Monday 5/15/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd
May 15 '17, 10:10 PM
MLB | Brewers vs Padres
Play on: Padres -117 at betonline

Free Pick on Padres -

The Padres (14-25) host the Brewers (21-17) on Monday. San Diego has gone 2-9 in their last 11, while Milwaukee enters having just swept the Mets and are 6-1 in their last 7 overall. The public loves fading the Padres and will certainly do so here. The line opened with San Diego at -110 and with all the action on the Brewers, we would expect this line to move closer to a pick'em or even flip sides. Instead, we have the line moving in the opposite direction (reverse line move). That means while more bets are coming in on the Brewers, more money is being wagered on the Padres.

That isn't the only reason I like this play. In fact I was considering the Padres here when the line first came out. Would have likely still played them if the line did flip and the Brewers were favored. This is a tough spot for San Diego. They just played some of their best baseball over a 6-game homestand against two potential playoff teams in the Red Sox and Mets. Now they have to fly way out west to play 4-games against a struggling Padres team before a 3-game series the Cubs. I definitely think they come out flat in Game 1 and wouldn't be surprised if they lost the series.

I also don't mind the pitching matchup here. Padres give the rock to Luis Perdomo, who enters with a strong 2.50 ERA over his last 3 starts. Milwaukee is countering with Chase Anderson, who owns a 5.87 ERA and 1.760 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Diego!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dustin Hawkins
May 15 '17, 6:10 PM
MLB | Rays vs Indians
Play on: Rays +147 at 5Dimes

Bonus Play on Rays +147

Play on any road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (Tampa Bay) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 10 runs or more. (35-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.8%).Cleveland pitcher Carlos Carrasco is 4-11 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in his career, he is also only 7-13 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons.Bonus Play on Rays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dennis Macklin
May 15 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Braves vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -129 at 5Dimes

DMack's Bonus Play for Monday, May 15th, 2017 is on the Toronto Blue Jays

As much as I love Bartolo Colon, it finally looks like the Fatman's time in the MLB is coming to a close. It's been a great up and down run but Colon's ERA is currently above seven and he's allowed a whopping 25 hits and 19 earned runs over his last 14 1/3 innings of work. The Jays are starting to heat up winning six of seven as their bats (including Joey Bats) have started to come alive after a slow start. Bolsinger is a stop gap as Jays deal with injuries but his first start was quality and the guy is a vet who has been here before. The price is certainly right.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock
MLB | May 15, 2017
Astros vs. Marlins
Astros -108 at BETONLINE

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Monday 5-15-17

Houston -108

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R&R Totals
MLB | May 15, 2017
Mets vs. Diamondbacks
Total 9½ +100 at 5DIMES

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 5-15-17

OVER 9 1/2 NY Mets/Arizona

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jesse Schule
MLB | May 15, 2017
Brewers vs. Padres
Brewers +109 at 5DIMES
This is a Free #MLB play on the Milwaukee #Brewers.

The Brewers swept the Mets over the weekend, and now sit just one game out of first in the NL Central. They visit San Diego tonight, and the Padres have lost five of their last six overall.

Chase Anderson will toe the slab for the Brew Crew, and he's off to a solid start to the season. Anderson (2-0, 2.97 ERA) allowed just two runs on nine hits over 4 2/3 innings in a home win over the Red Sox his last time out. Both his wins this year have come on the road, and he sports a 3.24 ERA in three away starts.

The Padres hand the ball to Luis Perdomo, who is still looking for his first win of 2017. Perdomo (0-0, 4.13 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits and four walks in six innings in a 4-3 loss to Texas his last time out. He faced the Brewers twice last year, allowing five runs on 14 hits and six walks in 8 2/3 innings. Jonathan Villar was 5-for-5 against Perdomo in those two games.

The Padres rank dead last in the major leagues with a team batting average of .220.

