Monday 7/13/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup Tu 14Jul 00:00

Haiti

v

Honduras

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		15/4	12/5	4/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
–-NLALADADNL​ Most recent​	0 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3 3 - 1	NWADALNDNLND​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Haiti have not kept a clean sheet for five matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Honduras have not won any of their last five matches but they have been playing opponents of a much higher calibre than Haiti for the most part and showed great mettle to bounce back from 3-1 down against French Guyana in the playoffs. Honduras won 2-0 when the teams met in this competition in 2013.

RECOMMENDATION: Honduras
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[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup Tu 14Jul 02:30

Panama

v

USA

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		17/4	29/10	8/13	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
AWHWHDALHDND​ Most recent​	0 - 2 2 - 3 0 - 1 0 - 2	HWAWAWHWNWNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: USA have won their last six matches

EXPERT VERDICT: USA have not been impressive in beating both Haiti and Honduras but they are safely through to the next round and beat Panama 2-0 in a February friendly. Panama still have hopes of progression after two draws although they keep conceding late goals so the draw-USA double-result looks a value bet.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-USA
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[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup Tu 14Jul 23:00

Jamaica

v

El Salvador

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		11/10	21/10	11/4	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HWNLNLALADNW​ Most recent​	2 - 0 3 - 2 1 - 0 0 - 0	NLNLADHWNDND​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Jamaica have conceded just six goals in their last ten matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Jamaica look good value to claim top spot in Group B of the Concacaf Gold Cup by beating El Salvador. The Reggae Boyz boast a squad with a fair amount of quality and that has been evident in this competition with British based trio Garath McClear, Jobi McAnuff and Rodolph Austin netting their three goals in this event.

RECOMMENDATION: Jamaica
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[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup We 15Jul 01:30

Canada

v

Costa Rica

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		16/5		19/20	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
NWNDAWHWNDNL​ Most recent​	0 - 1 2 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 1	ALNLALADHDND​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in nine of Costa Rica's last 11 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Costa Rica conceded a last minute equalizer against El Salvador in their last Concacaf Gold Cup contest but don't expect them to make the same mistake against Canada. Paulo Wanchope's side need a win to be sure of qualification from Group B and you can bet on them to get it.

RECOMMENDATION: Costa Rica
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB notebook: Kershaw added to All-Star team
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw will be in the All-Star Game after all.

Kershaw, the 2014 Cy Young Award winner and NL MVP, was not selected as one of the All-Star pitchers by San Francisco Giants manager Bruce Bochy. Kershaw then lost out to St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Carlos Martinez in the final vote for the NL All-Star team.

However, Washington Nationals right-hander Max Scherzer, who was selected to the All-Star squad, won't be eligible to pitch in the All-Star Game on Tuesday in Cincinnati because he started, and won, Sunday's game.

Kershaw will replace Scherzer, according to the Los Angeles Times, and will be on the All-Star roster for a fifth straight year. Kershaw has not been as impressive in the first half of 2015 as he was in 2014. He was 21-3 with 1.77 ERA last season, but is 6-6 with a 2.85 ERA this year. He did pitch a complete-game shutout in his last start on Wednesday.

Also, Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun was added to the NL All-Star roster, repacing injured Matt Holliday of the St. Louis Cardinals. Braun is hitting .272 with 15 homers and 55 RBIs.

Pitcher Hector Santiago of the Los Angeles Angels was added to the American League All-Star team as replacement for Oakland A's right-hander Sonny Gray, who also started a game Sunday. Santiago is 6-4 with a 2.33 ERA.

---The Tampa Bay Rays placed shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera on the 15-day disabled list with a strained right hamstring.

Cabrera left Saturday's game against the Houston Astros after pulling up as he scored a run in the second inning. Cabrera is hitting .223 with five home runs and 22 RBIs in 86 games this season.

The Rays also recalled infielder Tim Beckham from Triple-A Durham. He was hitting .297 in 10 games with the Bulls.

---The Oakland Athletics recalled right-hander Dan Otero from Triple-A Nashville.

The team also optioned right-hander Chris Bassitt to Nashville.

---Cleveland Indians left-hander Nick Hagadone (lower back strain) could go out on a minor league rehab after the All-Star break. He has been on the disabled list since July 8.

---New York Mets right-hander Buddy Carlyle, who went on the disabled list with back spasms on May 14, is out for the season after undergoing hip surgery.

---The Houston Astros recalled outfielder L.J. Hoes from Triple-A Fresno and optioned right-hander Dan Straily to make room.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

2015 Home Run Derby Odds

The 30th annual Home Run Derby takes place on Monday night from the Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati. The two-time defending champion will not participate this year as Detroit's Yoenis Cespedes knocked out 28 homers in the 2014 Derby at Target Field as a member of the Athletics.

The only participant in the eight-player field that has claimed the Home Run Derby is Prince Fielder, who won the title back in 2013 in Kansas City when he played for the Tigers.

