Monday 7/14/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 7/14 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF HARNESS

Race 5 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

MEET STATS: 205 - 588 / $1077.40

BEST BETS: 35 - 48 / $113.30



Best Bet: BEAUTIFUL LADY (7th)

Spot Play: AMERICAN VENTURE (8th)

Race 1

(6) RED CARPET DUDE had been racing well prior to that hiccup last start. This is a highly questionable field he meets tonight and he's worth a look here. (8) KEEPING OPTIMISTIC ships down from Canada and he has a decent record this year. (4) VODKA IS TERROR returns locally and he has some talent but he's a bit erratic.


Race 2

(5) TWO SMART arrives for good trotting connections and Morrill, Jr. is always live when allowed to drive here. (4) EMILIANA picks up Brennan off a good-looking victory at Goshen. (3) GINNY AND TONIC has good speed and a good speed driver in Stalbaum.

Race 3

(5) BO'S SO HOT has raced well in all recent efforts and young driver Siegelman has proven he's capable when he's got the horsepower. (1) GREAT AMERICAN debuts for new connections and he draws best with Sears driving. (4) RICKY BLUE EYES has been going those fake fast times at Pocono but he did hit the board in his last two.

Race 4

(8) ROCKNROLL MEG was nipped on the wire last out in a tough beat; another alert getaway puts her in the mix. (1) NASTY SWEETNESS ships in, draws best and picks up Brennan. (5) ROCKLINDAROCK appears fast enough to compete with these.

Race 5

(4) MARKET RALLY has taken her last two NYSS tests in impressive fashion; tough to look past. (3) GLOWNGOLD stopped on the front end last out at Tioga; prior efforts were good. (2) WINNING PERSUIT can capture a share from this spot.

Race 6

(1) ANNIES LIST bounced back from a break over the half at Buffalo with a solid effort at Tioga; if Buter can nurse her around that tight first turn she's got a big chance. (2) AVALICIOUS also broke when last on a half mile, other than that she's been hard to fault. (5) CREDIAMA captured the lucrative Empire Breeders Classic last month but one has to wonder if she loses something with the trainer in the bike.

Race 7

(2) BEAUTIFUL LADY broke leaving last out and recovered okay; a repeat of that effort two back would be good enough to take this. (6) CAM FUNNY beat these two back but threw in a dud last out chasing a fast mile. (8) JANINNE looks for four straight but the eight hole makes it tough.

Race 8

(3) AMERICAN VENTURE has faltered badly since arriving from Western Canada but I'm convinced the ability is there; one more chance. (1) MONTANA PABLO A gets post relief and is the one to beat. (4) DR C'S Z TAM should be a closing threat.

Race 9

(1) CAROLINE STREET gets Stratton in the bike tonight for trainer Schnittker and that's been a combo that's clicked on more than one occasion. (5) DO YOU BELIEVE hung in the late stages in her local debut but it was a decent effort. (3) SOUTH JERSEY BOY could hold for a share over the rest of these.

Race 10

(3) HOW BOUT CASH is a stablemate of Hambo winner Royalty For Life. This filly has hit the ticket in her last six. (4) DREAMSTEELER is 13 for 14 lifetime, but her lone defeat was a break over this track. (1) SKI TO THE MAX is an obvious threat from this spot if she behaves herself.

Race 11

(7) WHEELAWAY had all sorts of traffic issues last out; smooth sailing and a favorable trip could spell upset for this gelding. (5) SPORTS SINNER and (6) DISARREI also came out of the same race as the top choice which was a strange race; either one can take this.

Race 12

(2) SEAFOOD ANNIE kicked home nicely last week from a tough post; mare finally lands inside and it may be her turn to win. (3) FANTICIPATION is clearly the one to beat based on last week's blowout effort. (5) R MARIE HANOVER is back at the right level and she does have some early speed.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Monday 7/14 Analysis
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: RED SOLO CUP (5th)

Spot Play: JUANITAS FILLY (2nd)



Race 1

(6) YOURE MAJESTIC was a recent private purchase by F Bellino And Sons Stable recently after the trotting daughter of Muscle Mass captured his first lifetime start in an impressive 1:58 1/5 at Northfield Park. (5) MAGICAL GEM is a homebred daughter of Majestic Son that has posted back-to-back winning qualifiers for trainer Herb Holland. (4) CUP TOWN GIRL was a $85K yearling purchase that is heavily staked this season for trainer Tomas Andersson.