Take MIL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Info Plays
MLB | May 15, 2017
Dodgers vs. Giants
Total 7½ +101 at 5DIMES
1* Bonus Play on Dodgers vs Giants under 7½ +101

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Jones
MLB | May 15, 2017
A's vs. Mariners
Mariners -114 at BMAKER

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Seattle Mariners -114

After losing their final four games on a six-game road trip, the Seattle Mariners will be glad to be coming home for a series against the struggling Oakland A's tonight. The Mariners have gone 10-5 at home this season and this is a very short price for them.

The A's have lost three in a row while blowing late leads in all three. Their bullpen just posted a 19.00 ERA in their three games at Texas and cannot be trusted. The A's are now just 5-13 on the road this season.

Yovani Gallardo is pitching much better of late with a 4.24 ERA and 1.294 WHIP in his last three starts. Gallardo is 1-1 with a 1.46 ERA in his last two starts against Oakland, giving up just 2 earned runs in 12 1/2 innings while striking out 13 batters.

Sean Manaea has been worse than Gallardo this season. He is 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA in five starts, including 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA in two road starts. The A's are 0-6 in Manaea's last six road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Mariners Monday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Washington At Boston

When: 8:00 PM ET, Monday, May 15, 2017
Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

The Boston Celtics squandered a five-point lead in the final minute of Game 6 and were victimized by some fuzzy clock management in the final seconds of a 92-91 loss, but at least they can look forward to Game 7 at home. The top-seeded Celtics will try to continue the trend of the home team winning every game in the series and dispatch the Washington Wizards on Monday in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals.

Wizards All-Star point guard John Wall buried a 3-pointer with 3.5 seconds left in Game 6 to give his team a one-point lead and Kelly Oubre Jr. used Washington's foul to give with 2.7 seconds remaining, according to the NBA's Last Two Minute report, but Boston only got 1.7 seconds left on its final chance as Isaiah Thomas heaved up a 3-point attempt that missed the mark. The Wizards' win not only kept them alive but kept the home team undefeated in the 10 games the teams have played against each other going back to the regular season. "To have Game 7 back in Boston in the Garden," Thomas told reporters after the loss. "If you had said that back in October, that there'd be a Game 7 in the second round, a lot of people probably wouldn't even believe that. So we're excited. I mean, it hurts right now because we just lost. We have nothing to hold our heads down about, we're going to take a few days to figure out our adjustments and win Game 7." Washington is attempting to return to the conference finals for the first time since the 1978-79 season while the Celtics are looking to return for the first time since 2011-12.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE WIZARDS: Wall is averaging 26.3 points and 10.2 assists in the series and combines with Bradley Beal to form a backcourt that is not afraid to take the big shots. "Now those guys are not babies anymore. They’re closers," Backup center Ian Mahinmi told the Washington Post. "They're proven closers. ... All those shots were like no hesitation. You could tell from the bench, you could tell from being on the floor, those guys are now calm when it comes down to taking the last shots and game-winning shots." Beal scored a series-best 33 points in Friday's win but is still trying to find his shot from long range while shooting 26.3 percent from beyond the arc in the series.

ABOUT THE CELTICS: Thomas is averaging 19.3 points on 39 percent shooting in four games since exploding for 53 points in Game 2 but is looking forward to the opportunity to prove himself on the Game 7 stage. "That's where all the great players make their name," Thomas told reporters of Game 7. "You gotta give it everything you've got. I guess that's where legends are born. I'm excited." Thomas is getting plenty of help the last two games from shooting guard Avery Bradley, who followed up a playoff career-high 29 points in Game 5 with 27 in Game 6 and is 22-of-37 from the floor in that span.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The winner moves on to face the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers.

2. Boston C Al Horford is averaging 17 points on 68.9 percent shooting in the series, including 57.1 percent from 3-point range.

3. Washington SF Otto Porter Jr. averaged 15.8 points on 60 percent shooting in the first five games of the series but went scoreless on 0-of-5 shooting in Game 6.

