Monday 9/4/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Pesos]

StatFox Super Situations

LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
Play Against - Home teams (OAKLAND) poor offensive team - scoring <=4.4 runs/game on the season (AL), after a loss by 8 runs or more 205-130 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 70.4 units ) 10-5 this year. ( 66.7% | 4.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MILWAUKEE at CINCINNATI
MILWAUKEE is 25-12 (+15.8 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season. The average score was: MILWAUKEE (5.6) , OPPONENT (4.4)

 

[Pesos]

Diamond Trends - Monday

TOP SU TREND:

The Orioles are 12-0 since Jul 26, 2013 with no rest as a favorite in the first game of a series when playing a team that has a better record.

TOP OU TREND:

The Rays are 0-11 OU (-1.95 ppg) since May 14, 2010 at home after a game as a road favorite in which they struck out at least ten times.

TOP STARTER TREND:

The Rays are 11-0 since Aug 01, 2012 when Alex Cobb starts after he gave up no walks in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND:

The Tigers are 0-13 since Sep 09, 2015 as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 12+ hits.

 

[Pesos]

CFL

CFL Betting Recap - Week 10

League Betting Notes

Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 10
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 10
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
The 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 9

Analysis

Favorites went 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in Week 10 and the 'chalk' is now 7-1 both SU and ATS over the last two weeks. In the three non-divisional games, the West posted a 2-1 record over the East.

The scoreboard operator was working hard this week as the 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 10 with five of eight teams scoring 30-plus points, and Saskatchewan lit it up with 54 points.

Team Betting Notes

Calgary (7-1-1) took over first place of the West Division on Saturday as it stifled Toronto 23-7 as a 10-point home favorite, improving to 4-0 at home this season. The Stampeders have won and covered five straight games and four of those decisions came by double digits. They've only allowed 169 points this season and that's the best scoring defense in the league.

Winnipeg (7-2) extended its winning streak to five games in Week 10 with a 34-31 road win over Montreal. The team is 4-1 ATS during this span and 7-2 overall versus the number, which is the best mark in the CFL. Including last week's win, the Blue Bombers are 3-1 this season with games decided by three points or less. The 'over' is 7-1.

After winning its first seven games of the season, Edmonton (7-2) suffered its second straight setback in Week 10 and the defense has contributed to the defeats. The unit was helpless in a 54-31 loss at Saskatchewan on Friday and helped the 'over' stay hot with a 5-1 run in the last six contests. This was the first home loss of the season for Edmonton.

British Columbia (5-5) is another team struggling in the West Divison, losers in three straight and four of their last five games. On Saturday, the club dropped a 31-24 road decision at Ottawa. The offense has been held to 49 points over the last three losses after averaging 31.4 points per game in their first seven games. The 'under' is on a 3-0-1 streak.

The week off helped Saskatchewan (4-4), who put up a season-high 54 points in its victory over Edmonton. The Roughriders cashed as road underdogs (+5.5) over the Lions and that victory was the first away win of the season for them. The club is 5-3 ATS overall.

Ottawa (3-6-1) showed some first for the second straight week as it defeated BC 31-24 as a short home favorite (-1). Despite putting up more than 30 points for the second straight week, total bettors saw the outcome push once again as it landed on the closing number of 55.

Defense continues to be a major issue for Montreal (3-6) lately and it showed on Thursday as the Alouettes lost a 34-31 home decision to Winnipeg. The team has allowed over 30 points in three of its last four games, which has led to a 1-3 record. Despite the loss, they only trail Toronto by one game in the East Division.

The Argonauts (4-6) haven't won back-to-back games all season and that trend continued on Saturday as the team was trounced 23-7 at Calgary. The Argos have gone 1-4 on the road this season and the 'under' is 3-2 in those games.

Hamilton (0-8 ) didn't win or lose in Week 10 as the club was on bye. The T-Cats will be returning on Sept. 4 versus Toronto.

 

[Pesos]

OTTAWA (3 - 6 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

______________________________________________

WINNIPEG (7 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 4) - 9/3/2017, 4:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

______________________________________________

EDMONTON (7 - 2) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/4/2017, 3:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

______________________________________________

TORONTO (4 - 6) at HAMILTON (0 - 8 ) - 9/4/2017, 6:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Pesos]

OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa

WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg

EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

 

[Pesos]

OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa

WINNIPEG @ SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

EDMONTON @ CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Edmonton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

TORONTO @ HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

 

[Pesos]

Ottawa RedBlacks (3-6-1 SU, 7-3 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS)

Point-spread: Ottawa -1
Total: 51

Game Overview

The RedBlacks continue to rebound from a dismal start with back-to-back victories against Hamilton on the road and British Columbia at home both straight-up and against the spread. The total has ended as a PUSH in both of those victories. In last week’s win against the Lions, Trevor Harris put the ball up 45 times and he completed 30 passes for 326 yards and one score, while also getting picked off twice. He is first in the CFL in passing yards with 3,188 and first in passing touchdowns with 19.

Montreal slipped further back in the East Division race with four losses in its last five games SU with last week’s setback against Winnipeg. Nik Lewis set the CFL record for career receptions in that game by catching 10 balls for 88 yards, but the Alouettes could not come up with the plays when they needed to the most. Quarterback Darian Durant ended that game with 316 yards passing while tossing three touchdowns and two interceptions. He was also Montreal’s second-leading rusher with 32 yards on three carries.

Betting Trends

Ottawa has a 7-1 edge ATS in the last eight meetings overall following a 24-19 victory against Montreal on July 19 as a four-point home favorite. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in three of the last four meetings in this East Division clash.

Sunday, Sept. 3

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2½
Total: 61

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers continue to tear things up on offense with 33 points or more scored in each of their last seven games. Their current SU winning streak stands at five games with last week’s win and they have covered the spread in each of their last four games. The total has gone OVER in seven of Winnipeg’s first nine games. Matt Nichols completed 68.4 percent of his 38 passes against Montreal last week for 227 yards and three touchdowns against one pick. He is now second in the CFL in passing touchdowns with 17.

Saskatchewan is coming off one of the most shocking victories of the year after going up and down the field against Edmonton in a game where the Roughriders posted three scores on two interceptions and one blocked punt. Kevin Glenn threw for 240 yards and two scores and Saskatchewan only gained 89 yards on the ground to make the most of the production it did generate in that game.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg has won five of the last six meetings SU including a wild 43-40 overtime victory on July 1 as a slight 1½-point road underdog. The series is tied 3-3 ATS in those six meetings and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between these two West Division foes.

Monday, Sept. 4

Edmonton Eskimos (7-2 SU, 3-6 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (7-1-1 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -11
Total: 54½

Game Overview

Edmonton needs to quickly prove that its SU seven-game winning streak to start the season was not a fluke. They got wide receiver Brandon Zylstra back from injury in last week’s game and he came down with five catches for 65 yards, but quarterback Mike Reilly struggled for the second-straight game after completing just 15 of his 26 throws for 160 yards. More concerning is the play of the Eskimos’ defense over the past two games.