The favorite for this year's Derby is hometown hero Todd Frazier, who has drilled 25 home runs for the Reds, which is tied for second-most in the National League behind Miami's Giancarlo Stanton, who will not participate due to a hand injury.

Below are the odds for the 2015 Home Run Derby.

Todd Frazier (CIN) 13/4
Albert Pujols (LAA) 7/2
Anthony Rizzo (CHC) 5/1
Prince Fielder (TEX) 5/1
Kris Bryant (CHC) 11/2
Joc Pederson (LAD) 6/1
Josh Donaldson (TOR) 6/1
Manny Machado (BAL) 15/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sizing up the sluggers and odds for the 2015 MLB Home Run Derby
By ANDREW AVERY

The Monday during Major League Baseball's All-Star break is a dark day in the sportsbetting landscape.

There is one CFL game on the board Monday, but baseball is on hiatus. The entertaining Women's World Cup is in the rear-view mirror. Wimbledon is over. Football is still over a month away. There's not even any any MLS or WNBA to fill that void. We can however, wager on the annual MLB Home Run Derby.

In case you were unaware, the Home Run Derby has undergone a bit of a facelift. This time around, the Derby is single-elimination format and hitters now have a five-minute clock to mash as many dingers as possible.

During the final minute of the five, the clock will stop with each homer and start back up with a non-homer or a swing and miss. Furthermore, hitters can get bonus time: one minute for two homers that travel over 420 feet and 30 seconds for one homer of at least 475 feet. Participants will max out at 1:30 of bonus time.

There is no Stanton, no Trout and no Bryce, but there is a good list of sluggers that present some solid value.

Here’s a look at the field and their odds to win the 2015 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby:

Todd Frazier, Cincinnati Reds (5/1)

Frazier is absolutely mashing the ball this season and the hometown Cincy crowd will out in full force cheering on their guy. But the Derby has not been kind to participants slugging on their home turf. Only one hitter has won the Derby in their home park: Chicago Cubs Hall of Famer Ryne Sandberg at Wrigley Field back in 1990.


Kris Bryant, Chicago Cubs (5/1)

Everyone recalls Bryant tearing up spring training, slugging nine homers in 40 at-bats before starting 2015 at Triple-A Iowa. That stint was short lived, however, and the phenom has 12 home runs in 77 games for the Cubbies. He'll be familiar with Great American Ball Park as he has nine plate appearances, but zero home runs.


Albert Pujols, Los Angeles Angels (5/1)

The veteran slugger is having a tremendous 2015 season, mashing 26 home runs, just two back of his total from all of 2014. Pujols has participated in this event three times and boasts the eighth-most dingers in the history of the competition. He's never won, but did make the final in the 2003 version, where he lost to Garret Anderson.


Prince Fielder, Texas Rangers (6/1)

Fielder knows what it takes to win this event having slugged his way to victory in 2009 at Busch Stadium and 2012 at Kauffman Stadium. Though in 2015, it's not necessarily the home run count that has Prince making noise, it's the .343 batting average which is good for second in the American League.


Josh Donaldson, Toronto Blue Jays (6/1)

Somehow, the Jays fleeced the Oakland A's by acquiring Donaldson for a group of players including Brett Lawrie and Kendall Graveman in the offseason. Donaldson has only gone on to rack up the most All-Star votes in history, rank eighth in the Major Leagues in WAR (4.65) and hit 21 dingers through 89 games for the powerful Jays lineup.


Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs (6/1)

Rizzo has tallied 16 homers so far this season and even belted one in Cincinnati in a 5-0 Cubs' win back on April 15. The vast majority of Rizzo's home runs have been pulled to right field, all of which would have had no problem leaving Great American Ball Park.


Manny Machado, Baltimore Orioles (7/1)

Machado's power numbers have been a real revelation for the Orioles as the 23-year-old's 19 home runs are already a career high. Machado won't be tampering with his swing in an effort win the Derby, however, as he told the Baltimore Sun, "[I'm] just mainly going to try to keep my same swing and try to hit the ball hard somewhere. If they go out, they go out. If they don't, I guess I'm going to be the one with no homers there."


Joc Pederson, Los Angeles Dodgers (7/1)

The young Dodgers slugger went on an absolute tear earlier this season, mashing 16 of his 20 home runs in May and June. Pederson has put up a goose egg in the home run department in July and is hitting just .118. Gross. That said, of the eight Derby participants, Joc has six of the 10 furthest home runs this season.

Here is a list of the first round matchups:

KRIS BRYANT -110
ALBERT PUJOLS -110

PRINCE FIELDER EVEN
TODD FRAZIER -120

ANTHONY RIZZO -110
JOSH DONALDSON -110

MANNY MACHADO -110
JOC PEDERSON -110

Odds courtesy of the Westgate LV Superbook.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB roundup: Nieuwenhuis hits 3 HRs, Mets sweep D-backs
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

NEW YORK -- Kirk Nieuwenhuis became the first New York Mets player in the franchise's 54-season history to hit three home runs in a home game Sunday when his unexpected power surge lifted his team to a 5-3 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Mets swept the three-game series and finished the first half with four straight wins to hit the All-Star break with a winning record for the first time since 2012. The Diamondbacks were swept for the first time since losing three straight to the Los Angeles Dodgers from June 8-10.