PREDICTION: Celtics 116, Wizards 113

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Washington at Boston


ATS Trends


Washington
•Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.
• Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Wizards are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
• Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
• Wizards are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
• Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Wizards are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Wizards are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Wizards are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.



Boston
•Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
• Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.
• Celtics are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 Monday games.
• Celtics are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 2 days rest.


OU Trends


Washington
•Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 37-14 in Wizards last 51 games following a straight up win.
• Over is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 overall.
• Over is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Over is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Wizards last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Over is 18-8 in Wizards last 26 vs. NBA Atlantic.
• Over is 35-16-1 in Wizards last 52 road games.
• Over is 39-18 in Wizards last 57 games playing on 2 days rest.
• Over is 35-17-1 in Wizards last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.



Boston
•Under is 2-0-3 in Celtics last 5 Monday games.
• Over is 6-0-1 in Celtics last 7 home games.
• Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a straight up loss.
• Over is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.
• Over is 20-6-1 in Celtics last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Over is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.


Head to Head


•Home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
• Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
• Wizards are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
• Wizards are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Boston.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Ottawa at Pittsburgh
When: 8:00 PM ET, Monday, May 15, 2017
Where: PPG PAINTS Arena, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Bobby Ryan are paying significant dividends in the playoffs after some admittedly lean times during the regular season. After stepping up in the opener of the Eastern Conference final, the Ottawa Senators forwards look to put the reigning Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh Penguins on the ropes Monday when the teams reconvene at PPG Paints Arena for Game 2.

"It's a refresh, I think, for me. I think it was a complete restart," said Ryan, who set up Pageau's series-opening goal before the latter returned the favor on the former's overtime tally at 4:59 to give Ottawa a 2-1 victory Saturday. Ryan was taken to task for his career-worst regular-season point total of 25 (13 goals, 12 assists) before erupting for 11 (five goals, six assists) in the playoffs, with nine of them (four goals, five assists and three game-winning tallies) coming in seven road games. While Pittsburgh saw Evgeni Malkin register his league-leading 19th point with his third-period goal, coach Mike Sullivan insisted his team needs to generate more shots after mustering only 17 at even strength in the series opener. "Ottawa defends the scoring area very well, and sometimes the best way to break down coverage is a shot on goal and a rebound goes somewhere and decisions have to be made," Sullivan said.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS

ABOUT THE SENATORS: Pageau's one-timer in the first period Saturday gave the 24-year-old seven of his team-leading eight postseason goals in his last six contests, this on the heels of scoring only 12 while playing in all 82 regular-season games. Pageau set up Ryan's overtime winner to give Ottawa six wins in the extra session, pushing the club one shy of matching the 2002 Carolina Hurricanes and 2003 Anaheim (then-Mighty) Ducks and four behind the 1993 Montreal Canadiens for most during a playoff season. "For the most part, we find that the most fun," Senators forward Kyle Turris said. "Playoffs, it's so much fun. It's a blast. ... I think every kid dreams about playing overtime in the Stanley Cup playoffs."

ABOUT THE PENGUINS: Captain Sidney Crosby is as even-keel as they come, so perhaps it's no surprise that the two-time Hart Trophy winner kept his cool after being kept under wraps in the opener. "There were some good looks there," Crosby said after recording two shots in 23:32 of ice time. "They're not going to give you anything but we worked hard to get our chances and we've got to bury them when we get them." Pittsburgh defensemen Brian Dumoulin and Olli Maatta came under fire for their roles in Ottawa's goals as the former's decision to reverse the puck on a breakout led to Pageau's tally while the latter was beaten on a sprint to the net by Ryan in overtime.

OVERTIME

1. Pittsburgh is 5-0 in Game 2 of a series dating back to last season's playoff run.

2. The Senators failed on both their power-play opportunities in Game 1 after going 6-for-12 versus the Penguins during the regular season, but Pittsburgh came up empty on five chances to extend its rut to 0-for-10 in the last three contests.

3. The Penguins won 17-of-23 faceoffs in the third period of the series opener after losing 26-of-43 through the first 40 minutes.

