STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 2/24/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 2/24/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Warriors won four of their last five games.
-- Mavericks won eight of their last ten games.
-- Clippers won four of their last six games.
•Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost six of their last seven games.
-- 76ers lost their last 10 games (2-5 vs. spread in last seven).
-- Detroit lost four of its last five games.
-- New York lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Pelicans lost five of their last six games.
-- Celtics lost five of last six games, are 16-13 versus spread on road.
-- Jazz lost its last three games, by 6-8-17 points.
•Totals
-- Three of last four Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Eight of last nine Piston games went over total.
-- Four of Warriors' last five games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Clipper games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
•Series Records
-- Home side won last three Milwaukee-Philly games.
-- Warriors won their last five games with Detroit.
-- Knicks are 3-2 in last five games with Dallas.
-- Mavericks lost last two visits to Manhattan, by 7-10 points.
-- Clippers won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Celtics won their last six games with Utah.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- PHILADELPHIA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 99.4, OPPONENT 114.6.
-- UTAH is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.
The average score was UTAH 89.1, OPPONENT 93.5.
-- NEW YORK is 22-8 (+13.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 49.4, OPPONENT 43.9.
-- NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.9, OPPONENT 48.9.
-- MIKE WOODSON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW YORK.
The average score was WOODSON 107.0, OPPONENT 99.7.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- GOLDEN STATE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 107.3, OPPONENT 100.1.
-- DETROIT is 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was DETROIT 102.3, OPPONENT 104.2.
-- DALLAS is 28-15 (+11.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 53.9, OPPONENT 49.0.
-- NEW YORK is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 48.7, OPPONENT 46.6.
-- MARK JACKSON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor free throw shooting teams - making <=71% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.
The average score was JACKSON 107.2, OPPONENT 104.3.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (NEW YORK) - a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG), cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days.
(84-12 since 1996.) (87.5%, +57.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -220.8
The average score in these games was: Team 100.7, Opponent 91.2 (Average point differential = +9.4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-6, +0.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6, +6.3 units).
-- Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game playing a team with a losing record, off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(54-19 since 1996.) (74.0%, +33.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (55-21)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.7
The average score in these games was: Team 98.5, Opponent 94.4 (Average point differential = +4.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (49.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-2).
-- Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DALLAS) - good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's), off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days.
(68-29 since 1996.) (70.1%, +36.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.2
The average score in these games was: Team 99, Opponent 99.5 (Total points scored = 198.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 55 (57.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-7).
-- Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) versus an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) - 42+ games.
(37-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.6, Opponent 52.1 (Average first half point differential = +5.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (56-41).
-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (UTAH) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two average offensive teams (92-98 PPG).
(35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 99.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.9, Opponent 46.9 (Total first half points scored = 94.8)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (153-106).
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Monday's Match-ups
#701 MILWAUKEE @ #702 PHILADELPHIA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee), CSN Philadelphia Line: Bucks -1.5, Total: 208.5) - The Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers both made some trade deadline moves as they jockey for position at the upcoming draft lottery. The race for the No. 1 overall pick continues in earnest on Monday night as the 76ers entertain the Bucks in a battle between the bottom two teams in the NBA standings. Philadelphia made the biggest splash of the deadline, trading Evan Turner to Indiana in a deal that netted them Danny Granger from the Pacers.
Neither team is expected to pose a challenge to the Eastern Conference playoff picture, making Monday's showdown largely about which team is headed for a better spot in the lottery. Both teams can make impressive claims to the No. 1 position - the Bucks own the worst record in the NBA and average a league-worst 92.6 points while the 76ers come in on a 10-game skid and are allowing an NBA-high 110.7 points per contest.
