Monday 9/5/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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[superbeets]

World Cup TODAY 17:00

Georgia

v

Austria

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		7/2	12/5	19/20	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN GEORGIA	RECENT FORM
ALADHDNLALAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	HLHWHLNLNDNL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Austria were undefeated in Euro 2016 qualifying

EXPERT VERDICT: Austria suffered a disappointing Euro 2016 campaign, picking up only two points and finishing bottom of their group.However, with the likes of Marko Arnautovic and Bayern’s David Alaba in the squad Austria should be too strong for Georgia, even if the hosts did shock Spain in their last outing.

RECOMMENDATION: Austria
4

 

[superbeets]

World Cup TODAY 19:45

Croatia

v

Turkey

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS3		4/7	3	6	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN CROATIA	RECENT FORM
HWHWNWNDNWND*​ Most recent​	0 - 0 1 - 1 2 - 2 1 - 1	NWNWNLNLNWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Croatia have not lost in normal time in 11 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Croatia played some of the most attractive football at Euro 2016, but failed to break down eventual winners Portugal when they met in the last 16. The Croats, who beat Turkey 1-0 at the Euros, conceded just five goals in their last qualifying campaign and can confirm their superiority in Zagreb.

RECOMMENDATION: Croatia
3

 

[superbeets]

World Cup TODAY 19:45

Wales

v

Moldova

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		1/4	5	16	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN WALES	RECENT FORM
NWNLNWNWNWNL​ Most recent​	Unknown	ALALADNWALAL​ Most recent​

EXPERT VERDICT: Welsh appetites have been whetted by their remarkable run to the semi-finals of Euro 2016 and focus now shifts to the task of achieving only their second ever World Cup finals appearance. Wales will be without Aaron Ramsey and Jonny Williams as they host minnows Moldova, but manager Chris Coleman has named the majority of the squad that performed so well in France and they should have too much in reserve.

RECOMMENDATION: Wales to win 2-0
2

 

[superbeets]

World Cup TODAY 19:45

Serbia

v

Ireland

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS2		Evs	9/4	7/2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN SERBIA	RECENT FORM
ALALAWHWHWND​ Most recent​	0 - 0	HLNDNLNWALHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Serbia won only two games in Euro 2016 qualifying

EXPERT VERDICT: Ireland face a tough start to World Cup qualifying, with a trip to Belgrade offering a serious test. Martin O’Neill’s side were fantastic in the European Championship while Serbia didn’t even make it to the Euro 2016 finals after a terrible qualification campaign. The Serbs undoubtedly have plenty of quality throughout their side, including a number of Premier League players, but they won just one of their four home games in Euro 2016 qualifying and an improving Ireland outfit could take advantage.

RECOMMENDATION: Ireland
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 10
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 10
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 10
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 10
-- The 'Over/Under' went 2-2 in Week 10

Team Betting Notes

-- Calgary (7-1-1) held off Hamilton (4-5) in a wild fourth quarter Sunday night, winning and covering 30-24. The Stampeders are unbeaten since Week 1, going 7-0-1 while covering seven of the past eight outings. The 'under' is a perfect 4-0 in the past four games for the Stamps.

-- Edmonton (5-4) took care of Saskatchewan (1-8) in Friday's game, 33-25. The Roughriders scored their most points since July 22 after averaging 8.8 points per game over the past four outings. The cover for Saskatchewan was their first in five games.

-- The Eskimos are 0-3 ATS when favored by more than seven points. They're non-cover Friday snapped a 3-0 ATS run for the Esks.

-- Winnipeg (5-4) continues their comeback after an awful start, topping Montreal (3-6) by a 32-18 count. After starting out 1-4 SU/1-3-1 ATS through the first five games, the Blue Bombers are a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS over the past four outings. The Blue Bombers are also an impressive 4-1 SU/ATS on the road this season.

-- BC Lions (6-3) looked impressive in their road win at Ottawa (4-4-1), as the RedBlacks continue to slide. BC has won three out of the past four, and they're 5-1 ATS over the past six outings. Ottawa is almost the complete opposite, going 1-4 SU over the past five games while failing to cover in each of the outings.

-- BC will continue its road trip at Toronto (4-4) on Wednesday evening. The Argonautrs have dropped two in a row and failed to cover in each. The Lions won 27-25 at Toronto last season, covering as a three-point 'dog. The last time they failed to win or cover in Toronto was July 30, 2013.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview Toronto Argonauts at Hamilton Tiger Cats CFL Pick, Odds, Prediction
Monday, September 5, 2016 6:30 PM (Tim Hortons Field)

The Toronto Argonauts and Hamilton Tiger-Cats play Monday night at Tim Hortons Field on TSN.

The Toronto Argonauts could use a win in order to snap a rough three-game losing streak. Ricky Ray is completing 75.1 percent of his passes for 1,448 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Ray has thrown five touchdowns in his last three games. Kenny Shaw and Vidal Hazelton have combined for more than 800 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Brandon Whitaker has 36 receptions. The Toronto Argonauts ground game is averaging 79 yards per contest, and Whitaker leads the way with 467 yards on 97 carries. Defensively, Toronto is allowing 26.2 points and 384.2 yards per game. Cory Greenwood leads the Argonauts with 40 tackles, Shawn Lemon has seven sacks and TJ Heath has three interceptions.