The Stampeders were the best team in the CFL last season until a tough loss in the Grey Cup title game and they are headed in that same direction this year with a SU five-game winning streak (4-0-1 ATS) that has them back in first place in the West Division standings. Calgary is getting it done on both sides of the ball behind an offense that is averaging 33.1 points a game and a defense that is ranked first in points allowed (18.8 ).

Betting Trends

The home team in this West Division showdown has won five of the last seven meetings both SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games between the two. This will be the first meeting this season.

Toronto Argonauts (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -5
Total: 53

Game Overview

Toronto is still in first place in the East despite losing four of its last five games SU. It has only covered ATS once in its last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER four of its last six games behind an offense that averaged 22 points over that same span. The Argonauts only managed to gain 238 yards of total offense against Calgary including 18 yards on the ground behind nine rushing attempts.

The Tiger-Cats return to action following last week’s bye with a legitimate shot at finally ending their SU eight-game losing streak to start the year. With Zach Collaros taking the majority of the snaps at quarterback, Hamilton’s offense has only been able to score an average of 18.5 points per game. Compounding this team’s issues during this extended slide is a defense that is ranked last in the CFL in points allowed; giving up an average of 38.8 a game.

Betting Trends

Toronto drew first blood in the season series with a 32-15 victory on June 25 as a 3½-point home underdog. The home team is now 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of the last five meetings.

 

[Pesos]

Week 11 CFL Pick & Prediction: Toronto at Hamilton

We improved to 17-11-1 in the CFL when Ottawa and Montreal stayed under the total in the first game of the week and now we’ll jump to the final game of the week, as the Toronto Argonauts travel to Hamilton to face the Tiger-Cats. Toronto is favored by 4.5 and the total is 53.

The Argonauts are 4-6 but right in the hunt for a division title, thanks to playing in the East Division, where Ottawa is in first place with a 4-6-1 record. All five teams in the West have a better record than Ottawa. The Argonauts are averaging 18.8 points and allowing 28 on the road, where they have gone 1-4 straight-up and against the spread. The Argonauts are 4-1 straight-up against the division and have gone under the total in all five division games so far this season.

Neither team has done much against the spread this season, with Toronto going 3-7 ATS and Hamilton sporting a 2-6 ATS mark.

The Tiger-Cats are coming off a bye week and will look quite a bit differently than they did last time they took the field, as June Jones makes his CFL head coaching debut after Vice President of Football Operations Kent Austin stepped down and Jones, who was assistant head coach, was promoted.

The Tiger-Cats have also made a quarterback change, as former Oregon Duck Jeremiah Masoli gets the nod in place of Zach Collaros. Masoli replaced Collaros in the third quarter of the team’s last game against Ottawa.

The Tiger-Cats have dropped eight straight home games dating back to last season and they’re 0-4 straight-up and 1-3 ATS at home this season, scoring 21 points per game, but allowing 37, while going 3-1 in totals.

The Argonauts cruised to a 32-15 victory the first meeting between the two this season, throwing for 485 yards, while breaking open a close game at the half with a 17-3 second-half scoring advantage.

While Hamilton is still looking for its first win of the season, the Tiger-Cats probably aren’t quite as bad as their record suggests, as they’ve only played two games against the East Division and the other six have come against the much-tougher West, so the Tiger-Cats get a nod in strength of schedule.

My numbers actually have the Tiger-Cats winning the game, so will have to take the points with the home underdog in this Labor Day affair.

 

[Pesos]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech

Butch Jones’s fifth season as the head coach at the University of Tennessee is a critical one for the program and his tenure at the school. Jones has posted back-to-back nine-win seasons, but he’s been unable to win the SEC East during a four-year window that can be dubbed as the Dark Ages for the division.

Tennessee finished 9-4 straight up and 5-7-1 against the spread last year, failing to win the East despite its nearly unquestioned status as the preseason favorite. As I’ve repeatedly said and written in recent months, UT’s 2016 campaign can be looked at two different ways.

On one end, the Volunteers’ 2-4 finish in their last six SEC games can partly be blamed on a wild rash of injuries that kept key players on the sidelines. There was also the double-overtime loss at Texas A&M that could’ve gone either way.

Viewed from a different angle, you could say Tennessee was lucky to have won at Georgia on a Hail Mary pass on the game’s final play. There was also the win vs. Florida thanks to a comeback from a 21-0 deficit late in the second quarter. In addition, UT captured a fortunate overtime victory vs. Appalachian State. The Mountaineers led by double digits at intermission and would’ve won in regulation if not for a missed extra point and a field goal.

Whatever the case, those in the media – and there are plenty of them – who think Jones’s job security is on solid footing are downright delusional. Jones owns a 30-21 record at UT, but he’s 14-18 in SEC play. On his watch, the Vols are winless in 11 games against Top-10 opponents and they’ve limped to a 6-15 mark versus Top-25 foes. Making matters worse, he’s already lost to Vanderbilt twice and is 0-4 against Will Muschamp.

It isn’t just the results on the field that have aggravated the rabid UT fan base. Jones maddeningly leaned on all sorts of excuses early in his tenure, constantly creating a narrative about how young and inexperienced his team was. Before his team’s road openers in his first three years, he would literally conduct interviews by explaining the stats -- percentages and all – about how many of his players would be getting on an airplane for the first time in their lives.

There was also his infamous ‘Champions of Life’ quote and his early exit from the postgame interview (before nearly all of the press core had arrived) following last year’s loss at Vandy. And now here we are on the eve of the 2017 opener with Jones seizing an opportunity to throw out a built-in excuse yet again.

“They already have an advantage on us because we were told they were inside the dome practicing with full pads for a two-hour practice (Tuesday),” Jones told the Associated Press.

Really, Butch? With his team poised to take on Georgia Tech at the brand-new Merceds-Benz Dome in Atlanta on Monday night, he’s worrying about the Yellow Jackets being able to practice at the venue? Unbelievable.

As of early Sunday night, most betting shops had Tennessee installed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 55.5. The Yellow Jackets were available on the money line for a +145 return (risk $100 to win $145).

Tennessee returns 14 of 22 starters, seven on each side of the ball. But the Vols lost their three best playmakers in quarterback Josh Dobbs, running back Alvin Kamara and WR Josh Malone. They’ve also lost a pair of starters to season-ending injuries already.

Junior OT Chance Hall and junior LB Darrin Kirkland have gone down with knee injuries. Hall had started 13 games in the last two seasons. Kirkland will especially be missed this week against Paul Johnson’s run-oriented offense. Kirkland has 17 career starts to his credit. Despite missing five games with an ankle injury last year, he recorded 45 tackles, four tackles for a loss and one sack.