•ABOUT THE BUCKS (10-45 SU, 22-33-0 ATS): As Milwaukee heads toward what could be the worst record in franchise history, the focus has shifted to the development of its younger players - and 19-year-old Giannis Antetokounmpo is at the top of that priority list. The player known as " The Greek Freak" is still largely raw and prone to mistakes but asserted himself well at the Rookie-Sophomore Challenge and is a valuable member of the Bucks' rotation. Antetokounmpo finished with eight points in 24 minutes in Saturday's 110-100 loss to the Pacers.
•ABOUT THE 76ERS (15-41 SU, 22-34-0 ATS): Philadelphia head coach Brett Brown has met with Granger to discuss his role on the team after the 30-year-old forward was reportedly angry about being traded by the Pacers. There's still some discussion as to whether Granger will even suit up for the 76ers, or whether the club will look to buy out the final year of his contract - valued at a whopping $14 million. Philadelphia also sent center Spencer Hawes packing, shipping him to the Cleveland Cavaliers for two depth players and a pair of draft picks.
•PREGAME NOTES: The teams have split a pair of meetings this season, with the home team prevailing both times.... Bucks PG Brandon Knight is averaging 22.4 points and 6.9 assists in eight February games.... Philadelphia has been outscored by an average of more than 20 points on its losing streak.... The Bucks are 12-28 against the spread versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots/game on the season, including 12-25 ATS versus teams who make 6 or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.... The Sixers are 3-13 versus the spread in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, MILWAUKEE covered the spread 574 times, while PHILADELPHIA covered the spread 426 times. *EDGE against the spread =MILWAUKEE. In 1000 simulated games, MILWAUKEE won the game straight up 604 times, while PHILADELPHIA won 369 times. In 1000 simulated games, 719 games went under the total, while 281 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, MILWAUKEE covered the first half line 550 times, while PHILADELPHIA covered the first half line 422 times. *EDGE against first half line =MILWAUKEE. In 1000 simulated games, 645 games went under first half total, while 319 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PHILADELPHIA is 42-28 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE since 1996.
--PHILADELPHIA is 40-31 straight up against MILWAUKEE since 1996.
--40 of 71 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--PHILADELPHIA is 36-34 versus the first half line when playing against MILWAUKEE since 1996.
--40 of 71 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
--Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Bucks are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
--Bucks are 0-8 ATS L8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
--Under is 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games following a ATS win.
--76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
--76ers are 0-4 ATS L4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
--Under is 7-1-1 in 76ers last 9 after scoring 100 points or more.
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#703 DALLAS @ #704 NEW YORK
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, NBATV, FSN Southwest (Dallas), MSG (New York) - Line: Mavericks -3.5, Total: 205) - February has been kind to the Dallas Mavericks, who will look to improve to 8-2 this month when they visit the New York Knicks on Monday. Dallas has won two straight and nine of its last 12 to establish a two-game cushion for the Western Conference's eighth and final playoff spot. Guard Vince Carter said the Mavericks' team focus has made a big difference of late, telling the Dallas Morning News, "Our approach is one game at a time. We're locked into our game plan and that's been key for us."
After closing out January with four straight wins, the turn of the calendar has been disastrous for New York, which has lost two straight and eight of 10. Most recently, the Knicks have blown third quarter leads of 14 and 17 points to Orlando and Atlanta, respectively, leaving forward Carmelo Anthony frustrated as New York's playoff hopes are wilting away with each loss. "We're just giving away leads," Anthony told the New York Post, "We're giving away games at this point."
•ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (34-23 SU, 32-25-0 ATS): Dallas coach Rick Carlisle recently challenged his team to work harder on the glass and the Mavericks have responded. After dominating the boards 50-39 in Saturday's win over Detroit, which leads the NBA in total rebound percentage, Dallas has either bested or tied its opponents in the rebounding battle in eight of its last nine games. "They've taken the challenge and understand how important (rebounding) is to our success," Carlisle explained. Forward Dirk Nowitzki added, "When we're active on the glass, even against good rebounding teams, I like our chances."