Race 2

(5) JUANITAS FURY dropped nearly four seconds off her qualifying time with a 1:58 1/5 victory in her lone start of her career last week. (4) STONEBRIDGE ZOOM was an $8K yearling purchase, draws inside and is a perfect one-for-one to start her career. (1) GEE OKEEFFE is a homebred daughter of Holiday Road that comes from a high percentage trainer in Chris Beaver and gets the rail in her favour in her second career start.

Race 3

(5) HAPPY BECKY was a $30K yearling purchase by trainer Casie Coleman last year and so far looks worth every penny with a pair of solid qualifying efforts. (7) ARIENNE shaved nearly four seconds off his second qualifier for trainer/driver/co-owner Mike Vanderkemp. (3) ST LADS ARCHANGEL was a mere $3,500 yearling purchase and has shown steady improvement in each one of her qualifying sessions.

Race 4

(4) RANSOM DEMAND was a beaten favourite, but was timed in 1:53 1/5 and a repeat effort could make him a winner. (8) ART DEGREE is very lightly-raced in his career, but has posted an impressive win at first asking in 1:53 4/5 and followed up that performance with a second-place finish, by a neck, one week ago for Team Young. (2) ABREATHOFRESHART moves into the Maxwell barn and draws inside for driver Chris Christoforou.

Race 5

(6) RED SOLO CUP hasn't missed the board in four starts this season, including two wins. (4) NOBLE FLIRT finally got the monkey off her belt with last week’s winning effort in her fifth start of the season. (2) MARIO BI has been trotting in the 1:56 range and that type of effort should be quick enough to be a part of the triactor.

Race 6

(8) DANIELLE HALL comes from the Carl Jamieson barn and was an impressive winner in her career debut last week. (3) RUSTIC ROSIE draws inside and posted a strong qualifier in her lone appearance on June 20 with a 2:01 4/5 effort. (5) SHEGUINDAH was also a $50K yearling purchase and trainer Mike Keeling praised this filly throughout the course of the winter.

Race 7

(8) MAJOR HOTTIE has over $700K worth of back class to offer and draws a little better at a lower level. (4) ODYSSEUS BLUECHIP closed from ninth-to-second last week with a 1:51 4/5 effort in this class. (9) LEAFS AND WINGS was a game second in his most recent start in this class on July 5. He's been pacing in the 1:50-1:51 range which makes him very competitive in this field.

Race 8

(1) BODY TALK ships onto this circuit for trainer/driver Rick Zeron after trotting some credible miles at The Meadowlands for this type of class. (2) SASSY BUT CLASSY has missed the board once from four starts this season and comes out of the Richard Moreau barn. (6) TYMAL HOWBOUTNOW may offer a fair price and you have to admire what the trotting gelding did last week for trainer/driver Paul MacDonell following his break in stride.

Race 9

(8) THE GRAND FILLY is a perfect one-for-one to begin her young career and comes from top conditioner Erv Miller. (5) AMOUREUSE HANOVER is by first-crop sire Pilgrims Taj and was impressive in her career debut last week despite not winning. (7) FIERY EYES is a daughter by Mr Lavec out of the stakes winning mare Aimees Image ($365K).

Race 10

(1) HIT AND GIGGLE A disappointed as the favourite in his most recent start as he tired late in the mile for trainer Richard Moreau and driver Sylvain Filion. (2) YUCATAN added lasix to his program last start and the result was a victory for trainer Corey Johnson. (7) TAURANGA is a logical option for the exactor/triactor based on his recent efforts. He's hit the board in four of his last five starts and races at his best when he's put into the race for driver James MacDonald.