PREDICTION: Penguins 4, Senators 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Ottawa at Pittsburgh


W/L Trends


Ottawa
•Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 Conference Finals games.
• Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
• Senators are 7-2 in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Senators are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Senators are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
• Senators are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
• Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan.



Pittsburgh
•Penguins are 38-13 in their last 51 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Penguins are 60-21 in their last 81 home games.
• Penguins are 22-8 in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Penguins are 56-23 in their last 79 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Penguins are 68-32 in their last 100 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Penguins are 53-25 in their last 78 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Penguins are 46-22 in their last 68 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.


OU Trends


Ottawa
•Over is 2-0-3 in Senators last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Over is 3-0-3 in Senators last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0 in Senators last 4 Conference Finals games.
• Over is 17-4 in Senators last 21 Monday games.
• Over is 3-1-2 in Senators last 6 overall.
• Over is 3-1-2 in Senators last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Over is 3-1-2 in Senators last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 61-28-4 in Senators last 93 vs. Metropolitan.
• Under is 36-17-4 in Senators last 57 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.



Pittsburgh
•Over is 7-1 in Penguins last 8 Monday games.
• Under is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Penguins last 5 vs. Atlantic.
• Under is 4-1 in Penguins last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
• Under is 7-2-1 in Penguins last 10 home games.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Penguins last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Over is 43-19-7 in Penguins last 69 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.


Head to Head


•Home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
• Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
• Senators are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Pittsburgh.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andrew Gold
May 15 '17, 10:15 PM
MLB | Dodgers vs Giants
Play on: Giants +141 at 5Dimes

Some real big steam coming in on the Dodgers here and I do get it, but not at this price right now. While Cain hasn't been his normal self the last two starts remember both of those came on the road as well. His home ERA is rock solid at 1.12.

McCarthy has been pitching well so far this season, but is coming off his worst start of the season against the Phillies. I wonder if thats a sign to come or will he bounce back.

At this price you have to back the Giants. Plus they have won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5 so trending in the right direction also helps

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Davis
May 15 '17, 10:10 PM
MLB | A's vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -114 at BMaker

The Mariners are worth a look here returning home after getting swept by the Blue Jays. Seattle plays their best baseball at home with a 10-5 record on the year. The A's play their worst on the road with a 5-13 record.

While Manaea is in good form right now he has been very bad on the road this season with a 9.82 ERA. Gallardo has pitched well his last couple starts only giving up 4 earned runs in 11 innings of work

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 5/15 BREWERS OVER 7 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Celtics -4.5
Blue Jays -127
Brewers +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

SENATORS AT PENGUINS
PLAY: UNDER 5

The Total on Game 2 between the Sens and Pens is down to 5, but the Over is now heavily juiced. I’m sure the Penguins would love to open things up here and turn the game into a shootout. But Ottawa isn’t apt to cooperate on that count.

I would certainly expect the Senators to try and implement the same game plan they utilized in the opening matchup. Easier said than done, but knowing that going in suggest to me that this has a decent chance of again being low scoring.

I don’t see Ottawa scoring more than one or two here, and if Craig Anderson continues his stellar play for the Senators, Pittsburgh might not be lighting the goal lamp with much frequency either.

I’m coming back with another play on the Senators and Penguins to stay Under the number.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

Atlanta vs. Toronto
Play: Toronto -127

The Jays have won 7 of 9 vs N.L. East teams. The Braves are 1-7 on the road vs A.L. East teams. Road dogs like the Braves are 2-11 if the total is more than 8 and they are off a 2+ run road dog loss scoring 2 or less runs on 5+ hits v an opponent like Toronto of a 1 run home win scoring 4 or less runs on 5+ hits. Colon for Atlanta has lost 3 of his last 4 on the road and has not been nearly as effective as he was last season. Bolsinger for the Bluejays has won 4 of his last 5 home May starts. Look for Toronto to take the opener.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Will Rogers