•ABOUT THE KNICKS (21-35 SU, 23-33-0 ATS): As is often the case with a team whose season is spiraling out of control, change is afoot for New York. Coach Mike Woodson revealed Saturday that the Knicks are in the process of orchestrating contract buyouts for forward Metta World Peace and guard Beno Udrih. Neither player had been part of the regular rotation of late and New York is looking to go "in a different direction (and) find a spot or two for our ballclub," according to Woodson. Udrih averaged 5.6 points and 3.5 assists in 31 games in his first season with the Knicks, while World Peace posted a career-worst 4.8-point average in 29 games.
•PREGAME NOTES: Dallas has won five of its last seven games against the Knicks at Madison Square Garden.... World Peace has seen the floor for a total of 15 minutes in February, while Udrih hasn't played since a 3-point effort in seven minutes of action against Charlotte Jan. 24.... The Mavericks are two games over .500 on the road (16-14) for the first time since an 8-6 mark in February of 2012.... The Knicks are 17-28 against the spread versus teams who make six or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.... The Mavericks are 12-2 versus the spread in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting less than 21 free throws/game over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW YORK covered the spread 566 times, while DALLAS covered the spread 434 times. *EDGE against the spread =NEW YORK. In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS won the game straight up 509 times, while NEW YORK won 463 times. In 1000 simulated games, 555 games went over the total, while 415 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW YORK covered the first half line 547 times, while DALLAS covered the first half line 415 times. *EDGE against first half line =NEW YORK. In 1000 simulated games, 533 games went over first half total, while 467 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DALLAS is 20-13 against the spread versus NEW YORK since 1996.
--DALLAS is 22-11 straight up against NEW YORK since 1996.
--17 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--DALLAS is 19-14 versus the first half line when playing against NEW YORK since 1996.
--16 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
--Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in New York.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
--Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more.
--Over is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
--Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
--Over is 7-1 in Knicks last 8 after allowing 100 points or more.
--Over is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
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#705 GOLDEN STATE @ #706 DETROIT
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, CSN Bay Area (Golden State), FSN Detroit - Line: Warriors -2, Total: 207.5) - The Golden State Warriors used a long road trip to work their way up the Western Conference standings around the new year and will attempt to do it again when they open up a six-game trip at Detroit on Monday. The Warriors had won four straight before taking the first six of a seven-game trip bridging December and January and carry a three-game surge into this excursion. The Pistons are dropping off the pace in the East with losses in four of the last five.
Golden State was missing its starting frontcourt against the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday but still found a way to grab a 93-86 victory as Jermaine O’Neal turned back the clock with 23 points and 13 rebounds while Draymond Green added a career-high 18 points. David Lee (flu) could return on Monday while Andrew Bogut (shoulder), who has missed the last seven games, remains day-to-day. The Warriors need all the bodies they can find against Detroit’s frontline of Josh Smith, Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond.
•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (34-22 SU, 26-27-3 ATS): O’Neal and Green provided a big lift in rare starts on Saturday but once again it came down to Stephen Curry to make something happen and once again the All-Star delivered. Curry forced overtime against the Houston Rockets on Thursday before dominating the extra period in a 102-99 triumph and slipped behind a screen before banking in a clinching 3-pointer in the final minute to down the Nets. “I did not have the opportunity to ask Steph, but according to our dynamic PR staff, they said he did call glass,” coach Mark Jackson joked with reporters.
•ABOUT THE PISTONS (23-33 SU, 24-31-1 ATS): Detroit is still in the race in the Eastern Conference but has slipped to ninth place and is falling further away from the cluster of teams in the No. 6-8 spots. Drummond battled foul trouble and matched a season low with three rebounds as the Pistons were outdone 50-39 on the boards in a 113-102 home loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Monroe put together two of his best games over the weekend, averaging 19.5 points and 16 rebounds against the Mavericks and Atlanta Hawks.