Race 11

(8) SHAMBALLA recently moved onto this circuit and into the Rick Zeron barn and provided a terrific performance in his latest despite not winning. (5) REGAL SON comes from Hall of Famer Bob McIntosh and this talented sophomore is fresh off an Ontario Sires Stakes Grassroots victory and draws a good post once again this week. (4) ANDREIOS KARDIA draws inside this week and driver Steve Byron will likely make the most of it.

 

[cracy]

StatSystemsSports.net
MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #16

Monday marks a dark, dark day in sports betting. The World Cup is over, football season is still more than a month away, and with the Major League Baseball on hiatus for the 2014 All-Star break, the only thing to wager on is how many balls some guys can hit over a fence. Hell, the WNBA and MLS aren’t even around to save us. “Better make the most of this!”

The 2014 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby steps up to the plate at Target Field in Minneapolis, (home turf of the Minnesota Twins 8:00 PM EST) on Monday night on ESPN. Wowing baseball fans for a few rounds before Chris Berman’s voice eats through our brain like a parasitic worm. But, like sprinkling bacon bits on a boring salad, throwing down some coin on who can hit the most home runs makes the Home Run Derby tolerable. And there’s always the mute button for Boomer.

StatSystemsSports.net Systems Analyst Larry Hertner look at the field and their odds to win the 2014 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby:

•Giancarlo Stanton, Miami Marlins (+250) - Stanton is the overall favorite to win the derby, coming in with 21 home runs on the year, however he hasn’t gone yard since June 26. On top of that, the Marlins’ are currently shopping their slugger which could have Stanton focused more on his future than the derby.

•Yasiel Puig, Los Angeles Dodgers (+450) - This is strictly a popularity contest here. Puig opened at +550 to win the derby and has been bet up to the second overall choice. The bat-flipping phenom has just 12 dingers and just one home run in his last 43 at-bats this month.

•Jose Bautista, Toronto Blue Jays (+500) - “Joey Bats” is the captain for the American League squad and brings 17 long balls to Target Field. Bautista actually rocked a home run in his last stop in Minnesota back on April 17, but hasn’t posted a HR since July 2.

•Yoenis Cespedes, Oakland Athletics (+500) - The defending Home Run Derby champ is being offered at favorable odds but there hasn’t been a back-to-back derby winner since Ken Griffey Jr. in 1998 and 1999. Cespedes comes in ice cold, not registering a hit in four straight games with seven strikeouts as of Sunday. He cashed in at +600, hitting 32 total home runs in 2013.

•Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado Rockies (+650) - The National League captain leads the NL with 21 round trippers – 14 of those coming in the hitter-friendly thin air of Coors Field. Tulo won’t have that pop in Minnesota but does have three home runs in his last three games, as of Sunday. All of which were at home.
___________________________________________________

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•Josh Donaldson, Oakland Athletics (+1,000) - The Athletics better hope the derby doesn’t wreak havoc on Donaldson and Cespedes’ swings like it has with some contestants in the past. Donaldson has 20 home runs and also put one over the fence at Target Field this year, back on April 10.

•Brian Dozier, Minnesota Twins (+1,200) - There is no doubt Dozier will have the home crowd behind him Monday night. Have you seen this Twins fan’s back hair Dozier jersey? *Insert dry heave here* The second baseman has 16 home runs – nine of those coming inside Target Field.

•Todd Frazier, Cincinnati Reds (+1,200) - Frazier upped his home run total to 18 with a bomb against the Pirates Saturday night – his first homer since June 22. His brother - Charlie Frazier – is going to be tossing to him during the Derby. Charlie is a former Triple-A player who throws batting practice for his local ball club.

•Adam Jones, Baltimore Orioles (+1,200) - The Baltimore slugger has just 16 home runs on the year and got into the derby field because teammate Nelson Cruz passed on the invite from Bautista. Hopefully Cruz and Orioles slugger Chris Davis passed along some pointers.

•Justin Morneau, Colorado Rockies (+1,500) - It’s a homecoming for the former Minnesota star. Much like Tulowitzki, Morneau has benefited from the live balls in Coors Field, hitting eight of his 13 home runs at home. He won the 2008 Home Run Derby with 22 total dingers at +320 – even though Josh Hamilton hit 35 total HRs but ran out of steam in the final.