Nieuwenhuis, who entered the game hitting .106 with no homers and three RBIs in 66 at-bats in games between the Mets and the Los Angeles Angels, homered to left off Diamondbacks right-hander Rubby De La Rosa leading off the second to give the Mets a 1-0 lead.

Nieuwenhuis hit a two-run, two-out homer to left-center off De La Rosa in the third inning to extend the Mets' lead to 4-1 and blasted a leadoff homer off right-hander Randall Delgado in the fifth inning to put New York ahead 5-2. He received a curtain call after his third homer and was showered with applause while warming up in left field prior to the top of the sixth.

Nationals 3, Orioles 2

BALTIMORE -- Max Scherzer allowed two runs over 8 2/3 innings and Washington took the three-game series against its regional rival.

After enduring three straight losses, Washington has won back-to-back games entering the All-Star break. The Orioles have lost 10 of 13 and fell to .500 for the first time since June 2.

Scherzer (10-7) allowed a two-out homer to Adam Jones in the first inning. From there, the right-hander retired the next 14 batters. Scherzer, who entered the game with opponents batting just .188 against him, gave up four hits and struck out seven. Jones, who has 14 homers on the season, went deep again with two outs in the ninth to cut the margin to 3-2. Right-hander Drew Storen entered and struck out Chris Davis to pick up his 27th save.

Athletics 2, Indians 0

CLEVELAND -- Sonny Gray pitched a two-hit shutout and Stephen Vogt's two-run home provided all the runs as Oakland beat Cleveland.

The only hits allowed by Gray, the American League earned run average leader at 2.04, were singles in the fourth and eighth innings. In his first complete game of the season, Gray (10-3) struck out six and walked one.

Right-hander Corey Kluber (4-10), started for the Indians, and got no run support. Kluber came into the game with the worst run support, 2.4 runs per game, of any starting pitcher in the AL.

Marlins 8, Reds 1

MIAMI -- Justin Bour had three hits and three RBIs to lead Miami past Cincinnati.

The Marlins took three out of four in their series against the Reds, scoring a total of 22 runs in the last two games. Cincinnati closed the first half of the season in disappointing fashion, losing six of its final nine games.

Marlins starter Dan Haren (7-5) earned the win, allowing five hits, three walks and one run in six innings. Reds starter Johnny Cueto (6-6) took the loss, allowing seven hits, one walk, five runs (three earned) in five innings.

Rays 4, Astros 3

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- Tampa Bay hits the All-Star break with positive momentum, having completed a three-game sweep of Houston.

The Rays twice rallied from one-run deficits, spoiling a homecoming for Tampa's Lance McCullers, who struck out 10 batters but couldn't get the Astros out of their offensive slump. The Astros scored seven total runs in their six-game losing streak.

Rays starter Matt Moore (1-0), in his second start back after Tommy John surgery, got his first win in 21 months, since September 2013.

Cubs 3, White Sox 1

CHICAGO -- Right-hander Jake Arrieta tossed a two-hitter and contributed his first career home run as the Chicago Cubs beat the Chicago White Sox to salvage the finale of a three-game series.

Arrieta (10-5) tied a career-high for victories and became the first Cub with 10 wins before the All-Star break since 2008. Arrieta worked his second complete game of the season and struck out eight while walking none in front of a season-best Wrigley Field crowd of 41,688.

White Sox left-handed starter Jose Quintana (4-9) had limited run support once again while allowing three runs on eight hits and striking out nine in 7 1/3 innings.

Twins 7, Tigers 1

MINNEAPOLIS -- Kyle Gibson threw seven innings of one-run ball, leading Minnesota over Detroit.

Buoyed by a pair of first-inning runs, Gibson was cruising from the get-go, allowing just one unearned run in the second inning and four singles on the day. The victory was Gibson's eighth and lowered his season ERA to 2.85. The right-hander has allowed three runs or less in each of his last six starts and has won four consecutive outings.

Miguel Sano gave Gibson all the support he would need four batters into the game, hitting a two-run shot over the left field fence for his second home run.

Yankees 8, Red Sox 6

BOSTON -- Alex Rodriguez capped off a big weekend with another pivotal hit, driving in the go-ahead run with a sixth-inning double as New York beat Boston in the series finale.

Rodriguez's shot into the gap in left-center was one of three doubles in the Yankees' three-run sixth. Rodriguez, who hit first-inning solo home runs in each of the first two games of the series, drove in four of the Yankees' 16 runs over the weekend.

Nathan Eovaldi (9-2) earned the win for New York, which won two of three against Boston to win its fifth straight series at Fenway. The right-hander allowed three runs on seven hits and struck out four in five innings.