Junior QB Quinten Dormady is poised to make his first career start for UT. The former four-star recruit has appeared in 11 career games, but only in mop-up duty. Dormady completed 11-of-17 passes (64.7%) last year for 148 yards. He threw for 209 yards as a freshman with one TD pass and zero interceptions.

Dormady’s favorite target will be Jauan Jennings, a junior who has started 15 career games. Jennings had 40 receptions for 580 yards and seven TDs in 2016. Senior TE Ethan Wolf has made 35 career starts. He had 21 catches for 239 yards and two TDs last season. Josh Smith, who had 13 grabs for 97 yards and one TD in ’16, is listed as ‘questionable’ due to a collarbone injury.

UT’s defense gave up 28.8 points per game in ’16. This unit has its top five tacklers back and will need to be vastly improved for the Vols to hang around in the SEC East race. Senior safety Todd Kelly had a team-high 71 tackles and two interceptions in ’16.

Georgia Tech brings back 16 of 22 starters from a 9-4 team that beat Kentucky 33-18 as a 3.5-point ‘chalk’ in the TaxSlayer Bowl. The Yellow Jackets went 3-0 against SEC foes, beating Georgia and Vanderbilt as well. They closed the ’16 campaign with four consecutive victories, including a 30-20 win at Virginia Tech as 14-point underdogs.

Johnson will turn to junior Matthew Jordan as his new starting QB. Jordan appeared in nine games last year, starting in the win at Virginia Tech. He ran for 121 yards and two TDs against the Hokies. For the season, Jordan rushed for 243 yards and six TDs while averaging 3.7 yards per carry. He completed 3-of-9 passes for 111 yards with one TD and one interception.

Johnson dismissed last year’s leading rusher from the team a few weeks ago. Dedric Mills rushed for 771 yards and 12 TDs with a 5.1 YPC average as a freshman, but he won’t be around for his sophomore season. Look for Clinton Lynch and Qua Searcy to get the most touches out of the backfield. Lynch ran for 415 yards and two TDs with an 11.2 YPC average in ’16, while Searcy had 273 rushing yards and two scores. Lynch also had 16 receptions for 490 yards and six TDs.

Georgia Tech’s defense gave up 24.5 PPG last year and brings back eight starters. Senior safety Corey Griffin registered 82 tackles, four TFL’s, one sack, three passes broken up and two interceptions.

These schools haven’t met since 1987 when the Yellow Jackets won a 29-15 decision.

Even though the game is being played in Atlanta, gamblers shouldn’t look at this as a road game for the Vols. They’ll probably have just as many fans in attendance as the Yellow Jackets.

 

[Pesos]

Monday's NCAAF Game of the Day: Tennessee vs Georgia Tech

Tennessee Volunteers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+3.5, 55.5)

Tennessee and Georgia Tech will meet in brand-new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta for Monday’s season opener, but who will line up at quarterback for both teams remains unknown - at least publicly. Tennessee coach Butch Jones and Yellow Jackets coach Paul Johnson have not announced who will start under center, as the No. 24 Volunteers and Georgia Tech begin their campaigns looking to replace long-time starting quarterbacks.

The Volunteers have junior Quinten Dormady, a backup the last two years, and redshirt freshman Jarrett Guarantano battling to replace Joshua Dobbs. “We have a pretty good idea who the quarterback will be for us, and we have a pretty good idea who the quarterback will be for them as well,” Jones told reporters this week. The Yellow Jackets most likely will go with junior Matthew Jordan, who played at times while former starter Justin Thomas was injured last season, but could go with junior TaQuon Marshall or a pair of redshirt freshmen. “We may play all four in the first game,” Johnson told reporters. “Who knows?”

LINE HISTORY: Tenessee opened as 6-point favorites but Georgia Tech money has pushed that number down to 3.5. The total hit the betting boards at 61 and has dropped down to 55.5. Follow the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Tennessee - WR J. Smith (Probable, Shoulder), DB S. Wiggins (Questionable, Hip), DL S. Tuttle (Questionable, Knee), LB D. Kirkland Jr. (Out For Season, Knee), OL D. Richmond (Elig Sept 9, Suspension), WR J. Jones (Out For Season, Knee), OL C. Hall (Out For Season, Knee).

Georgia Tech - RB C. Lynch (Questionable, Undisclosed), LB D. Curry (Out, Lower Body), OL A. Marshall (Out, Lower Body).

WEATHER REPORT: Dome. Mercedes-Benz Stadium will, eventually be a retractable roofed stadium but the roof opening mechanism will not be ready until later in the year.

ABOUT TENNESSEE (2016: 9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS, 9-4 O/U): The Volunteers look to replace most of their offensive firepower from last season, but return running back John Kelly (630 yards rushing in 2016) and receiver Jauan Jennings (seven receiving touchdowns). Dormady played in four games last season, completing 11-of-17 passes for 148 yards. Defensively, Tennessee brings back its top four linebackers from a season ago and an experienced secondary.

ABOUT GEORGIA TECH (2016: 9-4 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U): The Yellow Jackets will deploy the triple-option offense, but lost leading rusher Dedrick Mills after he was dismissed from the program in August for violating team rules. Jordan directed an upset at Virginia Tech last season and rushed for six touchdowns in nine games, attempting just nine passes on the season, but does have experienced running backs in Clinton Lynch (905 all-purpose yards) and J.J Green. Georgia Tech brings back five defensive backs who combined for eight interceptions a season ago.

TRENDS:

* Volunteers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
* Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. SEC.
* Over is 8-0 in Volunteers last 8 neutral site games.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games in September.

CONSENSUS: The Volunteers are picking up 57 percent of the action and the Over is picking up 61 percent of the totals wagers.

 

[Pesos]

Tennessee faces Georgia Tech

Two nine-win teams from a year ago look for a signature win to open the season as #25 Tennessee battles Georgia Tech.

Tennessee didn’t live up to their preseason top-10 ranking last season, finishing 9-4 with upset losses to South Carolina and Vanderbilt. However, for the third-straight year head coach Butch Jones won a bowl game, toppling Nebraska 38-24 in the Music City Bowl. The Vols have to replace top producers at QB, RB and WR, while the defense has a great deal of talent but was awful more often than not in 2016. Head coach Paul Johnson has brought Georgia Tech to eight bowl games in nine years, and ended 2016 with a bang. After a rocky 3-3 start, the Yellow Jackets finished with a 9-4 record by winning their last four games, including upsets at Virginia Tech and at Georgia, as well as a 33-18 win over Kentucky in the TaxSlayer Bowl. Johnson’s triple-option attack lost its three top runners from last year, but running back talent remains and the offensive line should be solid. The defense has work to do up front, but brings back its secondary in full. These schools haven’t played each other since 1987. Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU & ATS against the SEC since 2014, but have a 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS record in games with a line between -4 and +4 over the past two seasons. Tennessee is 5-0 SU & ATS in neutral field games under Jones.