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats could use a big home win in order to get back to a .500 record. Jeremiah Masoli is completing 70.1 percent of his passes for 1,907 yards, nine touchdowns and eight interceptions. Masoli has 12 touchdown passes in his career. Luke Tasker and Chad Owens have combined for more than 1,200 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Andy Fantuz has 50 receptions. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats ground game is averaging 57 yards per contest, and C.J. Gable leads the way with 324 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Hamilton is allowing 25.9 points and 343.1 yards per game. Simoni Lawrence leads the Tiger-Cats with 54 tackles, John Chick has seven sacks and Emanuel Davis has two interceptions.

The Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 11. The Tiger-Cats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. East. The Argonauts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Hamilton and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall.

Hamilton has beaten Toronto in five straight meetings, including a 22-point beatdown back in June. Not to mention the Argonauts have not won a game overall since July 31 and have a major quick turnaround after just playing Wednesday. This isn't looking good for Toronto at all. So, I have to side with the Tiger-Cats by double digits.

RANDY'S PICK
Hamilton Tiger-Cats -8.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 11
By David Schwab

Week 10 Betting Recap

Road underdogs continue to line the pockets of bettors this season in the CFL with another big week of teams getting points covering against the spread. British Columbia got things started last Thursday with a 29-23 victory on the road against Ottawa as a 3 ½-point underdog.

In the first of two Friday night matchups, Winnipeg stayed hot in its 32-18 win over Montreal as a 2 ½-point underdog on the road. Later Friday night Saskatchewan played well enough to cover as a 13 ½-point road underdog in its 33-25 loss to Edmonton. Turning to Sunday’s CFL action, Calgary was able to break this road team trend ATS with a 30-24 home victory against Hamilton as a four-point favorite. Here is a look at Week 11 in the CFL.


Monday, Sept. 5

Edmonton Eskimos (5-4 SU, 3-5-1) vs. Calgary Stampeders (7-1-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Edmonton is slowly returning to the form that carried this team to a Grey Cup title last year. It has now won its last three games SU while averaging 34 points a game. However, there are is still some big concerns with a defense that has allowed an average of 27.4 points to its opponents. The combination of Mike Reilly throwing the ball to Adarius Bowman has led to 956 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 63 receptions.

The Stampeders are building up some serious steam towards a possible West Division title behind a SU six-game winning streak. They have been able to cover ATS in their last four games with the total staying UNDER in all four contests. Bo Levi Mitchell added 323 more yards to his passing yards total (2,857), which is the second-most in the CFL. He is also second in the league in touchdown throws with 15. Jerome Messam is second in the league in rushing with 542 total yards.

Betting Trends

Edmonton has won the last three games between these two bitter West Division rivals SU and ATS including a 45-31 victory as a three-point home favorite in last year’s playoffs. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings.

Toronto Argonauts (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Toronto will be back in action this Monday against an East Division rival that should be well-rested for this game. The Argonauts have shown good balance on offense with 338.5 passing yards a game complementing a rushing attack that is averaging 81.9 yards. Running back Brandon Whitaker has rushed for 432 yards this season, which is the third-highest total in the league.

The Tiger-Cats will try and once again even their mark to .500 on the year both SU and ATS. They are thrilled to have quarterback Zach Collaros back in the starting lineup and despite last Sunday’s loss, he looked pretty impressive throwing the ball with 439 yards passing and three touchdowns while going 34-for-53. Terrence Toliver and Luke Tasker combined for 19 receptions for 283 yards and all three scores.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats drew first blood in the season series with a 42-20 victory in Week 1 as five-point road underdogs. They have now won the last five meetings SU and they are a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last seven games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings, but it went OVER 52 in that opening day win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview Edmonton Eskimos at Calgary Stampeders
Monday, September 5, 2016 3:00 PM

Battle of Alberta to reignite for first time in 2016 on Labour Day in Calgary

CALGARY — Football and Labour Day. The Battle of Alberta.

Monday afternoon’s matchup in Cowtown between the Calgary Stampeders and Edmonton Eskimos is as classic a matchup on Mark’s Labour Day Weekend as they come.

The Stamps roll into Labour Day winners of six in a row and the undisputed best team during the first half of the 2016 CFL season, while the Esks seem to have sorted themselves out en route to their current three-game winning streak.

Jason Maas and the Edmonton Eskimos appear to have exorcised their first-half demons.

The Esks have followed up their ugly three-game skid of late July with a strong three-game winning streak in August, beating the likes of Toronto, Montreal and Saskatchewan in a trio of solid defensive performances.

The challenge is greater for Edmonton this week, as the Esks will travel to Calgary to face the first-place Stamps in another edition of the Battle of Alberta.

“As a regular-season game, they don’t get much bigger than this,” Edmonton head coach Jason Maas told Esks.com. “In terms of playing the first-place team, that’s 7-1-1, in their building, it’s a big opportunity.”

With his team rolling into the Labour Day matchup on a sustained high, Maas says his team expects to play well and win, regardless of the surroundings.

“It’s just another game in one respect; if we play well for four quarters, we expect to win,” said the former Ottawa offensive coordinator. “I love hyping this game up — it’s big for the province (and) the people of Calgary and Edmonton. I’m more than happy to build it up.”