Royals 11, Blue Jays 10

KANSAS CITY, Mo. -- Kendrys Morales and Paulo Orlando homered and Lorenzo Cain had three hits as Kansas City outslugged Toronto.

Orlando's eighth-inning solo blast turned out to be the winning run. Morales hit a three-run homer in a six-run first inning, pushing his RBI total to 61.

The Royals blew a 7-0 lead, as the Blue Jays sent a dozen men to the plate in an eight-run sixth. Danny Valencia and Jose Bautista contributed two-run doubles in the inning. There were 27 hits and seven errors in the game.

Angels 10, Mariners 3

SEATTLE -- The Angels' Andrew Heaney outdueled the Mariners' Taijuan Walker in a battle of two of the top young starting pitchers to help Los Angeles get the victory.

Heaney (3-0) threw seven scoreless innings, allowing five hits, to earn his third win in four starts this season. The 24-year-old former Miami Marlin has yet to allow more than two runs in a start since making his American League debut June 24.

Los Angeles (48-40) surpassed the Houston Astros to take over first place in the American League West heading into the All-Star break. Los Angeles was six games behind Houston after the games of June 3.

Rockies 11, Braves 3

DENVER -- The Rockies used a five-run sixth inning to complete a four-game series sweep.

Center fielder Charlie Blackmon, who matched his season-high with four RBIs, broke a tie with a two-run single in the sixth, and two batters later, shortstop Troy Tulowitzki hit a three-run homer.

The homer came against David Carpenter, who had just relieved A.J. Wood (6-6). Drew Stubbs hit his fifth homer, a two-run shot in the seventh that also came against Carpenter.

Dodgers 4, Brewers 3

LOS ANGELES - Adrian Gonzalez's two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning sent Los Angeles into the All-Star break with a victory.

The Dodgers took two of three in the weekend series. In both wins, they had to come from behind late in the game. They are 9-26 this season in games they trailed after six innings. A year ago, they went 2-54 in those situations.

The Brewers led 3-2 when second baseman Howie Kendrick led off the Dodgers' eighth inning with a single and advanced to second when center fielder Carlos Gomez misplayed the ball. Left-hander Will Smith came in to face Gonzalez, but Smith gave up the decisive home run on a slider.

Giants 4, Phillies 2

SAN FRANCISCO -- The Giants finished off a three-game sweep of the Phillies as catcher Andrew Susac belted a three-run home run in a four-run fourth inning, and rookie Chris Heston won his ninth game.

The Phillies lost their fifth in a row and completed a 2-8 trip. Their 29-62 record is the worst in the majors, and the 62 losses are a pre-All-Star-break franchise record.

Padres 2, Rangers 1

ARLINGTON, Texas -- Tyson Ross pitched 6 2/3 scoreless innings, and the Padres took advantage of a Texas miscue to beat the Rangers and win the series.

San Diego hadn't won a series since taking two of three from the Arizona Diamondbacks from June 26-28. The Padres wrapped up a 4-6 road trip with consecutive wins.

San Diego scored its first run in the second inning on center fielder Will Venable's triple and shortstop Will Middlebrooks' run-scoring fielder's choice grounder off Yovani Gallardo (7-8).

Second baseman Jedd Gyorko knocked in the Padres other run with a single in the seventh.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Argonauts look to stay hot ATS in Calgary
Andrew Avery

Week 3 of the CFL schedule concludes Monday night in Alberta as the Toronto Argonauts and Calgary Stampeders square off and Argonauts backers will surely look for yet another successful performance at the betting window.

The Argos are 4-0 against the spread in their last four meetings with the Stamps in Alberta, including covering as 13-point dogs in a 40-33 loss last season. Furthermore, Toronto is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall with their West Division opponent.

Toronto is one of two franchises (Hamilton Tiger-Cats) to have unblemished 2-0 ATS records in the early stages of the season.

Books opened the Argos as 6-point pups, and that spread has since moved to +7 as of Sunday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Monday 7/13 Analysis
By Brewster Smith
DRF HARNESS

Race 7 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

MEET STATS: 111 - 567 / $794.50 BEST BETS: 12 - 49 / $51.50

Best Bet: CRAZIVILLE (3rd)

Spot Play: IWANNAGOHOME (8th)

Race 1

(1) DEFIANCE N moves back to the rail where he got the job done two trips ago; big threat. (3) THE POKESTER raced well in his latest. (4) IN A CRAZE gets post relief.


Race 2

(5) ANDREW GOLDSTEIN Upstate invader can boss these trotter at his best. (2) A JERSEY CONTRACT fits with these and could have a say in the outcome. (6) JOYFUL will be closing in the final strides.

Race 3

(3) CRAZIVILLE showed good trot in his last trip and he has every right to put his best foot forward for all the marbles. (5) HZ ROYALTY Qualifier was sharp; contender. (1) DISSERATION has fine speed and is not out of this.

