Monday: One Now< More Later

[ofred]

2-1 Sunday, +2 units.


KC ML +142. One unit. Verlander and Vargas are not that far apart. Verlander is finally aging, his fastball being in the low 90s as opposed to the upper or mid 90s. He is still a competitor, but right now the Royals are hitting that much better than Detroit and have a vastly better BP. Vargas could get knocked around, but the Tigers struggle a little more vs. LHP and are struggling to win any game. You might also see a drop off in Victor Martinez and Kinsler.

 

[ofred]

Oakland TT over 4 (-120) One unit. Would take this for more, but the A's have had some struggles at the plate during the past few weeks. However, Colby Lewis has been so bad that I'll take a shot here. In Lewis' last 7 starts, Texas has given up at least 4, and usually much more. Lewis' velocity is about the same pre-injury, but his ball movement and off speed pitches are not nearly as good. He has a .336 BAA, has few swinging misses and often has a high pitch count by the fifth inning. In his last start he got hit by a line drive on the right bicep, his throwing arm, and was left with a deep bruise. Maybe that won't effect his pitching, but either way, he will likely give up some runs. The Rangers BP has been good in the last 1-2 innings, but the middle inning guys have been mediocre.

 

[sherwood]

Excellent o fred. Good and accurate info. best of luck. Incidentally, wind conditions in Oakland are very favorable right now (5:05 PM EST).
This is a great site for weather info: http://www.baseball-weather.com/

 

[ofred]

Excellent o fred. Good and accurate info. best of luck. Incidentally, wind conditions in Oakland are very favorable right now (5:05 PM EST).
This is a great site for weather info: http://www.baseball-weather.com/

Thank you. I just found that site about a week ago, but need to use it more. There's another site called,"park factors.com "

My Oakland TT is now 2 units.

Milwaukee TT over 4 (-115) The Brewers are loaded with right handed hitters that remarkably hit RHP better than lefties. .262 vs. RHP, .238 vs. LHP. Either way, all kinds of hitters have been hitting Brandon McCarthy. His 1-9 record is not as bad as it looks, but he does throw strikes almost to a fault. He's given up a HR every 6 IPs over 85 innings(a large sample size). Plus, Chase Field is good hitter's park, even though the D-Backs haven't been overly impressive there this year- but that's another story. Nice dry air and reasonable dimensions. The D-Backs also have a couple of decent relievers, but the rest of them are marginal- usually the guys that come in for McCarthy in the middle innings when they're behind.

 

[ofred]

LA Dodgers- Colorado- over 7. One unit. Always a risk in Dodgers Stadium, but I think the park factors there are slanted as a pitcher's park for a reason. Great pitching in the NL West over the past many years. Especially the Padres, Giants and Dodgers. The D-Backs HAD better pitching prior to this year, and the Rockies pitchers of course pitch better away from Coors. Also, you have NL teams mostly there, without the DH.

Mostly for this game I don't think Matzek, the young Rockies pitcher, is capable of 2 good starts in a row. He almost never did that in AAA. He faced the Braves, who seemed to go into a hitting funk right about then. He is a 2 pitch pitcher, with so-so command. Ryu has not pitched as well after coming off of the DL with shoulder inflammation. Ryu, in my opinion, has those great games which tend to make us think he's better than he really is. Ryu looks overweight, out of shape and a bit jittery on the mound. The Rockies are also hitting .343 off of him. Throw in the Dodger's hit or miss BP, and what the hell…. 7 it is.

 

[PatsFanatic]

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