Tennessee’s offense scored 34 or more points nine times last year and averaged 36.4 points per game (24th in the nation), but must replace most of their skill position production. Joshua Dobbs started 35 games at QB for Tennessee – now that he’s in the NFL, pocket-passer Quinten Dormady and dual-threat Jarrett Guarantano are vying for playing time. True freshman OG Trey Smith was the No. 1 recruit in the country last year, and he joins an experienced and deep O-line that should be a strength for the Vols. RB John Kelly (630 rushing yards, 5 TD, 6.4 yards per carry) ascends into a starting role as the only returning player who ran for more than 60 yards last season. WR Jauan Jennings (40 receptions, 580 yards, 7 TD) and TE Ethan Wolf (22 receptions, 247 yards) are the top targets in the passing game. Tennessee’s defense allowed 449 yards per game (95th in FBS) last season, and gave up more than 350 rushing yards four times. The defensive line has some depth, and former No. 1 junior college recruit DE Jonathan Kongbo is expected to have a breakout season after coming off the bench last year. LB Darrin Kirkland (111 total tackles, 4 sacks, 11.5 TFL in 21 career games), a 2015 All-SEC Freshman Team selection, will anchor the second level after missing five games with an ankle injury. Three starters return to a secondary that should be the strength of UT’s defense. S Todd Kelly (67 total tackles, 2 INT), S Micah Abernathy (66 total tackles, 2 INT, 3 TFL) and versatile nickelback Rashaan Gaulden (63 total tackles, 6 TFL) were the top three tacklers on the team last season.

Georgia Tech’s triple option racked up 258 rushing yards per game (9th in FBS) last year, but it was the second-lowest mark in Paul Johnson’s nine seasons as head coach. Three-year starter QB Justin Thomas and top RBs Dedrick Mills and Marcus Marshall are gone, leaving a 1,999-yard, 24-TD void in the backfield. Johnson is unlikely to name a starter under center before kickoff. A-Back Clinton Lynch was phenomenal in a limited role last season (905 yards from scrimmage, 8 TD, 11.2 yards per carry, 30.6 yards per reception) and should be the focus of the offense, while the B-Back job is still up for grabs with a stable of unproven-but-promising options for Johnson to choose from. The offensive line gelled well late last season and should be able to steamroll most opponents. Leading WRs Ricky Jeune (25 receptions, 427 yards) and Brad Stewart (19 receptions, 382 yards) both return. The Yellow Jackets defense did well to hold opponents to 24.5 points per game (39th in FBS) last season. Their pass rush was often non-existent, though DE Anree Saint-Amour (4 sacks, 4 TFL) has a chance take carve out a larger role after serving as situational substitute pass-rusher last season. DE KeShaun Freeman (4 TFL, 9 QB hurries) should also help improve the defensive front in his fourth season as a starter. Middle LB Brant Mitchell (71 total tackles, 3 TFL) returns to his starting role, and flashed big-play ability with 28 total tackles and two INT in the Ramblin’ Wreck’s final three regular-season games. The entire secondary remains intact, and could be a shutdown unit if the pass-rush improves. Twin brother CBs Lance and Lawrence Austin each had three INTs last season, and safeties Corey Griffin (82 total tackles, 5 TFL) and A.J. Gray (72 total tackles, 3.5 TFL) both have solid coverage skills and don’t mind coming into the box to deliver hits.

 

[Pesos]

Monday's College Football Best Bet

Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech

Odds: Tennessee (-3.5); Total 55.5

The final game of the first week of full college football action kicks off tonight as the NCAA likes to try and grab that MNF audience a week before the NFL season starts.

It's a great move for college football as more eyes will definitely be on this stand alone game, and in turn, more betting action will surely follow. Tonight's game is another primetime showdown between the SEC and ACC, and although a Tennessee/Georgia Tech tilt doesn't have anywhere near the potential impact on the college football landscape that Alabama/Florida State did on Saturday night, the overall betting handle could be very similar.

It's another season of high expectations for a Tennessee program that's failed to live up to them in recent years, and coming out of the gate to face Georgia Tech's triple-option attack is a unique challenge in Week 1.

Tennessee enters 2017 with the 25th ranking in the AP poll but they've been in a similar position in year's past and can never seem to do much better than a marginal Bowl appearance in late-December. Last year it was three weeks of consecutive losses (Texas A&M, Alabama, South Carolina) in early October that derailed their campaign, and sadly for Volunteers fans that's a familiar refrain over the years.

This program can never seem to put it all together for 12+ weeks and I've got a tough time believing 2017 will be any different. They've got to go to Alabama this year for a game in late-October, and games against Florida, Georgia, Missouri, and LSU won't be easy either.

But this opener will be nothing like any of those as they'll be dealing with Georgia Tech's triple-option and there have been many a good program that fall victim to the Yellow Jackets unique style of play.

The biggest advantage triple-option programs generally have is the notion that they are extremely proficient at what they do, and opponents aren't that familiar with it because it's quite rare. Unless you are a school that sees Georgia Tech on a yearly basis, or a service academy rival (Air Force, Army, Navy), the triple-option can throw a defense for a loop and a SU loss that schools never thought was coming gets put in the standings.

However, that advantage usually works it's best for teams like Georgia Tech in any week but Week 1, simply because there just isn't enough time in a single week for opponents to sufficiently prepare for the triple-option. It's such a one-off thing that coaches have a tough time getting their players to understand the gap integrity and responsibilities each player has on every play, and when there are holes left, you'd better believe strong triple-option teams will exploit them.

All of those concerns don't particularly apply to Tennessee tonight as they've had all summer to work on stopping the triple-option attack and that should work decidedly in their favor tonight. Yes, there will be some miscues that Georgia Tech will take advantage of, but all in all, this Tennessee team has much more talent on the field from top to bottom on both sides of the ball, and should easily come out on top should they execute.

The biggest advantage Georgia Tech typically has is rendered obsolete in Week 1, and the Volunteers know that with the schedule they've got this year, they've got to come out of the gates hot. The neutral site negates any other potential advantage Georgia Tech would have as the home side, and Tennessee's 6-0 ATS run at neutral sites suggests we will see the good Tennessee Volunteers program show up.

Just like Saturday's SEC/ACC game played at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, the favorite will come away with the SU and ATS victory and allow the SEC to proclaim dominance over the ACC Conference – at least for now.

Best Bet: Tennessee -3.5

 

[Pesos]

Some things to watch for when the Vols take on the Yellow Jackets in the second Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game of the Labor Day weekend:

DEFENSIVE WOES: Tennessee gave up far too many long runs down the stretch, which doesn't bode well facing Georgia Tech's challenging offense. The Yellow Jackets ranked 10th nationally a year ago with an average of 258.1 yards per game on the ground. It is imperative that the Vols stay in their gaps and don't bite on the option fakes that allow the run-oriented scheme to break long plays. Not as big of a concern for Tennessee is having nobody on the roster with more 2 1/2 sacks a year ago. Georgia Tech averaged only 12.3 passes per game last season.