Note: Stats prior to Sunday's schedule. Odds courtesy of CarbonSports.ag.

The 85th All-Star Game will be televised nationally on July 15 by FOX, in Canada by Rogers Sportsnet and RDS, and worldwide by partners in more than 200 countries via MLB International's independent feed. ESPN Radio and ESPN Radio Deportes will provide national radio coverage of the All-Star Game. MLB Network and SiriusXM will also provide comprehensive All-Star Week coverage.
___________________________________________

 

[superbeets]

Champions League Tu 15Jul 17:45

S. Bratislava

v

The New Saints

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
S4C					More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT S. BRATISLAVA	RECENT FORM
HWAWHWAWHWHW​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWHDAWAWALAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: TNS have lost all seven of their away matches in European competition

EXPERT VERDICT: TNS have a woeful away record in Europe and damage limitation may be the height of their ambition in Slovakia. A brace from Marko Milinkovic got Slovan Bratislava off to a winning start in their domestic league on Friday. That should have left them sharp enough to record a comfortable victory.

 

[superbeets]

Champions League Tu 15Jul 19:45

Cliftonville

v

Debrecen

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
					More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CLIFTONVILLE	RECENT FORM
ADAWHWHWAWAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	ALAWALHWAWHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Debrecen have been Hungarian champions in seven of the last ten years

EXPERT VERDICT: Cliftonville are still relatively new to European football and may get found out against their more experienced Hungarian opponents. Debrecen have been beyond this stage three times in the last five years and possess plenty firepower – they scored 66 goals in their domestic league last season.

RECOMMENDATION: Debrecen
1

 

[superbeets]

Champions League Tu 15Jul 20:00

KR Reykjavik

v

Celtic

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BBC1		11/2	10/3	4/11	More markets

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT KR REYKJAVIK	RECENT FORM
HWHWAWHWAWAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	AWADHWHWADHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: KR have lost four of their 11 domestic matches this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic have performed with credit in the Champions League group stage over the last two years, and new manager Ronny Deila will be motivated to take a step closer to the competition with a first-leg win in Reykjavik. KR sit a disappointing third in the Icelandic league, and suffered a 9-1 aggregate defeat in their last Champions League qualifying appearance in 2012.

RECOMMENDATION: Celtic
3

​

 

[superbeets]

Champions League We 16Jul 19:45

Legia Warsaw

v

St Patrick's

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
					More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LEGIA WARSAW	RECENT FORM
HWAWHLAWHWHL​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWHWADHWALAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: St Patrick’s have won only one of their last eight away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Legia Warsaw beat TNS and Molde before going down to Steaua Bucharest on away goals in the final round of qualifying last year and the Polish champions should have too much for this Saints side. The Irish raiders have not been in sparkling domestic form, while Legia should be sharper for last week’s appearance in the Super Cup.

RECOMMENDATION: Legia Warsaw 3-0
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Delaware Park (4th) Run to the Limit, 4-1
(7th) Calcutta Cat, 7-2

Finger Lakes (3rd) Resisting Arrest, 6-1
(7th) Pari Nath, 6-1

Mountaineer (2nd) Pin High, 9-2
(5th) How's Bayou, 6-1

Parx Racing (5th) Torpedo Cat, 3-1
(9th) Sky Wise, 8-1

Presque Isle Downs (1st) Wolftrap, 4-1
(8th) D W's Warrior, 3-1

Suffolk Downs (6th) Bucks Wink, 7-2
(9th) Dangerously Royal, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Delaware Race 5 for Monday, July 14, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #5 - Post: 3:03pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 CUSABO (ML=6/1)
#4 DEPLOYINGRESOURCES (ML=3/1)
#7 SENOR QUICKIE (ML=2/1)