Race 4

(3) CRAZED N LUCKY Closed strongly to nail down the score at Saratoga. This 2-year-old gelding can fire again for his second straight victory. (5) SOOO HANDSOME was second best last time out; factor. (7) REASINFORPLEASIN could be right square in the mix.

Race 5

(5) GRAND MASTER moves down the ladder for this event. Pacer can boss these with a fine-timed drive from Dan Dube. (4) HI HO STEVERINO gets a better slot to work with; main danger. (2) FOOL TO CRY His qualifier was good enough; watch out.

Race 6

(2) UNCLE DAN Tough break in his last try. Trotter can rebound and top this group. (4) BOXALL was sent down the road last out for all the glory; factor again. (3) DO WHAT YOU DREAM also has early trot and could make some serious noise in here.

Race 7

(2) SMALLTOWNTHROWDOWN Sharp trotting 2-year-old can best these with a golden trip. (6) MASTER CLASS put in a late rally to nail down the victory last out; dangerous again. (5) DAYSON Gelding got the job done last time around; sharp enough to take another; maybe.

Race 8

(4) IWANNAGOHOME has hit the board in her last four tries. Pacing miss can get back to her winning ways with Carlson at the helm. (2) FAN MAIL closed well to grab the place spot in her latest; threat. (3) WELL EXCUUUSE ME could be a factor in here.

Race 9

(5) DOG GONE LUCKY Very sharp for win honors upstate last out. Troter can mow them down for victory number two. (4) REVE ROYALE Down the road score for this trotting gelding in his most recent outing; major player. (1) CUPID should fare quite well from the fence.

Race 10

(7) CREDEVIE Seeking his first pari-mutuel score and this looks like a perfect spot to get it done. (4) CHARGIN CADET put in a nice effort last time out. (1) SOUTHERN PALMS Good qualifier at Pocono recently puts this guy in the mix.

Race 11

(6) NATY has wheeled off two straight victories. Pacing miss can boss this group to nail down the hat trick. (3) INTOVIEW was second best last time around and Sears stays aboard; dangerous. (1) OFFICIAL BELLE gets post relief; watch out.

Race 12

(1) YS LOTUS has the speed and the fence. Gelding can top these down the road. (5) CODE WORD can get involved against this group. (7) COLOSSAL Barn change to Burke and can complete the trifecta.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Monday 7/13 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF HARNESS EYE

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2/2,4,5,7/5,7,9/1,2,6 = $36



LATE PICK 4: 1,2,4,5/4,6/4,5,9/3,6,10 = $72

MEET STATS: 164 - 526 / $958.80 BEST BETS: 20 - 47 / $71.10

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 45 / $53.20

Best Bet: BRING ON THE BEACH (4th)

Spot Play: ADRIAN HANOVER (2nd)

Race 1

(4) BURNIN MONEY drops in class, gets a better post to work with and should be a square price. This 6-time winner in 2015 has a nose for the wire when properly spotted; top call. (6) BODY BALANCE has been right there on the wire the past two weeks and should be prominent throughout here, too. (8) ADVERSITY won in a similar class two back then missed a check last time which allows him to drop back down here. He is sharp and dangerous.


Race 2

(4) ADRIAN HANOVER is related to several speedy winner including two that have gone in 1:49 1/5 or faster. This $115K Lexington purchase surely has more to offer than seen in his lone qualifier; top call. Both of (6) CONTROL THE MOMENT's siblings to race are winners and this son of Well Said was well-prepped in his lone qualifier; the main danger. (7) FUEL THE JOE closed evenly into an accelerating late pace in his lone prep. He can share here.

Race 3

(4) WILLYORWONTHE was an impressive debut winner, powering out of the pocket and trotting away from his foes with ease. He can double up here. (1) TONY SOPRANO was sensational in a qualifier with trotting hopples added July 3rd and will have to be caught. (6) DEWEYLOVERNLEAVER was a following third in his debut to the choice and can build off that initial effort.

Race 4

(2) BRING ON THE BEACH was conservatively driven in his Mohawk debut but still managed to close up for third off cover. He looks best here and likely kicks off the early pick 4 as a big chalk. (8) AXELERATE SEELSTER changed ownership, missed some time, then raced much better than he had been closing well when free only late in the mile. If anyone is going to topple the choice, it is probably him. (5) BIG APHRO makes his season's debut off a couple of decent qualifiers in search of his initial victory.

Race 5

(4) V FOR VICTORY trotted an impressive mile from the 10-hole in defeat in his debut, passing all but the pocket-sitter late. He is one of several contenders here in this OSS Gold event. (2) ZLATAN is a half-brother to three that have raced from his dam and all are winners, two of which have gone in 1:55 3/5 or faster. This one has been well-prepped for this debut. (5) SMOKE MONEY was an easy debut winner but will need to find more late speed here to contend for the win.

Race 6

(7) SHOE SHINE picked up a catch driver and an easy win last week. He looks tough here right back. (9) ST LADS FLIRT showed dramatic improvement and big early speed winning for the 2nd time this year at Sarnia last week. It looks like his connections have figured some things out and he is dangerous here. (5) WINDSONG LORD was 2nd behind the same tough winner his past two and is a contender here from close range.