MISSING IN ACTION: Dedrick Mills, who was Georgia Tech's leading rusher and MVP of the TaxSlayer Bowl, was kicked off the team a couple of weeks ago for violating athletic department rules. He'll be replaced by KirVonte Benson, who has never run the ball in a college game. Tennessee has its own worries. Offensive lineman Chance Hall went down with a season-ending knee injury, starting left tackle Drew Richmond was suspended for the opener, and linebacker Darrin Kirkland Jr. won't play because of a knee injury.

GETTING THEIR KICKS: Georgia Tech is one of only six FBS programs without a single player who has attempted a field goal or punt at the college level. Freshman Pressley Harvin III won the punting job, but Johnson has not announced who would handle the kicking duties: freshman Brenton King or sophomore Shawn Davis. Tennessee is in good shape at punter with Trevor Daniel, but its kicking situation was also up in the air with incumbent Aaron Medley facing a strong challenge from freshman Brent Cimaglia.

VOLS ON THE BALL: Tennessee's new quarterback will have a couple of impressive weapons at his disposal. John Kelly rushed for 630 yards last season, including 515 over his final six games. Jauan Jennings had 40 receptions and seven TDs, including a Hail Mary touchdown reception as time expired to beat Georgia.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The Georgia Tech campus is less than 2 miles from Mercedes-Benz Stadium, so it would be logical to assume this is essentially a home game for the Yellow Jackets. But Tennessee has a much larger fan base, so there will definitely be plenty of orange in the sellout crowd of more than 70,000. For sure, this will have the feel of a true neutral-site game. There is plenty of historical significance, as well. Once bitter rivals in the SEC, this will be first meeting between the schools since 1987.

 

[Pesos]

MLB

Monday's Diamond Notes

Hottest team: Indians (11-0 last 11) at White Sox

Last season, Cleveland put together an incredible 14-game winning streak that propelled them to the top of the AL Central. The Indians started slowly this season after falling in Game 7 of the World Series, but the Tribe is back on the winning track following a four-game sweep of the depleted Tigers. Cleveland has extended its advantage in the AL Central to nine games over Minnesota, while posting an incredible 32-11 record in the past 43 contests.

The Indians are expected to keep the money train rolling into the South Side of Chicago to face the last-place White Sox. Trevor Bauer takes the mound in the series opener as the right-hander has won each of his past four starts, while Cleveland has compiled a 7-1 mark in his previous eight starts.

Coldest team: Athletics (0-6 last six) vs. Angels

Oakland isn’t heading to the playoffs, as the A’s look like they are playing out the string. Following a three-game home sweep of the Rangers last weekend, the A’s were swept by the Angels and Mariners on the road. Oakland squandered a five-run lead in a 10-8 defeat at Los Angeles and blew a four-run advantage in Saturday’s 7-6 walk-off setback at Seattle. After this disastrous road swing, Oakland has dropped 10 of its past 12 games away from the Coliseum.

The A’s return home in a quick revenge spot against the Angels, who took three from Oakland last week. Chris Smith looks for his first victory of the season for Oakland as the right-hander allowed 12 earned runs in his last two starts, including seven in 3.2 innings of an 8-2 loss to the Angels on August 29.

Hottest pitcher: Jake Arrieta, Cubs (14-8, 3.36 ERA)

Chicago owns a 3 ½-game edge over Milwaukee in the NL Central as the Cubs will try to extend that advantage in Pittsburgh over the next few days. Arrieta is returning to his Cy Young form of 2015 by going 4-0 in his past five starts, including a dominating performance against the Pirates. Last Tuesday, Arrieta scattered two hits in six scoreless innings of a 4-1 home triumph over Pittsburgh to pick up his first win against the Bucs in four starts this season.

Coldest pitcher: A.J. Cole, Nationals (1-4, 4.50 ERA)

Although Washington is cruising atop the NL East, it wasn’t smooth sailing last month for Cole. The right-hander lost all four of his August starts, including three defeats at Nationals Park. The last time Cole squared off with the Marlins in Miami, he put together his worst start of the season by allowing five earned runs in five innings of a 7-0 loss on August 2. The only good news for Cole is the Nationals have won six of the previous seven matchups with the Marlins, although each game occurred in D.C.

Biggest OVER run: Rangers (5-1-2 last eight)

Texas is still hanging around in the AL Wild Card race after taking two of three from Los Angeles at home. All three games saw plenty of runs, including the Rangers winning a pair of one-run contests. Sunday’s 7-6 victory by Texas eclipsed the OVER for the second time over the weekend as all three totals closed at 10 ½ or higher. Texas travels to Atlanta for an interleague series as Andrew Cashner heads to the mound for the Rangers. In Cashner’s last 10 starts, the UNDER has hit eight times, while going 5-2-1 to the UNDER in his past eight road outings.

Biggest UNDER run: Red Sox (7-2 last nine)

The AL East race is tightening up after the Yankees captured three of four games from Boston to cut the Red Sox deficit to 3 ½ games atop the division. Boston returns home to battle Toronto as five of the past seven meetings between these division rivals have finished UNDER the total, including three of the previous four contests at Fenway Park. Rick Porcello has drilled the UNDER in both starts against Toronto this season, while limiting the Blue Jays to four runs (one earned) in 13.2 innings of work.

Matchup to watch: Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

Los Angeles is trending in the wrong direction of late by losing eight of nine, including dropping three of four at San Diego this past weekend. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have caught fire by running off 10 consecutive victories, including a huge three-game sweep at Colorado to extend its Wild Card advantage to 6 ½ games over the Rockies.

During this 10-game hot streak, the D-backs pulled off a three-game sweep of the Dodgers at Chase Field last week, while plating 21 runs. In the middle game of that set, Robbie Ray shut down the powerful Los Angeles lineup by striking out 10 batters and yielding four hits and one earned run in 6.2 innings of a 6-4 victory. Arizona owns a 3-1 record in Ray’s four starts against Los Angeles this season, while the southpaw has struck out 10 or more three times.

The Dodgers counter with another left-hander in Rich Hill. Two starts ago, Hill took a no-hitter in the tenth inning at Pittsburgh before allowing a walk-off home run and ultimately losing, 1-0. Hill struggled in his most recent outing at Arizona by giving up five runs in the first inning of a 7-6 defeat. Since coming over to the Dodgers last season, Los Angeles has lost three of Hill’s four starts against Arizona.

Betcha didn’t know: Whenever Padres’ right-hander Luis Perdomo takes the mound, you can count on him tossing six innings. Perdomo has gone six innings in six consecutive starts, including in a 4-3 victory as a +205 underdog at St. Louis on August 24. Perdomo faces the Cardinals once again at Petco Park as the Padres have six of his past eight home starts.