One of the main objectives for Edmonton’s improved defence this Monday will be creating penetration on Stamps quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell.

Calgary’s surrendered a league-low 10 sacks and turned the ball over just 12 times this season — also a league-low figure.

“They’re a well-rounded team,” admitted Esks defensive lineman Eddie Steele. “They’re pretty good at controlling the ball and taking care of their quarterback. It’s going to be tough. Their offensive line is playing real well.”

Edmonton’s D-Line has been led in recent weeks by Almondo Sewell, whose seven sacks pace the Esks. Sewell, a former Akron Zip, has registered three sacks in his last two games and forms a scary pass rush partnership with the likes of Odell Willis and Marcus Howard, each of whom has registered four sacks.

“Bo Levi gets the ball out real quick,” said Steele. “It’s not like he’s sitting back and holding it. We’ve got our work cut out for us. We’ve really got to show up. All we can do is try to get his feet moving a bit and make him feel uncomfortable in the pocket.”

Offensively the Eskimos will be faced with the league’s best statistical defence in Calgary; the Stamps have allowed the fewest points (185) in the CFL while forcing the most fumbles (14) and creating the most pass knockdowns (38) in the league.

“It’s just another opportunity for us to go our and show how we’ve improved on that path toward our end goal,” said Esks quarterback Mike Reilly, who’s thrown for a league-high 3,096 pass yards and 16 TDs in 2016. “They’re at the top of the league for a reason: They’ve been playing the best (and) it’s a chance for us to go down there and show them what we’re capable of.”

Edmonton wideout Adarius Bowman needs just 44 receiving yards on Monday to break the 1,000-yard mark for the third-straight season.

The Calgary Stampeders are a very, very good football team, and at times have made it look easy en route to a 7-1-1 record this season.

Stamps head coach Dave Dickenson insists that it hasn’t been.

“I really believe that in this league any team can beat any other team in any given week,” Dickenson told Stampeders.com. “Yeah, we have a nice record, but every game has been a battle: Our team has a belief that we win close games.”

The Stamps face a unique challenge defensively this week in trying to contain the two-headed Esks receiving monster of Adarius Bowman and Derel Walker.

“With those two guys, it’s all about targets,” explained Calgary safety Josh Bell. “I mean, if I got the ball thrown to me 16 times a game, I should at least catch seven or eight for 70 or 80 yards. They’re dangerous, very dangerous (and if) you let down your guard…”

Stamps secondary coach Kahlil Carter’s memory is a long one. The former Argo defensive back remembers the hurt Edmonton put on Calgary last season, and believes his group is ready to set the record straight.

“They beat us three times last year, that’s all I remember: A great Edmonton team that stopped us from getting a Grey Cup ring,” said Carter. “I know my guys will be up for the challenge this week as we try to duplicate their success of last year.”

The coach is confident in his secondary group.

“Thing is, they have two (Walker and Bowman) and we have six,” said Carter. “I’ll take my six against anybody. Jerry Rice. You name it. Doesn’t matter.”

Calgary’s offensive line — one of its biggest strengths in the first half — will be without centre Pierre Lavertu. Spencer Wilson will move over to centre, with rookie Ucambre Williams sliding onto the line at right tackle.

“It’s not the position he’s most comfortable with, but we’ve got (Roman) Groz(man) there as well. We’ll try to keep communication at the best possible levels,” said Coach Dickenson. “For Ucambre, he’s a good young player and we want to see him play more: He’ll get a huge test this week.”

While receiver Joe West appeared ready to make his return from the Stamps’ injured list, Dickenson and his staff opted to stick with Davaris Daniels.

The rookie out of Notre Dame hauled in 108 receiving yards and a touchdown in Calgary’s win over Hamilton last week.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 11 CFL games

Edmonton (5-4) @ Calgary (7-1)– Stampeders had won 12 in row in this Alberta rivalry, but Eskimos won last three meetings LY, by 11-4-14 points; Edmonton lost five of last six visits here- home side won four of last five series games. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Eskimos scored 34 ppg in winning last three games; they’re 2-1 SU on road, covering all three games. Calgary won its last six games, scoring 30+ points in five of those games; Stamps are 3-1 as home favorites this year. Last four Stampeder games stayed under the total.

Toronto (4-5) @ Hamilton (4-5)– Argonauts lost 16-13 at home to BC Wednesday; quick turnaround here. TiCats (+5) opened season with 42-20 win in Toronto, its 5th win in row over Argonauts, who’ve lost last four visits to Hamilton, by 1-16-30-3 points (under 4-0). Toronto lost last three games after a 4-2 start, allowing 32 ppg; they’re 3-0 SU on road (under 3-0), but their last road game was July 31. Hamilton lost three of last four games but all three losses were on road; TiCats are 1-2 at home; five of their last six games were on the road.