•PREGAME NOTES: The Warriors have taken five straight in the series, including a 113-95 home win on Nov. 12.... Detroit G Brandon Jennings is just 4-of-19 from the field in the last two games.... Golden State G Steve Blake has made three field goals since joining the team at the trade deadline, all from beyond the arc.... The Pistons are 9-19 versus the spread versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last two seasons.... The Warriors are 12-1 against the spread versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the spread 583 times, while DETROIT covered the spread 393 times. *EDGE against the spread =GOLDEN STATE. In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE won the game straight up 627 times, while DETROIT won 357 times. In 1000 simulated games, 663 games went under the total, while 337 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE covered the first half line 555 times, while DETROIT covered the first half line 411 times. *EDGE against first half line =GOLDEN STATE. In 1000 simulated games, 629 games went under first half total, while 371 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GOLDEN STATE is 16-15 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1996.
--DETROIT is 20-12 straight up against GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--16 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--GOLDEN STATE is 17-14 versus the first half line when playing against DETROIT since 1996.
--20 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Warriors are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
--Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
--Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Over is 10-1 in Pistons last 11 Monday games.
--Over is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
--Over is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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#707 LA CLIPPERS @ #708 NEW ORLEANS
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, FSN Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), FSN New Orleans - Line: Clippers -4, Total: 207.5) - The Los Angeles Clippers look to finish up their three-game road trip in winning fashion when they visit the slumping New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Los Angeles rebounded from a loss at Memphis with an impressive offensive performance in a 125-117 win at Oklahoma City on Sunday afternoon, recording the most points for a Thunder opponent this season. The starting five accounted for 116 points, led by Jamal Crawford's 36 and Matt Barnes' 24, as Los Angeles evened its road mark at 15-15.
The Pelicans, who had designs on a second-half charge toward a possible playoff spot after a 7-4 run prior to the All-Star break, have dropped three straight out of the layoff to fall a season high-tying nine games below .500. Anthony Davis had his usual stellar effort with 26 points and 11 rebounds Saturday at Washington, but a last-second dunk sent New Orleans to a tough 94-93 loss. Davis' fellow starters combined for only 22 points on 7-of-29 shooting.
•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (38-20 SU, 32-26-0 ATS): Los Angeles secured a 108-95 win at home in the first meeting between the teams, doing so without forward Matt Barnes, who has stepped up his contributions of late. The normally defensive-minded Barnes hit six 3-pointers in the win over Oklahoma City and is shooting 51 percent from the floor over his last six games while hitting 14 3-pointers in the process. Jamal Crawford has had a similar uptick with at least 21 points in seven straight games for the Clippers, who are averaging 122 points in their last four wins.
•ABOUT THE PELICANS (23-32 SU, 24-27-4 ATS): New Orleans' three straight losses have come by an average of 3.7 points, and the loss at the last second Saturday night seemed to leave a mark for a team that must learn to finish games in order to take the next step. "To do all that we did in that game, all the lead changes and to have it right there, it just hurts," head coach Monty Williams told reporters after the game. The task of closing strong gets a bit tougher on the road, where the Pelicans are 10-19 and where they will spend their next five games after the Clippers leave town.
•PREGAME NOTES: Los Angeles C DeAndre Jordan scored 14 points on 6-of-6 shooting and grabbed 20 rebounds in the first matchup.... Pelicans G Tyreke Evans is averaging 6.7 points - roughly half his average - on 8-of-32 shooting in his last three games.... The Clippers have won four straight meetings.... New Orleans is 42-62 versus the spread versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots/game on the season over the last two seasons.... Los Angeles is 11-3 against the spread in road games versus good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS covered the spread 558 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 420 times. *EDGE against the spread =NEW ORLEANS. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 526 times, while NEW ORLEANS won 443 times. In 1000 simulated games, 542 games went under the total, while 458 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, NEW ORLEANS covered the first half line 505 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 467 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 519 games went under first half total, while 481 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEW ORLEANS is 30-17 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--NEW ORLEANS is 30-17 straight up against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--27 of 47 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--LA CLIPPERS is 26-21 versus the first half line when playing against NEW ORLEANS since 1996.