CUSABO - Fits well considering the fact that the last time he tried this distance he got a speed rating good enough to win today. When Navarro and Albertrani partner up on animals the return on investment has been fantastic at +74. Taking a trip down in class; has the ability to make his presence felt. This gelding has impressed last two times out posting strong speed ratings. With a repeat performance, he'll probably be victorious. DEPLOYINGRESOURCES - This jockey and conditioner have a wonderful winning pct when they join forces. Past Performances show this thoroughbred with 3 improving speed ratings. Cedeno should be on a live horse in this event. I like when a thoroughbred wins after shipping in from elsewhere. It shows that they really like the track here. I'll take this gelding to win again. SENOR QUICKIE - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a solid effort last time out within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PEP RALLY (ML=4/1), #2 HUNG JURY (ML=8/1), #5 OUT TO CONQUER YOU (ML=8/1),

PEP RALLY - Garnered a disappointing speed fig last time around the track in a $5,000 Claiming race on Jun 26th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating. HUNG JURY - This horse just hasn't looked sharp recently. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to notch a much better speed figure than last time out to vie in this dirt sprint. OUT TO CONQUER YOU - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint races lately. Unlikely to see him doing it this time out either.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 CUSABO on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2014. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE MAY 14 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 JUST A MINUTE 2/1


# 6 ARTIST COLONY 4/1


# 7 TRAINING ZONE JON 5/2


I think JUST A MINUTE is a formidable choice. Have to love when any pony makes a quick turnaround. Has been close at the wire most every time recently. Recorded a respectable speed figure last time out. ARTIST COLONY - His earnings per start in dirt route races alone makes you take a look at him. This animal has to be played at the expected high odds. TRAINING ZONE JON - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Smith have shown strong results lately. Has been running soundly lately and will probably be close to the front end early on.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $22200 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN ONE MILE MAIN



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 JONMIL JOHNNY 7/2


# 3 ROMEO ROYALE 5/1


# 8 ROMANTIC CHANNEL 3/1


JONMIL JOHNNY looks to be a competitive contender. He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group. Recently Reed has provided investors with a respectable winning percentage with horses racing in turf sprint races. This one has been constatntly running well lately. ROMEO ROYALE - With one of the best jockeys in terms of profits at the window, don't count this gelding out. Should be given a shot in this contest if only for the very good speed rating put up in the last race. ROMANTIC CHANNEL - Has to be considered based on the respectable speed rating put up in the last contest. Looks quite good for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid figs in turf sprint races recently.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #5 - Post: 8:32pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SPEND TO SAVE (ML=6/1)
#8 HOW'S BAYOU (ML=6/1)
#6 BLOND WARRIOR (ML=4/1)
#4 UNDER THE RIM (ML=3/1)


SPEND TO SAVE - Good winning percentage this jockey and handler duo have been putting together. I think this mare is very ready right now. I like the fact that Kieser brings her back to a race so quickly. This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should compete well today. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class-rating points like this one did in the last race. I believe she'll be competitive at this level. HOW'S BAYOU - Took a drop in class last time out, running against the same type today. Coming off a fourth place finish at Mountaineer, some may pass on this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good morning line odds today. Finished ahead of today's favorite last out at Mountaineer. Can do the same again in this event. The 68 last race speed fig looks good in the TrackMaster PPs. Look at this pattern of improvement. 45/56/68 are the last three Equibase speed figures. BLOND WARRIOR - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier group than last out at Mountaineer. Sub-par effort in the last race at Mountaineer was due to the off-going (she finished fourth). Expect better in this event without the slop. UNDER THE RIM - I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class points like this one did in the last race. I believe she'll be competitive at this class level. I am keen on that latest race on Jul 1st at Mountaineer where she finished second. Look at this pattern of improvement. 42/60/62 are the last three Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SHES NOTABLE (ML=2/1), #5 PERFECT ANGEL (ML=8/1),

SHES NOTABLE - In the last event this vulnerable equine finished sixth. Doesn't show much potential for her chances today. Jun 15th is the last time we've seen this mare around. Have to be a little bit leery. PERFECT ANGEL - This racer hasn't been near the victor at the finish line of late. Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a sprint event to be worth a shot at minimal odds in a sprint.




STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #3 SPEND TO SAVE to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,6,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,6,8] with [4,6,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,6,8] with [4,6,8] with [4,6,8] Total Cost: $6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:19pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 WINNING SAGA (ML=3/1)
#7 NOT A LOVE SONG (ML=5/2)


WINNING SAGA - Although I sometimes have doubts about a horse who flopped as the betting favorite in her last race, this filly got a solid fig and fits well here. Stalking speed. My buddies and I like this horse. This equine earns a lot of money per race around the track. Number one in this race. This filly is in fine condition. Ended up second on June 20th. The 77 last race speed figure looks strong on paper. NOT A LOVE SONG - I have to believe that this shorter distance should help this filly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CINNAMONJELLYBEAN (ML=4/1), #2 TABELLA (ML=5/1), #6 CENTAURI DREAMS (ML=8/1),

CINNAMONJELLYBEAN - A bit of a lackluster outing when this filly finished sixth. Won't be easy for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. TABELLA - Parx Racing isn't cozy quarters to this less than sharp equine. Earned a common speed fig in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on June 30th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that number. CENTAURI DREAMS - This filly almost certainly won't be close at the wire.




STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 WINNING SAGA to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Monday 7/14 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 3 - $7,500 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

5,6,9 / 3,5,8 / 9 / 6,7 = $18

Best Bet: EDIT (3rd)

Spot Play: LBS ALLAMERICANJOY (7th)


Race 1

(2) SON OF A SPUR veteran trotter takes a big drop in class and will be used aggressively. (1) MYSTERY XPOSED was awesome two back before coming up empty. A good effort could upset. (8) HERECOMESTHECHIEF raced much better last out but will need to find away into the race; use underneath.

Race 2

(2) DOOWRAH OMELET has a big burst of speed and the best driver. (1) THE MACHSTER gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer and a provisional driver but does benefit from the best post. (9) MAXIMUM VIKING could offer value on the bottom of your tickets.

Race 3

(4) EDIT was roughed up last out being parked the mile. If the trotter gets an early lead it should be lights out. (1) FORTUNE SAILOR gelding trotter needs a smooth trip for his best chance and is one of few contenders in the race. (5) MUSTODIAN has been improved in his last two and could be a threat should the top choice falter.

Race 4

(1) JS TANGO had no luck out east but was much better when last seen at this track; threat. (9) DUTCHTREAT HANOVER went a big effort last out showing pace on both ends of the mile. The pacer will be tough to hold back if he races similar. (2) SOAP SUDS takes a big drop in class and looks to be in line for a great trip up close.

Race 5

(5) NO SHENANIGANS gelding gets sent out for hot connections and will be tough to beat if he makes an easy lead. (6) CYCLONE ASHORE was sharp earlier in the year before racing evenly in recent starts. The 7-year-old got an easy victory last out and that could signal a return to prior form. (3) HALLIN GATOR bumps back up in class after a win and could show some speed out of the gate putting him on the ticket; use underneath.

Race 6

(1) SOUTHBOUND gets a huge driver change and will look to take no prisoners early. (2) COACH KEN five-year-old is very inconsistent from week to week but does get a big driver change. (4) AT DAYBREAK could be in a great spot late to pick up the pieces with some racing luck.

Race 7

In a field with few contenders (6) LB'S ALAMERICANJOY makes his third start for proven connections and has yet to race his best. (4) THORN IN YOUR SIDE picks up a top driver and will be driven very aggressively; threat. (9) HEZA STAR CRUISER looks to be in line for a ground saving trip but would need a lot of luck to hit the top spot.

Race 8

(9) HALL OF MEMORIES makes his third start back off a layoff, drops in class, and raced gamely last out. (6) SAWBUCK HANOVER gets sent out for the top barn in the country against a much softer bunch. (5) DUNGEON DRAGON has been unstoppable at this level; threat.

Race 9

(8) LUCKY CHARM mare dropped and popped and will look to keep the momentum going; fires early. (5) MISS LULU BELLE takes a big drop in class but this is the level she belongs at. (3) CABO is also back at a level where the well bred mare can be competitive.

