Monday Bet O The Day. 5/3

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A Separate Reality
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PLAYOFFS 2008/2009
YTD 10-6 (62.5%)
SIDES 1-5 (16.66%)
TOTALS 9-1 (90%)


Won with the UNDER in the Dallas/Denver game on Sunday.

No value on the Totals for Monday. so I'll go with a Side.

Don't get scared I know we're skating on thin ice. The Home team has been kicking butt SU in the playoffs but not ATS.

Boston only having to lay 2 (I'm buying the half, its bitten me in the playoffs too much) at home is worth a shot.

“I ain’t tired,” Pierce said as he slumped against the wall in the Garden hallway. “I sleep all day and play basketball at night. How can I be tired?”

Boston-2 (<)<
 

Rx. Junior
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I don't like Pierce but I like that attitude. Some of these punks in the NBA act like they're doing hard labour.
 

A Separate Reality
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from Covers

Boston and Orlando split their four-game regular-season series, a record that is of little consolation for the Celtics because Kevin Garnett missed one and played 16 minutes in the other before aggravating the right knee injury that is expected to keep him out for the duration of the playoffs. He is expected to have surgery as soon as it's clear he won't be ready to help in the postseason.

"We didn't win either game without Kevin," said Rivers, a former Magic coach and still an offseason resident of Orlando. "And so we're going to have to go and find out why."

Confident of victory - or preparing, just in case - Rivers had his staff put a playbook for a possible Orlando series in the players' cars when they arrived at the Garden for Game 7 on Saturday night. He gave the team the day off on Sunday to rest up, meaning the only time they'll work specifically on Orlando would be Monday's pregame shootaround.
"It's similar to last year. I mean, we never got a break in the playoff series last year," Celtics forward Paul Pierce said. "I'd rather keep playing anyway. I think you get three, four days off you kind of lose it a little bit. Hey, just like the regular season, you play every other day, let's keep it going."

The Magic wrapped up their series against Philadelphia in six games on Thursday, and apparently have time to spare: They watched film of Garnett on Sunday, skeptical of whether the injured star is really out for the playoffs as the Celtics maintain. (Rivers has compared reports of Garnett's return to Bigfoot sightings.)

The Magic have their own injuries.
Guard Courtney Lee is recovering from surgery on a fractured sinus that he injured in Game 5 against the 76ers. He has been cleared to play with a protective mask, but he is expected to miss at least the first two games of the Celtics series. J.J. Redick is expected to start in his place.
Lee was injured by teammate Dwight Howard, but another one of the Magic center's wayward elbows almost proved more costly. He was suspended for Game 6 in the first round for hitting Philadelphia's Samuel Dalembert, leaving Howard back at his hotel room blogging and Tweeting while his teammates finished off the Sixers.

After watching film I wouldn't be surprised if Rivers employs the same strategy Philly did, Clamp down on the Outside shooters, Lewis and Torga and let Howard get his points by sending him to the line. Orlando worst freethrow shooting team in the NBA. River's game plan will try and exploit that fact.
 

RX Sophomore
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BULLSHIT. I don't care what Pierce says, he's tired as hell and it was obvious in game one of the first round when Rose crossed him behind his back and all Pierce did was flop his arms around like a ragdoll. Unless somehow he got rested up during that 84-overtime, 7 game series against a constantly running bulls team.

Razor, no opinion on the orlando boston total? Really?
 

A Separate Reality
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BULLSHIT. I don't care what Pierce says, he's tired as hell and it was obvious in game one of the first round when Rose crossed him behind his back and all Pierce did was flop his arms around like a ragdoll. Unless somehow he got rested up during that 84-overtime, 7 game series against a constantly running bulls team.

Razor, no opinion on the orlando boston total? Really?

You got one team that's 6-1 OVER in the playoffs and another who is 4-2 UNDER. Boston leads league in 3s, Orlando can't hit freethrows. Seems like every OVER reason is nullified by an UNDER reason. Lets watch a game and see what transpires. The number is right, not too high, not too low. Pass

I'm betting Boston cause they are at home and I think the tired angle is being overplayed. Best 3point shooters vs worst freethrowers is what it all boiled down to for me. I think-2 is value.
 