Race 7

(6) FLANAGAN MEMORY returns to the scene of his biggest wins after powering up to finish a sharp 2nd in the TVG Trot at The Meadowlands. He has come back in great form as a five-year-old and has a big shot to score here. (1) MASTER OF LAW provided cover for the choice and hung in there decently when the pace accelerated. He is the main danger here. (2) CATCH THE DREAM, winner of three of his last five, is in top form and not without a shot here likely at a decent price.

Race 8

(1) TOTALLY RIPPED faced much better last week and couldn't get close. The winner was long gone, however and he wasn't that far out of 2nd while finishing 6th. He fits this class much better and likely goes off at a square price; top call. (4) O U SEXY GUY never entered contention from the 10 hole last week and should be able to work out a good trip on cover here. (2) GIRL DRAMA has returned from a break with a vengeance, winning four straight at three different tracks. Her form is too strong to discount despite the class rise.

Race 9

(4) BEACH HERO has been razor-sharp the past two weeks and stands an excellent chance of leading this group on a merry chase; top call. (6) CRAFTY MASTER closed powerfully to cut into the choice's lead late and appears to be the main danger. (7) CHEYENNE REIDER is hot and cold but knows where the wire is and has won several times from outer posts this year already.

Race 10

(4) DOMEDOMEDOME closed powerfully last time but was simply too far back. She is sharp and need only start her late charge earlier to be right there vs. these. (8) MAGIC MADNESS is also very sharp and may try to similar front-end tactics that worked on May 23rd with a lack of early speed in here. (3) I AM SPECIAL improved last week and is a danger here from close range.

Race 11

(3) DEETZY tipped his hand two back when he closed rapidly in the final stages to just miss. He followed that up with a nice Grassroots win out of town and looks like one of few contenders here. (10) WILDCAT MAGIC outraced his odds last week when closing nicely from far back for third. This one can contend for the win if Jamieson gets him a decent position early. (6) FASHION MAVEN faced much better the past two and would be no surprise here. Use those three on your late pick 4 and stop there. (2) MIDNIGHT PLAY is as good a bet as any for the smaller awards. (4) SHIPPEN OUT often races tough but always comes up short on the win end.

 

[Scott602]

Fezzik GOY CFL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ART ARONSON
CFL | Jul 13, 2015
Toronto Argonauts vs. Calgary Stampeders
1* Bonus Play OVER Argos/Stamps.

Calgary is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS to open the year and it's seen the total dip below the posted number in both games. Toronto is 2-0 SU/ATS and has seen the total go 1-1 so far. For a number of different reasons (situational and trend based), I believe the conditions are right for a higher-scoring shootout and will highly recommend a second look at the OVER in this match-up.

Toronto is already 2-0 against the West this season, most recently coming off a big 42-40 win over Saskatchewan at Mosaic last week. The Stamps though will surely be glad to return home after their humbling 29-11 defeat in Montreal in Week 2.

But if history is any precedence, then Calgary has to be liking its chance for a bounce back effort today as it would go on to sweep the Argos in 2014, including winning 40-33 at McMahon in Week 12.

Expect the Stampeders to put an added emphasis in trying to establish their ground game when on offense, it was the team's most potent weapon last year as Jon Cornish led a unit which averaged 143.9 YPG, but which is averaging only 74.0 so far in 2015. Keeping Toronto honest today will be key for its passing attack as Calgary's talented receivers will definitely test Toronto's rookie-laden secondary (note that the Stamps would run rough shod over the Argos last year, 309 total yards overall, highlighted by Cornish's 174 yards at home in Week 12).

Toronto won't be rolling over today though, it will be looking to test a struggling Calgary defensive unit with is dead last in the CFL in turnover ratio at minus-7, compared to plus-14 last year. Expect to see a heavy dose of the run game from the visitors as well, RB Brandon Whitaker has 290 yards from scrimmage and two major scores over the first two games.

Toronto has looked fine without starting QB Ricky Ray, fourth-year Argo Trevor Harris has filled in seamlessly to this point and has a ton of different options to fall back on.

Note that Toronto has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range and in 14 of its last 20 non-conference contests, while Calgary has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of its last 22 at home and in ten of its last 18 vs. teams with winning records.

Consider a second look at the OVER in this one.

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 3
By David Schwab

As the CFL heads into Week 3, upsets continue to be the biggest story of the new season. In last week’s action Hamilton rolled over Winnipeg 52-26 on Thursday as a two-point road underdog to get things started. On Friday night, Montreal stunned Calgary 29-11 as a heavy 9 ½-point underdog at home.

The upstart Ottawa RedBlacks have already equaled last season’s straight-up win total of just two games with a 27-16 victory against British Columbia as three-point home underdogs and this past Sunday, Toronto completed the sweep with a stunning 42-40 upset of Saskatchewan as a three-point underdog on the road.