Race 10

(9) HARE CRAFT just missed last out against tougher and should get a fast pace to close into. (6) CHASE THE SUN will be part of an early skirmish that could get ugly; fires early. (7) FULL CODE will have instructions to not stop till he gets the top which could leave him vulnerable late.

Race 11

(6) ACTION-BROADWAY millionaire mare has tons of back class and flaunted it last out. The 7-year-old should be blasting out of the gate for her best chance. (7) RUN AND TELL PAP just missed last out racing gamely from the same post and will be firing early. (9) KAHOKU has really stepped his game up this year but is probably best used underneath.

Race 12

(2) HOOREI FOR FLASH should offer a big price even dropping in class. The lightly raced pacer is one of few with upside in a very tough race to handicap. (5) YOULL THINK OF ME makes his second start for a red hot trainer; threat. (7) U BETTOR WATCH OUT could get a lot of play based off his last few lines at a lightning fast Pocono track; use caution.

Race 13

(5) MYBROTHERGEORGE well bred pacer will look to turn it around for himself and his stable down in class. (2) ACTION METRO MAX is reunited with a top driver off a big effort. (1) SOMECAM owns a big brush but seems to be hit or miss late.

Race 14

In a wide open race on paper (2) BET ON ART gets post relief with a better pilot; threat. (1) DIAMONDS REVENGE has been pacing some decent miles but doesn't have much to show for it; command a price. (9) DERINGER GUN could be in a good spot to hit the ticket late.

Race 15

(6) NUTMEGS GIGILO faces much easier competition and has shown a big burst of speed despite being winless on the year. (4) BIG HARRY DEAL finds a really weak field; versatile. (9) SASSY OSBORNE could have a tough time navigating the second tier and will offer low value.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Grand River Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Post: 6:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 68 - Purse:$4400 - FILLIES & MARES - CLAIMING $10000. - FOR N/W $25000. LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 9 J J BRIA 7/2



# 3 PHOTOLYINCLINED 8/1



# 4 MAGIC PURSUIT 8/5



J J BRIA will not be denied the win here. May provide us a victory based on competitive recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 72. Comes into this contest with respectable TrackMaster class ratings in relationship to the race - could be worth a shot. Steward is racking up the wins in recent times. Excellent win stat makes this harness racer our pick. PHOTOLYINCLINED - The handicapping group gives this harness racer a good chance to win this one, class statistics are tops in the group of animals. This nice horse has been making trips to the winner's circle on a regular basis, look for her to make another showing soon. MAGIC PURSUIT - This fine animal earned a very nice TrackMaster speed fig in last race. Looks in fine form to come right back. Chances are greatly increased for entrants beginning from the 4 position at Grand River Raceway.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$16000 - NON-WINNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 3& 4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 BEAUTIFUL LADY 2/1



# 4 HAPPY APPLES 6/1



# 6 CAM FUNNY 5/1



BEAUTIFUL LADY most definitely is tough to overlook as the contender to beat for this one. This horse looks strong. Look at the 81 avg speed rating. One of the most respectable win percentages with this driver/handler make this filly dangerous. The number crunching team has Brennan on its list of drivers who are tearing it up of late. Last 30 days win statistic is excellent. HAPPY APPLES - A nice win rate has been earned by harness racers beginning from the 4 position. CAM FUNNY - Could clearly defeat this field given the 77 speed rating achieved in her most recent contest. With better than average win percentages, Bartlett should have this mare in excellent position to win the race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Monday 7/14 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 3 - $7,500 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

5,6,9 / 3,5,8 / 9 / 6,7 = $18

Best Bet: EDIT (3rd)

Spot Play: LBS ALLAMERICANJOY (7th)


Race 1

(2) SON OF A SPUR veteran trotter takes a big drop in class and will be used aggressively. (1) MYSTERY XPOSED was awesome two back before coming up empty. A good effort could upset. (8) HERECOMESTHECHIEF raced much better last out but will need to find away into the race; use underneath.

