWAUKEE -12.5


MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT | 4/22 | 8:00 PM EDT
12:30 PM
This series looked like a laugher right from the start and it has been, with the Bucks winning all three games by at least 16 points. Even with Blake Griffin back for Game 3, the Pistons couldn’t keep things close. The Bucks could earn important extended time off before the second round with a win Monday, so look for them to keep their foot on the gas and end up covering once again.


65-52-3 IN LAST 120 NBA ATS PICKS | +747
4-0 IN LAST 4 MIL ATS PICKS | +400
6-3 IN LAST 9 DET ATS PICKS | +266
 

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Michael Rusk

BALTIMORE +100

CHI. WHITE SOX @ BALTIMORE | 4/22 | 7:05 PM EDT
12:11 PM
This wrong team is favored here Monday night. The White Sox are now looking to Manny Banuelos who has proven he can’t be a successful starter in the MLB. After a short stint pitching in 2015 for the Atlanta Braves, he finished 1-4 with a five plus ERA. I look for plenty of signs of rust for Banuelos who hasn’t pitched a start in over four years. I am not head over heals for Orioles pitcher David Hess, but I do believe since Chris Davis has woken up, the Orioles shouldn’t be overlooked in this matchup. I like them to roll at home and the underdogs here.

15-4 IN LAST 19 MLB ML PICKS | +1044
6-1 IN LAST 7 CHW ML PICKS | +584
3-0 IN LAST 3 BAL ML PICKS | +305


HOUSTON -175

MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON | 4/22 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:10 PM
Brad Peacock has emerged as one of the more dominant pitchers in the league. Looking for his fourth straight win, Peacock has the upper edge in this matchup. Houston bats have come alive and should be well prepped to pitch against Odorizzi who they beat up in the last matchup. Houston’s home record shouldn’t be overlooked as they enter game 21 undefeated at home. Look for Houston to win their fifth straight at home against the Twins.

15-4 IN LAST 19 MLB ML PICKS | +1044
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIN ML PICKS | +300


OAKLAND -149

TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 4/22 | 10:07 PM EDT
12:09 PM
There a few reasons why I like the Athletics in this matchup. Recency bias is a main reason why the public is high on the Rangers. The Athletics are very undervalued after getting swept at home by the sub-.500 Blue Jays. Chris Bassitt is on a four-game win streak and has seemed to find his groove in this latter part of his MLB career. He also is significantly better at home (3.07 ERA) comparing to a 4.71 ERA on the road. The Athletics should break their slump Monday night.

15-4 IN LAST 19 MLB ML PICKS | +1044
3-2 IN LAST 5 TEX ML PICKS | +145
 

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Mike McClure

OAKLAND -123

TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 4/22 | 10:07 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:21 PM
The A's are undervalued at home against Mike Minor. This Oakland team is sneaky good against left-handed pitching with a .353 team wOBA against southpaws and a BABIP of just .269 which is over .100 lower than teams with similar wOBA numbers. I have the A's winning 62 percent of simulations making them a strong value at -123.

11-6 IN LAST 17 MLB PICKS | +499
6-3 IN LAST 9 TEX ML PICKS | +313
3-2 IN LAST 5 OAK ML PICKS | +66
 

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Bob Balfe

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]MLB
10:07 PM EST
Rotation #967-968
Yankees -105 over Angels
Happ/Harvey
Both pitchers have really struggled this year. Matt Harvey’s best days are behind him and I do expect this Yankees roster to get after him tonight. The Angels are terrible against left handed pitching so Happ never is going to get a better chance to put together a good performance. At even money I like our chances against a team that has not proven they can hit lefties. Take the Yankees.
[/FONT]
 

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Bob Balfe

NBA Playoffs
8:05 PM EST
Rotation #573-574
Pistons +13 over Bucks
The Pistons are not in the same class as the Bucks. The meetings this year have been a joke. The Bucks have covered every single game this series and that is why the line is so high. The Pistons do have Blake Griffin back which helps a little bit and they are trying to avoid 14 straight playoff losses in a row which would set the NBA record. There is a lot of pride on the line. I don’t think it’s enough to win, but it’s enough to slip in with the old fashion backdoor cover in mop up time. Take the Pistons.
 

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Gabriel DuPont

50 Dime Eastern Conference Oddsmakers Dilemma

Washington
 

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11th Hour Sports

11th: MLB, 8u: 951 ARI+125 1st 5. ARI+130g. 960 BAL+105 1st 5. BAL+110g. 954 NYM+100 1st 5. NYM+105g. NYM O 4.5 & O 9. 961 KC+137 1st 5. KC+142g

11th: MLB, 8u: 965 MIN+154 1st 5. MIN+159g. 968 LAA-100 1st 5. LAA-105g.
 

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Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
2* Diamondbacks/Pirates Over 7.5
2* Rangers/Athletics Over 8.5
1* Baltimore Orioles +115
1* Los Angeles Angels -105
 

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Seabass : 500 astros RL, astros game over , pirates , nationals , rockets , 400 athletics , 300 Mets , hurricanes
 

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Allan Desrosiers

mlb
10 twins
7 balt
7 pitt
7 philly under
7 yanks

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7 carolina
 

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