Washington vs. Boston
Pick: Over

The set-up: Two of the four second round series ended in four-game sweeps (Cavs and Warriors) while the Spurs took out the Rockets in six games, but this Washington/Boston series will need all seven games to be decided. That should come as no surprise as the home team won all four matchups during the regular season and through six games of this playoff series, has come out on top each time. The first five games saw the home team also cover but then in Game 6, the Wizards eked out a 92-91 win over the Celtics. Boston squandered a five-point lead in the final minute of Game 6, saw John Wall nail a three-pointer with 3.5 seconds left on the clock to give Washington the lead and then got victimized by some fuzzy clock management in the final seconds of the contest. After Wall's three-pointer, Kelly Oubre Jr. used Washington's foul to give with 2.7 seconds remaining, according to the NBA's Last Two Minute report,but Boston only got 1.7 seconds left on its final chance as Isaiah Thomas heaved up a three-point attempt that missed the mark. On to Game 7.

Washington: Wall is averaging 26.3 points and 10.2 assists in the series and combines with Bradley Beal to form a backcourt that is not afraid to take the big shots. Beal scored a series-best 33 points in Friday's win but is still trying to find his shot from long range while shooting 26.3 percent from beyond the arc in the series. Washington's frontcourt continues to give uneven efforts. Gortat has rebounded well all series (11.7 per) but in the last three games, has scored a total of just 17 points. SF Otto Porter Jr. averaged 15.8 points on 60 percent shooting in the first five games of the series but went scoreless on 0-of-5 shooting in Game 6. PF Morris was a "no-show" in Games 1 and 5 (both Boston home wins) but in Washington's three home games (all wins), he's averaged 14.0 & 8.7. Sixth man Bogdanovich has shot erratically, scoring 32 points in Games 3 and 4 (on 11 of 19 shooting) but averaging just 5.0 PPG in the other four games on 6 of 20 shooting.

Boston: Isaiah Thomas is not complaining about Monday's situation. "To have Game 7 back in Boston in the Garden," Thomas told reporters after the game 6 loss. "If you had said that back in October, that there'd be a Game 7 in the second round, a lot of people probably wouldn't even believe that. So we're excited. I mean, it hurts right now because we just lost. We have nothing to hold our heads down about, we're going to take a few days to figure out our adjustments and win Game 7."Thomas had 33 points in Game 1 and then exploded for 53 points in Game 2. However, he is averaging just 19.3 points on 39 percent shooting in the four games since. Then again, Thomas is getting plenty of help the last two games from SG Avery Bradley, who followed up a playoff career-high 29 points in Game 5 with 27 in Game 6 and is 22-of-37 from the floor in that span. Center Al Horford was in line to be the "hero" in Game 6 (his 'bank' shot gave Boston a two-point lead with 10 seconds left) but Wall's three-point shot ruined that scenario. Still, Horford has been very good for Boston this postseason, averaging 16.2-7.6-5.8 while shooting 64.2% from the floor.

The pick: It's another Game 7 at the legendary Boston Garden (now the TD Garden) and the Celtics sure have history behind them (Celtics are 18-3 all-time at home in Game 7s). However, all those banners in the rafters won't help this team, which has no connection to the past. Washington's history doesn't bode well, as the Wizards will be trying to reach the conference finals for the first time since 1979. Forget ancient history (and for a minute about the Game 7 winner). Looking at this series until Game 6, the first five games had averaged 226.8 PPG. Boston has averaged 110.0 PPG at home this year (regular and postseason), while Washington has averaged 107.9 PPG on the road, while also allowing 110.2 PPG.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Essler

Miami +105

Home underdogs are always our friends. Straily has been pitching well and the Fish were at home Sunday, while the Astros "played two" in the Bronx and flew to South Florida. So, tough spot for them. They lose the DH, and Musgrove is probably Houston best starter to fade. He doesn't pitch deep (typically) and just about everyone in the Houston bullpen threw quite a few pitches yesterday. So, that the deal.