Race 2

(2) DOOWRAH OMELET has a big burst of speed and the best driver. (1) THE MACHSTER gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer and a provisional driver but does benefit from the best post. (9) MAXIMUM VIKING could offer value on the bottom of your tickets.

Race 3

(4) EDIT was roughed up last out being parked the mile. If the trotter gets an early lead it should be lights out. (1) FORTUNE SAILOR gelding trotter needs a smooth trip for his best chance and is one of few contenders in the race. (5) MUSTODIAN has been improved in his last two and could be a threat should the top choice falter.

Race 4

(1) JS TANGO had no luck out east but was much better when last seen at this track; threat. (9) DUTCHTREAT HANOVER went a big effort last out showing pace on both ends of the mile. The pacer will be tough to hold back if he races similar. (2) SOAP SUDS takes a big drop in class and looks to be in line for a great trip up close.

Race 5

(5) NO SHENANIGANS gelding gets sent out for hot connections and will be tough to beat if he makes an easy lead. (6) CYCLONE ASHORE was sharp earlier in the year before racing evenly in recent starts. The 7-year-old got an easy victory last out and that could signal a return to prior form. (3) HALLIN GATOR bumps back up in class after a win and could show some speed out of the gate putting him on the ticket; use underneath.

Race 6

(1) SOUTHBOUND gets a huge driver change and will look to take no prisoners early. (2) COACH KEN five-year-old is very inconsistent from week to week but does get a big driver change. (4) AT DAYBREAK could be in a great spot late to pick up the pieces with some racing luck.

Race 7

In a field with few contenders (6) LB'S ALAMERICANJOY makes his third start for proven connections and has yet to race his best. (4) THORN IN YOUR SIDE picks up a top driver and will be driven very aggressively; threat. (9) HEZA STAR CRUISER looks to be in line for a ground saving trip but would need a lot of luck to hit the top spot.

Race 8

(9) HALL OF MEMORIES makes his third start back off a layoff, drops in class, and raced gamely last out. (6) SAWBUCK HANOVER gets sent out for the top barn in the country against a much softer bunch. (5) DUNGEON DRAGON has been unstoppable at this level; threat.

Race 9

(8) LUCKY CHARM mare dropped and popped and will look to keep the momentum going; fires early. (5) MISS LULU BELLE takes a big drop in class but this is the level she belongs at. (3) CABO is also back at a level where the well bred mare can be competitive.

Race 10

(9) HARE CRAFT just missed last out against tougher and should get a fast pace to close into. (6) CHASE THE SUN will be part of an early skirmish that could get ugly; fires early. (7) FULL CODE will have instructions to not stop till he gets the top which could leave him vulnerable late.

Race 11

(6) ACTION-BROADWAY millionaire mare has tons of back class and flaunted it last out. The 7-year-old should be blasting out of the gate for her best chance. (7) RUN AND TELL PAP just missed last out racing gamely from the same post and will be firing early. (9) KAHOKU has really stepped his game up this year but is probably best used underneath.

Race 12

(2) HOOREI FOR FLASH should offer a big price even dropping in class. The lightly raced pacer is one of few with upside in a very tough race to handicap. (5) YOULL THINK OF ME makes his second start for a red hot trainer; threat. (7) U BETTOR WATCH OUT could get a lot of play based off his last few lines at a lightning fast Pocono track; use caution.

Race 13

(5) MYBROTHERGEORGE well bred pacer will look to turn it around for himself and his stable down in class. (2) ACTION METRO MAX is reunited with a top driver off a big effort. (1) SOMECAM owns a big brush but seems to be hit or miss late.

Race 14

In a wide open race on paper (2) BET ON ART gets post relief with a better pilot; threat. (1) DIAMONDS REVENGE has been pacing some decent miles but doesn't have much to show for it; command a price. (9) DERINGER GUN could be in a good spot to hit the ticket late.

Race 15

(6) NUTMEGS GIGILO faces much easier competition and has shown a big burst of speed despite being winless on the year. (4) BIG HARRY DEAL finds a really weak field; versatile. (9) SASSY OSBORNE could have a tough time navigating the second tier and will offer low value.