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Outside of Ray-Ray, there really isn't anyone on the Celtics that can consistently knock down the 3 ball. Maybe House, but that's about it. Rondo has been playing out of his mind but he isn't a shooter. The Magic live and die by the 3, and when Rasho and Hedo are on, they could easily match the C's. 3 of the 4 games this year, the Magic outshot the Celtics from downtown.

One thing that I will say is that determining how jump shooting teams will come out and play is always difficult, and that will certainly be the case tonight. I just don't see how the Celtics can contain Dwight though, not with KG and Powe out. Big Baby Davis is too small and too slow. Perkins has to have a monster game. Then again, the Magic are always on that Jeckel and Hyde **** so you never know how they are going to come out and play.
 

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You got one team that's 6-1 OVER in the playoffs and another who is 4-2 UNDER. Boston leads league in 3s, Orlando can't hit freethrows. Seems like every OVER reason is nullified by an UNDER reason. Lets watch a game and see what transpires. The number is right, not too high, not too low. Pass

I'm betting Boston cause they are at home and I think the tired angle is being overplayed. Best 3point shooters vs worst freethrowers is what it all boiled down to for me. I think-2 is value.

How many of those 6 are still overs when only regulation is taken into account though? I realize you can't just neglect overtime as it could happen every game but all those OT's definitely skew the results...

As for the threes angle, you're pretty much dead on with that one, there's not a single ass in the league that Jesus Shuttlesworth won't put a twenty five footer in.
 

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Very nice call on that under yesterday, I was on the other side but I do appreciate a nice pick, Congrats!
The Capt.
 
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David “Spreadbeater” Steinig

BOSTON CELTICS -1.5 over Orlando 2 Units

"Although Boston is banged up, Orlando is not playing at full strength either. Their real starting backcourt is out, with Nelson being out for over half of the season now and Lee just recently being injured. Although Alston has played well in Jameer's absence, he is no Jameer Nelson. Just does not shoot the ball at a high enough %. Orlando did not finish the season strong, losing a few games that they should have won, as well as blowing a lot of late leads. Also, they did not look that great in many games against what I believed to be an inferior Philly team. Just thnking that a lot of people are under the assumption that the Celtics are going to be exhausted, drained, and too tired for this one. I don't buy it. These Celtics went 35-6 at home in the regular season. This is a very good home team. I will take advantage of what I believe to be a very low line here. Play: Celtics -1.5 (Risking 2.14 Units to win 2)."
 

A Separate Reality
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First the line is down to 1' great, money is coming in on Orlando. Bettors have taken the media bait and believe Boston is too tired. After the game, you'll hear, the layoff hurt Orlando they were too rusty.

"Outside of Ray-Ray, there really isn't anyone on the Celtics that can consistently knock down the 3 ball. Maybe House, but that's about it. Rondo has been playing out of his mind but he isn't a shooter. The Magic live and die by the 3, and when Rasho and Hedo are on, they could easily match the C's. 3 of the 4 games this year, the Magic outshot the Celtics from downtown". from dunkbro

Boston Sharpshooters
House .444
Allen.409
Scalabrini from the Corner .393
Pierce .391

Orlando Sharpshooters
Nelson .453 (darn, not playing)
Cook .433
Lee .404 (darn not playing either)
Lewis .397
Turko .356

and last and least

Dwight Howard Ranked 137 out of 139 players in freethrows .594 from the line. Even Shaq shot better
 

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Dr. Jekyll & Mr. Hyde performance tonight....

Orlando shooting 50% and the C's looking tired as hell. I had a feeling Orlando would win this one (and they look like they will) but this is why I avoid betting on them, you never know how they are going to play.
 

A Separate Reality
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Boston outscores Orlando 54-41 in the second. Guess they weren't that tired after all.

Still, Boston let the game get away in the 2nd.

Oh well, no regrets.

Back at em next time.


"Dr. Jekyll & Mr. Hyde performance tonight....

Orlando shooting 50% and the C's looking tired as hell. I had a feeling Orlando would win this one (and they look like they will) but this is why I avoid betting on them, you never know how they are going to play".

dunk post your opinion before the game, so you get full credit and you wont come off as a front runner
 

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