Monday NCAA

[Matt24]

2004: 38-25

A losing sunday stops my streak of 6 consecutive winning days, need to get another streak started right here.

CREIGHTON -3.5

The Blue Jays coming off a 3 game road trip where they got beat up, nothing better to get the spirits up than a home game.


also like Southern Ill and UNLV but not sure if I want to lay the 2.5 on the road or play against New Mexico at the Pit.

[This message was edited by Matt24 on February 29, 2004 at 08:46 PM.]

[This message was edited by Matt24 on March 01, 2004 at 06:52 PM.]

 

[jaypaw]

GL matt

 

[bookemdano+]

Matt..hope you'll consider posting picks in Jcamberts best RX cappers thread as well.give him a chance and see hows the responce is...Dano

 

[Matt24]

SAN DIEGO ST +9.5 played ML for 1/10th of my regular play at +410. I know that is next to nothing, ha.


I really don't understand this spread, Air Force plays the slow them down style that just isnt helpful to covering spreads, yeah it wins games, but not by too much. This line did open at 8.5 but shot up to 9.5. Air Force was favored by 8 saturday home to UNLV, but only won by 2 in a high scoring game for them 73-71. Next home game they were favored by 11 to New Mexico but won 51-50. Home game before that they were favored by 14.5, won 52-44. One game that is so alarming to me and would force me to almost never back Air Force is the lost at Texas Pan America 37-35. That is terrible. They are like 300 RPI. They do have a big road win at San Diego St this year 57-43, so that must be the reason the line is so high. But hoping for some revenge here tonight. If Air Force doesnt break 65, I think this one is in the bag, and I don't think Air Force can do it.

San Diego St is 2-2 in their last 4 games on the road ATS, but one of those losses was the BYU overtime debacle. San Diego has the athletes, hopefully they stick together tonight and play hard. If they do that, I see an outright victory.

AIR FORCE SOS-180 SAN DIEGO ST SOS-54

[This message was edited by Matt24 on March 01, 2004 at 05:51 PM.]

[This message was edited by Matt24 on March 01, 2004 at 08:48 PM.]

 

[jcambert]

Matt, will you be posting in the other thread?
JP

 

[Matt24]

yep, I'm going to, still working on tonights card, got one more where everything looks good to me, but one thing, so still working on it.

 

[Matt24]

OKLAHOMA ST -3.5

I like this game from every standpoint besides the fact that Okie St has already defeated Texas, it just seems like revenge could be in order, but am still playing it because I like it for way too many reasons.

I have felt Texas was a top team all year with incredible depth, especially up front, where they have solid players who only play around 20 mpg. These same guys would be playing 38 mpg this year for IU. I watched the entire game against Texas Tech and I was so unimpressed.

As you all know, I love fading teams who play weak schedules(Cincy, Michigan, many Big East teams, etc) Okie St is one of these, cupcake city in the preconference schedule and I absolutely despise that, it sickens me actually. Texas SOS-57, Okie St-82. But Texas is only 1-2 vs top 10 teams, while Okie St is 1-0(over Texas), Texas is 3-3 vs Top 30, while Okie St is 2-0. Last year Okla St coasted against the weak teams to a 17-1 record then fell apart. Remember one thing about this team though that I forgot about, they led eventual champ Syracuse by 17 points in the NCAAs last year, I think this team will be very hungry tonight for the Big 12 championship and they are alive for a 1 seed if they could win out.

Oklahoma St shoots 51.4% from the floor-that is phenominal, Texas shoots 45.0%. Shooting that type of percentage is going to win lots and lots of games.

Here is the kicker for me Okie St is almost all seniors, is this senior night by the way, does anyone know? This will already be a tough atmosphere as stated by Klotz

``Gallagher-Iba. That's the loudest place of all the places I've been to other than Kansas,'' Klotz said. ``Crazy fans. At timeouts you can't hear anything. I love it.
``We know coming into this game it's going to be a tough atmosphere.''

8 players will see significant minutes for Okie St tonight, how nice it is that 7 of them are seniors! It is noted though that 2 of them are transfers from Central Florida, so these all havent played together. The other guy as you know is Baylor Junior transfer John Lucas. Your top 8 guys have all been around the block, this is very very key to me tonight. Texas is very experienced though as well with 5 seniors, but they do have a younger backcourt.I like the home team with all these seniors in this big game tonight.

[This message was edited by Matt24 on March 01, 2004 at 06:55 PM.]

 

[thefawv]

Matt, this line is +10 at Bodog. GL - FawvDog

 

[Matt24]

Thanks Fawv, I figured it would be, but I don't have BoDog, I just have Pinnacle and a local. I might put some money into Bodog, but have heard they kick out winners if you are playings dogs, and how they have their lines, I wouldnt ever play a fav there.

 

[jaypaw]

great review matt

GL

 

[Matt24]

Creighton is home, and now SD State down 5 at half and Okla St tied. Like both though as Texas is on fire (16-28) while Okie St is cold, yet game still tied. Air Force got up 10 quick, but now a 5 pt game, Air Force was dropping 3s early.

 

[Matt24]

Tonight: 2-1
2004: 40-26

I am really pissed I didn't play UNLV, played them the last 2 out, played them last time because they impressed me so much the night I watched them on ESPN, they are on the rise, they could win the conf tourney, isnt that at UNLV? Hell they might be the favorite.

SDS let me down, they were down 8 under a minute and fouled their way out of it. Air Force dropped 13 3s and Stokes had 9 turnovers. Pathetic

 

[Kojak]

Congrats on winning night as I did get in UNLV. Tournament this year is in Denver so Vegas won't have normal tournament home court advantage. Best of luck.

 

[Matt24]

Thanks Kojak, nice night yourself.