Biggest public favorite: Indians (-230) at White Sox

Biggest public underdog: Twins (+110) at Rays

Biggest line move: Reds (+115 to +105) vs. Brewers

 

[Pesos]

Monday’s games

National League

Phillies @ Mets
Leiter is 1-3, 4.88 in his last four starts (under 4-1-1). Phillies are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Montero is 2-1, 2.08 in his last four starts; under is 9-1 in his last ten starts. Mets are 2-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-8-2

Phillies won three of last four games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Philly is 9-14 in road series openers. Mets are 5-16 in their last 21 games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. New York is 2-5 in last seven home series openers.

Brewers @ Reds
Anderson is 3-1, 3.09 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Brewers are 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-2

Bailey is 1-2, 7.83 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven starts. He is 1-1, 9.00 against the Brewers this season. Reds are 0-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-8-1

Milwaukee won six of last eight games; under is 11-1-2 in their last 14 road games. Brewers are 10-12 in road series openers. Reds are 5-8 in last 13 games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five home games. Cincinnati is 11-6 in last 17 home series openers.

Giants @ Rockies
Moore is 1-3, 4.71 in his last six starts; under is 6-4-1 in his last 11 starts. He is 0-2, 13.50 in three starts vs Colorado this season. Giants are 3-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-18-5

Bettis is 0-2, 6.88 in his last three starts (under 4-0). Colorado is 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3-1

Giants lost 8 of last 10 games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. SF is 3-8 in last 11 road series openers. Colorado lost six of last seven games; under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Rockies are 16-6 in home series openers.

Cubs @ Pirates
Arrieta is 4-0, 1.78 in his last five starts; under is 3-1-2 in his last six starts. He is 0-2, 4.09 in four starts vs Pittsburgh this season. Cubs are 9-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-7-5

Kuhl is 2-0, 4.50 in his last five starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five home starts. He is 1-1, 3.75 against the Cubs this season. Pirates are 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-5

Cubs won six of last seven games (under 5-2). Chicago is 9-3 in its last 12 road series openers. Pittsburgh lost four of last six games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Pirates are 9-13 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Padres
Martinez is 3-1, 4.28 in his last five starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight starts. St Louis is 5-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-12-2

Perdomo is 1-2, 5.25 in his last four starts; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts. San Diego is 7-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-4

Cardinals won three of last four games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. St Louis is 8-5 in last 13 road series openers. San Diego won five of last six games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Padres are 13-10 in home series openers.

Nationals @ Marlins
Fedde is 0-1, 9.39 in three starts this year (over 3-0). Washington won his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3

Conley is 2-1, 4.07 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 5.73 vs Washington this year. Over is 4-1 in his last five starts. Marlins’ first 5-inning record with him: 7-5-3

Nationals lost three of last four games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. Washington is 15-7 in road series openers. Miami lost six of last seven games; under is 5-1 in their last six home games. Marlins are 10-5 in last 15 home series openers.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Ray is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four starts. He is 2-0, 3.38 in four starts vs LA this season. Arizona is 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-5-7

Hill is 0-2, 4.97 in his last two starts; under is 6-4-1 in his last 11 starts. Dodgers are 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-4

Arizona won its last 10 games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games. D’backs are 13-9 in road series openers. Dodgers lost eight of last nine games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. LA is 16-6 in home series openers.

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American League
Royals @ Tigers
Junis is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts (over 5-3-2). Royals are 3-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-4

Lewicki is making his first MLB start; he was 5-0, 2.03 in five AAA starts this year, 9-4, 3.76 in 20 AA starts.

Royals lost 8 of last 10 games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. KC is 10-12 in road series openers. Detroit lost five of last six games; under is 8-2 in his last 10 games. Tigers are 1-7 in last eight home series openers.

New York @ Baltimore
Montgomery is 0-2, 5.32 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. He is 1-1, 4.41 in three starts vs Baltimore this year. New York’s first 5-inning record with him: 4-8

Bundy is 5-0, 3.23 in his last seven starts; over is 10-3 in his last 13 starts. He is 1-1, 3.46 vs New York this season. Orioles are 10-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-8-2

New York won three of last four games; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. NY is 11-11 in road series openers. Baltimore won nine of last 11 games; their last three games stayed under. Orioles are 15-8 in home series openers.

Indians @ White Sox
Bauer is 7-0, 2.45 in his last eight starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Indians are 7-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-8-3

Shields is 0-2, 5.08 in his last five starts (under 4-1). White Sox are 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-10-3

Indians won its last 11 games; over is 5-3 in his last eight road games. Cleveland is 9-4 in last 13 road series openers. White Sox won three of last four home games; under is 8-1 in their last nine home games. Chicago is 9-6 in last 15 home series openers.

Angels @ A’s
Bridwell is 0-1, 7.80 in his last three starts; under is 8-2 in his last 10 starts. Angels are 6-0 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-3-3

Smith is 0-3, 9.31 in his last four starts (under 5-2-1). A’s are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-5-1

Angels are 5-3 in their last eight games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Halos are 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Oakland is off a hideous 0-6 road trip; over is 6-2 in their last eight home games. A’s are 9-13 in home series openers.

Astros @ Mariners
Keuchel is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Houston is 7-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-2

Ramirez is 1-2, 3.90 in six starts for Seattle; under is 3-1 in his last four starts. Mariners lost his only home start — their first 5-inning record with him: 4-2

Astros won their last four games; over is 3-1 in their last four road games. Houston is 15-6 in road series openers. Seattle won its last five home games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Mariners are 2-7 in last nine home series openers.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Happ is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Boston this season. Toronto is 3-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-1

Porcello is 5-1, 5.80 in his last six starts (over 4-2). He is 1-1, 2.45 vs Toronto this season. Red Sox are 7-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-16-3

Blue Jays lost six of last eight games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Toronto is 5-11 in last 16 road series openers. Boston lost three of last four games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Red Sox are 15-8 in home series openers.

Twins @ Rays
Berrios is 2-1, 2.33 in his last three starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Minnesota lost his last seven road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-2

Cobb is 0-3, 5.59 in his last four starts; under is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Tampa Bay is 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-9-3

Twins won five of last seven games; under is 5-1 in their last six road games. Minnesota is 13-8 in road series openers. Tampa Bay is 6-4 in its last ten games; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven games. Rays are 8-13 in home series openers.

