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Monday 9/18/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
The Walker Group at Ajax Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 67
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 LUMMIS FIRST 7/2
# 2 A SPLASH OF ROYALTY 5/2
# 3 FURR SHEAR 5/1
LUMMIS FIRST is the best bet in this race. Garnered a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Reid and Jeschke have a very good win percentage together. Profitable jock and conditioner team, with a +21 return on investment. FURR SHEAR - Robertson has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 67
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 LUMMIS FIRST 7/2
# 2 A SPLASH OF ROYALTY 5/2
# 3 FURR SHEAR 5/1
LUMMIS FIRST is the best bet in this race. Garnered a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Reid and Jeschke have a very good win percentage together. Profitable jock and conditioner team, with a +21 return on investment. FURR SHEAR - Robertson has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently.
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 77
Rating: 4
#4 SASS MASTER (ML=5/1)
#9 MUSIC MAKES SENSE (ML=4/1)
SASS MASTER - This front running sort should profit from this shorter trip. Good return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. This mount ran out of the money at Suffolk Downs last out on the mud. She should improve right here with the benefit of a fast track. MUSIC MAKES SENSE - The jockey/handler tandem of Martinez and Parra has a strong return on investment together.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BOXING BETTY (ML=3/1), #5 CANDY EXPRESS (ML=6/1), #10 HONOR N GRACE (ML=8/1),
BOXING BETTY - This filly finished outside the top 3 on Jul 29th and wasn't close to winning last out either. CANDY EXPRESS - The effort last time around the track on Sep 7th probably won't hold up against stiffer competition when they turn for home. HONOR N GRACE - This mare hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. Not easy to invest in her in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 SASS MASTER on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 77
Rating: 4
#4 SASS MASTER (ML=5/1)
#9 MUSIC MAKES SENSE (ML=4/1)
SASS MASTER - This front running sort should profit from this shorter trip. Good return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. This mount ran out of the money at Suffolk Downs last out on the mud. She should improve right here with the benefit of a fast track. MUSIC MAKES SENSE - The jockey/handler tandem of Martinez and Parra has a strong return on investment together.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BOXING BETTY (ML=3/1), #5 CANDY EXPRESS (ML=6/1), #10 HONOR N GRACE (ML=8/1),
BOXING BETTY - This filly finished outside the top 3 on Jul 29th and wasn't close to winning last out either. CANDY EXPRESS - The effort last time around the track on Sep 7th probably won't hold up against stiffer competition when they turn for home. HONOR N GRACE - This mare hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. Not easy to invest in her in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 SASS MASTER on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
Finger Lakes - Race 5
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 5-6) * PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum Races 5-6-7-8-9)
Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 2:58P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. I WIN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * I WIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SQUEEZE THETRIGGER: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DAN THE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6
I WIN
3/1
3/1
5
SQUEEZE THETRIGGER
8/5
5/1
1
DAN THE MAN
7/2
8/1
Finger Lakes - Race 5
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 5-6) * PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum Races 5-6-7-8-9)
Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 2:58P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. I WIN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * I WIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SQUEEZE THETRIGGER: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DAN THE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6
I WIN
3/1
3/1
5
SQUEEZE THETRIGGER
8/5
5/1
1
DAN THE MAN
7/2
8/1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
Louisiana Downs - Race 8
Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Claiming $17,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 6:24P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500, IF FOR $15,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JAVIERA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JAVIERA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ran ks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
JAVIERA
2/1
2/1
Louisiana Downs - Race 8
Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Claiming $17,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 6:24P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500, IF FOR $15,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JAVIERA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JAVIERA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ran ks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
JAVIERA
2/1
2/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:49pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 68
Rating: 2
#1 LA CAMEDOR (ML=12/1)
#3 VOUCH FOR KITTEN (ML=5/2)
#8 ICONA (ML=8/1)
#2 PINK SATIN N LACE (ML=8/5)
LA CAMEDOR - The ROI when Bowman and Jenkins team up is terrific. Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. This filly is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on Aug 23rd, finishing first. VOUCH FOR KITTEN - After the affair aboard this horse on August 28th, the jockey is going to know the mare much better. This mare is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back soon. ICONA - I definitely see positive things for this mount right here. PINK SATIN N LACE - This mare earned a nice speed fig of 66 in her last event. That speed rating should be strong enough to prove victorious today. Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a sharp effort on September 4th. Look at this pattern of improvement. 51/55/66 are the last three speed ratings.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 COOKIE COOKIE (ML=5/1),
COOKIE COOKIE - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 LA CAMEDOR to win if you can get at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:49pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 68
Rating: 2
#1 LA CAMEDOR (ML=12/1)
#3 VOUCH FOR KITTEN (ML=5/2)
#8 ICONA (ML=8/1)
#2 PINK SATIN N LACE (ML=8/5)
LA CAMEDOR - The ROI when Bowman and Jenkins team up is terrific. Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. This filly is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on Aug 23rd, finishing first. VOUCH FOR KITTEN - After the affair aboard this horse on August 28th, the jockey is going to know the mare much better. This mare is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back soon. ICONA - I definitely see positive things for this mount right here. PINK SATIN N LACE - This mare earned a nice speed fig of 66 in her last event. That speed rating should be strong enough to prove victorious today. Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a sharp effort on September 4th. Look at this pattern of improvement. 51/55/66 are the last three speed ratings.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 COOKIE COOKIE (ML=5/1),
COOKIE COOKIE - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 LA CAMEDOR to win if you can get at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
The Walker Group at Thistledown
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 73
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 CONTINENTAL CLUB 3/1
# 3 M G JUNIOR 9/2
# 8 PENALTY KILL 10/1
My selection for this event is CONTINENTAL CLUB. In this field, this entrant is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. Sound average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Houghton in the irons. M G JUNIOR - Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this horse a bet. He should have a strong showing versus this softer field. PENALTY KILL - Profitable rider and conditioner team, with a +11 return on investment.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 73
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 CONTINENTAL CLUB 3/1
# 3 M G JUNIOR 9/2
# 8 PENALTY KILL 10/1
My selection for this event is CONTINENTAL CLUB. In this field, this entrant is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. Sound average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Houghton in the irons. M G JUNIOR - Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this horse a bet. He should have a strong showing versus this softer field. PENALTY KILL - Profitable rider and conditioner team, with a +11 return on investment.
Valuline at Zia Park
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 1 (Monday September 18, 2017)
ROYAL DESCENT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ZIA-1 6.5f DIRT Six Horses
"A" MCL 20,000 F/M 3YUP $16,000
P# dd ex p4 t s ML WP TVL
3 ROYAL DESCENT 9/5 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 MAGGIE GOT MARRIED 2/1 22% 7/2
6 MISS JAZZY 5/2 22% 7/2
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 1 (Monday September 18, 2017)
ROYAL DESCENT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ZIA-1 6.5f DIRT Six Horses
"A" MCL 20,000 F/M 3YUP $16,000
P# dd ex p4 t s ML WP TVL
3 ROYAL DESCENT 9/5 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 MAGGIE GOT MARRIED 2/1 22% 7/2
6 MISS JAZZY 5/2 22% 7/2