Monday, July 13

Toronto Argonauts (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

Toronto will be gunning for a third-straight win behind an offense that has piled-up a total of 68 points in its first two games. The biggest surprise has been the play of quarterback Trevor Harris in place of an injured Ricky Ray. The four-year CFL vet has the second-most passing yards in the league with 614 and the most touchdown throws with seven. He has completed 83.1 percent of his 65 attempts.

The defending champion Stampeders lost for just the third time SU in their last 17 games and it was their worst margin of defeat since late September of last year. Running back Jon Cornish accounted for 59 of Calgary’s 68 yards of rushing in last Friday’s loss to Montreal and Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 244 yards while completing 19-of-31 throws.

Betting Trends

Toronto is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against the Stampeders and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in Calgary. The Argonauts have lost three of the last four meetings SU.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Game of the Day: Argonauts at Stampeders

Toronto Argonauts at Calgary Stampeders (-7, 51.5)

Bo Levi Mitchell looks to atone for a sluggish start to the new season as the reigning Grey Cup Most Valuable Player guides the Calgary Stampeders against the visiting Toronto Argonauts on Monday night. The second-year quarterback was held in check in last week's 29-11 loss to Montreal, going 19-of-31 for 244 yards with no touchdowns.

"He made a lot of good plays. Maybe not as accurate as he's been in the past," Calgary offensive coordinator Dave Dickenson said. "But I still felt confident in what he was doing." Trevor Harris should feel extremely confident after receiving his second straight CFL Top Performer of the Week honour, going 30-of-38 for 267 yards and four touchdowns in Toronto's 42-40 overtime win over Saskatchewan on Sunday. Harris, who has 614 passing yards and a league-best seven scores in 2015, has thrown for nine touchdowns in his three CFL starts.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN3

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Stamps as 6-point home faves, but that has moved to -7. The total has remained at 51.5.

INJURY REPORT: Argos - OL Branndon Braxton (Questionable, suspension). SB Andre Durie (Out indefinitely, knee). Stampeders - LB Juwan Simpson (Probable, leg), WR Jeff Fuller (Probable, knee), WR Kamar Jordan (Questionable, undisclosed), OL Karl Lavoie (Questionable, undisclosed).

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U): Toronto's fine start in the standings has been tempered by the significant losses of slotback Andre Durie and safety Jermaine Gabriel, with the former likely out for the season with a torn ACL and the latter sidelined for a month with a groin injury. Anthony Coombs is expected to play a larger role in the backfield in place of Toronto native Durie, who reeled in seven passes for 63 yards in the season-opening victory over Edmonton. "He's been so snake-bit," coach Scott Milanovich said of the 33-year-old Durie. "Such a great player, there's nobody really like him in the CFL."

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U): All-Star middle linebacker Juwan Simpson and wideout Jeff Fuller expect to return to the field after sitting out Calgary's setback against the Alouettes. Simpson registered three tackles in the 24-23 season-opening victory over Hamilton before being felled by a leg injury, while Fuller tweaked his knee after making nine catches for 148 yards en route to being named a CFL Top Performer. Off the field, the Stampeders provided depth to their defensive line when they selected Brandon Tett in Tuesday's Supplemental Draft.

TRENDS:

* Argonauts are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Calgary.
* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Calgary.
* Argonauts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in Week 3.
* Under is 5-2 in Stampeders last seven games in Week 3.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-two percent are backing the Stampeders.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/6-7/12
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 6 through Sunday, July 12)

-- Favorites went 7-5 straight up
-- Underdogs went 7-5 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 9-3 SU record
-- Home teams posted a 7-5 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 8-4

Team Betting Notes

-- After five straight weeks of underdogs cashing, the favorites asserted themselves. Underdogs are still 44-30-2 (59.5 percent) through 66 WNBA games.

-- Phoenix (8-5) picked up a fifth straight victory Sunday at Seattle (3-12). The Mercury picked up its third win in three tries against the Storm, but they did fail to cover for the first time Sunday.

-- Tulsa (10-4) picked up a second straight victory, knocking off Los Angeles (2-10) Sunday. After three straight losses from June 30-July 3, the Shock have won back-to-backs, while going 3-0 ATS over the past three. The Shock improved to 11-3 ATS through the first 14 games.

-- San Antonio (3-10) lost at Minnesota (9-3), falling to 0-7 away from deep in the heart of Texas. Despite the struggles on the road, they are still a respectable 3-2-2 ATS.

-- Atlanta (6-7) won as short dogs at home Sunday, tripping up New York (7-5). The Dream opened the season 1-5 ATS in the first six games, but they're now 4-1 ATS over the past five outings.

-- Connecticut (7-4) has certainly cooled off in a big way, as they dropped their third straight game in Chicago (8-5) Sunday. After opening a perfect 7-0 ATS through the first seven games, the Sun have managed a 1-3 ATS mark over the past four games.

-- The Sky covered back-to-back games for the first time this season after opening 4-7 ATS through the first 11 outings.