— Underdogs*24-14-1, home teams 11-29-2 vs spread…….Over: 18-22-2

— Edmonton Eskimos*@ Calgary Stampeders (-6.5, 55)
— Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger Cats (-9, 53.5)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL*|*EDMONTON*at*CALGARY
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season
36-10*since 1997.**(*78.3%*|*25.0 units*)

CFL*|*TORONTO*at*HAMILTON
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (TORONTO) dominant team (outgain opp. by 1+ YPP) against a good team (outgain opp. by 0.4 to 1 YPP), after gaining 250 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games
22-3*since 1997.**(*88.0%*|*18.7 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Betting Recap - Week 1
By Daniel Dobish

Overall Notes

College Football Week 1 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up 68-15

Against the Spread 38-43-2


WAGER Home-Away

Straight Up 61-16

Against the Spread 33-43-1


WAGER Totals (O/U)

Over-Under 27-42-3


WAGER Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up (neutral site) 4-2

Against the Spread (neutral site) 2-3-1

Over-Under (neutral site) 2-4


The largest underdogs to win straight up
South Alabama (+28, ML +3000) at Mississippi State, 21-20
Eastern Washington (+27.5, ML +2750) at Washington State, 45-42
Albany (+21, ML +1125) at Buffalo, 22-16

The largest favorites to cover
Miami-Florida (-52) vs. Florida A&M, 70-3
Oklahoma State (-49) vs. SE Louisiana, 61-7
Middle Tennessee (-47.5) vs. Alabama A&M, 55-0

Top 25 Notes

-- The first full weekend of college football was tremendously exciting, as the marquee games mostly lived up to their billing. Top-ranked Alabama was expected to get a much bigger test from Southern California, but that game turned out to be a laugher. The Trojans outscored the Crimson Tide 3-0 after the first quarter, but then the Tide took over and blasted USC 52-6. ... No. 2 Clemson ended up getting a much bigger challenge than expected at Auburn, winning 19-13. See the 'bad beat' section for more on how this one played out. ... At Lambeau Field in Green Bay it was defensive slog and great game between Louisiana State and Wisconsin, although the result was overshadowed by an ugly cheap shot by LSU's Josh Boutte. The Badgers weren't ranked in the Top 25, but after toppling the No. 6 team in the nation it appears Wisconsin is headed for the rankings. ... Top 25 teams went 17-5 SU through Saturday's action, but finished 9-13 ATS with two of the games featuring ranked teams on each side.

-- In Thursday's action, Appalachian State came over the Great Smoky Mountains to face Tennessee, losing 20-13 in overtime. The Volunteers have high expectations, but they started the season on a sour note with a near upset.

-- Houston was invited to the party last season, upending Florida State in the Peach Bowl. This season, they're the favorite from the Group of Five to crash the New Year's Day bowls again. Their bid got off to a great start with a 33-23 win over Oklahoma at NRG Field in Houston, which was technically a neutral-site game.

-- North Carolina and Georgia had a classic battle in the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. It appeared the ACC underdog was going to win, but then a strange safety seemed to turn the tide and get the Bulldogs rolling. Speaking of rolling, Nick Chubb showed why he is in the early Heisman conversation with a stellar perhaps to trample the Tar Heels and help the Dawgs cover.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) is off to an impressive start, as Clemson won 19-13 at Auburn, and Louisville looked the part of Top 25 team with a 70-14 thrashing and cover against Charlotte. ... Wake Forest's offense appeared to be stuck in neutral yet again, mustering just seven points in Thursday's game against Tulane. The good news is that they had a suffocating defense on display in a 7-3 win. ... North Carolina State picked up a win over William & Mary, and fellow Triangle team Duke pushed North Carolina Central aside in the Bull City Battle, covering a big number in the process. ... It wasn't all good, as Virginia tasted defeat at home against Richmond of the FCS, a team which led 30-7 at hone point before a couple of late scores made it look semi-respectable.

-- Ohio State and Michigan looked strong in the opening weekend, pushing aside inferior opponents while racking up plenty of points in the process. The Buckeyes (-27.5) easily covered against Bowling Green of the MAC, 77-10. Ohio State is 32-1 against the MAC all-time, losing to Akron back in 1894. The Wolverines spanked Hawaii 63-3, as the Rainbow Warriors slipped to 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS. ... Michigan State was rather sluggish, beating FCS Furman by a 28-13 count, never comin close to cover as 37 1/2-point favorites. ... Northwestern had high hopes entering the season, but P.J. Fleck's Western Michigan squad had other ideas in a 22-21 victory in Evanston.

-- Kansas State was on the short end of a 26-13 loss at Stanford Friday night. Depending on the time of your wager, you either covered, lost or pushed, with the line fluctuating from 12 to 15 during the week. ... Disaster struck in Houston for the Sooners, and to make matters worse they have to share the state with Oklahoma State, who pounded FCS Southeast Louisiana 61-7 to look mighty impressive in their opener. ... One Big 12 team which did not have good luck against an FCS squad was Iowa State, as they were shocked at home by Northern Iowa, 25-20. ... Texas Christian had their hands full with South Dakota State, as they were tied 24-24 at halftime, and they were tied 31-31 midway through the third quarter before the light went off for the Horned Frogs.

-- USC's loss was a black eye for the Pac-12, and UCLA was unable to come away from Texas A&M with a victory, although they certainly were scrappy. The Bruins erased a 24-9 Aggies' lead in the fourth quarter, forcing overtime. However, UCLA ended up losing 31-24 for the non-cover. ... Oregon usually starts off slow in these cupcake games against FCS teams, and Saturday was no different. UC-Davis easily covered a 48-point number in their 53-28 loss in Eugene. ... For the second straight season, Washington State was dumped by an FCS team in the opening weekend. Last year it was Portland State, this time it was Eastern Washington doing the honors.