--25 of 45 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Clippers are 7-20 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
--Clippers are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans.
--Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans.
--Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
--Favorite is 18-8 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Over is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 overall.
--Over is 12-3 in Clippers last 15 road games.
--Over is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
--Pelicans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
--Pelicans are 4-1 ATS L5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
--Under is 4-1 in Pelicans L5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#709 BOSTON @ #710 UTAH
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, CSN New England (Boston), ROOT (Utah) - Line: Jazz -3, Total: 190) - Two of the worst teams in the NBA square off when the Boston Celtics visit the Utah Jazz on Monday. Boston brings a four-game losing streak into the contest as it closes a four-game road trip, and possesses the fourth worst record in the Eastern Conference while Utah has been at the bottom of the West for nearly the entire season. The Jazz have lost three straight after dropping the opener of a three-game homestand to Minnesota on Saturday.
Utah has experienced a lost season but it seems to get even worse whenever center Derrick Favors is out of the lineup. The Jazz are 0-9 when Favors sits out and he is expected to miss his fourth straight game due to a hip injury. Boston received 29 points from Jeff Green and a season-best 19 from Kris Humphries in Saturday’s loss to the Sacramento Kings in a game in which point guard Rajon Rondo was rested. The Celtics are 4-21 against Western Conference foes this season, including losses in all 12 road games.
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (19-38 SU, 27-29-1 ATS): Rondo will be on the floor against Utah after being rested on the second end of a back-to-back. Rondo has reached double digits in assists in five of his last six games and is averaging 10.2 points and 7.7 assists in 12 games. The former All-Star is still trying to regain his form after returning from major knee surgery and both he and coach Brad Stevens call it a work in progress. “He’s playing better. I think he can get a lot better,” Stevens said. “But he is playing better every time out.”
•ABOUT THE JAZZ (19-36 SU, 24-28-3 ATS): Guard Gordon Hayward didn’t reach contract terms with Utah earlier this season and is hoping to cash in as a restricted free agent after the season. But having an expanded role for the Jazz after the departures of scorers Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap hasn’t led to the breakout season both Hayward and the club were hoping would result. The fourth-year pro is shooting just 30.4 percent from the field over the past 12 games – failing to reach double digits six times – and often allows his defense to suffer when his shot isn’t falling. Hayward is averaging a career-high 16 points but also is shooting a career-low 39.7 percent, including 29.9 percent from 3-point range.
•PREGAME NOTES: Boston has won the last six meetings, including a 97-87 home victory on Nov. 6.... Jazz PG Trey Burke has averaged 17 points and 7.7 assists over the past three games after reaching double digits just three times over the previous 11 contests.... Celtics F Jared Sullinger (mild concussion) is expected to miss his second straight game... The Jazz are 13-4 against the spread versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... Boston is 10-22 versus the spread in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, UTAH covered the spread 551 times, while BOSTON covered the spread 423 times. *EDGE against the spread =UTAH. In 1000 simulated games, UTAH won the game straight up 626 times, while BOSTON won 356 times. In 1000 simulated games, 526 games went over the total, while 453 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, UTAH covered the first half line 550 times, while BOSTON covered the first half line 450 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 489 games went over first half total, while 475 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BOSTON is 17-14 against the spread versus UTAH since 1996.
--BOSTON is 18-14 straight up against UTAH since 1996.
--21 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--UTAH is 19-12 versus the first half line when playing against BOSTON since 1996.
--16 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Celtics are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Celtics are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Utah.
--Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Utah.
--Favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
--Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 Monday games.
--Jazz are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
--Under is 3-0-1 in Jazz last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Over is 5-0-1 in Jazz L6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
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