-- Indiana (7-6) had a perfect week, and they're now 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS over the past four games. One of the most certain bets has been the 'over' and the Fever, with the total going over in nine of Indiana's 13 games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gold Cup - USA vs. Panama

The United States Men's National Soccer team wrapped up the Group A title following wins over Honduras and Haiti in its first two contests at the Gold Cup. The U.S. plays its final game of group play against Panama on Monday evening in Kansas City. Below are the betting props for Monday's matchup. Also listed are the updated odds for the Gold Cup title, along with who will claim Group B and Group C play.

Betting Props -

Total USA Goals
Over 1.5 (-150)
Under 1.5 (+110)

Total Panama Goals
Over 0.5 (-150)
Under 0.5 (+110)

Both Teams to Score
YES -115
NO -125

USA to keep a clean sheet (Shutout)
YES +105
NO -145

Total Goals Scored
1 goal +315
2 goals +250
3 goals +285
4 goals +450
5 goals +950
6 or more goals +1500
No goals +1100

1st Team to Score
Panama +205
No Goal +1100
USA -230

Half Time/Full Time
Panama / Panama +750
Panama / Tie +1600
Panama / USA +2500
Tie / Panama +1000
Tie / Tie +425
Tie / USA +280
USA / Panama +5000
USA / Tie +1600
USA / USA +110

Correct Score
Any Other Score +6000

Panama win 1-0 +1150
Panama win 2-0 +3000
Panama win 2-1 +1600
Panama win 3-0 +11000
Panama win 3-1 +6000
Panama win 3-2 +6500
Panama win 4-0 +20000
Panama win 4-1 +20000
Panama win 4-2 +20000
Panama win 4-3 +20000
Panama win 5-0 +20000
Panama win 5-1 +20000
Panama win 5-2 +20000
Panama win 5-3 +20000
Panama win 5-4 +20000

Tie 0-0 +1100
Tie 1-1 +675
Tie 2-2 +1700
Tie 3-3 +10000
Tie 4-4 +20000
Tie 5-5 +20000

USA win 1-0 +425
USA win 2-0 +500
USA win 2-1 +675
USA win 3-0 +900
USA win 3-1 +1150
USA win 3-2 +2900
USA win 4-0 +2000
USA win 4-1 +2500
USA win 4-2 +6000
USA win 4-3 +20000
USA win 5-0 +5500
USA win 5-1 +7000
USA win 5-2 +17000
USA win 5-3 +20000
USA win 5-4 +20000

CONCACAF Gold Cup 2015 Winner

USA +120
Mexico +137
Costa Rica +700
Jamaica +2000
Honduras +2500
Panama +2500
Trinidad and Tobago +5000
Canada +6600
El Salvador +12500
Guatemala +15000
Haiti +30000
Cuba +100000

CONCACAF Gold Cup 2015 - Group B Winner

Jamaica -250
Costa Rica +200
El Salvador +550
Canada +600

CONCACAF Gold Cup 2015 - Group C Winner

Mexico -1200
Trinidad & Tobago +600
Guatemala +4000
Cuba +20000

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 15 - Post: 10:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$7000 - NON WINNERS $500 PER START IN 2015. AE: N/W $4500 IN LAST 5 STARTS. AE: CLAIMING $8000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 LITTLE PRINCE 2/1


# 1 UNTOLD LEGEND 5/2


# 4 REGIL TIGER 4/1


LITTLE PRINCE sure does look ready to dominate. He's competing in fine form, recording sharp speed ratings. An excellent selection. This race horse looks very good considering the high class figures. Don't throw out of any exotics. Had one of the most compelling TrackMaster speed figs of the field in his last contest. I'd recommend using in your bets. UNTOLD LEGEND - Should be in the hunt again in this contest, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning rate. Had one of the most respectable speed ratings of the group of animals in his last race. Must use in your plays. REGIL TIGER - Should be considered in this contest if only for the great TrackMaster SR recorded in the most recent gathering. No way we can pass on this gelding given one of the best driver-trainer statistics around.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 8:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 61 - Purse:$15000 - THE $45,000 EXCELSIOR A SERIES 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS **3RD DIVISION**


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 BOXALL 3/2


# 1 CHERRY COLA 7/1


# 3 DO WHAT YOU DREAM 2/1

Really keen on the probability of BOXALL taking down the winner's share in this contest. The handicapping team can't help but love this nice horse because the internal pace figures fit well here at Yonkers Raceway. There is a really good possibility of an increase in speed as this colt changes equipment - second time hoppled. The 4 position is on fire here at Yonkers Raceway. More wins than the expected average. CHERRY COLA - May see a turnaround with the equip change - second time hoppled here. Most recently Schnittker has been tearing it up, which may give the edge to this gelding here. DO WHAT YOU DREAM - It's sometimes tricky to consider on class alone, but this colt has among the strongest class ratings of the race. Should be considered in here if only for the really good TrackMaster SR achieved in the last competition.