-- The SEC had a difficult time this weekend, as LSU lost its marquee battle, while Mississippi State started off the post-Dak Prescott Era with a 21-20 setback to South Alabama of the Sun Belt. ... Arkansas didn't look particularly sharp, slipping by Louisiana Tech by a 21-20 score. ... Kentucky held a 35-10 lead at one point, but they were outscored 34-0 since the end of the second quarter against Southern Mississippi in a 44-35 stunner at Commonwealth Stadium. ... Missouri opened with a loss and non-cover at West Virginia, slipping 26-11. The offensive woes which plagued the Tigers last season reared their ugly head in Morgantown.

Mid-Major Report

-- Temple didn't get off to a very impressive start, falling 28-13 to Army. The Owls lost just three games all season before their bowl loss, and they only suffered one setback at home all of last year. ... Tulsa was favored by just four points, but they thrashed San Jose State by a 45-10 score thanks to Dane Evans, Keevan Lucas and friends. ... Cincinnati was sluggish in a 28-7 win against Tennessee-Martin of the FCS. The Bearcats will look for better results at Purdue next Saturday. ... Southern Methodist looked sharp, winning 34-21 at North Texas as touchdown favorites.

-- Outside of the Southern Mississippi comeback, Conference USA didn't have a whole lot to crow about in the opening stanza. Louisiana Tech also had a signature win at Arkansas, but the Razorbacks fought back for a 21-20 win thanks to a touchdown with 6:37 remaining. ... App State also scored a big upset in Knoxville against a Top 10 team, but they came up just short in overtime against the Vols.

-- The Mid-America Conference went 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS against the Big Ten. Western Michigan stunned Northwestern 22-21 to cover a 3 1/2-point spread, while Kent State held on for the cover as a 24-point underdog. ... The game of the day might have been in Athens, as Ohio slipped against visiting Texas State in triple-overtime, 56-54. ... Akron was a bit rusty to start, leading just 26-24 through three quarters against VMI. The Zips outscored the Keydets 21-0 in the final quarter to score a 47-24 victory.

-- It was ugly in Denver for the Mountain West, as Colorado State was spanked 44-7 by rival Colorado at Mile High. The underdog had been 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings, but this one wasn't close. ... Boise State looks ready to return to prominence, and they kicked off their sseason with a 45-10 shellacking of Louisiana-Lafayette on the road. ... Nevada got all it could handle against Cal Poly SLO, winning 30-27 in double-overtime. ... UNLV covered a 40-point number against FCS Jackson State, treating Walter Payton's alma mater rather rudely.

Bad Beats

-- Clemson was covering 19-6 midway through the fourth quarter at Auburn. On 3rd and 10, Auburn threw incomplete for what should have been a fourth down play. However, senior Ben Boulware had a roughing the passer call to give Auburn a chance. They cashed in on the very next play to go up 19-13. After a failed onside kick attempt and favorable situation with timeouts, it appeared Clemson would cover with a field goal in the final minute. But head coach Dabo Swinney elected to go for it on fourth down, stunning bettors of Clemson everywhere.

-- If you were laying the 3 1/2 points with Kentucky, then you need a drink. They were up 35-10 and there looked like no way Southern Mississippi could get back into the game. But they closed to 35-17 by halftime, and outscored the Wildcats 27-0 in the second half for the amazing 44-35 victory.

-- It was like losing twice for UCLA side bettors. The Bruins fought back from a 24-9 deficit in the final 4:19 to force overtime at 24. But A&M scored a touchdown, and the Bruins were unable to answer. If you had the 'under' (55), it was also a bad beat. Therew were just 33 points in the first 55:41 of regulation, and 22 points in the final 4:19 of regulation and overtime.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tech Trends - Week 1
By Bruce Marshall

Monday, Sept. 5

Matchup Skinny Edge

OLE MISS vs. FLORIDA STATE (at Orlando)...Hugh Freeze 33-18-1 vs. line with Ole Miss, 43-20-1 vs. line since 2011 at Ark State and Rebs. Freeze 11-5 as dog with Ole Miss and 4-1 against line vs. non-SEC LY, 14-5-1 in role since arriving in 2012. Jimbo recovered to 8-5 vs. line LY after 3-11 mark in 2014.

Ole Miss, based on team trends.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF Game of the Day: Ole Miss vs. Florida State

No. 12 Ole Miss Rebels vs. No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (-4.5, 60)

A pair of Heisman Trophy candidates and two ranked teams will be on display when Ole Miss takes on Florida State in their season opener at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla., on Monday. Fourth-ranked Florida State returns a talented group on both sides of the ball led by junior running back Dalvin Cook, and senior quarterback Chad Kelly is the key to unlock a successful season for No. 12 Ole Miss.