______________________________________________________________________________________

Interleague

Rangers @ Braves
Cashner is 3-1, 2.72 in his last six starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Texas is 5-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-3

Dickey is 3-1, 3.55 in his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six starts. Atlanta is 9-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-4

Rangers won four of last six games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Texas is 10-12 in road series openers. Atlanta lost six of last nine games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Braves are 10-11 in home series openers.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Phil-NY: Leiter 3-3; Montero 5-8
Mil-Cin: Anderson 10-9; Bailey 4-9
SF-Colo: Moore 8-19; Bettis 1-3
Chi-Pitt: Arrieta 15-12; Kuhl 10-17
StL-SD: Martinez 13-14; Perdomo 11-13
Wash-Mia: Fedde 1-2; Conley 8-7
Az-LA: Ray 14-8; Hill 12-8

American League
KC-Det: Junis 7-3; Lewicki 0-0
NY-Balt: Montgomery 9-15; Bundy 17-8
Clev-Chi: Bauer 15-11; Shields 6-10
LA-A’s: Bridwell 12-2; Smith 3-5
Hst-Sea: Keuchel 13-5; Ramirez 3-3
Tor-Bos: Happ 7-13; Porcello 13-15
Minn-TB: Berrios 12-8; Cobb 12-13

Interleague
Tex-Atl: Cashner 11-11; Dickey 14-12

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Phil-NY: Leiter 3-6; Montero 4-13
Mil-Cin: Anderson 6-19; Bailey 8-13
SF-Colo: Moore 9-27; Bettis 1-4
Chi-Pitt: Arrieta 7-27; Kuhl 5-27
StL-SD: Martinez 11-27; Perdomo 9-24
Wash-Mia: Fedde 2-3; Conley 6-15
Az-LA: Ray 8-22; Hill 6-20

American League
KC-Det: Junis 3-10; Lewicki 0-0
NY-Balt: Montgomery 6-24; Bundy 4-25
Clev-Chi: Bauer 4-26; Shields 6-14
LA-A’s: Bridwell 1-14; Smith 4-8
Hst-Sea: Keuchel 4-18; Ramirez 2-6
Tor-Bos: Happ 4-20; Porcello 8-28
Minn-TB: Berrios 5-20; Cobb 4-25

Interleague
Tex-Atl: Cashner 6-22; Dickey 6-26

_____________________________________________________________________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 79-55 AL, favorites +$403
AL @ NL– 71-65 NL, favorites +$164
Total: 144-126 AL, favorites +$567

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 67-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 71-59-7
Total: Over 138-125-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/3/17
Ariz 27-26-17……37-21–11……..64-47
Atl 26-34-9……23-35-7………..49-69
Cubs 30-30-7…….34-22-13………64-52
Reds 22-38-8……..26-36–7……….48-74
Colo 34-27-6…….35-28-5………..69-55
LA 31-24-13…….41-20-7……….72-44
Miami 28-32-8…….35-23-10………63-55
Milw 33-24-9…….35-27-9……….67-51
Mets 31-34-4……..25-36-6……….56-70
Philly 16-40-15……26-31-8……….42-71
Pitt 30-32-6…….27-29-12………58-61
St. Louis 28-30-9……35-24-9…………63-54
SD 20-39-8……..34-27–9……….54-66
SF 14-45-9……..28-30-12……….42-75
Wash 39-23-7……32-27-8………….71-50

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-34-7………57-67
Boston 30-32-10………30-33-2…….60-65
White Sox 21-37-10………26-37–4…….47-73
Cleveland 40-23-8……..31-24-8………71-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….27-32-9……..53-66
Astros 32-25-9……..43-24-5……..75-49
KC 25-32-9……..27-28-12…….52-60
Angels 25-34-8………29-27-13……..54-61
Twins 37-19-10………32-32-8…….68-50
NYY 28-36-6……….36-27-4…..…64-63
A’s 25-36-7……..28-30-11……..53-66
Seattle 26-35-9……..36-23-9………62-58
TB 35-26-10……..36-21-8……..71-47
Texas 32-25-11……..35-24-8……..67-49
Toronto 27-36-5……..27-31-10……..54-67

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/2/17)
Ariz 22-67……..25-67………..47
Atl 15-67……….18-66……….33
Cubs 18-67……..25-68………..43
Reds 25-67……..26-69………51
Colo 17-67……..24-67..……..41
LA 20-67……..24-67..……..44
Miami 29-68……..25-67………54
Milw 22-66……27-71…..…..49
Mets 30-68……..22-67……….52
Philly 16-70……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..21-68……….41
StL 14-67……..21-67………..35
SD 23-67……….21-68……….44
SF 15-69……….20-69……….35
Wash 25-68……..26-67……….51

Orioles 15-66……..22-71……….37
Boston 20-71……..14-65……….34
White Sox 21-68……17-66………..38
Clev 19-70……..21-65……….40
Detroit 16-68…….26-67………42
Astros 20-67……..27-69………47
KC 16-66……..13-69……….29
Angels 24-68……..20-70……….44
Twins 15-64……..18-70……….33
NYY 16-69……..18-66……….34
A’s 16-67……..26-69………42
Seattle 21-70…….22-68………43
TB 21-70……..23-67……….44
Texas 26-69……..29-66………55
Toronto 22-67……..19-71………41

 

[Pesos]

Monday's Trend Report

1:08 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee

1:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 16 games at home

1:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games

2:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Yankees are 6-17 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

2:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games

3:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

4:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
Oakland is 6-13 SU in their last 19 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

4:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 5-14-1 SU in their last 20 games ,when playing at home against Chi Cubs

4:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis

6:40 PM
HOUSTON vs. SEATTLE
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

7:35 PM
TEXAS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas

8:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Arizona is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games

 

[Pesos]

MLB Long Sheet
_____________________________________________________________________________________
PHILADELPHIA (52 - 84) at NY METS (58 - 78) - 1:10 PM
MARK LEITER JR. (R) vs. RAFAEL MONTERO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-84 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-65 (-25.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 32-16 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-28 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 58-78 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 28-39 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 121-141 (-60.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 10-17 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 12-29 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 46-58 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 33-46 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY METS are 15-20 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 9-4 (+3.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

MARK LEITER JR. vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

RAFAEL MONTERO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MONTERO is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________

MILWAUKEE (72 - 65) at CINCINNATI (58 - 79) - 1:10 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 50-53 (+5.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 72-65 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-33 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-55 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-52 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-33 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BAILEY is 0-6 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-4 (+4.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.9 Units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.010.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.1 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 6-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 11-13 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-11. (+1.2 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
SAN FRANCISCO (54 - 85) at COLORADO (72 - 64) - 3:10 PM
CHRIS STRATTON (R) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 10-4 (+6.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

CHRIS STRATTON vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

CHAD BETTIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BETTIS is 3-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
CHICAGO CUBS (75 - 61) at PITTSBURGH (65 - 72) - 4:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 75-61 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-31 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 54-50 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 823-772 (-158.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 25-19 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 412-422 (+37.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 6-13 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 94-115 (-34.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 107-126 (-31.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-8 (+3.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ARRIETA is 11-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 0.943.
His team's record is 14-6 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-11. (-3.5 units)

