Monday Caps

[aukevin1]

One play...
306561 Mississippi Valley State +16.5

	MONDAY, FEBUARY 19, 2024
BET #	TEAMS	TIME	VEGAS LINE	MY LINE	VEGAS O/U	MY O/U	MY SCORE
871	IOWA STATE	ESPN	9.5	10.5	128.5	146	68
872	HOUSTON	8:00 PM	-9.5	-10.5			78
873	VIRGINIA	ESPN	2.5	3	126.5	136	67
874	VIRGINIA TECH	6:00 PM	-2.5	-3			70
875	WILLIAM & MARY	CBSSN	17.5	16.5	150.5	151	67
876	CHARLESTON	7:00 PM	-17.5	-16.5			84
877	KANSAS STATE	ESPN2	8.5	9	139.5	149	70
878	TEXAS	8:00 PM	-8.5	-9			79
879	COLGATE	CBSSN	-8.5	-8	131.5	129	69
880	LAFAYETTE	5:00 PM	8.5	8			61
881	LAMAR	ESPN+	0.5	2	144.5	144	71
882	SE LOUISIANA	6:00 PM	-0.5	-2			73
883	MORGAN STATE	None	5.5	7.5	144.5	139	66
884	DELAWARE STATE	6:30 PM	-5.5	-7.5			73
885	SOUTH CAROLINA STATE	ESPN+	6.5	7	151.5	150	72
886	HOWARD	6:30 PM	-6.5	-7			79
887	TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE	ESPN+	2.5	2	141.5	141	70
888	INCARNATE WORD	6:30 PM	-2.5	-2			72
889	NICHOLLS	ESPN+	-1.5	-4	149.5	145	75
890	NEW ORLEANS	6:30 PM	1.5	4			71
891	NORTHWESTERN STATE	ESPN+	10.5	13	139.5	138	63
892	TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI	7:00 PM	-10.5	-13			76
893	COPPIN STATE	None	7.5	7	126.5	124	59
894	MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE	7:00 PM	-7.5	-7			66
895	ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF	None	2.5	0	154.5	153	77
896	ALABAMA A&M	6:30 PM	-2.5	0			77
306553	FLORIDA A&M	None	9.5	6.5	138.5	141	67
306554	ALCORN STATE	7:30 PM	-9.5	-6.5			74
306555	BETHUNE-COOKMAN	None	5.5	5.5	148	144	69
306556	JACKSON STATE	7:30 PM	-5.5	-5.5			75
306557	GRAMBLING	None	1.5	0.5	138.5	132	66
306558	PRAIRIE VIEW A&M	7:30 PM	-1.5	-0.5			66
306559	SOUTHERN	None	1.5	-0.5	138.5	134	67
306560	TEXAS SOUTHERN	7:30 PM	-1.5	0.5			67
306561	MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE	None	16.5	9.5	127.5	127	59
306562	ALABAMA STATE	7:30 PM	-16.5	-9.5			68
306563	NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL	ESPNU	4.5	5.5	134.5	137	66
306564	NORFOLK STATE	8:00 PM	-4.5	-5.5			71

 

[aukevin1]

This line is down to 15.5 and is only a lean at that point....I would not play it below 16

Just confirming the line movements from consensus

2/19 7:30PM	OPEN	LINE MOVEMENTS	SPREAD	TOTAL	MONEYLINE
659 Mississippi Valley State0-25	o127.5-120	o129.5-110 o128.5-115 o128.5-115	+15.5-115	o129.5-110	+1000
660 Alabama State11-14	-16.5-106	-15.5-105 -15.5-105 -15.5-110	-15.5-105	u129.5-110	-2100

 

[herb_dean]

bastards made it alot harder than it should have been falling apart down the stretch but still a cover losing by 15

 

[aukevin1]

A sweat for sure…closing to 4, then losing by 15 a minute later…lol.

 

[pigskinpete]

I laid off per your advice after the line movement…that’s okay, another solid winner!…good luck with the Vols tonight, I just hate laying double digits on the road, but Missouri is free falling…

 

[aukevin1]

Yeah, I'm pretty conservative when it comes to calling plays. That line was right on the cusp. I don't do trends or worry with records ATS, but rather total team strength, bench scoring, where actual points come from game to game, injuries, actual travel miles and other factors to derive my lines.

 

[aukevin1]

Just for fun, here is my projected bracket as of now....I think Purdue is overrated myself and have them ranked 8th currently...