Cook rushed for a school-record 1,691 yards and 19 touchdowns last year for the Seminoles, who introduce a new starting quarterback in freshman and Orlando native Deondre Francois. Both will have the support of an experienced offensive line and all-ACC tackle Roderick Johnson told the Tampa Bay Times of Cook: “His attitude’s the same as last year and that’s to be the greatest of all time.” Florida State coach Jimbo Fisher calls Kelly “a competitor” and the 6-2, 224-pounder comes to Orlando after a breakout season in which he threw for 4,042 yards and 31 touchdowns while rushing for another 500 and 10 scores. Kelly has the weapons around him to match those numbers and will be tested by one of top defenses the Rebels will face all season.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Florida State opened this matchup of ranked teams as 6.5-point chalk, but early on the betting action was on Ole Miss. The line moved to FSU -6 and got as low as -4, before money started coming back on the Seminoles, bringing the line back to the current number of FSU -4.5.

The total has also seen a fair amount of action. The number opened at 57 and since then bettors have been hammering the Over, bringing the number all the way up to 60.

WEATHER REPORT: It will be partly cloudy with a very slight 10 percent chance of rain during the game. There will also be a seven to nine mile per hour wind blowing towards the southwest corner of the stadium.

INJURY REPORT:

Ole Miss - DE F. Brown (probable Monday, foot), WR M. Pack (questionable Monday, thumb), OL J. Liggins (out Monday).

Florida State - QB S. Maguire (probable Monday, foot), DB D. James (probable Monday, foot), WR J. Wilson (probable Monday, foot), DB L. Taylor (probable Monday, thigh), OL A. Eberle (probable Monday, concussion), WR N. Muray (probable Monday, concussion), WR T. Rudolph (probable Monday, hamstring), WR G. Campbell (questionable Monday, groin), DB N. Andrews (questionable Monday, hamstring), DT A. Torres (doubtful Monday, foot), OL K. Are (doutbful Monday, concussion), DT D. Taylor II (doubtful Monday, shoulder).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We had Florida State at -4.5 Friday afternoon and with the public backing the favorite, we have since moved to Florida St. -6 with 78 percent of the action to cover (as of Sunday afternoon). The Total has also moved on this game, going from 58.5 to 59, with just under 60 percent of the action on the Over." - Michael Stewart.

ABOUT OLE MISS (2015: 10-3): One concern for the Rebels this season is on their offensive line, which is expected to include three sophomore starters. Senior Akeem Judd and freshman Eric Swinney lead the rushing attack with Jordan Wilkins (academics) lost for the season and Kelly has a deep receiving corps with wideouts Quincy Adeboyejo and Damore’ea Stringfellow along with tight end Evan Engram owning the most experience. Defensive end Marquis Haynes (10 sacks last year) and safety Tony Conner key the other side of the ball where Ole Miss returns five starters.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (2015: 10-3): Francois becomes the fourth freshman to start an opener at quarterback for the Seminoles in their history, after incumbent Sean Maguire (foot) was lost for 4-to-6 weeks, and will make it in his home town. Francois has an offensive line group with a combined 66 starts, one of the nation’s top running backs and an experienced receiving corps that is led by Travis Rudolph (59 catches, 916 yards, seven touchdowns) to help. Defensive end DeMarcus Walker (10½ sacks in 2015) and safety Derwin James (91 tackles, 4½ sacks) are stalwarts for what could be one of the country’s top defenses.

TRENDS:

* Ole Miss is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games in September.
* Florida State ended last season going 5-1 ATS in its final six games.
* Under is 22-6 in Ole Miss' last 28 games overall.
* Under is 15-5 in Florida State's last 22 versus SEC opponents.

CONSENSUS: Bettors are strongly backing the favorite in this matchup, with 68 percent of wagers on Florida State. The action on the total is much more even, with 51 percent of bettors giving the slight edge to the Over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ole Miss vs. Florida State
By Brian Edwards

Ole Miss and Florida State will collide Monday night at the Florida Citrus Bowl in Orlando. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

As of early Sunday night, most betting shops had FSU installed as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 59 points. The Rebels were +180 on the money line (risk $100 to win $180). For first-half wagers, the Seminoles were favored by three with a total of 29.5.

FSU returns 11 starters on offense and six on defense. However, one of those starters, QB Sean Maguire, is listed as ‘doubtful’ due to a foot injury sustained in early August. Therefore, redshirt freshman Deondre Francois will get the starting nod at QB.

Francois has one of the nation’s top offensive lines in front of him one of the country’s premier running backs behind him. Dalvin Cook garnered first-team All-American honors last season despite dealing with a nagging hamstring injury for a decent chunk of the year. Cook produced 1,691 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns while averaging 7.4 yards per carry. Cook added 24 receptions for 224 yards and one TD.

All of the WRs are back, including the trio of Travis Rudolph, Kermit Whitfield and Jesus Wilson. Rudolph is the best of the bunch, hauling in 59 receptions for 916 yards and seven TDs. Whitfield had 57 catches for 798 yards and six TDs last year, while Wilson brought down 58 balls for 622 yards and three TDs.

FSU’s defense gave up 17.5 points per game in ’15. This unit is led by sophomore strong safety Derwin James, who was selected to the Freshman All-American team after recording 91 tackles, 4.5 sacks, five tackles behind the line and three QB hurries. Senior DE DeMarcus Walker was a first-team All-ACC selection last year when he had 58 tackles, 10.5 sacks, five tackles behind the line, five passes broken up, four QB hurries and one interception.