CHAD KUHL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KUHL is 0-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 11.07 and a WHIP of 2.509.
His team's record is 2-4 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
ST LOUIS (69 - 67) at SAN DIEGO (62 - 75) - 4:40 PM
CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 69-67 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 52-54 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 76-77 (-19.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MARTINEZ is 14-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 62-75 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 61-67 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-32 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-18 (+11.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 46-53 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 21-15 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 29-36 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 80-69 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 48-91 (-34.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+2.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MARTINEZ is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

LUIS PERDOMO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PERDOMO is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
WASHINGTON (82 - 54) at MIAMI (67 - 69) - 7:10 PM
A.J. COLE (R) vs. ADAM CONLEY (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-6 (+1.2 Units) against MIAMI this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

A.J. COLE vs. MIAMI since 1997
COLE is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.88 and a WHIP of 1.588.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

ADAM CONLEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CONLEY is 1-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 7.14 and a WHIP of 1.966.
His team's record is 2-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
ARIZONA (79 - 58) at LA DODGERS (92 - 44) - 8:10 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 92-44 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 52-16 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 79-58 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 38-38 (+15.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 34-23 (+12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 56-38 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 48-30 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 26-16 (+13.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-25 (-8.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 8-8 (+1.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.3 Units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RAY is 5-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 7-5 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+2.1 units)

RICH HILL vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HILL is 1-5 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.370.
His team's record is 2-7 (-9.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
KANSAS CITY (67 - 68) at DETROIT (58 - 78) - 1:10 PM
JAKE JUNIS (R) vs. ARTIE LEWICKI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 67-68 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 72-60 (+15.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-39 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 52-48 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 36-31 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
DETROIT is 58-78 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 39-60 (-19.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 24-36 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 7-6 (+1.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

JAKE JUNIS vs. DETROIT since 1997
JUNIS is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

ARTIE LEWICKI vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

_____________________________________________________________________________________
NY YANKEES (73 - 63) at BALTIMORE (70 - 67) - 2:05 PM
JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 73-63 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 15-28 (-13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 23-43 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 13-22 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
MONTGOMERY is 9-15 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 69-67 (+0.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 40-18 (+13.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 72-53 (+16.9 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 43-28 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 12-4 (+8.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 31-24 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-31 (+6.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 7-5 (+1.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
11 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+9.9 Units)

JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MONTGOMERY is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.347.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUNDY is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.367.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
CLEVELAND (80 - 56) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 81) - 2:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 77-71 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-25 (+14.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-15 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 107-79 (+43.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 33-15 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 49-20 (+25.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
BAUER is 12-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 5-7 (+1.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BAUER is 4-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.3 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SHIELDS is 4-6 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 9-10 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-11. (-5.6 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
LA ANGELS (70 - 67) at OAKLAND (58 - 78) - 4:05 PM
PARKER BRIDWELL (R) vs. CHRIS SMITH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 70-67 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 29-19 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 540-513 (+49.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 15-9 (+12.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 331-259 (+46.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 49-46 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-28 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BRIDWELL is 12-2 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BRIDWELL is 6-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 58-78 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-40 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 105-125 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-22 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-38 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 31-47 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 10-6 (+3.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

PARKER BRIDWELL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BRIDWELL is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

CHRIS SMITH vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SMITH is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 14.71 and a WHIP of 1.907.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
HOUSTON (83 - 53) at SEATTLE (69 - 68) - 6:40 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 83-53 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 18-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
HOUSTON is 42-22 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 18-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 66-32 (+21.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 14-6 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 117-114 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-61 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
RAMIREZ is 3-12 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 8-5 (+1.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. SEATTLE since 1997
KEUCHEL is 6-5 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.012.
His team's record is 6-6 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.2 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RAMIREZ is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
TORONTO (63 - 74) at BOSTON (77 - 60) - 7:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 63-74 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 26-35 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 12-18 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-36 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 36-49 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 24-39 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAPP is 7-13 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAPP is 2-9 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 37-20 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
PORCELLO is 80-43 (+24.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 57-55 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 367-290 (-46.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 50-55 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PORCELLO is 3-10 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 10-3 (+7.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. BOSTON since 1997
HAPP is 5-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 8-6 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-4. (+5.4 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TORONTO since 1997
PORCELLO is 8-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.209.
His team's record is 9-9 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.0 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
MINNESOTA (71 - 65) at TAMPA BAY (68 - 70) - 7:10 PM
JOSE BERRIOS (R) vs. ALEX COBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 28-24 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 71-65 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 20-15 (+6.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-14 (+8.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-28 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-35 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-46 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-29 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 136-163 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-53 (-16.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 70-77 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 10-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-24 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 102-115 (-20.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 72-90 (-21.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BERRIOS is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

ALEX COBB vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
COBB is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

_____________________________________________________________________________________
TEXAS (68 - 68) at ATLANTA (60 - 75) - 7:35 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 33-37 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 12-18 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 128-168 (+1.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-29 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 17-12 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-68 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 72-50 (+27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-78 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 30-24 (+15.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 121-95 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 122-104 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-72 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 86-94 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
ATLANTA is 41-67 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ANDREW CASHNER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CASHNER is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.81 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
DICKEY is 3-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.029.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

 

[Pesos]

SOCCER
________

Northern Ireland v Czech Republic

Last Head-To-Heads in Northern Ireland
0-0
0-1 (Czech Republic Win)

Recent Form:
Northern Ireland: 5-1
Czech Republic: 2-2-2

KEY STAT: Northern Ireland have never beaten the Czech Republic in five previous matches

EXPERT VERDICT: The Czech Republic are entering the last chance saloon in Belfast but can come away from Windsor Park with the victory they require to keep World Cup qualification hopes alive. Northern Ireland had to wait until the 70th minute to score the first of three goals against San Marino on Friday, while the Czechs impressed in a 2-1 loss at home to Germany.

RECOMMENDATION: Czech Republic (2)

 

[Pesos]

England v Slovakia

Last Head-To-Heads in England
4-0 (England win)
2-1 (England win)

Recent Form:
England: 2-2-2
Slovakia: 3-2-1

KEY STAT: England have lost one of their last 21 competitive fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: England were poor for 85 minutes against Malta but they got the result they were looking for and can follow up with an even more important victory over Slovakia at Wembley. The Slovaks need a win to take over at the top of Group F but may struggle to break through the Three Lions, who have conceded just two goals in the campaign.

RECOMMENDATION: England to win to nil (1)

 

[Pesos]

Scotland v Malta

Last Head-To-Heads in Scotland
3-0 (Scotland win)

Recent Form:
Scotland: 2-2-2
Malta: 1-5

KEY STAT: Scotland have lost one of their last nine competitive home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Scotland still have lots to play for in Group F and can set up an exciting finish to the campaign by coasting past Malta at Hampden Park. After making a slow start to the group the Scots have come to life – taking seven points from the last three games. They should be far superior to the Maltese, who looked tired towards the end of the 4-0 loss to England.

RECOMMENDATION: Scotland to win 3-0 (1)