Morning Pirate!
Some Wake Forest angles to think about...
Both Carolina and Wake give up 69 points a game. Wake actually shoots the ball better than Carolina. Wake Forest just pounded Louisville by 25. Louisville sucks, but they actually had been playing better of late. Louisville only lost North Carolina by 16, and NC State 6. This is a short turnaround from Saturday and obviously, not a far travel for Wake.
This is the most heavily bet game of the day. Most of the money, 82% is coming in on North Carolina and yet the line has dropped in Wake's favor. This makes zero sense. It should be going opposite. Also, conference foes when the underdog is unranked plays a ranked favorite is hitting at 55% the past two years.
North Carolina is really good. They have same great wins. I just have a feeling Wake hangs with them tonight. I could be completely wrong.
No matter what I love discussing angles with you. Nothing but respect. Best of luck.
All solid info and i looked at that as well with the money, line moves etc. Going with the hotter team at home as UNC has also covered 7 of the last 8, the only spread not covered was a -21 against Louisville. Wake has some good young shooter who can keep it close with most any team, however, they just dont match up well with UNC at all. Wake would need a tremendous night from the 3 point line to beat UNC as UNC has a huge advantage downlow with Bacot against Wake's Andrew Carr.
Also unfortunately for wake, UNC has the 4th most efficient defense in the nation and the 15th best Offense, and they are good at guarding the 3 point line (unlike his old coach Dean Smith who let teams win by the 3 or lose by 3 as he called it many a time, including the day Randolph Childress went HAM on UNC for over 40 in the ACC Tourney in 1995 for 37 points, i was there behind the UNC bench that day pissed off as a 15 year old kid from Chapel Thrill (I grew up just 2 miles from campus, went to most home games from Carmichael to the Smith center, mutual and family friends with Dean Smith, his ex wife, and 2 daughters whom I went to school with along with many of the Carolina greats over the years, From Vince Carter& Ed Cota whom I watched the 96 draft with during summer camp when Kobe was drafted by Charlotte to Hubert Davis who was my team camp coach in Summer of 1992 at skills camp ). Yes, I am a UNC homer but a very realistic one as well, you will notice I do not bet the Heels every game (last year I often bet against them), and often hold off on betting them but this just felt like a great spot tonight for them, against my Mom's Alma Matter (she graduated with wake great Gil McGregor and life long friends). Anyway, enough about me and UNC.
Good luck tonight with the boys from Winston Salem, Weak Forest