Jimbo Fisher’s team went 10-3 straight up and 8-5 against the spread in ’15. After racing out to a 6-0 start, the ‘Noles dropped a 22-16 decision at Ga. Tech. The Yellow Jackets blocked a potential game-winning field goal by FSU on the final play of regulation. The kick still went about 20 yards down the field, but a Ga. Tech player scooped it up, caught a couple of good blocks and took it the house for a walk-off TD.

FSU lost again a few weeks later at Clemson, 23-13. Fisher’s squad won its last three regular-season games, which included a 27-2 win at Florida. That run earned the ‘Noles an invite to the Peach Bowl in Atlanta at the Ga. Dome. The result was a 38-24 loss to Houston as a seven-point ‘chalk.’

Ole Miss also finished ’15 with a 10-3 record, going 9-4 ATS. The Rebels started 4-0, including a second straight win over Alabama. They were ranked third in the nation going into Gainesville to face an undefeated Florida team that was ranked No. 25. The Gators jumped all over Ole Miss and dominated from start to finish in a 38-10 victory as 6.5-point home underdogs.

Despite taking another loss to Memphis, Hugh Freeze’s club remained in control of its destiny to win the SEC West and earn a trip to the SEC Championship Game for the first time in school history. But then Arkansas came to Oxford in November.

Ole Miss appeared poised to win the game when Arkansas TE Hunter Henry was going down short of the first-down marker on a 4th-and-25 play in overtime. However, Henry lateraled the ball back and across the field before his knee hit the ground. The ball took a perfect bounce and landed in RB Alex Collins’s hands. He broke a tackle and got a block and then wisely waited for another block before getting the first down in miraculous fashion. Moments later, a face mask penalty kept the Razorbacks’ drive alive and they eventually scored and Brandon Allen’s three-yard run on the two-point conversion gave the Hogs a remarkable 53-52 win.

But Ole Miss would respond with two outstanding wins vs. LSU (38-17) at home and at Mississippi State (38-27) to earn its first Sugar Bowl berth in decades. The Rebels blasted Oklahoma State 48-20 as 8.5-point favorites in New Orleans.

Then on the night of the NFL Draft’s first round, an event that should’ve been a celebration of the accomplishments of Freeze’s tenure while three Rebels were selected instead turned into an embarrassing fiasco. Just minutes before the draft started, Laramy Tunsil’s Instagram account was hacked and a video of Tunsil smoking weed with a gas mask on appeared. Then a text-message exchange between Tunsil and a member of Freeze’s staff was posted to Tunsil’s social-media accounts. The content of the texts revolved around cash payments to Tunsil.

Then during the post-draft interview live on national television, Tunsil was asked about the social-media posts and if it was true that Ole Miss coaches paid him. To this he responded, “I would have to say yes.”

Since then, an NCAA investigation has hovered over the program and all of Oxford. The investigation isn’t complete, so it doesn’t appear any potential sanctions will harm this 2016 team. But it has been a major distraction and incredible public-relations nightmare.

With that said, I would think the Ole Miss players are thrilled to just get on the field and be able to put a tumultuous offseason in the rearview mirror. Although Tunsil, WR Laquon Treadwell and DE Robert Nkemdiche are all gone after being first-round picks, there’s still plenty of talent remaining on the roster.

Chad ‘Swag’ Kelly is back for his senior year after producing a record-breaking season in ’15. Kelly completed 65.1 percent of his passes for 4,042 yards with a 31/13 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He also rushed for 500 yards and 10 TDs.

Kelly has one of the SEC’s best TEs in Evan Engram, who had 38 catches for 464 yards and two TDs last season. He has two other veterans to target in Quincy Adeboyejo and Damore’ea Stringfellow. Adeboyejo had 38 receptions for 604 yards and seven TDs in ’15, while Stringfellow had 36 grabs for 503 yards and five TDs.

Leading rusher Jaylen Walton is gone, but the Rebels are set at RB with a pair of experienced players in Akeem Judd and Eugene Brazley. Judd and Brazley had YPC averages of 5.5 and 10.1, respectively.

Ole Miss returns five starters on offense and five on defense. The ’15 ‘D’ allowed 22.6 PPG. Three of the top four tacklers have departed, but the leading tackler is back. That would be LB DeMarquis Gates, who had 76 tackles. Marquis Haynes was a second-team All-SEC selection thanks to 43 tackles, 10 sacks, 6.5 tackles behind the line and eight QB hurries. DBs Tony Bridges and Tony[ Conner are other notable playmakers for this unit.

Senior starting DE Fadol Brown is listed as ‘questionable vs. FSU due to a foot injury. Brown had 32 tackles, one sack, 3.5 tackles behind the line and 10 QB hurries in ’15.

Ole Miss played a neutral-field game for its opener two seasons ago. The Rebels beat Boise State by a 35-13 count as a 10-point favorite at the Ga. Dome in Atlanta.

FSU did the same for its opener in ’14, capturing a 37-31 win over Oklahoma State as an 18.5-point ‘chalk’ at Jerry World in Arlington, TX. Since 1991, the ‘Noles are 7-0 in season opener played at neutral sites.

During Fisher’s six-year tenure, FSU has won eight of 11 games on a neutral field, but it has limped to a 4-7 spread record. In fact, the ‘Noles have failed to cover the number in four consecutive neutral-site contests.

