hi bznofx,
i would like to ask you a sincere question. i'm curious as to how you determine which alternative over/under to take? as both totals were shown at 8.5 and 9.5 respectively as the regular line. the only logical conjecture i can come up with is that you have determined that 8 and 10 ARE NOT key numbers in mlb, can you verify this is the case?
also, i'm curious as to how you determine your proper unit bet size per individual play. i realize they're not an accurate current percentage of your bankroll, however the variation in unit size between plays indicate that you obviously favor certain plays over others. how do you determine which play should be weighted more unit-wise? kelly? fractional-kelly? optimal risk threshold? optimal minimal vig? size of the edge of the edge you believe you have over the book's line?