Meanwhile, Ole Miss owns a 4-1 record both SU and ATS in five games at a neutral venue during Freeze’s five-year tenure.

FSU’s starting center Alec Eberle is ‘questionable’ due to recent issues with migraine headaches.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB | OLE MISS at FLORIDA ST
Play Over - Any team vs the the 1rst half total solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 10 or more points/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning
90-47 over the last 10 seasons. ( 65.7% | 38.3 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday’s College Football game

Florida State QB Maguire (foot) is out here; redshirt freshman Francois is likely starter here. Seminoles have*16 starters back, with 10 back on offense- they’re 36-28-1 as favorites under Fisher. Ole Miss is 14-5-1 vs spread in last 20 non-SEC games, 11-4 in last 15 tries as an underdog, 6-1 in neutral field games; Rebels lost 6 starters on both sides of ball- their senior QB has 13 starts. Last 5+ years, SEC teams are 27-19 vs spread when facing an ACC squad. SEC teams are 4-7 vs spread this weekend; ACC teams are 1-3.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Mohawk Racetrack

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$18000 - 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 RACES OR $45,000 LIFETIME.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 6 ALL THE COOKIES 7/2
# 8 TOM HILL 2/1
# 5 MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP 5/1

Really keen on the probability of ALL THE COOKIES taking down the winner's share in this one. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 84 speed rating. A respectable class horse cannot be overlooked. With an avg class ranking of 85 all signs point to yes. Many analyzers back this gelding on the driver-trainer ratings alone. TOM HILL - Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 85 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Could dominate this pack, just look at the speed figure - 83 - from his last race. MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP - Post 5 has been winning at a much higher than average stat, suggesting really strong probability of success in this event. That 82 TrackMaster speed fig clocked in the most recent gathering puts this horse in the mix in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF

Preview: Rebels (0-0) at Seminoles (0-0)

Date: September 05, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

The two coaches have slightly opposing views of the venue for Monday night's clash between No. 4 Florida State and No. 11 Ole Miss that winds up college football's opening weekend (ESPN, 8 p.m. ET).

Orlando's Camping World Stadium, previously known as the Citrus Bowl, is a mere 4 1/2-hour drive from the Seminoles' campus in Tallahassee. The Ole Miss campus in Oxford is 627 miles away as the crow flies and over 150 miles longer when it comes to driving distance.

"It has its advantages," Seminoles' coach Jimbo Fisher said, noting an immediate introduction for his team to a bowl-game, playoff-like atmosphere and national exposure, not to mention a history that shows the 'Noles have gone 8-0-2 when they have played in Orlando dating back to 1952.

The disadvantage?

"You have to play a great opponent," he said, laughing.

Rebels' coach Hugh Freeze had slightly different opinion when the subject was brought up during the summer at the SEC Media Days.

"I did get a kick out of our AD telling me it's a 'neutral-site' game," Freeze said. "And I'd use that in quotes, 'neutral site,' and I explain to him, 'Any time you go on the road to a neutral-site game and you have to use silent cadence, it shouldn't be considered a neutral site.'

"So we'll have a great opposition there in a lot of ways, and it will be an atmosphere that we have to handle."

Florida State will be starting a new quarterback in Deondre Francois, who will be the second redshirt freshman starter in the last four seasons for the Seminoles. The other? Heisman winner Jameis Winston.

Francois was named the starter after fifth-year senior quarterback Sean Maguire all but ended the preseason competition when he fractured a bone in his foot during one of the Seminoles' first practices.

But Francois already had established himself as the front-runner.

"If you didn't think it was official a long time ago," Fisher said of the decision, "I'm worried about you."

Ole Miss has a veteran and one of the top quarterbacks in the SEC in senior Chad Kelly, a top-ranked prospect according to NFLDraftScout.com, but the 'Noles have a weapon the Rebels don't have in running back Dalvin Cook. Cook has rushed for 2,699 yards in just two seasons and is only 1,261 yards away from Warrick Dunn's school record.

Freeze was asked who in the SEC Cook might remind him of.

"We didn't play Georgia last year, but he is probably similar to their guy," he said, referring to Nick Chubb. "He has a lower center of gravity. Makes you miss in space a bit more than the ones you have mentioned it seems to me."

Fisher described Kelly as "a competitor" and said the Seminoles would be wary of opening running lanes with an aggressive pass rush, citing Kelly's ability to make big plays with his feet.

"To me of all the things, you see the physical things, but you see his competitiveness all the time," Fisher said of Kelly.

This will be just the second meeting between the two schools. The first was in 1961 with Ole Miss winning 33-0 in Oxford.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ajax Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Allowance - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD OPEN. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 3 ONE KOOL WAVE 3/1

# 5 EYESA ZOOMN 5/1

# 1 COLE MINER 9/2

ONE KOOL WAVE looks to be a very good contender. Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 76 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the strongest in this group. Very good choice to take this race going in a short. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 81 - of his last affair. EYESA ZOOMN - Should be considered based on the very strong Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last outing. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 75, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. COLE MINER - Dunlap has him trained admirably to break swiftly out of the gate. Win percentage with this jockey and handler combo - 23 percent - reliable.